8=======>

2022-02-21 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3839
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+30.23%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
56.0%
in alpha space · 24.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+15.87%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.019370.019703+1.72%0.0444+129.22%0.5700✓1.6510.9M2022-03-23
AAVEAaveEthereum128.58130.0394+1.13%156.07+21.38%0.0304✗1.456.7M2022-03-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.275.3276+1.09%8.26+56.74%0.3093✓0.88398k2022-03-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.20420.205974+0.87%0.2289+12.10%0.1217✗1.543.6M2022-03-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1280940.129178+0.85%0.1298+1.33%0.1441✗1.014.2M2022-03-23
SOLSolanaSolana82.9783.5405+0.69%94.87+14.34%0.0558✗1.24154.8M2022-03-23
IMXImmutableEthereum1.581.5903+0.65%2.265+43.35%0.1921✓1.103.3M2022-03-23
UNIUniswapEthereum8.528.562+0.49%10.01+17.49%0.0387✗1.3211.2M2022-03-23
UMAUMAEthereum4.924.9412+0.43%7.615+54.78%0.2841✓1.011.8M2022-03-23
GTGateEthereum6.08296.1079+0.41%6.5107+7.03%0.0616✗0.853.2M2022-03-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.920.923482+0.38%1.633+77.50%0.3862✓1.25934k2022-03-23
DASHDashDash87.0487.3149+0.32%129.78+49.10%0.2264✓1.151.5M2022-03-23
SUSHISushiEthereum3.283.2882+0.25%3.69+12.50%0.0900✗1.397.1M2022-03-23
GITCOINGITCOIN6.046.0533+0.22%7.157+18.49%0.1133✓0.3732k2022-03-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.640.641337+0.21%0.739+15.47%0.0158✗1.071.9M2022-03-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin102.78102.9823+0.20%122.51+19.20%0.0053✗1.2129.9M2022-03-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2790.279406+0.15%0.652+133.69%0.6499✓1.342.0M2022-03-23
LSKLiskEthereum1.61271.6148+0.13%2.2526+39.68%0.1660✓1.1375k2022-03-23
XVSVenusEthereum8.648.6425+0.03%9.48+9.72%0.0991✗1.303.2M2022-03-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.4812.4634-0.13%16.4+31.41%0.1232✗1.03404k2022-03-23
QNTQuantEthereum106.88106.7308-0.14%126.9+18.73%0.0290✗0.986.6M2022-03-23
ETHEthereumEthereum2,569.002,565.25-0.15%3,038.93+18.29%0.0073✗1.10581.4M2022-03-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7390.737827-0.16%0.956+29.36%0.0591✗1.362.1M2022-03-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.47280.471876-0.20%1.0351+118.93%0.5913✗1.322.3M2022-03-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV80.8780.7109-0.20%90.8+12.28%0.0133✓0.891.0M2022-03-23
XVGVergenative0.009290.009271-0.20%0.01038+11.73%0.0784✓1.301.2M2022-03-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.955.9348-0.26%7.18+20.67%0.1312✗0.401.4M2022-03-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.834.8175-0.26%6.71+38.92%0.2144✗0.79431k2022-03-23
XLMStellarStellar0.178160.17768-0.27%0.209453+17.56%0.0093✗1.0521.8M2022-03-23
XECeCashnative0.000067830.000067628-0.30%0.00008358+23.22%0.0423✗1.154.6M2022-03-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash283.16282.3022-0.30%364.09+28.58%0.1094✗0.988.0M2022-03-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.07910.078832-0.34%0.09904+25.21%0.0660✗1.1049k2022-03-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.24.1853-0.35%4.79+14.05%0.0269✓1.10485k2022-03-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12830.127799-0.39%0.1546+20.50%0.0381✗1.03467k2022-03-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.44420.442367-0.41%0.7088+59.57%0.2583✗1.45586k2022-03-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.78520.781852-0.43%0.8391+6.86%0.1125✓1.2423.9M2022-03-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.5113.4471-0.47%15.85+17.32%0.0145✓1.2161.5M2022-03-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.5832.5709-0.47%3.807+47.39%0.2689✗0.84203k2022-03-23
