2022-02-26 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2069

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+13.93%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

55.6%

in alpha space · 52.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+20.46%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6235	1.4963	-7.84%	1.507	-7.18%	0.2608	✓	1.44	251k	2022-03-28
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	6.98e-7	6.43e-7	-7.82%	0.000001135	+62.57%	0.3813	✗	1.00	1.3M	2022-03-28
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4281	0.398886	-6.82%	0.5048	+17.92%	0.1574	✓	2.11	2.1M	2022-03-28
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.528	6.1095	-6.41%	5.55	-14.98%	0.1651	✓	0.37	2.1M	2022-03-28
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	78.15	73.4215	-6.05%	97.24	+24.43%	0.0228	✓	1.39	4.5M	2022-03-28
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.794	0.74658	-5.97%	0.9441	+18.90%	0.1278	✗	0.57	1.4M	2022-03-28
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1212	0.114246	-5.74%	0.1721	+42.00%	0.1584	✗	1.35	2.9M	2022-03-28
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.048351	0.045676	-5.53%	0.043	-11.07%	0.2838	✓	1.20	8.1M	2022-03-28
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0712	0.067846	-4.71%	0.0805	+13.06%	0.1862	✓	1.92	76.7M	2022-03-28
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.141	0.134642	-4.51%	0.125	-11.35%	0.2519	✓	0.95	47k	2022-03-28
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.86	1.7779	-4.41%	1.64	-11.83%	0.3846	✓	1.63	539k	2022-03-28
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.02263	0.021652	-4.32%	0.039005	+72.36%	0.3916	✗	1.06	114k	2022-03-28
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.08	1.0346	-4.21%	1.05	-2.78%	0.0115	✓	0.02	286k	2022-03-28
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.7	0.674043	-3.71%	0.75	+7.14%	0.2513	✓	1.92	995k	2022-03-28
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.139	1.0968	-3.70%	1.751	+53.73%	0.2349	✗	1.25	1.1M	2022-03-28
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.073	0.070363	-3.61%	0.0794	+8.77%	0.1446	✓	1.43	1.0M	2022-03-28
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2108	1.1672	-3.60%	1.2726	+5.10%	0.1856	✓	1.46	2.6M	2022-03-28
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.808	1.7448	-3.50%	1.98	+9.51%	0.0504	✓	0.95	76k	2022-03-28
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6813	2.5886	-3.46%	2.6767	-0.17%	0.2066	✓	1.29	3.1M	2022-03-28
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0274	0.026466	-3.41%	0.03317	+21.06%	0.0506	✓	1.48	479k	2022-03-28
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.89	28.8849	-3.36%	29.36	-1.77%	0.1952	✓	1.14	52.8M	2022-03-28
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.79	79.1311	-3.25%	89.58	+9.52%	0.1644	✓	1.55	110.8M	2022-03-28
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002435	0.000023599	-3.09%	0.00002648	+8.75%	0.1366	✓	1.35	3.8M	2022-03-28
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.18	29.2604	-3.05%	30.82	+2.12%	0.1421	✓	1.04	1.6M	2022-03-28
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.437	1.3958	-2.87%	1.725	+20.04%	0.0171	✓	1.23	940k	2022-03-28
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01217	0.011823	-2.85%	0.01375	+12.98%	0.0019	✓	0.80	14k	2022-03-28
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.33	9.074	-2.74%	14.47	+55.09%	0.3374	✗	0.69	853k	2022-03-28
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.7	14.3266	-2.54%	13.55	-7.82%	0.1919	✓	0.73	1.9M	2022-03-28
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5505	0.537087	-2.44%	0.5753	+4.50%	0.1117	✓	0.97	684k	2022-03-28
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7384	2.6731	-2.38%	4.1594	+51.89%	0.2633	✗	0.96	2.9M	2022-03-28
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03453	0.033733	-2.31%	0.04219	+22.18%	0.0611	✗	0.87	1.4M	2022-03-28
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.2359	2.1859	-2.24%	2.734	+22.28%	0.0607	✗	0.88	26k	2022-03-28
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	64.8155	63.3885	-2.20%	66.3939	+2.44%	0.2394	✓	1.54	223k	2022-03-28
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8532	1.8124	-2.20%	3.61	+94.80%	0.5581	✗	0.70	2.6M	2022-03-28
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.06	18.6918	-1.93%	25.29	+32.69%	0.0602	✗	1.30	8.6M	2022-03-28
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.058	3.9807	-1.90%	6.372	+57.02%	0.3102	✗	0.86	395k	2022-03-28
