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2022-07-13 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1873
181 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+15.43%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.6%
in alpha space · 58.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+20.75%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000094970.0000878-7.55%0.00009809+3.29%0.2508✓1.92724k2022-08-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7650.708758-7.35%0.944+23.40%0.0628✓1.858.4M2022-08-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6470.602141-6.93%0.792+22.41%0.0101✓1.513,2002022-08-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.551.4583-5.92%1.59+2.58%0.0390✓0.25535k2022-08-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78120.740223-5.25%1.0248+31.18%0.0225✓1.61180k2022-08-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.8850.843161-4.73%0.983+11.07%0.1852✓1.80574k2022-08-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.287360.273868-4.69%0.37096+29.09%0.0477✓1.363,2762022-08-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.18762.0872-4.59%3.2354+47.90%0.1328✗1.624,8022022-08-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023660.022597-4.49%0.03262+37.87%0.0557✗1.6518.5M2022-08-12
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26170.250137-4.42%0.2614-0.11%0.1445✓1.0045k2022-08-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.638180.611402-4.20%0.72656+13.85%0.1353✓1.63120k2022-08-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0177970.017077-4.05%0.020089+12.88%0.0622✗0.53222k2022-08-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.1852.0968-4.04%4.051+85.40%0.4879✗0.91105k2022-08-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.751.6815-3.91%2.426+38.63%0.1163✗1.33864k2022-08-12
FORTFortaEthereum0.27010.259562-3.90%0.3094+14.55%0.0129✓1.00565k2022-08-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.16440.158412-3.64%0.2434+48.05%0.1718✗1.372,4272022-08-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7981.7328-3.63%2.341+30.20%0.0220✓1.48115k2022-08-12
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.37510.362152-3.45%0.5531+47.45%0.2350✗1.00180k2022-08-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8622.7679-3.29%4.176+45.91%0.2936✗0.622.2M2022-08-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.444970.430979-3.14%0.42697-4.05%0.2952✓1.521.1M2022-08-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.22.1369-2.87%3.25+47.73%0.1255✗1.56218k2022-08-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2090.203028-2.86%0.236+12.92%0.1448✓1.571.1M2022-08-12
XYMSymbolnative0.0508050.049354-2.86%0.056411+11.03%0.0165✓0.6214k2022-08-12
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.094850.092152-2.84%0.08726-8.00%0.2431✓1.00373k2022-08-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.85850.3918-2.83%63.536+22.52%0.0733✗0.84417k2022-08-12
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7810.759557-2.75%1.013+29.71%0.1386✗0.791.5M2022-08-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.814170.793811-2.50%1.0686+31.25%0.0451✗1.34433k2022-08-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.6214.2753-2.36%21.15+44.66%0.2071✗0.991.6M2022-08-12
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1185.9788-2.27%9.21+50.54%0.1730✗1.375.6M2022-08-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5152.4609-2.15%4.15+65.01%0.1940✗1.743.3M2022-08-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.384740.377161-1.97%0.46635+21.21%0.0233✓1.25142k2022-08-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30970.303657-1.95%0.3656+18.05%0.0365✓1.188.7M2022-08-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.06140.060239-1.89%0.0739+20.36%0.0622✓1.41299k2022-08-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.5352.4885-1.83%3.223+27.14%0.0464✗1.13929k2022-08-12
DIADIAEthereum0.390620.383667-1.78%0.48246+23.51%0.0864✗0.7654k2022-08-12
C98Coin98Ethereum0.45050.443355-1.59%0.5574+23.73%0.0215✗1.1055k2022-08-12
METISMetisEthereum21.621.2767-1.50%49.07+127.18%0.6471✗1.00110k2022-08-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.04821.0328-1.47%1.4231+35.77%0.0516✗1.434.2M2022-08-12
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.175560.173046-1.43%0.19851+13.07%0.3899✓2.808572022-08-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3760.370759-1.39%0.554+47.34%0.1930✗1.119,6592022-08-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.4516.2336-1.32%39.38+139.39%0.5718✗1.67427k2022-08-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.553.5055-1.25%5.53+55.77%0.3383✗0.62672k2022-08-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043670.043141-1.21%0.05396+23.56%0.0506✗0.925,7282022-08-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.1726.0993-1.18%9.333+51.22%0.1876✗1.2620.2M2022-08-12
