2022-02-27 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1860

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+4.44%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

54.3%

in alpha space · 52.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+25.82%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	5.53e-7	5.10e-7	-7.84%	0.000001089	+96.78%	0.5289	✗	1.00	1.3M	2022-03-29
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.541	1.4254	-7.50%	1.6089	+4.41%	0.2097	✓	1.44	262k	2022-03-29
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4116	0.381637	-7.28%	0.594	+44.31%	0.0347	✓	2.08	2.1M	2022-03-29
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.115	0.106922	-7.02%	0.2131	+85.30%	0.3792	✗	1.35	2.9M	2022-03-29
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.6	6.1771	-6.41%	5.701	-13.62%	0.1633	✓	0.36	2.2M	2022-03-29
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.224	3.0258	-6.15%	6.443	+99.84%	0.5007	✗	1.11	687k	2022-03-29
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.046151	0.043565	-5.60%	0.045104	-2.27%	0.2400	✓	1.20	8.1M	2022-03-29
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.7935	0.750375	-5.43%	1.1993	+51.14%	0.3434	✗	0.55	1.3M	2022-03-29
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.022401	0.021214	-5.30%	0.036781	+64.19%	0.3155	✗	1.02	114k	2022-03-29
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0605	0.057514	-4.94%	0.0802	+32.56%	0.1184	✓	1.96	76.7M	2022-03-29
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.179	1.1211	-4.91%	1.727	+46.48%	0.1518	✗	1.22	1.2M	2022-03-29
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	72.51	69.0264	-4.80%	109.12	+50.49%	0.1360	✗	1.40	4.5M	2022-03-29
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.32	6.026	-4.65%	9.1	+43.99%	0.2265	✗	0.81	435k	2022-03-29
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002342	0.000022439	-4.19%	0.00002734	+16.74%	0.1120	✓	1.35	3.8M	2022-03-29
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.681	1.6119	-4.11%	1.941	+15.47%	0.0423	✓	0.99	76k	2022-03-29
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0698	0.066945	-4.09%	0.0861	+23.35%	0.0749	✓	1.42	1.0M	2022-03-29
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.81	1.7424	-3.73%	1.6	-11.60%	0.4545	✓	1.61	502k	2022-03-29
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.5576	2.4623	-3.72%	2.7	+5.57%	0.2060	✓	1.30	3.1M	2022-03-29
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1719	1.129	-3.66%	1.2858	+9.72%	0.2060	✓	1.46	2.6M	2022-03-29
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.23	2.1497	-3.60%	2.7431	+23.01%	0.0470	✗	0.86	26k	2022-03-29
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.38	19.6543	-3.56%	26.33	+29.20%	0.0023	✓	1.26	8.6M	2022-03-29
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0267	0.02575	-3.56%	0.03123	+16.97%	0.1441	✓	1.47	479k	2022-03-29
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.67	0.646224	-3.55%	0.78	+16.42%	0.2507	✓	1.91	995k	2022-03-29
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	75.09	72.5276	-3.41%	92.79	+23.57%	0.1095	✓	1.55	113.8M	2022-03-29
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.35	9.0429	-3.28%	16.06	+71.76%	0.4170	✗	0.69	917k	2022-03-29
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.14	0.135654	-3.10%	0.141	+0.71%	0.1754	✓	0.93	44k	2022-03-29
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.64	14.1916	-3.06%	13.95	-4.71%	0.1831	✓	0.72	2.0M	2022-03-29
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	29.13	28.2641	-2.97%	32.72	+12.32%	0.0926	✓	1.04	1.5M	2022-03-29
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.06	3.94	-2.95%	7.21	+77.59%	0.4093	✗	0.85	414k	2022-03-29
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.859	2.7822	-2.69%	4.592	+60.62%	0.2860	✗	0.94	3.3M	2022-03-29
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.897	1.8478	-2.59%	3.4561	+82.19%	0.4682	✗	0.69	2.6M	2022-03-29
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.99	0.96583	-2.44%	1.05	+6.06%	0.0577	✗	0.11	286k	2022-03-29
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007235	0.000070594	-2.43%	0.00009436	+30.42%	0.0152	✓	1.20	4.5M	2022-03-29
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01839	0.017945	-2.42%	0.0204	+10.93%	0.1231	✓	1.09	2.2M	2022-03-29
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2326	0.227019	-2.40%	0.2784	+19.69%	0.0270	✓	1.01	1.9M	2022-03-29
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01158	0.011305	-2.38%	0.01373	+18.57%	0.0096	✓	0.80	13k	2022-03-29