ZECZcashZcash100.4799.9957-0.47%181.99+81.14%0.4233✗1.197.6M2022-03-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.22930.228211-0.48%0.3077+34.19%0.1293✗1.15469k2022-03-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.22060.219471-0.51%0.2696+22.21%0.0544✗1.031.9M2022-03-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative2524.8712-0.52%45.18+80.72%0.4366✗1.095.2M2022-03-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.22412.2125-0.52%2.4625+10.72%0.0284✓0.9228k2022-03-23
ADACardanoCardano0.85720.852635-0.53%1.1087+29.34%0.0944✗1.1497.3M2022-03-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.341.3328-0.54%1.701+26.94%0.0732✗1.162.0M2022-03-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5190670.516014-0.59%0.589813+13.63%0.0356✓1.153.5M2022-03-23
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0030.997007-0.60%1.325+32.10%0.1003✗1.253.0M2022-03-23
MINAMina Protocolnative2.162.1464-0.63%2.54+17.59%0.0108✓1.22324k2022-03-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.325.2851-0.66%5.16-3.01%0.1752✓1.03297k2022-03-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.6317.5114-0.67%22.02+24.90%0.0031✓1.53350k2022-03-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2480.246236-0.71%0.256+3.23%0.0975✓0.9368k2022-03-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3841.374-0.72%1.533+10.77%0.1008✓1.43970k2022-03-23
COMPCompoundEthereum106.4105.6263-0.73%115.23+8.30%0.1033✓1.2959k2022-03-23
KSMKusamaHydration125.92124.9875-0.74%161.78+28.48%0.0824✗1.19930k2022-03-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012840.012745-0.74%0.01289+0.39%0.1032✓0.7815k2022-03-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.835.7844-0.78%6.51+11.66%0.0127✓0.89430k2022-03-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.35720.354362-0.79%0.4244+18.81%0.0268✓1.418.7M2022-03-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.726.6665-0.80%6.73+0.15%0.0216✓0.211.3M2022-03-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.035910.035624-0.80%0.04253+18.43%0.0137✗1.1132k2022-03-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.16860.167194-0.83%0.2141+26.99%0.0409✗1.403.0M2022-03-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum47.3546.9178-0.91%58.39+23.32%0.0289✗1.298.1M2022-03-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.1916.0421-0.91%21.01+29.77%0.0730✗1.3430.0M2022-03-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.02570.025435-1.03%0.02676+4.12%0.0632✓0.774.7M2022-03-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.371.3558-1.04%1.614+17.81%0.0074✓1.231.1M2022-03-23
TRXTRONTron0.0594720.058855-1.04%0.064378+8.25%0.0341✓0.84307k2022-03-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.36610.362227-1.06%0.3829+4.59%0.1553✓1.431.5M2022-03-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.74210.734049-1.08%1.1722+57.96%0.2498✗1.48411k2022-03-23
KCSKuCoinnative18.13717.9391-1.09%18.559+2.33%0.1410✓1.199.8M2022-03-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.571.5525-1.11%2.1+33.76%0.1038✗1.352.0M2022-03-23
QTUMQtumQtum5.74315.6771-1.15%7.8748+37.12%0.1094✗1.48172k2022-03-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3212.2942-1.16%6.29+171.00%0.8208✗1.27845k2022-03-23