QNTQuantEthereum84.7883.843-1.11%128.24+51.26%0.2375✗0.992.6M2022-08-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0360.035609-1.09%0.0445+23.61%0.0151✓1.2699k2022-08-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4840.478902-1.05%0.7+44.63%0.1177✗1.3988k2022-08-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4936.4264-1.03%8.394+29.28%0.0171✗1.335.5M2022-08-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10280.101804-0.97%0.139+35.21%0.1283✗0.976,6852022-08-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11210.111023-0.96%0.1745+55.66%0.2630✗1.004.0M2022-08-12
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025310.025078-0.91%0.03363+32.87%0.0161✗1.471,9122022-08-12
XEMNEMnative0.0388410.038494-0.89%0.055699+43.40%0.1527✗1.1515k2022-08-12
ADACardanoCardano0.43820.434441-0.86%0.5407+23.39%0.0214✓1.2746.2M2022-08-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80340.796849-0.82%1.1564+43.94%0.1792✗1.024.5M2022-08-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0202080.020046-0.80%0.025466+26.02%0.0497✗1.019372022-08-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009390.009319-0.76%0.01039+10.65%0.0848✓1.035.1M2022-08-12
PROPropyEthereum0.820.81404-0.73%0.83+1.22%0.1129✓0.70114k2022-08-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00093240.000926135-0.67%0.001509+61.87%0.2467✗1.282.0M2022-08-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14580.144934-0.59%0.196+34.43%0.0502✗1.33349k2022-08-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067490.006711-0.56%0.006832+1.23%0.0887✓0.5795k2022-08-12
ELAElastosEthereum1.4331.4256-0.52%2.075+44.80%0.1869✗1.00172k2022-08-12
FTTFTXEthereum2524.8978-0.41%31.22+24.88%0.0501✗0.9311.0M2022-08-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1392.1304-0.40%2.947+37.77%0.0563✗1.4260k2022-08-12
CBKCobakEthereum0.947520.943747-0.40%1.2318+30.00%0.0524✗1.142,3312022-08-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07190.071616-0.39%0.0727+1.11%0.1778✓1.02131k2022-08-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3713.3582-0.38%6.594+95.61%0.5742✗0.532.1M2022-08-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6550.652827-0.33%0.938+43.21%0.1233✗1.27143k2022-08-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6613.6507-0.28%4.875+33.16%0.1717✗0.621.7M2022-08-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.943.9291-0.28%6.32+60.41%0.3570✗0.63584k2022-08-12
HIVEHivenative0.42210.421307-0.19%0.6348+50.39%0.1722✗1.261.2M2022-08-12
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.1643-0.18%3-5.36%0.1385✓0.4582k2022-08-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.113.1045-0.18%5.08+63.34%0.3581✗0.71597k2022-08-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010530.000010518-0.11%0.0000127+20.61%0.0461✓1.241.2M2022-08-12
DODODODOEthereum0.13310.133001-0.07%0.1809+35.91%0.0633✗1.302.8M2022-08-12
RADRadworksEthereum1.621.6189-0.07%2.59+59.88%0.2590✗1.12117k2022-08-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.08812.0868-0.06%3.3109+58.56%0.3116✗0.80976k2022-08-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.88290.882385-0.06%1.1467+29.88%0.0117✓1.451.6M2022-08-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.291830.292067+0.08%0.39278+34.59%0.0589✓1.26445k2022-08-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.38910.389649+0.14%0.4764+22.44%0.0955✗1.57202k2022-08-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.2188.2378+0.24%12.061+46.76%0.1283✓1.3412.7M2022-08-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.878.8918+0.25%16.03+80.72%0.3145✓1.461.1M2022-08-12
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16480.16523+0.26%0.2224+34.95%0.0211✓1.462,9732022-08-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22740.228112+0.31%0.2787+22.56%0.0381✗1.26185k2022-08-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.08680.0871+0.35%0.1237+42.51%0.0960✓1.35576k2022-08-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.2955.3176+0.43%8.751+65.27%0.2832✓1.142.0M2022-08-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.8118.8975+0.47%29.35+56.03%0.1499✓1.5425.2M2022-08-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.0141.0195+0.54%1.2878+27.00%0.0284✓1.0954k2022-08-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.055170.055478+0.56%0.0916+66.03%0.2414✓1.3824k2022-08-12