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.384	1.3533	-2.21%	1.794	+29.62%	0.0013	✓	1.22	939k	2022-03-29
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.06	5.9291	-2.16%	7.08	+16.83%	0.0703	✗	0.47	1.1M	2022-03-29
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	61.5448	60.2864	-2.04%	71.4386	+16.08%	0.1807	✓	1.53	211k	2022-03-29
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000184	0.000001803	-1.99%	0.0000021	+14.13%	0.0086	✓	0.70	14.0M	2022-03-29
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	5.93	5.8186	-1.88%	7.9	+33.22%	0.0383	✓	1.50	1.1M	2022-03-29
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.64	4.561	-1.70%	7.67	+65.30%	0.3420	✗	0.77	483k	2022-03-29
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.65	5.5557	-1.67%	6.82	+20.71%	0.0133	✓	0.83	430k	2022-03-29
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.8667	5.7802	-1.47%	8.3537	+42.39%	0.0360	✗	1.45	184k	2022-03-29
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.081	1.0655	-1.44%	1.383	+27.94%	0.0460	✓	1.34	2.8M	2022-03-29
XEM	NEM	native	0.1	0.098578	-1.42%	0.1222	+22.20%	0.0265	✓	1.05	38k	2022-03-29
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.31	1.2915	-1.41%	1.49	+13.74%	0.1390	✓	1.23	934k	2022-03-29
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02689	0.026536	-1.32%	0.02727	+1.41%	0.1570	✓	0.80	4.3M	2022-03-29
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0644	0.06358	-1.27%	0.08818	+36.93%	0.0767	✗	1.09	12k	2022-03-29
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15123	0.149391	-1.22%	0.17305	+14.43%	0.1618	✓	1.34	27k	2022-03-29
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03926	0.038793	-1.19%	0.0491	+25.06%	0.0154	✓	1.09	29k	2022-03-29
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00965	0.009535	-1.19%	0.01376	+42.59%	0.0280	✗	1.48	2.7M	2022-03-29
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.14	2.1156	-1.14%	2.74	+28.04%	0.0290	✗	1.00	529k	2022-03-29
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.8286	3.7875	-1.07%	5.6566	+47.75%	0.1209	✗	1.22	269k	2022-03-29
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.8	26.5163	-1.06%	30.24	+12.84%	0.1351	✓	1.16	50.3M	2022-03-29
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.647	2.621	-0.98%	4.083	+54.25%	0.2517	✗	0.83	213k	2022-03-29
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.416	0.412378	-0.87%	0.513	+23.32%	0.0976	✓	1.38	4.2M	2022-03-29
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.379	2.3585	-0.86%	2.707	+13.79%	0.1043	✓	1.05	20k	2022-03-29
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.8883	2.8659	-0.78%	4.3834	+51.76%	0.2035	✗	0.96	2.3M	2022-03-29
XYM	Symbol	native	0.141	0.139961	-0.74%	0.1493	+5.89%	0.1295	✓	0.85	299k	2022-03-29
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5151	0.511304	-0.74%	0.5773	+12.08%	0.1032	✓	0.98	643k	2022-03-29
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03182	0.031626	-0.61%	0.04201	+32.02%	0.0809	✗	0.88	1.3M	2022-03-29
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.951	5.9155	-0.60%	5.9997	+0.82%	0.0759	✓	0.39	433k	2022-03-29
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,717.08	37,536.01	-0.48%	47,454.19	+25.82%	0.0048	✓	1.00	603.6M	2022-03-29
XMR	Monero	Monero	150.62	150.013	-0.40%	221.94	+47.35%	0.1602	✗	1.01	960k	2022-03-29
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.217	0.216197	-0.37%	0.284	+30.88%	0.0678	✗	0.89	59k	2022-03-29
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.377	1.3727	-0.32%	1.75	+27.09%	0.1125	✓	1.55	897k	2022-03-29
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.51	41.3852	-0.30%	51.11	+23.13%	0.0530	✓	1.15	19.7M	2022-03-29
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	27.37	27.2902	-0.29%	49.3	+80.12%	0.3296	✗	1.14	5.1M	2022-03-29
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.452	3.4443	-0.22%	4.536	+31.40%	0.0362	✓	1.36	1.9M	2022-03-29
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.43	1.427	-0.21%	1.952	+36.50%	0.0290	✗	1.24	1.8M	2022-03-29
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	1.97	1.9671	-0.15%	2.62	+32.99%	0.0011	✓	1.24	343k	2022-03-29
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.035	19.0178	-0.09%	21.714	+14.07%	0.1149	✓	1.08	9.3M	2022-03-29
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.41	2.4082	-0.07%	2.31	-4.15%	0.2713	✓	1.00	492k	2022-03-29
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.002	3.0001	-0.06%	4.125	+37.41%	0.1031	✗	0.94	477k	2022-03-29
