2022-02-25 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2712

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+25.20%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

57.0%

in alpha space · 56.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+19.40%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4634	0.485007	+4.66%	0.7181	+54.96%	0.1298	✓	1.48	572k	2022-03-27
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.082	0.085326	+4.06%	0.1288	+57.07%	0.1362	✓	1.55	668k	2022-03-27
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.25	9.618	+3.98%	11.42	+23.46%	0.0657	✗	1.34	10.8M	2022-03-27
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	124.6	129.4031	+3.85%	173.98	+39.63%	0.0825	✓	1.20	930k	2022-03-27
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0689	0.071335	+3.53%	0.0851	+23.51%	0.0092	✓	1.05	168k	2022-03-27
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.62	4.7809	+3.48%	5.47	+18.40%	0.1382	✗	1.54	432k	2022-03-27
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.8773	1.9426	+3.48%	2.5487	+35.77%	0.0544	✓	1.23	196k	2022-03-27
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01819	0.018783	+3.26%	0.03666	+101.54%	0.3842	✓	1.60	12.7M	2022-03-27
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	112.52	115.9616	+3.06%	148.67	+32.13%	0.0660	✓	1.03	6.4M	2022-03-27
XVG	Verge	native	0.00953	0.009818	+3.02%	0.01253	+31.48%	0.0146	✓	1.29	1.2M	2022-03-27
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.95596	0.98467	+3.00%	1.3301	+39.14%	0.0515	✓	1.41	165k	2022-03-27
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.4821	0.495797	+2.84%	1.3598	+182.06%	0.7723	✓	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-27
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.536	1.5788	+2.79%	2.32	+51.04%	0.1905	✓	1.10	3.4M	2022-03-27
SOL	Solana	Solana	92.84	95.3863	+2.74%	107.09	+15.35%	0.1131	✗	1.29	132.7M	2022-03-27
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	14.87	15.2569	+2.60%	18.45	+24.08%	0.0791	✗	1.52	2.3M	2022-03-27
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.83	13.1571	+2.55%	16.11	+25.57%	0.0208	✓	1.02	340k	2022-03-27
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.51	4.6234	+2.52%	5.33	+18.18%	0.0195	✓	0.91	696k	2022-03-27
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00434	0.004447	+2.47%	0.00436	+0.46%	0.3469	✗	1.85	12.3M	2022-03-27
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.297	0.303594	+2.22%	0.617	+107.74%	0.4634	✓	1.39	2.1M	2022-03-27
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	139.7	142.7639	+2.19%	169.24	+21.15%	0.0881	✗	1.46	6.5M	2022-03-27
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.127781	0.130456	+2.09%	0.144798	+13.32%	0.0730	✗	1.00	3.7M	2022-03-27
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.3	3.3637	+1.93%	3.99	+20.91%	0.0692	✗	1.35	7.1M	2022-03-27
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9019	0.918667	+1.86%	1.1454	+27.00%	0.0051	✓	1.27	1.8M	2022-03-27
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.0649	0.06607	+1.80%	0.08788	+35.41%	0.0664	✓	1.23	74k	2022-03-27
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0088	0.008957	+1.78%	0.0124	+40.91%	0.0965	✓	1.29	546k	2022-03-27
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.654	0.665423	+1.75%	0.745	+13.91%	0.0925	✗	1.16	2.0M	2022-03-27
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7733	0.786273	+1.68%	1.1104	+43.59%	0.0737	✓	1.53	299k	2022-03-27
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.315	1.3369	+1.67%	1.595	+21.29%	0.0673	✗	1.37	1.8M	2022-03-27
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	14.39	14.6158	+1.57%	16.87	+17.23%	0.0762	✗	1.24	59.6M	2022-03-27
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.282	6.3804	+1.57%	7.352	+17.03%	0.1021	✗	1.38	28k	2022-03-27
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.445	1.4675	+1.56%	1.952	+35.09%	0.0729	✓	1.20	1.6M	2022-03-27
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.73	35.2329	+1.45%	50.08	+44.20%	0.0870	✓	1.49	309k	2022-03-27
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8997	0.912606	+1.43%	1.1845	+31.65%	0.0544	✓	1.16	97.3M	2022-03-27
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.2131	3.258	+1.40%	3.8564	+20.02%	0.0701	✗	1.35	2.1M	2022-03-27
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.2	9.3207	+1.31%	10.9	+18.48%	0.0726	✗	1.29	3.2M	2022-03-27
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.7023	0.711251	+1.27%	0.90403	+28.72%	0.0157	✗	1.44	224k	2022-03-27
