8=======>

2022-06-06 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 170 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0039
170 of 170 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.20%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.8%
in alpha space · 45.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-34.46%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (170 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,455.257,694.67+3.21%6,308.79-15.38%0.3391✓1.273.9M2022-07-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.4579.7334+2.92%8.886-6.04%0.5419✓1.5015.2M2022-07-06
SOLSolanaSolana42.3543.4623+2.63%37.01-12.61%0.5013✓1.57114.5M2022-07-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011060.000011325+2.40%0.00001047-5.33%0.5196✓1.42957k2022-07-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.19410.198496+2.26%0.1866-3.86%0.6009✓1.572,3482022-07-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070630.072195+2.22%0.05572-21.11%0.2640✓1.2427k2022-07-06
AAVEAaveEthereum105.84108.1123+2.15%62.94-40.53%0.2005✓1.758.9M2022-07-06
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8730.891045+2.07%0.672-23.02%0.4455✓1.72622k2022-07-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.5767.727+1.99%5.624-25.77%0.3897✓1.6710.6M2022-07-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3690.375805+1.84%0.283-23.31%0.2230✓1.201.0M2022-07-06
UNIUniswapEthereum5.3695.4677+1.84%5.342-0.50%0.5796✓1.432.6M2022-07-06
ETHEthereumEthereum1,858.211,892.30+1.83%1,185.61-36.20%0.0131✓1.08344.3M2022-07-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12750.129774+1.78%0.1061-16.78%0.3103✓1.2112k2022-07-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.19420.197566+1.73%0.1428-26.47%0.3046✓1.49199k2022-07-06
XVSVenusEthereum4.574.6438+1.61%5.06+10.72%0.8695✓1.851.6M2022-07-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5040.512085+1.60%0.4497-10.77%0.6217✓1.78683k2022-07-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0690.070094+1.59%0.047-31.88%0.3434✓1.761.8M2022-07-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin64.3865.3972+1.58%50.29-21.89%0.2765✓1.2818.2M2022-07-06
BANDBandEthereum1.721.7467+1.55%1.347-21.69%0.4577✓1.70329k2022-07-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004310.004377+1.55%0.00272-36.89%0.0303✓1.202.2M2022-07-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.3491.3698+1.55%0.677-49.81%0.1339✓1.99399k2022-07-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0824850.083739+1.52%0.068516-16.93%0.3138✓1.221.5M2022-07-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.12240.124236+1.50%0.0928-24.18%0.4267✓1.701.2M2022-07-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.9611.1108+1.38%11.9+8.58%0.9068✓1.98226k2022-07-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash185.41187.9108+1.35%105.86-42.90%0.0471✗1.254.6M2022-07-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.4929.6192+1.34%6.915-27.15%0.2951✓1.4813.7M2022-07-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.9718.0711+1.26%6.327-20.62%0.3804✓1.4829.2M2022-07-06
MOVRMoonriverBase20.558420.8125+1.24%12.3111-40.12%0.1291✓1.55239k2022-07-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15850.160438+1.22%0.0986-37.79%0.2183✓1.676.4M2022-07-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.6920.9386+1.20%14.77-28.61%0.3363✓1.623.0M2022-07-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009240.009349+1.18%0.00668-27.71%0.1286✓1.10917k2022-07-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.202360.204753+1.18%0.1261-37.69%0.2858✓1.82298k2022-07-06
DASHDashDash60.0160.6841+1.12%44.2-26.35%0.1981✓1.22948k2022-07-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008590.008686+1.12%0.006925-19.38%0.1128✓0.80214k2022-07-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.213.2444+1.07%2.79-13.08%0.2915✓1.05663k2022-07-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7941.8127+1.04%1.826+1.78%0.7017✓1.6479k2022-07-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.5612.6885+1.02%8.69-30.81%0.1492✓1.25541k2022-07-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche25.9826.2325+0.97%19.15-26.29%0.3763✓1.6453.9M2022-07-06
