8=======>

2022-04-16 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3267
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+31.52%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
95.1%
in alpha space · 98.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-26.12%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.86045.9248+1.10%4.961-15.35%0.0342✗0.47186k2022-05-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,617.6041,050.83+1.07%30,058.30-26.00%0.0217✗0.9626k2022-05-16
XMRMoneroMonero236.58233.4725-1.31%161.82-31.60%0.0833✓0.941.7M2022-05-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.5172.4823-1.38%1.7113-32.01%0.1379✓0.7711k2022-05-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.8714.6651-1.38%4.95-66.71%0.9622✓0.412.0M2022-05-16
QNTQuantEthereum113.05111.4872-1.38%70.49-37.65%0.1771✓0.934.0M2022-05-16
CBKCobakEthereum2.242.2025-1.68%1.178-47.41%0.3830✓0.8026k2022-05-16
STXStacksnative1.181.1596-1.73%0.56-52.54%0.4252✓1.00447k2022-05-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.42950.421476-1.87%0.254-40.86%0.0636✓1.46439k2022-05-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.096010.094159-1.93%0.05342-44.36%0.3044✓0.8735k2022-05-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.147960.145098-1.93%0.07067-52.24%0.4823✓0.7820k2022-05-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,387.6039,498.47-2.20%29,839.89-26.12%0.0223✗1.00565.5M2022-05-16
XYMSymbolnative0.11640.113658-2.36%0.068-41.58%0.3024✓0.70830k2022-05-16
XLMStellarStellar0.2053490.200152-2.53%0.136163-33.69%0.0841✓1.0018.8M2022-05-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.049810.048543-2.54%0.03061-38.55%0.1489✓1.03567k2022-05-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin114.34111.4176-2.56%67.13-41.29%0.1989✓1.0223.4M2022-05-16
GTGateEthereum6.516.3431-2.56%5.4363-16.49%0.0225✓0.584.4M2022-05-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13790.134357-2.57%0.0887-35.68%0.1051✓1.02224k2022-05-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.48730.474634-2.60%0.1988-59.20%0.8076✓0.216,4692022-05-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010560.010282-2.63%0.00527-50.09%0.3137✓1.173.8M2022-05-16
BTTCBTTC0.000001960.000001907-2.70%0.00000111-43.37%0.3248✓0.719.8M2022-05-16
KCSKuCoinnative20.31419.7076-2.99%13.821-31.96%0.0944✓0.865.4M2022-05-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.973540.944315-3.00%0.37002-61.99%0.5419✓1.311.4M2022-05-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.282.2092-3.11%1.41-38.16%0.1409✓1.02165k2022-05-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.67480.653225-3.20%0.3587-46.84%0.2871✓1.039.8M2022-05-16
AVTAventusEthereum2.422.3421-3.22%1.11-54.13%0.5897✓0.52491k2022-05-16
TRXTRONTron0.0618620.059809-3.32%0.069019+11.57%0.3419✗0.66254k2022-05-16
GITCOINGITCOIN6.155.9445-3.34%2.298-62.63%0.5018✓1.4818k2022-05-16
ETHEthereumEthereum3,060.352,956.32-3.40%2,020.58-33.98%0.0618✓1.05483.3M2022-05-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.825.619-3.45%2.54-56.36%0.5770✓0.721.4M2022-05-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.47234.3155-3.50%1.6704-62.65%0.7231✓0.753.9M2022-05-16
AAVEAaveEthereum172.4166.2873-3.55%83.79-51.40%0.2867✓1.3214.4M2022-05-16
API3Api3Ethereum4.524.357-3.61%1.805-60.07%0.6826✓0.663.5M2022-05-16
DIADIAEthereum0.90.867193-3.65%0.37994-57.78%0.6819✓0.47169k2022-05-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.1513.6279-3.69%7.41-47.63%0.2626✓1.1526.0M2022-05-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.50680.48776-3.76%0.2463-51.40%0.4415✓0.80490k2022-05-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.8525.8037-3.90%13.03-51.47%0.4099✓0.90636k2022-05-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.09611.0532-3.92%0.6732-38.58%0.0629✓1.2711.9M2022-05-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash342.9329.4055-3.94%197.37-42.44%0.2134✓0.998.6M2022-05-16
