8=======>

2022-03-19 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 160 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3658
160 of 160 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+28.55%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
53.1%
in alpha space · 65.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.38%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (160 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1236350.12563+1.61%0.140355+13.52%0.1388✓0.812.7M2022-04-18
ADACardanoCardano0.9030.91643+1.49%0.9367+3.73%0.0565✓1.0164.1M2022-04-18
XVGVergenative0.009670.009787+1.21%0.01043+7.86%0.1032✓1.151.6M2022-04-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV83.3383.936+0.73%84.67+1.61%0.0348✓0.761.0M2022-04-18
TRXTRONTron0.0619210.062328+0.66%0.0616-0.52%0.0102✓0.64259k2022-04-18
GTGateEthereum6.32146.3546+0.52%6.5754+4.02%0.0563✓0.643.3M2022-04-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.5620.658+0.48%20.41-0.73%0.0334✓1.32246k2022-04-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,673.7920,762.71+0.43%19,131.97-7.46%0.0448✗1.075.7M2022-04-18
AAVEAaveEthereum157.26157.899+0.41%169.22+7.61%0.1134✓1.287.4M2022-04-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.45420.455594+0.31%0.5505+21.20%0.2333✓1.28433k2022-04-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.0115.0503+0.27%14.06-6.33%0.0315✗1.0636.5M2022-04-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6540.655701+0.26%0.737+12.69%0.1481✓0.912.1M2022-04-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07610.076187+0.11%0.1174+54.27%0.4648✓0.94146k2022-04-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.654.6534+0.07%4.3-7.53%0.0306✗1.41361k2022-04-18
UNIUniswapEthereum9.749.7399-0.00%9.39-3.59%0.0015✓1.026.1M2022-04-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.76510.764746-0.05%0.7369-3.69%0.0025✓1.0016.8M2022-04-18
QNTQuantEthereum119.96119.7569-0.17%111.58-6.99%0.0390✓0.924.4M2022-04-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash328.01327.4536-0.17%340.48+3.80%0.0712✗0.946.6M2022-04-18
XYMSymbolnative0.1370.136654-0.25%0.1102-19.56%0.1882✓0.78296k2022-04-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.08860.088337-0.30%0.1161+31.04%0.3153✗1.22522k2022-04-18
SOLSolanaSolana92.3992.1156-0.30%102.39+10.82%0.1488✗1.2592.9M2022-04-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,232.2642,094.80-0.33%40,803.58-3.38%0.0033✗1.00688.5M2022-04-18
KCSKuCoinnative18.63118.5649-0.35%20.26+8.74%0.1183✗0.906.5M2022-04-18
HIVEHivenative0.93240.928688-0.40%0.8922-4.31%0.0015✓1.122.1M2022-04-18
XTZTezosTezos3.25773.2417-0.49%3.1743-2.56%0.0165✗1.091.1M2022-04-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,269.5042,049.15-0.52%40,850.20-3.36%0.0041✓0.9652k2022-04-18
DASHDashDash103.03102.4717-0.54%108.7+5.50%0.0937✗1.011.7M2022-04-18
SUSHISushiEthereum3.363.3415-0.55%3.29-2.08%0.0246✗1.176.0M2022-04-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.35580.35376-0.57%0.3495-1.77%0.0334✗1.32907k2022-04-18
XLMStellarStellar0.200540.199264-0.64%0.205114+2.28%0.0632✗0.9918.9M2022-04-18
PROPropyEthereum1.531.5196-0.68%1.86+21.57%0.2383✗1.05228k2022-04-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5477940.543168-0.84%0.712157+30.00%0.3069✗1.051.7M2022-04-18
SCSiacoinnative0.009810.009727-0.85%0.01042+6.22%0.1067✗1.10441k2022-04-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.0545.9971-0.94%5.9739-1.32%0.0103✗0.41181k2022-04-18
ETHEthereumEthereum2,952.162,924.19-0.95%3,056.19+3.52%0.0801✗1.04501.7M2022-04-18
NANOnanopayBase2.27022.2487-0.95%2.1427-5.62%0.0089✓1.14127k2022-04-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.2492.2258-1.03%2.242-0.31%0.0342✗0.7821k2022-04-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin116.82115.5756-1.07%111.24-4.78%0.0038✓1.0025.9M2022-04-18
FTTFTXEthereum44.9244.4213-1.11%43.37-3.45%0.0116✗1.0314.4M2022-04-18