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04609	0.046657	+1.23%	0.05681	+23.26%	0.0238	✗	1.24	703k	2022-03-27
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		84.8	85.8194	+1.20%	95	+12.03%	0.0553	✗	0.89	946k	2022-03-27
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.66	1.6795	+1.18%	2.28	+37.35%	0.0700	✓	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-27
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,170.96	20,403.09	+1.15%	22,263.59	+10.37%	0.0898	✗	1.00	5.7M	2022-03-27
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.571	2.6002	+1.13%	3.779	+46.99%	0.2265	✓	0.83	207k	2022-03-27
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.017	4.0619	+1.12%	5.413	+34.75%	0.0555	✓	1.31	2.4M	2022-03-27
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.539539	0.545537	+1.11%	0.728031	+34.94%	0.0814	✓	1.17	3.1M	2022-03-27
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.16	21.395	+1.11%	24.3	+14.84%	0.1543	✗	1.59	325k	2022-03-27
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.938	4.9918	+1.09%	7.939	+60.77%	0.2986	✓	0.93	1.9M	2022-03-27
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3727	0.376662	+1.06%	0.4246	+13.93%	0.1407	✗	1.47	1.3M	2022-03-27
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.01	28.299	+1.03%	48.03	+71.47%	0.3311	✓	1.12	4.9M	2022-03-27
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3513	0.354684	+0.96%	0.3911	+11.33%	0.2028	✗	1.70	15.9M	2022-03-27
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2632	0.265645	+0.93%	0.3422	+30.02%	0.0072	✓	1.39	451k	2022-03-27
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	309.04	311.7204	+0.87%	376.78	+21.92%	0.0119	✓	1.00	7.3M	2022-03-27
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1741	0.175602	+0.86%	0.2692	+54.62%	0.1768	✓	1.41	2.8M	2022-03-27
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6127	1.6248	+0.75%	2.4727	+53.32%	0.2422	✓	1.00	72k	2022-03-27
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	112.66	113.4821	+0.73%	126.01	+11.85%	0.1251	✗	1.30	58k	2022-03-27
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2121	0.213631	+0.72%	0.2582	+21.74%	0.0809	✗	1.53	3.3M	2022-03-27
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	4.933	4.9681	+0.71%	6.421	+30.16%	0.1098	✓	0.83	65k	2022-03-27
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	39,386.50	39,652.82	+0.68%	46,722.30	+18.63%	0.0061	✓	0.96	49k	2022-03-27
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	109.33	110.0587	+0.67%	129.68	+18.61%	0.0470	✗	1.19	29.5M	2022-03-27
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.3	5.3316	+0.60%	8.4	+58.49%	0.3021	✓	0.86	435k	2022-03-27
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.9	2.9169	+0.58%	4.074	+40.48%	0.1683	✓	0.94	477k	2022-03-27
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.191142	0.192214	+0.56%	0.229866	+20.26%	0.0185	✗	1.11	20.5M	2022-03-27
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.365	2.3773	+0.52%	2.621	+10.82%	0.1730	✗	1.53	13.2M	2022-03-27
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.27	25.3884	+0.47%	29.14	+15.31%	0.1250	✗	1.48	1.8M	2022-03-27
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059479	0.05975	+0.46%	0.069166	+16.29%	0.0003	✓	0.83	286k	2022-03-27
STX	Stacks	native	1.15	1.1537	+0.32%	1.45	+26.09%	0.0025	✓	1.30	695k	2022-03-27
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08597	0.086233	+0.31%	0.11008	+28.04%	0.0468	✓	1.11	46k	2022-03-27
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8312	0.833199	+0.24%	0.9498	+14.27%	0.0855	✗	1.22	22.9M	2022-03-27
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.635	5.6483	+0.24%	5.701	+1.17%	0.1657	✗	0.99	223k	2022-03-27
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.3134	6.3269	+0.21%	6.5917	+4.41%	0.0982	✗	0.79	3.0M	2022-03-27
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	51.16	51.2062	+0.09%	68.29	+33.48%	0.0494	✓	1.35	7.3M	2022-03-27
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	17.28	17.2954	+0.09%	22.48	+30.09%	0.0260	✓	1.33	26.4M	2022-03-27
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.229	0.229165	+0.07%	0.271	+18.34%	0.0162	✓	0.85	57k	2022-03-27
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.7299	2.7316	+0.06%	4.2578	+55.97%	0.2710	✓	0.98	2.3M	2022-03-27
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1468	0.146855	+0.04%	0.1655	+12.74%	0.0691	✗	1.06	446k	2022-03-27
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3611	0.361189	+0.02%	0.4313	+19.44%	0.0753	✗	1.43	8.4M	2022-03-27