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	47.98	47.9504	-0.06%	64.18	+33.76%	0.0187	✓	1.35	6.5M	2022-03-29
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,618.01	2,617.29	-0.03%	3,401.71	+29.93%	0.0130	✗	1.08	525.4M	2022-03-29
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1447	0.144732	+0.02%	0.1676	+15.83%	0.1011	✗	1.08	420k	2022-03-29
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00404	0.004041	+0.03%	0.0043	+6.44%	0.3603	✗	1.84	11.3M	2022-03-29
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.358	2.3589	+0.04%	3.305	+40.16%	0.0135	✓	1.41	584k	2022-03-29
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7097	0.710214	+0.07%	0.8635	+21.67%	0.0655	✗	1.14	9.6M	2022-03-29
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.3355	6.3405	+0.08%	6.7628	+6.74%	0.1132	✗	0.77	2.8M	2022-03-29
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.1219	3.127	+0.16%	3.8004	+21.73%	0.1185	✗	1.37	2.1M	2022-03-29
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08363	0.083795	+0.20%	0.1123	+34.28%	0.0327	✓	1.13	45k	2022-03-29
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	17.5	17.5451	+0.26%	22.44	+28.23%	0.0625	✗	1.34	26.4M	2022-03-29
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.812	0.814357	+0.29%	1.065	+31.16%	0.0594	✗	1.43	2.1M	2022-03-29
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3363	0.33729	+0.29%	0.4882	+45.17%	0.0317	✓	1.47	8.3M	2022-03-29
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	102.66	102.9834	+0.31%	196.15	+91.07%	0.3789	✓	1.16	7.4M	2022-03-29
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5293	1.5346	+0.34%	2.6166	+71.09%	0.2960	✓	1.03	69k	2022-03-29
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.521555	0.523484	+0.37%	0.729966	+39.96%	0.0520	✓	1.22	2.9M	2022-03-29
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.058112	0.058364	+0.43%	0.069428	+19.47%	0.0176	✗	0.83	270k	2022-03-29
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.24	17.3241	+0.49%	22.13	+28.36%	0.0253	✗	1.18	21.6M	2022-03-29
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.28	0.281548	+0.55%	0.598	+113.57%	0.4277	✓	1.42	2.1M	2022-03-29
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.648	0.651941	+0.61%	0.77	+18.83%	0.1049	✗	1.18	2.4M	2022-03-29
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.197	1.2043	+0.61%	1.69	+41.19%	0.0238	✓	1.37	2.0M	2022-03-29
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.66823	0.672348	+0.62%	0.89389	+33.77%	0.0615	✗	1.51	211k	2022-03-29
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.741	3.7653	+0.65%	5.717	+52.82%	0.1115	✓	1.33	2.3M	2022-03-29
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.185	2.1993	+0.65%	2.81	+28.60%	0.1173	✗	1.58	13.2M	2022-03-29
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.011286	0.011365	+0.70%	0.014685	+30.12%	0.0015	✓	1.12	25k	2022-03-29
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	304.19	306.3619	+0.71%	373.24	+22.70%	0.0365	✗	1.02	7.2M	2022-03-29
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06333	0.063795	+0.73%	0.08728	+37.82%	0.0154	✓	1.30	64k	2022-03-29
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.795	4.8319	+0.77%	7.914	+65.05%	0.2639	✓	1.00	1.8M	2022-03-29
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.96	24.1552	+0.81%	29.4	+22.70%	0.1532	✗	1.52	1.6M	2022-03-29
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8849	0.892179	+0.82%	1.1796	+33.30%	0.0113	✗	1.27	1.9M	2022-03-29
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	108.08	108.9712	+0.82%	147.68	+36.64%	0.0085	✓	1.29	64k	2022-03-29
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.7983	0.804936	+0.83%	0.9232	+15.65%	0.1486	✗	1.24	21.7M	2022-03-29
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	103.05	103.9183	+0.84%	130.08	+26.23%	0.0522	✗	1.21	28.8M	2022-03-29
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.17	2.1885	+0.85%	2.76	+27.19%	0.0041	✓	1.03	254k	2022-03-29
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00867	0.008745	+0.86%	0.01179	+35.99%	0.0114	✗	1.35	546k	2022-03-29
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.4	8.484	+1.00%	11.08	+31.90%	0.0330	✗	1.31	3.2M	2022-03-29
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,686.70	38,080.01	+1.04%	47,265.50	+25.42%	0.0067	✓	0.97	42k	2022-03-29
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	4.682	4.7333	+1.10%	6.172	+31.82%	0.0709	✓	0.85	65k	2022-03-29