KSMKusamaHydration146.84145.1681-1.14%167.23+13.89%0.1804✗1.13671k2022-04-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.42.3724-1.15%2.3-4.17%0.0026✓0.98146k2022-04-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.2845.2231-1.15%5.068-4.09%0.0025✓0.9578k2022-04-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1550.153061-1.25%0.1372-11.48%0.0737✓1.04215k2022-04-18
XVSVenusEthereum9.149.023-1.28%10.17+11.27%0.1554✗1.043.0M2022-04-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.09891.0838-1.38%1.06-3.54%0.0177✗1.16128k2022-04-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.75090.740285-1.41%0.6652-11.41%0.0730✓0.996.9M2022-04-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.29860.294183-1.48%0.2911-2.51%0.0286✗1.14183k2022-04-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6391.6122-1.63%2.975+81.51%0.6467✗0.992.1M2022-04-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.6217.3264-1.67%16.97-3.69%0.0138✓1.0014.5M2022-04-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.21150.207891-1.71%0.2419+14.37%0.1959✗1.291.8M2022-04-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.4316.146-1.73%14.27-13.15%0.0789✓1.302.3M2022-04-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0122330.012018-1.76%0.014417+17.85%0.2140✗0.9311k2022-04-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2862.2456-1.77%2.185-4.42%0.0186✗1.349.5M2022-04-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8630.846494-1.91%0.855-0.93%0.0557✗1.332.0M2022-04-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.051480.050492-1.92%0.04894-4.93%0.0063✓1.09459k2022-04-18
XEMNEMnative0.10110.099108-1.97%0.0979-3.17%0.0168✓0.8439k2022-04-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51820.507837-2.00%0.5015-3.22%0.0132✓0.75399k2022-04-18
BTTCBTTC0.000001870.000001831-2.08%0.00000191+2.14%0.0635✗0.6212.5M2022-04-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.4219.0158-2.08%18.16-6.49%0.0091✓1.0824.4M2022-04-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041490.040596-2.15%0.04446+7.16%0.1199✗0.8424k2022-04-18
XMRMoneroMonero197.76193.498-2.16%265.87+34.44%0.3500✗0.941.7M2022-04-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012390.01212-2.18%0.01149-7.26%0.0291✓0.719,3002022-04-18
MINAMina Protocolnative2.162.1126-2.19%2.39+10.65%0.1590✗1.04354k2022-04-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.110.107561-2.22%0.228+107.27%0.7696✗0.5334k2022-04-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.931.8866-2.25%1.99+3.11%0.0977✗1.291.2M2022-04-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8754.7633-2.29%6.129+25.72%0.2748✗0.66593k2022-04-18
DIADIAEthereum0.940.917896-2.35%0.87-7.45%0.0409✓0.37271k2022-04-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35410.34573-2.36%0.3385-4.41%0.0293✗1.4710.2M2022-04-18
STXStacksnative1.321.2887-2.37%1.21-8.33%0.0307✓0.94463k2022-04-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2851.2544-2.38%1.27-1.17%0.0464✗0.992.9M2022-04-18
IMXImmutableEthereum2.0842.0335-2.42%1.751-15.98%0.1155✓0.993.6M2022-04-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.6527.9498-2.44%24.08-15.95%0.1103✓1.1241.1M2022-04-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41090.400707-2.48%0.3623-11.83%0.0598✓1.198.8M2022-04-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.026950.026259-2.57%0.02162-19.78%0.1686✓0.752.7M2022-04-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2390.232839-2.58%0.265+10.88%0.1574✗0.8136k2022-04-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.333.242-2.64%3.523+5.80%0.1082✗0.73789k2022-04-18
RADRadworksEthereum4.694.5637-2.69%4.62-1.49%0.0425✗0.88521k2022-04-18
COMPCompoundEthereum118.78115.5502-2.72%139.03+17.05%0.2249✗1.1646k2022-04-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020610.020041-2.76%0.01729-16.11%0.1124✓1.021.3M2022-04-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.5881.541-2.96%1.316-17.13%0.1140✓1.273.5M2022-04-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.426.229-2.97%5.7-11.21%0.0643✓0.711.0M2022-04-18