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.011713	0.011716	+0.02%	0.01504	+28.40%	0.0530	✓	1.11	35k	2022-03-27
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.9173	5.9144	-0.05%	6.1368	+3.71%	0.0373	✓	0.42	433k	2022-03-27
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.39	2.3878	-0.09%	2.864	+19.83%	0.0674	✓	1.41	572k	2022-03-27
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.466	19.4478	-0.09%	19.247	-1.13%	0.1994	✓	1.07	9.6M	2022-03-27
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.882	0.880711	-0.15%	1.058	+19.95%	0.0598	✓	1.37	2.1M	2022-03-27
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,769.52	2,765.16	-0.16%	3,296.29	+19.02%	0.0159	✓	1.08	561.7M	2022-03-27
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7386	0.737134	-0.20%	0.875	+18.47%	0.0241	✓	1.10	9.6M	2022-03-27
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.21	1.2075	-0.21%	1.54	+27.27%	0.0165	✗	1.28	885k	2022-03-27
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	106.72	106.4583	-0.25%	210.67	+97.40%	0.4828	✗	1.13	7.6M	2022-03-27
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.33	6.3104	-0.31%	7.13	+12.64%	0.0476	✗	0.42	1.2M	2022-03-27
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01813	0.018074	-0.31%	0.02076	+14.51%	0.0588	✓	1.11	2.2M	2022-03-27
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.447	0.445073	-0.43%	0.49	+9.62%	0.1478	✓	1.38	4.6M	2022-03-27
XMR	Monero	Monero	153.74	153.0453	-0.45%	216.11	+40.57%	0.1673	✗	1.00	966k	2022-03-27
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0646	0.064252	-0.54%	0.08599	+33.11%	0.1025	✗	1.07	13k	2022-03-27
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	39,238.48	39,013.83	-0.57%	46,850.01	+19.40%	0.0057	✗	1.00	632.3M	2022-03-27
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.09	42.8335	-0.60%	51.99	+20.65%	0.0101	✓	1.15	23.5M	2022-03-27
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.09	2.0761	-0.67%	2.79	+33.49%	0.0780	✗	1.23	343k	2022-03-27
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.145	1.1372	-0.68%	1.444	+26.11%	0.0078	✗	1.30	2.8M	2022-03-27
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.28	2.2616	-0.81%	2.73	+19.74%	0.0087	✗	1.01	270k	2022-03-27
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.73	2.708	-0.81%	2.33	-14.65%	0.3276	✓	1.00	544k	2022-03-27
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.187	2.169	-0.82%	2.589	+18.38%	0.0097	✓	1.05	19k	2022-03-27
DASH	Dash	Dash	92.9	92.1083	-0.85%	133.07	+43.24%	0.1675	✗	1.13	1.5M	2022-03-27
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.65	5.601	-0.87%	6.49	+14.87%	0.0008	✓	0.84	430k	2022-03-27
XEM	NEM	native	0.0985	0.097579	-0.93%	0.1176	+19.39%	0.0011	✓	1.05	38k	2022-03-27
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.45	1.4358	-0.98%	1.796	+23.86%	0.0471	✓	1.53	941k	2022-03-27
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01016	0.01006	-0.99%	0.01417	+39.47%	0.0774	✗	1.50	2.5M	2022-03-27
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15869	0.157068	-1.02%	0.16715	+5.33%	0.1801	✓	1.37	28k	2022-03-27
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.68	17.4918	-1.06%	21.9	+23.87%	0.0203	✗	1.15	22.7M	2022-03-27
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.336	2.3102	-1.10%	6.324	+170.72%	0.7854	✗	1.25	727k	2022-03-27
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.9392	3.8954	-1.11%	5.4302	+37.85%	0.1193	✗	1.20	284k	2022-03-27
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1469	0.14525	-1.12%	0.1543	+5.04%	0.0825	✓	0.81	321k	2022-03-27
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.61	4.5577	-1.14%	7.01	+52.06%	0.2925	✗	0.78	459k	2022-03-27
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007523	0.000074374	-1.14%	0.0000982	+30.53%	0.0689	✗	1.18	4.5M	2022-03-27
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.32	6.2464	-1.16%	7.41	+17.25%	0.0795	✓	1.41	1.2M	2022-03-27
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.091	4.04	-1.25%	6.005	+46.79%	0.2502	✗	0.82	414k	2022-03-27
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2233	0.220472	-1.27%	0.275	+23.15%	0.0433	✗	1.00	1.9M	2022-03-27
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1201	2.0932	-1.27%	2.6409	+24.56%	0.0771	✗	0.88	27k	2022-03-27
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1326	6.0481	-1.38%	8.5079	+38.73%	0.0850	✗	1.45	184k	2022-03-27
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.23	2.1981	-1.43%	2.49	+11.66%	0.0526	✓	1.00	639k	2022-03-27