ORCAOrcaSolana1.91.8234-4.03%0.92-51.58%0.4689✓0.71214k2022-05-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1436440.137781-4.08%0.087881-38.82%0.1893✓0.865.0M2022-05-16
LSKLiskEthereum2.13492.0473-4.10%1.1933-44.11%0.2762✓0.8795k2022-05-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV87.2883.6909-4.11%53.59-38.60%0.2045✓0.803.5M2022-05-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0359630.03448-4.12%0.015316-57.41%0.4716✓1.124.5M2022-05-16
FTTFTXEthereum41.8240.0758-4.17%31.82-23.91%0.0797✗1.0314.2M2022-05-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.076990.073701-4.27%0.0461-40.12%0.2203✓0.8250k2022-05-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.9531.8687-4.32%1.249-36.05%0.0859✓1.053.7M2022-05-16
ZECZcashZcash143.85137.5587-4.37%102.47-28.77%0.0140✓1.029.8M2022-05-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.9724.7466-4.53%2.907-41.53%0.1963✓0.9779k2022-05-16
ADACardanoCardano0.95140.908263-4.53%0.5561-41.55%0.1859✓1.0168.9M2022-05-16
IMXImmutableEthereum1.8571.7727-4.54%0.872-53.04%0.3865✓1.077.8M2022-05-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.036010.03437-4.55%0.01902-47.18%0.3904✓0.67942k2022-05-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06820.06508-4.57%0.0317-53.52%0.3577✓1.19555k2022-05-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.437.0898-4.58%3.15-57.60%0.5825✓0.761.8M2022-05-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.9221.8642-4.61%14.58-36.39%0.0088✓1.31786k2022-05-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.6217.758-4.63%10.62-42.96%0.1926✓1.0619.0M2022-05-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2670.254635-4.63%0.1178-55.88%0.5090✓0.8638k2022-05-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.57745.3147-4.71%1.3834-75.20%1.1845✓0.534.7M2022-05-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24760.235803-4.76%0.149-39.82%0.2002✓0.861.7M2022-05-16
XEMNEMnative0.10110.096272-4.78%0.0583-42.33%0.2222✓0.9255k2022-05-16
UMAUMAEthereum6.3936.0872-4.78%2.988-53.26%0.2701✓1.462.8M2022-05-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,119.1318,182.74-4.90%9,743.68-49.04%0.2855✓1.125.5M2022-05-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.6512.9478-5.14%6.06-55.60%0.4151✓1.141.5M2022-05-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.9519.8693-5.16%9.27-55.75%0.3528✓1.35226k2022-05-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.875.5639-5.21%3.52-40.03%0.2379✓0.731.1M2022-05-16
XTZTezosTezos3.28163.1102-5.22%1.7722-46.00%0.2453✓1.051.0M2022-05-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.061.9516-5.26%0.81-60.68%0.4787✓1.321.6M2022-05-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.660.62477-5.34%0.19391-70.62%0.7173✓1.50510k2022-05-16
APEApeCoinEthereum11.66611.0412-5.36%8.069-30.83%0.3537✗2.2046.9M2022-05-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045350.042919-5.36%0.02818-37.86%0.1533✓0.8863k2022-05-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.555.2511-5.39%2.53-54.41%0.5027✓0.751.6M2022-05-16
ZENHorizenBase38.4336.3496-5.41%20.3-47.18%0.1752✓1.35461k2022-05-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05240.049561-5.42%0.0152-70.99%0.6646✓1.7139.8M2022-05-16
MANADecentralandEthereum2.15072.0342-5.42%1.1653-45.82%0.2120✓1.141.6M2022-05-16
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3431.2702-5.42%0.753-43.93%0.2318✓0.963.5M2022-05-16
HIVEHivenative0.91960.869485-5.45%0.4896-46.76%0.2481✓1.082.0M2022-05-16
SOLSolanaSolana102.0896.5108-5.46%53.69-47.40%0.2064✓1.26147.4M2022-05-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.13733.911-5.47%1.5881-61.62%0.6982✓0.674.9M2022-05-16
XVSVenusEthereum10.149.585-5.47%4.54-55.23%0.3980✓1.154.7M2022-05-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.313.509-5.53%10.65-25.52%0.1618✗1.322.6M2022-05-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche77.7873.4425-5.58%32.49-58.23%0.4314✓1.2798.8M2022-05-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8274.5567-5.60%1.733-64.10%0.8524✓0.384.5M2022-05-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11360.107173-5.66%0.0537-52.73%0.3707✓1.061.0M2022-05-16