ZENHorizenBase41.9940.7326-2.99%37.89-9.76%0.0273✓1.31261k2022-04-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7593.645-3.03%3.551-5.53%0.0041✓0.64650k2022-04-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.840220.814581-3.05%0.76358-9.12%0.0261✓1.12111k2022-04-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.48220.467429-3.06%0.4206-12.77%0.0712✓1.001.6M2022-04-18
LSKLiskEthereum2.17592.1073-3.15%2.1201-2.56%0.0336✗0.80123k2022-04-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.2615.0934-3.19%4.573-13.08%0.0758✓0.93102k2022-04-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25360.245467-3.21%0.2404-5.21%0.0076✓0.832.3M2022-04-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.096510.093377-3.25%0.09391-2.69%0.0359✗0.8829k2022-04-18
XECeCashnative0.000083210.00008049-3.27%0.00009056+8.83%0.1507✗0.954.7M2022-04-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.2117.6099-3.30%19.62+7.74%0.1415✗0.976.1M2022-04-18
ORCAOrcaSolana2.132.0596-3.30%1.87-12.21%0.0730✓0.69180k2022-04-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.7126.7932-3.31%23.4-15.55%0.0913✓1.28735k2022-04-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.9932.861-3.32%36.9+8.56%0.1503✗1.003.8M2022-04-18
MANADecentralandEthereum2.5082.4236-3.36%2.0866-16.80%0.1095✓1.171.4M2022-04-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.1734.9983-3.38%5.176+0.06%0.0791✗1.282.4M2022-04-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.36.0855-3.41%5.82-7.62%0.0189✓0.75822k2022-04-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.074650.072105-3.41%0.07482+0.23%0.0738✗1.0754k2022-04-18
DODODODOEthereum0.4350.419896-3.47%0.39-10.34%0.0358✓1.112.8M2022-04-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00360.003475-3.47%0.00404+12.22%0.1993✗1.415.2M2022-04-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.511.4574-3.48%1.441-4.57%0.0356✗1.36498k2022-04-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum52.0550.1979-3.56%46.22-11.20%0.0395✓1.254.8M2022-04-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.15651.1137-3.70%1.0855-6.14%0.0189✓1.292.1M2022-04-18
AVTAventusEthereum2.152.0702-3.71%2.51+16.74%0.2074✗0.43309k2022-04-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.852.7422-3.78%4.174+46.46%0.4598✗1.15514k2022-04-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034530.033222-3.79%0.03494+1.19%0.0753✗0.72895k2022-04-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.1712.6695-3.80%14.46+9.79%0.1466✗0.423.0M2022-04-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.88040.846598-3.84%1.2254+39.19%0.4120✗1.234.4M2022-04-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.21140.203273-3.84%0.2297+8.66%0.1620✗1.162.3M2022-04-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.073840.070932-3.94%0.0757+2.52%0.0925✗0.809,2172022-04-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.0627.9027-3.98%26.26-9.64%0.0293✓0.91821k2022-04-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.22850.219293-4.03%0.2359+3.24%0.1074✗1.00352k2022-04-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.436.17-4.04%5.21-18.97%0.1440✓0.731.6M2022-04-18
QTUMQtumQtum6.35446.0926-4.12%6.6996+5.43%0.1339✗1.1397k2022-04-18
MOVRMoonriverBase56.506254.1584-4.15%57.9777+2.60%0.1149✗1.36154k2022-04-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.70924.5129-4.17%4.7151+0.13%0.0764✗0.95204k2022-04-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.211.1587-4.24%1.06-12.40%0.0539✓1.02522k2022-04-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012140.011603-4.43%0.01101-9.31%0.0104✓1.223.1M2022-04-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.7793.6083-4.52%5.4193+43.41%0.4279✗0.613.8M2022-04-18