KSMKusamaHydration49.0649.3777+0.65%61.14+24.62%0.0073✗1.17247k2022-08-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.4646.5064+0.66%9.484+46.72%0.1449✓1.2310.3M2022-08-12
SOLSolanaSolana34.9435.1743+0.67%45.5+30.22%0.0088✓1.3284.4M2022-08-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.7992.8184+0.69%4.151+48.30%0.2443✓0.76497k2022-08-12
XVSVenusEthereum5.075.1057+0.70%6.66+31.36%0.0111✗1.471.3M2022-08-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08630.086926+0.73%0.0919+6.49%0.1823✗1.26171k2022-08-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5940.598334+0.73%0.88+48.15%0.2088✓0.94405k2022-08-12
DASHDashDash42.3942.7109+0.76%56.16+32.48%0.0640✓1.11632k2022-08-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.74771.7623+0.83%3.4443+97.08%0.5085✓0.86857k2022-08-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.7892.813+0.86%4.17+49.52%0.1803✓1.13534k2022-08-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26570.268045+0.88%0.3631+36.66%0.0782✓1.203.1M2022-08-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.241.2515+0.92%1.56+25.81%0.0664✗1.52768k2022-08-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0119380.012055+0.98%0.01628+36.37%0.1464✓0.821.3M2022-08-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin49.549.9938+1.00%62.95+27.17%0.0094✓1.1716.5M2022-08-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.008880.008971+1.02%0.00838-5.63%0.2416✗0.921.2M2022-08-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017750.017934+1.04%0.01781+0.34%0.1528✗0.77385k2022-08-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.146.2127+1.18%8.86+44.30%0.2620✓0.49670k2022-08-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.85730.867695+1.21%1.4259+66.32%0.2641✓1.23622k2022-08-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.103965+1.23%0.1304+26.97%0.0197✓1.10388k2022-08-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2820.285871+1.37%0.329+16.67%0.0549✗1.04575k2022-08-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1691.1851+1.37%1.334+14.11%0.1029✗1.171.6M2022-08-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4171.4366+1.38%2.034+43.54%0.0664✓1.49173k2022-08-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1052750.106768+1.42%0.126413+20.08%0.0223✗1.018.4M2022-08-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.23560.238946+1.42%0.2956+25.47%0.0049✓1.1060k2022-08-12
OPTIMOptimism0.4750.482038+1.48%1.651+247.58%0.9107✓1.701.3M2022-08-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.10190.103426+1.50%0.164+60.94%0.2533✓1.10549k2022-08-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.495.5726+1.50%10.7+94.90%0.3970✓1.35256k2022-08-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.73941.7657+1.51%2.3981+37.87%0.0714✓1.2536k2022-08-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49440.502228+1.58%0.644+30.26%0.0212✓1.21579k2022-08-12
TRXTRONTron0.0662310.067306+1.62%0.070487+6.43%0.1088✗0.82462k2022-08-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.444.5128+1.64%6.13+38.06%0.1813✓0.66664k2022-08-12
BANDBandEthereum1.2851.3075+1.75%1.801+40.16%0.0471✓1.45387k2022-08-12
XECeCashnative0.000038640.000039329+1.78%0.00004784+23.81%0.0327✗1.211.9M2022-08-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1270.129302+1.81%0.1535+20.87%0.0812✗1.3435k2022-08-12
STEEMSteemnative0.20490.208692+1.85%0.2777+35.53%0.0580✓1.21731k2022-08-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04280.0436+1.87%0.0733+71.26%0.2668✓1.34855k2022-08-12
STXStacksnative0.37740.38452+1.89%0.5099+35.11%0.0435✓1.27405k2022-08-12
ZENHorizenBase15.2915.5792+1.89%21.35+39.63%0.0477✓1.4277k2022-08-12
BTTCBTTC8.40e-78.57e-7+1.97%0.00000103+22.62%0.0249✓0.855.8M2022-08-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.27242.3175+1.99%3.0168+32.76%0.0770✓0.991.2M2022-08-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09030.092147+2.05%0.127+40.64%0.1667✓0.82150k2022-08-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.381.4089+2.09%1.9+37.68%0.0225✓1.47160k2022-08-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.285.3923+2.13%4.7972-9.14%0.1517✗0.18335k2022-08-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,907.646,036.23+2.18%11,508.57+94.81%0.3927✓1.344.5M2022-08-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2830910.289312+2.20%0.388363+37.19%0.0571✓1.261.8M2022-08-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.12.1476+2.27%2.964+41.14%0.0032✓1.6984k2022-08-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.28471.314+2.28%1.6851+31.17%0.0186✓1.42684k2022-08-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1971.2244+2.29%1.496+24.98%0.0453✗1.302.6M2022-08-12