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.68	4.5909	-1.90%	7	+49.57%	0.2763	✗	0.78	459k	2022-03-28
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04014	0.039393	-1.86%	0.04895	+21.95%	0.0127	✓	1.10	30k	2022-03-28
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.226	0.22192	-1.81%	0.2732	+20.88%	0.0154	✓	1.03	1.9M	2022-03-28
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007538	0.00007402	-1.80%	0.00009365	+24.24%	0.0122	✓	1.20	4.5M	2022-03-28
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000191	0.000001876	-1.77%	0.00000209	+9.42%	0.0208	✓	0.69	14.4M	2022-03-28
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.35	2.3095	-1.72%	2.76	+17.45%	0.0080	✓	1.00	584k	2022-03-28
XEM	NEM	native	0.101	0.099296	-1.69%	0.1127	+11.58%	0.0717	✓	1.07	38k	2022-03-28
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.6	3.5398	-1.67%	4.31	+19.72%	0.0554	✓	1.36	1.9M	2022-03-28
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02842	0.027947	-1.66%	0.02704	-4.86%	0.1805	✓	0.79	4.3M	2022-03-28
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.0234	3.9573	-1.64%	5.3424	+32.78%	0.0710	✗	1.23	284k	2022-03-28
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1323	6.0316	-1.64%	8.1779	+33.36%	0.0337	✗	1.45	184k	2022-03-28
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.7	5.6074	-1.63%	6.42	+12.63%	0.0221	✓	0.85	425k	2022-03-28
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.27	6.1852	-1.35%	7.37	+17.54%	0.1025	✓	1.49	1.2M	2022-03-28
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01882	0.018566	-1.35%	0.02025	+7.60%	0.1180	✓	1.10	2.2M	2022-03-28
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.305	2.2747	-1.32%	6.28	+172.45%	0.7828	✗	1.25	687k	2022-03-28
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.148	1.1331	-1.30%	1.358	+18.29%	0.0669	✓	1.33	2.8M	2022-03-28
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.285	2.2565	-1.25%	2.688	+17.64%	0.0273	✓	1.09	20k	2022-03-28
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.27	6.202	-1.09%	7	+11.64%	0.0345	✗	0.47	1.1M	2022-03-28
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00997	0.009864	-1.06%	0.01399	+40.32%	0.0699	✗	1.50	2.7M	2022-03-28
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15626	0.154621	-1.05%	0.16823	+7.66%	0.1683	✓	1.36	28k	2022-03-28
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.441	1.4262	-1.03%	1.71	+18.67%	0.1058	✓	1.54	928k	2022-03-28
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1441	0.142809	-0.90%	0.1499	+4.02%	0.1092	✓	0.85	301k	2022-03-28
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.24	1.2293	-0.86%	1.39	+12.10%	0.1151	✓	1.28	885k	2022-03-28
DASH	Dash	Dash	93.68	92.9377	-0.79%	127.73	+36.35%	0.1005	✗	1.17	1.5M	2022-03-28
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.3	2.2826	-0.76%	2.72	+18.26%	0.0152	✓	1.02	263k	2022-03-28
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.895	0.888619	-0.71%	1.004	+12.18%	0.1411	✓	1.41	2.1M	2022-03-28
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.29	42.9956	-0.68%	51.74	+19.52%	0.0287	✓	1.15	20.8M	2022-03-28
XMR	Monero	Monero	157.91	156.8937	-0.64%	214.66	+35.94%	0.1271	✗	1.00	960k	2022-03-28
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0674	0.066983	-0.62%	0.08807	+30.67%	0.0708	✗	1.09	13k	2022-03-28
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.232	0.230718	-0.55%	0.268	+15.52%	0.0140	✓	0.88	57k	2022-03-28
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	39,137.80	38,938.20	-0.51%	47,144.92	+20.46%	0.0051	✗	1.00	630.5M	2022-03-28
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1506	0.14994	-0.44%	0.1695	+12.55%	0.0788	✓	1.08	420k	2022-03-28
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.38	5.3578	-0.41%	8.52	+58.36%	0.3002	✗	0.88	398k	2022-03-28
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01194	0.011893	-0.39%	0.014818	+24.10%	0.0112	✗	1.12	33k	2022-03-28
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.708	19.6363	-0.36%	19.506	-1.02%	0.2089	✓	1.09	9.5M	2022-03-28
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.438	0.436452	-0.35%	0.484	+10.50%	0.1540	✓	1.38	4.2M	2022-03-28
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7459	0.743363	-0.34%	0.8484	+13.74%	0.0800	✓	1.14	9.4M	2022-03-28
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.56	2.5527	-0.29%	2.29	-10.55%	0.2947	✓	1.00	518k	2022-03-28
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.0612	6.0455	-0.26%	6.1415	+1.32%	0.0555	✓	0.38	433k	2022-03-28