FIDABonfidaSolana1.4931.4084-5.66%0.619-58.54%0.5240✓0.9963k2022-05-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.29640.279463-5.71%0.1733-41.53%0.1234✓1.17566k2022-05-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.7314.4603-5.72%1.9-59.84%0.5419✓1.03119k2022-05-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2352.1066-5.74%1.361-39.11%0.0278✓1.358.2M2022-05-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36220.341316-5.77%0.1736-52.07%0.3179✓1.1811.2M2022-05-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana15.1614.2828-5.79%4.56-69.92%0.9934✓0.493.3M2022-05-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.2345.8731-5.79%3.379-45.80%0.3519✓0.661.8M2022-05-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6843.4707-5.79%1.446-60.75%0.6752✓0.662.6M2022-05-16
PROPropyEthereum2.051.9284-5.93%1.13-44.88%0.2668✓0.88179k2022-05-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7670.721184-5.97%0.316-58.80%0.5553✓0.892.9M2022-05-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.7666.3533-6.10%2.66-60.69%0.5339✓1.11340k2022-05-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.018850.017679-6.21%0.01489-21.01%0.2735✗1.4750.0M2022-05-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011850.011111-6.23%0.00432-63.54%0.7537✓0.6335k2022-05-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.1235.7373-6.25%20.77-45.51%0.2098✓1.1016.0M2022-05-16
UNIUniswapEthereum9.679.0638-6.27%5.03-47.98%0.2665✓1.078.8M2022-05-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025620.000024007-6.29%0.00001196-53.32%0.3516✓1.142.8M2022-05-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0147320.013804-6.30%0.008554-41.94%0.2050✓0.9051k2022-05-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2481.1692-6.32%0.477-61.78%0.5847✓1.031.4M2022-05-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.022590.021145-6.40%0.01387-38.60%0.1786✓0.804.9M2022-05-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.33680.315206-6.41%0.139-58.73%0.3757✓1.469.4M2022-05-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum47.4144.3672-6.42%20.95-55.81%0.3633✓1.288.8M2022-05-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.39960.373915-6.43%0.1577-60.54%0.3113✓1.822.3M2022-05-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5081.4094-6.54%0.699-53.65%0.3008✓1.32555k2022-05-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.774270.7236-6.54%0.3914-49.45%0.2994✓1.04192k2022-05-16
SCSiacoinnative0.010670.009969-6.57%0.00517-51.55%0.2970✓1.19565k2022-05-16
LUNATerraTerra 28175.6263-6.63%0.0002-100.00%12.4540✓1.298.2M2022-05-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.1822.5582-6.71%11.07-54.22%0.3752✓1.1131.7M2022-05-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7613.5086-6.71%1.504-60.01%0.6180✓0.762.2M2022-05-16
NANOnanopayBase2.14111.9973-6.72%1.0859-49.28%0.2746✓1.11258k2022-05-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24290.22624-6.86%0.1449-40.35%0.0284✓1.38383k2022-05-16
STORJStorjEthereum1.09041.0154-6.87%0.53418-51.01%0.2956✓1.15143k2022-05-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.115.6893-6.89%2.26-63.01%0.4719✓1.49665k2022-05-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.20940.19489-6.93%0.0795-62.03%0.2095✓2.27623k2022-05-16
QTUMQtumQtum6.9446.4619-6.94%3.9461-43.17%0.1404✓1.17216k2022-05-16
COMPCompoundEthereum144.04134.027-6.95%68.67-52.33%0.3004✓1.2271k2022-05-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.22.0467-6.97%0.628-71.45%0.8815✓0.9994k2022-05-16
CELLCellframeEthereum1.0170.945629-7.02%0.34-66.57%0.5945✓1.42231k2022-05-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076080.07072-7.05%0.03791-50.17%0.3052✓1.05121k2022-05-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.56950.529247-7.07%0.3018-47.01%0.1805✓1.26938k2022-05-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.5716.326-7.08%8.1-53.90%0.3891✓1.0318.5M2022-05-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.24950.231709-7.13%0.1097-56.03%0.3492✓1.323.5M2022-05-16