NANOnanopayBase1.90471.8825-1.16%2.2764+19.51%0.0078✓1.24218k2022-03-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010040.009922-1.17%0.01182+17.73%0.0539✓1.552.2M2022-03-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0230180.022746-1.18%0.03087+34.11%0.1423✗1.1189k2022-03-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.059940.059229-1.19%0.07641+27.48%0.1356✗0.8180k2022-03-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.045080.044543-1.19%0.05652+25.38%0.0339✗1.39865k2022-03-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024040.00002375-1.21%0.00002445+1.71%0.1757✓1.393.7M2022-03-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06920.068365-1.21%0.0776+12.14%0.0417✓1.14194k2022-03-23
XEMNEMnative0.09270.091576-1.21%0.1089+17.48%0.0233✗1.0238k2022-03-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.645790.637212-1.33%0.83596+29.45%0.0493✗1.51278k2022-03-23
SCSiacoinnative0.008470.008357-1.34%0.0102+20.43%0.0448✗1.05504k2022-03-23
XTZTezosTezos2.97312.9332-1.34%3.4569+16.27%0.0267✓1.302.1M2022-03-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,642.8419,364.61-1.42%20,440.44+4.06%0.0973✓1.035.8M2022-03-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.913.701-1.43%18.16+30.65%0.0374✗1.662.9M2022-03-23
DODODODOEthereum0.4440.437628-1.44%0.453+2.03%0.1687✓1.384.5M2022-03-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin37,023.0036,461.91-1.52%42,899.71+15.87%0.0153✓1.00633.0M2022-03-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34010.334866-1.54%0.3759+10.53%0.1307✓1.6716.7M2022-03-23
RADRadworksEthereum5.074.9916-1.55%4.93-2.76%0.1589✓0.99682k2022-03-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum21.8721.5273-1.57%28.49+30.27%0.0580✗1.511.8M2022-03-23
HIVEHivenative0.81480.801913-1.58%0.9439+15.84%0.0664✓1.561.8M2022-03-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0180350.017749-1.59%0.0192+6.46%0.0882✓1.132.2M2022-03-23
XYMSymbolnative0.14880.14641-1.61%0.1488+0.00%0.1050✓0.82362k2022-03-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.2415.1554-1.63%6.073+15.87%0.0457✗0.8065k2022-03-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.08770.086186-1.73%0.0965+10.03%0.1082✓1.50700k2022-03-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.068.9029-1.73%13.31+46.91%0.2983✗0.70758k2022-03-23
FTTFTXEthereum39.8139.1134-1.75%46.16+15.95%0.0055✓1.1627.6M2022-03-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.7717.4583-1.75%18.98+6.81%0.0891✓1.1723.0M2022-03-23
UOSUltraEthereum1.13851.1185-1.76%1.1317-0.60%0.1789✓1.292.5M2022-03-23
BANDBandEthereum3.773.7036-1.76%4.028+6.84%0.1036✓1.271.9M2022-03-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0213.9479-1.82%5.456+35.69%0.1974✗0.86383k2022-03-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.7713.5054-1.92%13.17-4.36%0.1340✓0.741.8M2022-03-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.5125.9969-1.94%29.88+12.71%0.0046✓0.981.5M2022-03-23
LUNATerraTerra 250.1349.1432-1.97%94.83+89.17%0.4585✗1.354.8M2022-03-23
STORJStorjEthereum0.885730.868255-1.97%1.1591+30.87%0.1301✗1.08165k2022-03-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.4810.471471-1.98%0.5216+8.44%0.0346✓0.92684k2022-03-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.86822.8091-2.06%4.1918+46.15%0.2507✗1.022.4M2022-03-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.172.1251-2.07%2.49+14.75%0.0083✓1.02283k2022-03-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02630.025747-2.10%0.02566-2.43%0.2165✓1.45497k2022-03-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,080.1036,292.25-2.12%42,312.20+14.11%0.0109✓0.9742k2022-03-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.733.6497-2.15%5.38+44.24%0.2046✗1.242.3M2022-03-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004510.004412-2.18%0.0043-4.66%0.3086✓1.9212.9M2022-03-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06130.059953-2.20%0.07674+25.19%0.0886✗1.0714k2022-03-23