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	107.8	107.5302	-0.25%	192.22	+78.31%	0.3654	✗	1.16	7.4M	2022-03-28
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.04	17.9972	-0.24%	21.97	+21.78%	0.0528	✓	1.36	26.4M	2022-03-28
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.05	2.0456	-0.22%	2.59	+26.34%	0.0039	✗	1.25	343k	2022-03-28
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.7102	2.7057	-0.17%	4.2216	+55.77%	0.2580	✗	1.00	2.2M	2022-03-28
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,780.71	2,776.43	-0.15%	3,334.47	+19.91%	0.0181	✓	1.08	540.3M	2022-03-28
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	113.35	113.1821	-0.15%	122.91	+8.43%	0.1574	✓	1.29	58k	2022-03-28
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.73	17.727	-0.02%	21.79	+22.90%	0.0138	✓	1.18	22.1M	2022-03-28
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8598	0.859795	-0.00%	0.9075	+5.55%	0.1765	✓	1.24	22.5M	2022-03-28
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4106	6.4115	+0.01%	6.7648	+5.53%	0.0926	✗	0.79	2.9M	2022-03-28
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.4172	3.4181	+0.03%	3.7138	+8.68%	0.1733	✗	1.38	2.1M	2022-03-28
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08727	0.087328	+0.07%	0.11222	+28.59%	0.0395	✓	1.13	46k	2022-03-28
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	50.44	50.5229	+0.16%	66.44	+31.72%	0.0220	✓	1.35	6.8M	2022-03-28
STX	Stacks	native	1.19	1.1924	+0.20%	1.41	+18.49%	0.0746	✗	1.30	646k	2022-03-28
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059459	0.059632	+0.29%	0.069168	+16.33%	0.0075	✗	0.84	270k	2022-03-28
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.524	1.5285	+0.30%	1.935	+26.97%	0.0066	✓	1.23	1.8M	2022-03-28
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.581	2.59	+0.35%	3.061	+18.60%	0.0943	✗	1.40	579k	2022-03-28
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5733	1.5795	+0.40%	2.5454	+61.79%	0.2840	✓	1.04	69k	2022-03-28
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	39,589.70	39,752.35	+0.41%	47,634.90	+20.32%	0.0006	✓	0.97	49k	2022-03-28
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.192899	0.193833	+0.48%	0.229783	+19.12%	0.0429	✗	1.14	19.8M	2022-03-28
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.394	2.4058	+0.49%	2.585	+7.98%	0.2183	✗	1.56	13.2M	2022-03-28
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.009	5.034	+0.50%	6.365	+27.07%	0.0779	✓	0.84	65k	2022-03-28
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.391	5.4181	+0.50%	5.572	+3.36%	0.1628	✗	1.02	202k	2022-03-28
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04782	0.04806	+0.50%	0.05633	+17.80%	0.0817	✗	1.29	703k	2022-03-28
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2767	0.278092	+0.50%	0.3353	+21.18%	0.0846	✗	1.46	413k	2022-03-28
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	108.29	108.8371	+0.51%	127.59	+17.82%	0.0657	✗	1.21	29.3M	2022-03-28
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3486	0.350412	+0.52%	0.4334	+24.33%	0.0616	✗	1.47	8.3M	2022-03-28
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.679	0.683112	+0.61%	0.763	+12.37%	0.1110	✗	1.19	2.2M	2022-03-28
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.576	2.5917	+0.61%	3.85	+49.46%	0.2364	✓	0.86	213k	2022-03-28
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	315.57	317.5648	+0.63%	368.1	+16.65%	0.0423	✗	1.02	7.2M	2022-03-28
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.91	29.0932	+0.63%	47.08	+62.85%	0.2698	✓	1.14	5.1M	2022-03-28
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2129	0.214286	+0.65%	0.258	+21.18%	0.1031	✗	1.55	3.0M	2022-03-28
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1751	0.176328	+0.70%	0.2589	+47.86%	0.1147	✓	1.45	2.7M	2022-03-28
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.544581	0.548518	+0.72%	0.697186	+28.02%	0.0117	✓	1.23	2.9M	2022-03-28
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.874	2.8962	+0.77%	4.028	+40.15%	0.1503	✓	0.96	477k	2022-03-28
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.69949	0.70491	+0.77%	0.87181	+24.64%	0.0680	✗	1.51	216k	2022-03-28
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9533	0.960721	+0.78%	1.16	+21.68%	0.0531	✗	1.30	1.9M	2022-03-28
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3507	0.353483	+0.79%	0.3815	+8.78%	0.2489	✗	1.75	15.2M	2022-03-28
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06611	0.066689	+0.88%	0.08479	+28.26%	0.0016	✓	1.30	69k	2022-03-28