COMPCompoundEthereum48.3949.5039+2.30%65.12+34.57%0.0171✓1.3627k2022-08-12
SCSiacoinnative0.00390.003991+2.33%0.00511+31.03%0.0087✓1.36153k2022-08-12
APEApeCoinEthereum4.584.6906+2.42%7.035+53.60%0.0750✓1.7514.8M2022-08-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36920.378667+2.56%0.476+28.93%0.0231✓1.3494k2022-08-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006290.006458+2.67%0.00892+41.81%0.1358✓0.99392k2022-08-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,220.2320,769.15+2.71%24,415.18+20.75%0.0268✗1.00453.1M2022-08-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04570.046966+2.77%0.0569+24.51%0.0416✗1.24257k2022-08-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026730.027486+2.83%0.04843+81.18%0.3253✓1.2821k2022-08-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066990.068899+2.85%0.08331+24.36%0.0390✓0.801,9502022-08-12
NANOnanopayBase0.8632120.889206+3.01%1.1083+28.39%0.0289✓1.0181k2022-08-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09380.096653+3.04%0.1472+56.93%0.1669✓1.352.5M2022-08-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.3713.7875+3.12%18.66+39.57%0.0466✓1.361.3M2022-08-12
XTZTezosTezos1.51911.5708+3.40%1.9249+26.71%0.0379✗1.28603k2022-08-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.049540.051317+3.59%0.10047+102.81%0.3941✓1.47793k2022-08-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04260.044189+3.73%0.0502+17.84%0.1283✗1.368,3162022-08-12
MOVRMoonriverBase11.981412.4363+3.80%17.1241+42.92%0.0956✓1.19289k2022-08-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.04880.050757+4.01%0.066+35.25%0.0165✓1.48108k2022-08-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.13550.140948+4.02%0.1752+29.30%0.0192✓1.2696k2022-08-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0618380.06433+4.03%0.072322+16.95%0.1124✗1.222.1M2022-08-12
AAVEAaveEthereum79.7883.1174+4.18%114.79+43.88%0.0082✓1.679.9M2022-08-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23910.249346+4.29%0.4449+86.07%0.3634✓1.1433k2022-08-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019120.019962+4.40%0.02664+39.33%0.0903✓1.05100k2022-08-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,219.9021,119.05+4.45%24,153.80+19.46%0.0518✗0.9948k2022-08-12
QTUMQtumQtum2.72412.8491+4.59%4.2925+57.57%0.2023✓1.1030k2022-08-12
GTGateEthereum3.95944.1487+4.78%5.044+27.39%0.0608✓0.711.1M2022-08-12
FLOWFlownative1.5111.5837+4.81%2.945+94.90%0.3918✓1.21287k2022-08-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027460.002882+4.96%0.004523+64.71%0.2551✓1.041.3M2022-08-12
XMRMoneroMonero124.11131.1123+5.64%166.92+34.49%0.0291✓1.131.3M2022-08-12
XVGVergenative0.00340.003592+5.66%0.00392+15.29%0.1676✗1.35664k2022-08-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.58e-73.81e-7+6.17%3.20e-7-10.73%0.3785✗1.09465k2022-08-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.122480.130238+6.33%0.18299+49.40%0.0359✓1.61155k2022-08-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18230.194+6.42%0.2537+39.17%0.0057✓1.45136k2022-08-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,114.261,186.83+6.51%1,959.91+75.89%0.2786✓1.18326.5M2022-08-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05030.053833+7.02%0.0827+64.41%0.2829✓0.78204k2022-08-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.128.7359+7.59%12.4+52.71%0.1277✓1.18288k2022-08-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.720570.776483+7.76%1.2293+70.60%0.2965✓0.862982022-08-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash102.54110.7946+8.05%143.1+39.56%0.0447✓1.124.8M2022-08-12
ZECZcashZcash54.9259.5239+8.38%77.34+40.82%0.0129✓1.321.7M2022-08-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.4115.6194+8.39%43.41+201.25%0.8006✓1.181.3M2022-08-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055490.006014+8.40%0.006893+24.23%0.0369✓0.923,1492022-08-12
KCSKuCoinnative8.9379.7253+8.82%10.654+19.21%0.1188✗1.112.8M2022-08-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6030.65657+8.88%0.741+22.89%0.1693✗1.54129k2022-08-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07410.081032+9.35%0.104+40.35%0.0176✓1.236,9262022-08-12
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6060.67733+11.77%0.942+55.45%0.1006✓1.22874k2022-08-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46030.516537+12.22%0.6074+31.96%0.0500✓1.12311k2022-08-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.