GITCOINGITCOIN7.0166.6973-4.54%5.982-14.74%0.0662✓1.3625k2022-04-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.026980.025741-4.59%0.02255-16.42%0.0953✓1.08281k2022-04-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024160.000022976-4.90%0.00002527+4.59%0.1355✗1.172.5M2022-04-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche89.5885.0385-5.07%77.73-13.23%0.0447✓1.31119.2M2022-04-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.154410.14622-5.30%0.14143-8.41%0.0036✓0.8614k2022-04-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0194850.018449-5.32%0.026332+35.14%0.3835✗0.81167k2022-04-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.6351.5474-5.36%1.496-8.50%0.0008✓1.00639k2022-04-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana12.4311.7583-5.40%14.72+18.42%0.2422✗0.511.5M2022-04-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.5930.56077-5.43%0.4825-18.63%0.1159✓1.005,0542022-04-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.24180.228511-5.50%0.2011-16.83%0.0934✓1.001.8M2022-04-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0421970.039854-5.55%0.03442-18.43%0.1137✓0.954.6M2022-04-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.9360.883919-5.56%0.9302-0.62%0.0974✗1.35100k2022-04-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.24930.234956-5.75%0.1952-21.70%0.1510✓1.00180k2022-04-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.7660.721481-5.81%0.6854-10.52%0.0392✓0.35651k2022-04-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.32863.1293-5.99%4.2984+29.14%0.3453✗0.814.1M2022-04-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.19493.9389-6.10%3.9596-5.61%0.0279✓0.664.1M2022-04-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.5236.119-6.19%6.541+0.28%0.1011✗1.00475k2022-04-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.44450.416411-6.32%0.3922-11.77%0.0061✓1.922.1M2022-04-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.097.5724-6.40%6.7-17.18%0.0981✓0.712.1M2022-04-18
FIDABonfidaSolana1.7181.6077-6.42%1.46-15.02%0.0686✓0.8150k2022-04-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.036.5766-6.45%5.97-15.08%0.0493✓1.38447k2022-04-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.7132.5346-6.57%2.075-23.52%0.1657✓1.0052k2022-04-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13180.123063-6.63%0.1867+41.65%0.4575✗1.182.1M2022-04-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0720.067052-6.87%0.0672-6.67%0.0431✓1.19352k2022-04-18
BANDBandEthereum3.813.5458-6.93%3.783-0.71%0.1030✗1.11631k2022-04-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.5121.4063-6.99%1.213-19.78%0.1133✓1.001.3M2022-04-18
UMAUMAEthereum7.6897.1464-7.06%6.318-17.83%0.0786✓1.306.0M2022-04-18
API3Api3Ethereum5.024.6451-7.47%4.285-14.64%0.0590✓0.637.4M2022-04-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.660.610659-7.48%0.64-3.03%0.0987✗1.50511k2022-04-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0660.061029-7.53%0.0502-23.94%0.1359✓1.7343.9M2022-04-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.20052.0207-8.17%2.545+15.66%0.2555✗0.7213k2022-04-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum22.5120.6683-8.18%13.42-40.38%0.3920✓1.16397k2022-04-18
LUNATerraTerra 292.184.5039-8.25%90.98-1.22%0.1216✗1.399.1M2022-04-18
ZECZcashZcash179.68164.3532-8.53%156.2-13.07%0.0174✓0.9712.5M2022-04-18
CELLCellframeEthereum1.50321.3713-8.78%0.9939-33.88%0.2728✓1.43236k2022-04-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.8955.3528-9.20%4.599-21.98%0.1352✓0.484.5M2022-04-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.036020.032391-10.07%0.01821-49.44%0.5188✓1.6613.0M2022-04-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6980.625304-10.41%0.676-3.15%0.1190✗1.192.0M2022-04-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum7.446.4447-13.38%4.722-36.53%0.2766✓1.00417k2022-04-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011960.000001024-14.35%0.000001187-0.76%0.1319✓-0.451.7M2022-04-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain9.13687.5813-17.03%5.3562-41.38%0.3130✓1.0049.7M2022-04-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.