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	67.1249	66.1021	-1.52%	67.174	+0.07%	0.2475	✓	1.49	231k	2022-03-27
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.94	18.632	-1.63%	23.71	+25.18%	0.0175	✗	1.26	9.1M	2022-03-27
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0389	0.038263	-1.64%	0.0495	+27.25%	0.0677	✗	1.07	30k	2022-03-27
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7311	2.6806	-1.85%	4.1683	+52.62%	0.2771	✗	0.93	2.9M	2022-03-27
BTTC	BTTC		0.0000019	0.000001865	-1.86%	0.00000214	+12.63%	0.0148	✓	0.69	14.7M	2022-03-27
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.74	14.4425	-2.02%	13.48	-8.55%	0.1957	✓	0.71	1.9M	2022-03-27
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8595	1.8208	-2.08%	3.1908	+71.59%	0.4414	✗	0.67	2.7M	2022-03-27
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02922	0.0286	-2.12%	0.02786	-4.65%	0.1667	✓	0.79	4.4M	2022-03-27
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.37	9.1708	-2.13%	14.36	+53.26%	0.3285	✗	0.68	853k	2022-03-27
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.679	3.5966	-2.24%	4.57	+24.22%	0.0096	✓	1.30	1.9M	2022-03-27
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01202	0.011735	-2.37%	0.01382	+14.98%	0.0295	✗	0.76	15k	2022-03-27
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	27.3	26.6365	-2.43%	29.95	+9.71%	0.0809	✓	1.12	52.8M	2022-03-27
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.26	29.4888	-2.55%	31.17	+3.01%	0.1262	✓	1.02	1.7M	2022-03-27
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.533	0.51902	-2.62%	0.585	+9.76%	0.0446	✓	0.93	643k	2022-03-27
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.453	1.4141	-2.67%	1.749	+20.37%	0.0008	✓	1.19	963k	2022-03-27
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002483	0.000024103	-2.93%	0.00002557	+2.98%	0.1808	✓	1.35	3.8M	2022-03-27
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.05	78.6571	-2.95%	89.91	+10.93%	0.1313	✓	1.49	106.7M	2022-03-27
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03546	0.034393	-3.01%	0.04272	+20.47%	0.0619	✗	0.87	1.5M	2022-03-27
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0734	0.071152	-3.06%	0.0842	+14.71%	0.0793	✓	1.40	1.0M	2022-03-27
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0277	0.026831	-3.14%	0.03351	+20.97%	0.0365	✓	1.46	497k	2022-03-27
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.022712	0.021976	-3.24%	0.040217	+77.07%	0.4167	✗	1.06	114k	2022-03-27
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.7367	2.6469	-3.28%	2.7417	+0.18%	0.1967	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-03-27
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.72	0.696362	-3.28%	0.73	+1.39%	0.2939	✓	1.92	995k	2022-03-27
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.834	1.7723	-3.37%	1.995	+8.78%	0.0589	✓	1.00	76k	2022-03-27
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.168	1.1267	-3.53%	1.768	+51.37%	0.2301	✗	1.24	1.0M	2022-03-27
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.02	0.982851	-3.64%	1.07	+4.90%	0.0804	✗	0.03	286k	2022-03-27
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2474	1.2014	-3.69%	1.2328	-1.17%	0.2294	✓	1.44	2.6M	2022-03-27
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0696	0.06667	-4.21%	0.0803	+15.37%	0.1541	✓	1.92	72.8M	2022-03-27
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.138	0.131682	-4.58%	0.114	-17.39%	0.3134	✓	0.95	51k	2022-03-27
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	73.2	69.3979	-5.19%	94.25	+28.76%	0.0602	✗	1.39	4.5M	2022-03-27
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1292	0.122136	-5.47%	0.168	+30.03%	0.0864	✗	1.31	3.1M	2022-03-27
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.048666	0.045981	-5.52%	0.043509	-10.60%	0.2714	✓	1.22	8.1M	2022-03-27
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.419	0.395311	-5.65%	0.5139	+22.65%	0.1039	✓	2.07	2.1M	2022-03-27
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.96	1.8447	-5.88%	1.74	-11.22%	0.3477	✓	1.63	539k	2022-03-27
API3	Api3	Ethereum	7.09	6.5928	-7.01%	5.854	-17.43%	0.1846	✓	0.37	2.0M	2022-03-27
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6442	1.5191	-7.61%	1.5221	-7.43%	0.2533	✓	1.44	251k	2022-03-27
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	7.00e-7	6.46e-7	-7.67%	0.000001225	+75.07%	0.4625	✗	1.00	1.4M	2022-03-27
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.8833	0.80956	-8.35%	0.9207	+4.23%	0.0268	✓	0.57	1.4M	2022-03-27

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.