GTGateEthereum5.48415.5372+0.97%4.0142-26.80%0.0755✗0.583.8M2022-07-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.32280.325906+0.96%0.2232-30.86%0.2090✓1.39384k2022-07-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.011860.011973+0.96%0.00913-23.02%0.2003✓1.121.7M2022-07-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6520.658089+0.93%0.54-17.18%0.4793✓1.60161k2022-07-06
ZECZcashZcash94.3895.2368+0.91%58.16-38.38%0.0415✓1.274.3M2022-07-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.291.301+0.85%0.492-61.86%0.4956✗1.1377k2022-07-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.367960.371065+0.84%0.28113-23.60%0.3220✓1.42606k2022-07-06
COMPCompoundEthereum59.3859.8737+0.83%46-22.53%0.3717✓1.5031k2022-07-06
UMAUMAEthereum3.1033.1286+0.82%2.642-14.86%0.4195✓1.391.4M2022-07-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.8332.8563+0.82%2.44-13.87%0.3186✓1.1372k2022-07-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,441.5031,697.37+0.81%20,413.50-35.07%0.0287✗0.9771k2022-07-06
QNTQuantEthereum67.7668.2712+0.75%61.97-8.54%0.4002✓1.182.2M2022-07-06
FTTFTXEthereum27.3727.5665+0.72%26.28-3.98%0.3719✓0.999.5M2022-07-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.0912.1744+0.70%17.25+42.68%0.7803✓1.02369k2022-07-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.009580.009646+0.69%0.006097-36.36%0.0001✓1.092,4432022-07-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.08790.088504+0.69%0.0542-38.34%0.3320✓1.95146k2022-07-06
NANOnanopayBase1.18161.1895+0.68%0.911182-22.88%0.2837✓1.30160k2022-07-06
STXStacksnative0.55870.562176+0.62%0.398-28.76%0.1451✓1.16180k2022-07-06
XVGVergenative0.004840.00487+0.61%0.00309-36.16%0.2052✓1.56753k2022-07-06
XEMNEMnative0.0530950.053405+0.58%0.040762-23.23%0.3735✓1.5250k2022-07-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.12960.13034+0.57%0.0996-23.15%0.3209✓1.40996k2022-07-06
XTZTezosTezos2.0612.0722+0.54%1.5433-25.12%0.2657✓1.33928k2022-07-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.36390.365761+0.51%0.2755-24.29%0.3030✓1.396.7M2022-07-06
ADACardanoCardano0.60870.611736+0.50%0.4619-24.12%0.3878✓1.5846.8M2022-07-06
KSMKusamaHydration70.2670.58+0.46%51.25-27.06%0.2438✓1.331.4M2022-07-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13230.132848+0.41%0.1061-19.80%0.3174✓1.28951k2022-07-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8662.8777+0.41%2.297-19.85%0.4819✓1.67271k2022-07-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.32250.32379+0.40%0.1906-40.90%0.0236✓1.31296k2022-07-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.751.7569+0.39%1.46-16.57%0.6130✓1.89580k2022-07-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09250.092839+0.37%0.0511-44.76%0.2801✗0.75313k2022-07-06
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01541.019+0.35%0.91459-9.93%0.6350✓1.76865k2022-07-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.015210.015261+0.34%0.012059-20.72%0.2623✓1.182.6M2022-07-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.31e-76.33e-7+0.30%3.79e-7-40.00%0.0939✗0.99961k2022-07-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.842.8478+0.28%2.51-11.62%0.7445✓2.06282k2022-07-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.21460.215074+0.22%0.1526-28.89%0.2974✓1.52647k2022-07-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.039820.039893+0.18%0.02834-28.83%0.2564✓1.4220k2022-07-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1448140.145068+0.18%0.109283-24.54%0.2172✓1.1811.2M2022-07-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.41260.413322+0.18%0.3106-24.72%0.2959✓1.3815.2M2022-07-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative22.5122.5483+0.17%15.18-32.56%0.1563✓1.313.1M2022-07-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2861.2882+0.17%0.96-25.35%0.2920✓1.395.9M2022-07-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.61220.613121+0.15%0.7581+23.83%0.8195✓1.443.3M2022-07-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.06840.068498+0.14%0.0607-11.26%0.3809✓1.19396k2022-07-06
QTUMQtumQtum4.03494.0365+0.04%2.8773-28.69%0.1883✓1.2548k2022-07-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8740.874161+0.02%0.624-28.60%0.1472✓1.15423k2022-07-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14760.147561-0.03%0.1168-20.87%0.4720✗1.673.6M2022-07-06