XMRMoneroMonero148144.6477-2.27%197.42+33.39%0.1632✗1.001.0M2022-03-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.71130.695054-2.28%0.782+9.94%0.0496✓1.149.9M2022-03-23
CBKCobakEthereum1.9331.8887-2.29%2.288+18.37%0.0368✗1.0520k2022-03-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.720.703299-2.32%0.7-2.78%0.2952✓1.971.1M2022-03-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.342.2845-2.37%2.385+1.92%0.1869✓1.5614.4M2022-03-23
ZENHorizenBase32.1431.365-2.41%45.53+41.66%0.1439✗1.55335k2022-03-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.8323.2257-2.54%28.26+18.59%0.0344✗1.1056.2M2022-03-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.6418.1434-2.66%19.33+3.70%0.1192✓1.2410.1M2022-03-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.151540.147483-2.68%0.15722+3.75%0.1441✓1.4130k2022-03-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.87752.7997-2.70%3.9164+36.10%0.1871✗1.012.5M2022-03-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0122140.011878-2.75%0.013267+8.62%0.0593✓1.1561k2022-03-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.31.2638-2.78%1.538+18.31%0.0067✓1.381.9M2022-03-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche70.0868.0163-2.94%86.01+22.73%0.0141✓1.50106.7M2022-03-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.75343.6415-2.98%5.2022+38.60%0.1803✗1.20309k2022-03-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43110.417954-3.05%0.4731+9.74%0.1593✓1.922.0M2022-03-23
BTTCBTTC0.000001940.000001879-3.14%0.00000189-2.58%0.1415✓1.0014.4M2022-03-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.3322.258-3.17%2.791+19.68%0.0112✓1.36579k2022-03-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.033620.032501-3.33%0.03928+16.84%0.0814✗0.731.7M2022-03-23
MANADecentralandEthereum2.48272.3998-3.34%2.5377+2.21%0.1302✓1.263.2M2022-03-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.75691.6982-3.34%3.1827+81.15%0.5494✗0.532.8M2022-03-23
MOVRMoonriverBase68.799766.471-3.38%62.4298-9.26%0.2845✓1.51257k2022-03-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12290.118734-3.39%0.1425+15.95%0.0074✓1.293.2M2022-03-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8892.791-3.39%4.014+38.94%0.2259✗0.93481k2022-03-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04740.045759-3.46%0.0655+38.19%0.0978✗1.7764.3M2022-03-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.251.2053-3.58%1.39+11.20%0.0440✓1.271.1M2022-03-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.83955.6165-3.82%6.0468+3.55%0.0171✓0.38412k2022-03-23
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8531.7785-4.02%1.801-2.81%0.1347✓1.0085k2022-03-23
STXStacksnative1.111.0627-4.26%1.34+20.72%0.0392✓1.31782k2022-03-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0502880.048143-4.27%0.04101-18.45%0.3476✓1.277.5M2022-03-23
ORCAOrcaSolana2.622.5047-4.40%2.15-17.94%0.3000✓1.00694k2022-03-23
AVTAventusEthereum2.372.2639-4.48%2.4+1.27%0.0889✓1.00639k2022-03-23
DIADIAEthereum0.910.868179-4.60%0.97+6.59%0.0364✓1.00281k2022-03-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06810.064815-4.82%0.0759+11.45%0.0453✓1.381.1M2022-03-23
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1320.124237-5.88%0.106-19.70%0.3109✓1.0351k2022-03-23
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.88830.835084-5.99%0.7758-12.66%0.1849✓0.761.5M2022-03-23
PROPropyEthereum1.991.8615-6.46%1.56-21.61%0.4342✓1.75680k2022-03-23
API3Api3Ethereum5.725.3328-6.77%5.084-11.12%0.0983✓0.342.0M2022-03-23
CELLCellframeEthereum1.6461.5299-7.05%1.442-12.39%0.2851✓1.53191k2022-03-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.