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2684	0.271423	+1.13%	0.3543	+32.00%	0.0676	✗	1.45	398k	2022-03-29
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.036	5.093	+1.13%	5.768	+14.54%	0.1132	✗	1.03	189k	2022-03-29
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.1985	0.200769	+1.14%	0.2879	+45.04%	0.0061	✓	1.54	2.6M	2022-03-29
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04436	0.04487	+1.15%	0.05599	+26.22%	0.0784	✗	1.31	703k	2022-03-29
STX	Stacks	native	1.12	1.1334	+1.20%	1.45	+29.46%	0.0526	✗	1.30	610k	2022-03-29
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.12	3.1575	+1.20%	4.22	+35.26%	0.0144	✗	1.33	6.8M	2022-03-29
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.181008	0.183191	+1.21%	0.233124	+28.79%	0.0232	✗	1.15	19.2M	2022-03-29
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1674	0.169433	+1.21%	0.2943	+75.81%	0.2216	✓	1.44	2.7M	2022-03-29
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		5.854	5.9271	+1.25%	7.838	+33.89%	0.0567	✗	1.46	27k	2022-03-29
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8569	0.867874	+1.28%	1.1909	+38.98%	0.0474	✓	1.17	94.8M	2022-03-29
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7266	0.735961	+1.29%	1.2915	+77.75%	0.2059	✓	1.55	270k	2022-03-29
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.3	4.3648	+1.51%	5.16	+20.00%	0.0644	✗	1.01	696k	2022-03-29
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	13.22	13.4235	+1.54%	19.21	+45.31%	0.0045	✓	1.54	2.5M	2022-03-29
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	19.91	20.2288	+1.60%	24.45	+22.80%	0.1857	✗	1.63	325k	2022-03-29
DASH	Dash	Dash	88.3	89.8051	+1.70%	130.31	+47.58%	0.1032	✓	1.17	1.5M	2022-03-29
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.123115	0.125318	+1.79%	0.144391	+17.28%	0.0908	✗	1.01	3.7M	2022-03-29
ZEN	Horizen	Base	32.64	33.2305	+1.81%	49.11	+50.46%	0.0465	✓	1.50	280k	2022-03-29
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.6	1.6291	+1.82%	2.3	+43.75%	0.0340	✓	1.35	1.9M	2022-03-29
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	19,385.43	19,756.84	+1.92%	23,320.96	+20.30%	0.0691	✗	1.02	5.6M	2022-03-29
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		81.71	83.3101	+1.96%	97.8	+19.69%	0.0444	✗	0.89	908k	2022-03-29
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3419	0.348602	+1.96%	0.4224	+23.54%	0.1548	✗	1.51	1.3M	2022-03-29
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3174	0.323637	+1.97%	0.4589	+44.58%	0.0530	✗	1.75	14.7M	2022-03-29
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.412	1.4451	+2.34%	2.696	+90.93%	0.3712	✓	1.10	3.4M	2022-03-29
XVG	Verge	native	0.00923	0.00946	+2.49%	0.01201	+30.12%	0.0645	✗	1.32	1.2M	2022-03-29
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.77	10.0347	+2.71%	11.25	+15.15%	0.1863	✗	1.31	10.8M	2022-03-29
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	131.61	135.4753	+2.94%	222.76	+69.26%	0.1601	✓	1.47	6.5M	2022-03-29
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.4859	0.50034	+2.97%	1.1997	+146.90%	0.5639	✓	1.35	2.2M	2022-03-29
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0773	0.079664	+3.06%	0.1238	+60.16%	0.0728	✓	1.60	633k	2022-03-29
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.21	4.3409	+3.11%	5.74	+36.34%	0.0911	✗	1.61	432k	2022-03-29
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.9359	0.965656	+3.18%	1.351	+44.35%	0.0048	✓	1.44	165k	2022-03-29
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	105.8	109.2132	+3.23%	144.61	+36.68%	0.0391	✓	1.05	6.3M	2022-03-29
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	117.66	121.5721	+3.32%	184.23	+56.58%	0.1397	✓	1.20	930k	2022-03-29
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12	12.3999	+3.33%	15.96	+33.00%	0.0071	✓	1.07	331k	2022-03-29
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4426	0.457366	+3.34%	0.6938	+56.76%	0.0827	✓	1.45	521k	2022-03-29
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	13.65	14.1203	+3.45%	16.99	+24.47%	0.1056	✗	1.27	52.3M	2022-03-29
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01609	0.016667	+3.59%	0.03452	+114.54%	0.3453	✓	1.67	12.7M	2022-03-29
SOL	Solana	Solana	85.7	88.7844	+3.60%	111.64	+30.27%	0.0689	✗	1.30	127.4M	2022-03-29
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0675	0.070218	+4.03%	0.0857	+26.96%	0.0461	✗	1.07	163k	2022-03-29
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.7425	1.814	+4.10%	2.499	+43.42%	0.0303	✓	1.26	181k	2022-03-29

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.