AVTAventusEthereum1.061.0593-0.07%1.48+39.62%0.7166✗0.90138k2022-07-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00510.005093-0.13%0.001588-68.86%0.6274✓1.277,4632022-07-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.5637.5516-0.15%5.559-26.50%0.3335✗1.512.8M2022-07-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.11060.110429-0.15%0.0991-10.40%0.6613✗1.82455k2022-07-06
SCSiacoinnative0.005810.005797-0.22%0.00387-33.39%0.3046✗1.68259k2022-07-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.13345.1205-0.25%5.8046+13.08%0.2649✗0.33279k2022-07-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,343.6131,263.76-0.25%20,542.67-34.46%0.0026✓1.00656.1M2022-07-06
BTTCBTTC0.000001090.000001087-0.28%8.70e-7-20.18%0.1440✗0.876.9M2022-07-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.403560.402174-0.34%0.44139+9.37%0.6712✗1.37125k2022-07-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012750.001271-0.35%0.0009592-24.77%0.4068✗1.631.8M2022-07-06
XYMSymbolnative0.0593090.059096-0.36%0.0517-12.83%0.2144✗0.8292k2022-07-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0350.03487-0.37%0.0371+6.00%0.7256✗1.57224k2022-07-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.431.4237-0.44%1.059-25.95%0.2105✗1.2054k2022-07-06
API3Api3Ethereum1.5621.5536-0.54%2.084+33.42%0.9915✗1.65847k2022-07-06
ORCAOrcaSolana0.840.835324-0.56%0.7999-4.77%0.4281✗1.1281k2022-07-06
XMRMoneroMonero189.44188.327-0.59%125.33-33.84%0.0229✗1.022.4M2022-07-06
ZENHorizenBase20.9520.8232-0.61%15.29-27.02%0.3728✗1.6179k2022-07-06
KCSKuCoinnative16.55916.4568-0.62%8.979-45.78%0.1708✓1.036.9M2022-07-06
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8130.807978-0.62%0.885+8.86%0.5955✗1.192.1M2022-07-06
XECeCashnative0.000052960.000052598-0.68%0.00004262-19.52%0.4056✗1.463.4M2022-07-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.55430.550191-0.74%0.4074-26.50%0.3984✗1.65177k2022-07-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.880.873206-0.77%1.002+13.86%0.8502✗1.69232k2022-07-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012140.012043-0.80%0.01025-15.57%0.5176✗1.6117.8M2022-07-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.3060.303547-0.80%0.2429-20.62%0.3375✗1.33105k2022-07-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.14420.143035-0.81%0.0927-35.71%0.0178✓0.98285k2022-07-06
DIADIAEthereum0.452390.448704-0.81%0.39434-12.83%0.1429✗0.64190k2022-07-06
HIVEHivenative0.56920.564373-0.85%0.4555-19.98%0.3702✗1.381.6M2022-07-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.028490.028247-0.85%0.01958-31.27%0.0533✗0.99175k2022-07-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33920.336188-0.89%0.2598-23.41%0.3946✗1.5433k2022-07-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06340.06274-1.04%0.043-32.18%0.3425✗1.7040k2022-07-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.60760.600611-1.15%0.702+15.54%0.8203✗1.5768k2022-07-06
SUSHISushiEthereum1.621.601-1.17%1.15-29.01%0.3935✗1.711.4M2022-07-06
APEApeCoinEthereum6.3826.3051-1.21%5.014-21.44%0.7098✗2.2226.5M2022-07-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.616.5297-1.21%5.64-14.67%0.4788✗1.48414k2022-07-06
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4850.479003-1.24%0.393-18.97%0.3194✗1.2217k2022-07-06
RADRadworksEthereum2.222.1917-1.27%1.66-25.23%0.2558✗1.26247k2022-07-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.17090.168689-1.29%0.1251-26.80%0.3525✗1.5480k2022-07-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0295710.029186-1.30%0.020657-30.14%0.1395✗1.1512k2022-07-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.981.9523-1.40%1.377-30.45%0.4397✗1.87303k2022-07-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4280690.421973-1.42%0.307678-28.12%0.3011✗1.462.5M2022-07-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.068210.067205-1.47%0.05158-24.38%0.6530✗2.172.4M2022-07-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.65456.7831-1.51%54.636-5.23%0.3985✗1.031.2M2022-07-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6020.592426-1.59%0.694+15.28%0.8860✗1.725,9962022-07-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.6113.553-1.61%2.83-21.63%0.1598✗0.921.6M2022-07-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0152860.015037-1.63%0.016049+4.99%0.3614✗0.70240k2022-07-06