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.934	4.9835	+1.00%	7.75	+57.07%	0.2552	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-03-28
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.98	9.0718	+1.02%	10.74	+19.60%	0.0737	✗	1.30	3.2M	2022-03-28
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00906	0.009153	+1.03%	0.01178	+30.02%	0.0011	✓	1.36	563k	2022-03-28
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.2	21.42	+1.04%	22.99	+8.44%	0.2328	✗	1.63	325k	2022-03-28
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		84.76	85.6949	+1.10%	95.28	+12.41%	0.0596	✗	0.89	915k	2022-03-28
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3655	0.369623	+1.13%	0.4031	+10.29%	0.1948	✗	1.51	1.3M	2022-03-28
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.245	6.3184	+1.17%	7.142	+14.36%	0.1482	✗	1.45	28k	2022-03-28
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,876.08	21,122.44	+1.18%	22,270.34	+6.68%	0.1350	✗	1.01	5.7M	2022-03-28
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.45	24.7412	+1.19%	28.79	+17.75%	0.1327	✗	1.53	1.7M	2022-03-28
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.276	1.2912	+1.19%	1.596	+25.08%	0.0440	✗	1.37	1.9M	2022-03-28
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.67	1.6913	+1.27%	2.2	+31.74%	0.0104	✓	1.36	2.0M	2022-03-28
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.874	3.9242	+1.30%	5.361	+38.38%	0.0620	✓	1.34	2.3M	2022-03-28
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8873	0.899762	+1.40%	1.1694	+31.79%	0.0435	✓	1.17	96.0M	2022-03-28
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7651	0.776055	+1.43%	1.1283	+47.47%	0.0853	✓	1.55	295k	2022-03-28
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00431	0.004374	+1.48%	0.00426	-1.16%	0.3698	✗	1.85	12.0M	2022-03-28
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.29	0.294913	+1.69%	0.581	+100.34%	0.4127	✓	1.43	2.0M	2022-03-28
ZEN	Horizen	Base	33.26	33.8303	+1.71%	47.68	+43.36%	0.0592	✓	1.53	281k	2022-03-28
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.25	3.3085	+1.80%	3.81	+17.23%	0.1044	✗	1.32	7.0M	2022-03-28
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.127595	0.129946	+1.84%	0.142307	+11.53%	0.0985	✗	1.02	3.7M	2022-03-28
XVG	Verge	native	0.00985	0.010038	+1.90%	0.01205	+22.34%	0.0617	✗	1.31	1.2M	2022-03-28
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.47	4.562	+2.06%	5.05	+12.98%	0.0862	✗	1.01	651k	2022-03-28
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.504	0.514438	+2.07%	1.2251	+143.08%	0.6153	✓	1.36	2.1M	2022-03-28
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.99036	1.0121	+2.19%	1.2969	+30.96%	0.0218	✗	1.45	165k	2022-03-28
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	14.72	15.0564	+2.29%	16.51	+12.16%	0.1415	✗	1.26	56.1M	2022-03-28
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	14.09	14.4197	+2.34%	18.66	+32.43%	0.0271	✗	1.53	2.5M	2022-03-28
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.91	13.2243	+2.43%	15.64	+21.15%	0.0289	✗	1.06	340k	2022-03-28
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	136.67	140.0686	+2.49%	167.77	+22.76%	0.0948	✗	1.48	6.4M	2022-03-28
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.5	1.5396	+2.64%	2.68	+78.67%	0.3502	✓	1.10	3.4M	2022-03-28
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0854	0.087871	+2.89%	0.121	+41.69%	0.0245	✓	1.59	647k	2022-03-28
SOL	Solana	Solana	90.32	93.0705	+3.05%	105.84	+17.18%	0.1131	✗	1.30	131.2M	2022-03-28
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	110.79	114.3136	+3.18%	142.25	+28.40%	0.0225	✓	1.05	6.3M	2022-03-28
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.8651	1.925	+3.21%	2.4853	+33.25%	0.0205	✓	1.26	185k	2022-03-28
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01784	0.018415	+3.22%	0.03419	+91.65%	0.3101	✓	1.66	12.7M	2022-03-28
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.46	4.6084	+3.33%	5.34	+19.73%	0.1568	✗	1.63	432k	2022-03-28
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	124.78	129.1888	+3.53%	168.16	+34.77%	0.0393	✓	1.21	930k	2022-03-28
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4599	0.476678	+3.65%	0.716	+55.69%	0.1351	✓	1.46	559k	2022-03-28
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0685	0.071073	+3.76%	0.0824	+20.29%	0.0532	✗	1.08	163k	2022-03-28
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.06	9.4436	+4.23%	10.91	+20.42%	0.1077	✗	1.35	10.8M	2022-03-28

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.