DASHDashDash108.28100.4004-7.28%57.82-46.60%0.2405✓1.032.4M2022-05-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.74330.689159-7.28%0.4598-38.14%0.1193✓0.9418.3M2022-05-16
RADRadworksEthereum4.84.4466-7.36%1.93-59.79%0.5443✓0.96785k2022-05-16
BANDBandEthereum3.753.4728-7.39%1.602-57.28%0.3986✓1.24772k2022-05-16
XVGVergenative0.010820.010016-7.43%0.00486-55.08%0.3710✓1.161.7M2022-05-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5111.3965-7.58%0.916-39.38%0.1117✓1.021.3M2022-05-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.23470.216805-7.62%0.1137-51.56%0.2857✓1.193.2M2022-05-16
SUSHISushiEthereum3.333.0748-7.66%1.27-61.86%0.5049✓1.256.7M2022-05-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.01780.016435-7.67%0.00978-45.06%0.2157✓1.002.1M2022-05-16
KSMKusamaHydration174.1160.7218-7.68%73.47-57.80%0.4624✓1.061.2M2022-05-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.78444.4167-7.69%2.4311-49.19%0.3013✓0.98280k2022-05-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.59715.1587-7.83%2.5916-53.70%0.3230✓1.2112.7M2022-05-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2430.22389-7.86%0.068-72.02%0.9929✓0.66100k2022-05-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.20330.187262-7.89%0.0861-57.65%0.4327✓1.14262k2022-05-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.9080.836267-7.90%0.4618-49.14%0.1786✓1.37870k2022-05-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8570.788953-7.94%0.307-64.18%0.5322✓1.362.7M2022-05-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.2144.7985-7.97%2.723-47.78%0.1706✓1.317.5M2022-05-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.11570.106358-8.07%0.0702-39.33%0.0641✓1.16952k2022-05-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.023810.021887-8.08%0.00903-62.07%0.5382✓1.15374k2022-05-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.351.2406-8.10%0.61-54.81%0.3187✓1.293.5M2022-05-16
DODODODOEthereum0.410.376036-8.28%0.151-63.17%0.5591✓1.177.4M2022-05-16
XECeCashnative0.000092770.000084708-8.69%0.00004677-49.58%0.2911✓1.009.6M2022-05-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.35540.324351-8.74%0.1872-47.33%0.1545✓1.311.6M2022-05-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.273.8876-8.96%1.69-60.42%0.4064✓1.41735k2022-05-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7274980.662252-8.97%0.401596-44.80%0.1639✓1.113.2M2022-05-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.11.0011-8.99%0.35987-67.28%0.6700✓1.17798k2022-05-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004160.003781-9.10%0.00133-68.03%0.6654✓1.259.7M2022-05-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum5.1434.6741-9.12%1.976-61.58%0.3528✓1.682.6M2022-05-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5440.494398-9.12%0.213-60.85%0.5004✓1.135.9M2022-05-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.6519.6277-9.34%8.29-61.71%0.5262✓1.1110.7M2022-05-16
MOVRMoonriverBase62.251656.3651-9.46%23.5002-62.25%0.4301✓1.47223k2022-05-16
MINAMina Protocolnative2.432.1906-9.85%1.042-57.12%0.4146✓1.091.2M2022-05-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0278470.025008-10.19%0.012762-54.17%0.4634✓0.69191k2022-05-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.58e-78.59e-7-10.32%6.93e-7-27.62%0.3106✓-0.32596k2022-05-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.825080.735504-10.86%0.38073-53.86%0.3558✓1.00182k2022-05-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.18740.165191-11.85%0.0809-56.83%0.3475✓1.219.4M2022-05-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.2383.7286-12.02%1.289-69.58%0.6301✓1.43720k2022-05-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.75460.66223-12.24%0.2098-72.20%1.0095✓0.46796k2022-05-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.