DODODODOEthereum0.17150.168623-1.68%0.1335-22.16%0.4569✗1.632.6M2022-07-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7762.724-1.87%2.612-5.91%0.8207✗2.043.1M2022-07-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.585.4688-1.99%4.5-19.35%0.1427✗0.801.8M2022-07-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024030.023541-2.04%0.02512+4.54%1.0883✗2.4238.7M2022-07-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08720.085422-2.04%0.0949+8.83%0.7394✗1.50165k2022-07-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.1711.9107-2.13%10.26-15.69%0.6576✗1.914.2M2022-07-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.5652.5089-2.19%1.8376-28.36%0.2598✗1.3568k2022-07-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.064630.06321-2.20%0.04441-31.29%0.1183✗1.1215k2022-07-06
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.15050.147175-2.21%0.0757-49.70%0.0816✗1.772,8332022-07-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7190.701787-2.39%0.5055-29.69%0.3751✗1.661.2M2022-07-06
TRXTRONTron0.0814640.079504-2.41%0.067504-17.14%0.1904✗0.841.1M2022-07-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.025920.025262-2.54%0.0204-21.30%0.0431✗0.61582k2022-07-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.052850.051506-2.54%0.04092-22.57%0.2086✗1.044,6802022-07-06
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8042.732-2.57%2.498-10.91%0.7981✗2.1015k2022-07-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.093.9788-2.72%3.19-22.00%0.1544✗0.891.2M2022-07-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05360.052069-2.86%0.0475-11.38%0.5015✗1.40524k2022-07-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.98141.9208-3.06%1.3926-29.72%0.2321✗1.312.7M2022-07-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.974.811-3.20%4.06-18.31%0.1885✗0.85845k2022-07-06
IMXImmutableEthereum1.041.0067-3.20%1.0139-2.51%0.7808✗1.833.0M2022-07-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.52771.4752-3.44%0.77816-49.06%0.3286✓0.744,7612022-07-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.58632.4949-3.53%2.1214-17.98%0.2713✗1.033.1M2022-07-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.537.2486-3.74%6.25-17.00%0.0714✗0.521.6M2022-07-06
FLOWFlownative2.52.4045-3.82%1.6-36.00%0.0152✓1.00718k2022-07-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.22493.1001-3.87%2.42-24.96%0.3857✗1.504.8M2022-07-06
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2441.1934-4.07%0.637-48.79%0.1673✓1.091.2M2022-07-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.214.0275-4.34%3.84-8.79%0.2701✗0.751.4M2022-07-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2810.268772-4.35%0.282+0.36%0.8429✗1.881.3M2022-07-06
GMTGMTEthereum1.0050.961197-4.36%0.965-3.98%0.9772✗2.302.4M2022-07-06
PROPropyEthereum1.071.0223-4.46%0.85-20.56%0.1534✗0.80187k2022-07-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5591.4888-4.50%1.261-19.11%0.4853✗1.545.0M2022-07-06
CBKCobakEthereum1.36421.2992-4.77%0.9408-31.04%0.1734✗1.176,7502022-07-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.32932.2174-4.80%1.7961-22.89%0.2056✗0.993.6M2022-07-06
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3511.2834-5.00%1.261-6.66%0.4049✗1.001.1M2022-07-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.422350.400927-5.07%0.29848-29.33%0.3725✗1.5818k2022-07-06
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9852.8261-5.32%2.291-23.25%0.5645✗1.83113k2022-07-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0172.8493-5.56%2.955-2.06%0.4182✗0.901.9M2022-07-06
STEEMSteemnative0.2840.267235-5.90%0.2151-24.26%0.4213✗1.51585k2022-07-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6124.2873-7.04%3.71-19.56%0.1298✗0.655.1M2022-07-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1622.9196-7.67%3.449+9.08%0.4640✗0.702.4M2022-07-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0530.962349-8.61%0.849-19.37%0.7812✗2.153.0M2022-07-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.843580.759194-10.00%0.44192-47.61%0.3549✗2.122.4M2022-07-06
LUNATerraTerra 20.000080590.000070792-12.16%0.0001122+39.22%1.8267✗3.232.6M2022-07-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.