2022-02-20 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3151

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+25.32%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

56.7%

in alpha space · 58.0% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+10.39%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.65	4.9153	+5.70%	4.5	-3.23%	0.1954	✗	1.08	510k	2022-03-22
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00465	0.004862	+4.55%	0.00429	-7.74%	0.3171	✗	1.94	13.2M	2022-03-22
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5079	0.530168	+4.38%	0.758	+49.24%	0.2169	✓	1.42	610k	2022-03-22
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.091	0.094731	+4.10%	0.0905	-0.55%	0.1949	✗	1.51	807k	2022-03-22
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.02116	0.021975	+3.85%	0.03998	+88.94%	0.4395	✓	1.61	10.9M	2022-03-22
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.36	9.6939	+3.57%	9.76	+4.27%	0.1236	✗	1.32	11.4M	2022-03-22
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0729	0.075317	+3.32%	0.0759	+4.12%	0.1041	✗	1.13	194k	2022-03-22
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.23	15.733	+3.30%	17.58	+15.43%	0.0571	✗	1.70	3.0M	2022-03-22
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	107.71	111.1714	+3.21%	127.12	+18.02%	0.0346	✓	1.01	6.6M	2022-03-22
SOL	Solana	Solana	90.78	93.5116	+3.01%	90.48	-0.33%	0.1546	✗	1.23	171.7M	2022-03-22
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.41	1.4519	+2.97%	1.582	+12.20%	0.0501	✗	1.37	2.2M	2022-03-22
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.82	1.8724	+2.88%	2.315	+27.20%	0.1079	✓	1.06	3.2M	2022-03-22
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.591	6.7685	+2.69%	6.962	+5.63%	0.0090	✓	0.38	35k	2022-03-22
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.98512	1.0091	+2.43%	1.1249	+14.19%	0.0038	✓	1.06	180k	2022-03-22
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.98	13.2892	+2.38%	16.17	+24.58%	0.0942	✓	1.03	448k	2022-03-22
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.3	0.307112	+2.37%	0.693	+131.00%	0.6827	✓	1.33	2.2M	2022-03-22
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8239	0.84245	+2.25%	0.8086	-1.86%	0.1916	✗	1.52	417k	2022-03-22
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.516	0.527616	+2.25%	1.1707	+126.88%	0.6667	✓	1.32	2.3M	2022-03-22
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.63	24.1419	+2.17%	27.98	+18.41%	0.0015	✓	1.51	1.8M	2022-03-22
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1375	2.183	+2.13%	2.6489	+23.93%	0.1000	✓	0.94	28k	2022-03-22
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.95	9.1384	+2.10%	9.38	+4.80%	0.1030	✗	1.31	3.2M	2022-03-22
XVG	Verge	native	0.00962	0.009822	+2.10%	0.00999	+3.85%	0.1112	✗	1.30	1.2M	2022-03-22
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.796	0.81222	+2.04%	0.91	+14.32%	0.0216	✗	1.37	2.2M	2022-03-22
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	137.55	140.224	+1.94%	152.91	+11.17%	0.0556	✗	1.44	6.8M	2022-03-22
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.136714	0.139296	+1.89%	0.122365	-10.50%	0.2289	✗	1.00	4.7M	2022-03-22
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.44	1.466	+1.80%	1.31	-9.03%	0.2340	✗	1.23	1.2M	2022-03-22
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.79	19.1283	+1.80%	20.78	+10.59%	0.0696	✗	1.54	350k	2022-03-22
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.75	35.2275	+1.37%	45.47	+30.85%	0.1011	✓	1.56	364k	2022-03-22
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	138.87	140.7538	+1.36%	158.4	+14.06%	0.0020	✓	1.17	930k	2022-03-22
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1362	0.138007	+1.33%	0.1543	+13.29%	0.0099	✓	1.03	470k	2022-03-22
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.454	1.4732	+1.32%	1.626	+11.83%	0.0144	✗	1.14	2.1M	2022-03-22
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	27.23	27.5592	+1.21%	51.65	+89.68%	0.5220	✓	1.07	5.2M	2022-03-22
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.9689	1.9915	+1.15%	2.2499	+14.27%	0.0013	✓	1.25	233k	2022-03-22
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,642.80	39,040.93	+1.03%	42,512.10	+10.01%	0.0103	✗	0.97	42k	2022-03-22
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.63	3.6646	+0.95%	3.45	-4.96%	0.1963	✗	1.38	7.2M	2022-03-22
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9158	0.924474	+0.95%	0.9224	+0.72%	0.1568	✗	1.56	1.8M	2022-03-22
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.9319	0.940614	+0.94%	0.9753	+4.66%	0.0743	✗	1.12	97.3M	2022-03-22
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00912	0.009204	+0.92%	0.0096	+5.26%	0.0595	✗	1.03	504k	2022-03-22
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		84.46	85.172	+0.84%	91.76	+8.64%	0.0131	✗	0.89	1.1M	2022-03-22
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.70618	0.712001	+0.82%	0.80946	+14.63%	0.0193	✗	1.49	298k	2022-03-22
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	302.87	305.1564	+0.75%	375.54	+23.99%	0.1110	✓	0.98	8.0M	2022-03-22
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2525	0.254028	+0.61%	0.31	+22.77%	0.0885	✓	1.12	518k	2022-03-22
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3785	0.380745	+0.59%	0.3714	-1.88%	0.1901	✗	1.67	16.9M	2022-03-22
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.570834	0.573767	+0.51%	0.561881	-1.57%	0.1334	✗	1.14	3.5M	2022-03-22
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.067	2.0767	+0.47%	2.255	+9.10%	0.0208	✗	1.04	20k	2022-03-22
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,622.47	2,634.20	+0.45%	2,970.51	+13.27%	0.0098	✓	1.12	581.4M	2022-03-22
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.9	0.903945	+0.44%	1.719	+91.00%	0.5164	✓	1.28	878k	2022-03-22
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	110.69	111.1692	+0.43%	122.81	+10.95%	0.0198	✗	1.21	30.0M	2022-03-22
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2213	0.222068	+0.35%	0.218	-1.49%	0.1705	✗	1.54	3.6M	2022-03-22
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.2624	3.2732	+0.33%	3.302	+1.21%	0.1176	✗	1.28	2.1M	2022-03-22
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.194647	0.195227	+0.30%	0.20689	+6.29%	0.0444	✗	1.04	21.8M	2022-03-22
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.73	1.735	+0.29%	1.93	+11.56%	0.0251	✗	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-22
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0487	0.048833	+0.27%	0.05567	+14.31%	0.0058	✗	1.38	903k	2022-03-22
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0654	0.065577	+0.27%	0.07627	+16.62%	0.0457	✓	1.07	15k	2022-03-22
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0531	0.053207	+0.20%	0.0657	+23.73%	0.0379	✓	1.75	64.3M	2022-03-22
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.7	0.70136	+0.19%	0.722	+3.14%	0.0758	✗	1.06	2.0M	2022-03-22
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.2563	6.2658	+0.15%	6.4277	+2.74%	0.0584	✗	0.85	3.5M	2022-03-22
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.06	4.0649	+0.12%	5.175	+27.46%	0.1199	✓	1.23	2.3M	2022-03-22
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06754	0.067599	+0.09%	0.07561	+11.95%	0.0351	✓	0.78	84k	2022-03-22
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	52.1	52.1429	+0.08%	52.46	+0.69%	0.1210	✗	1.29	8.7M	2022-03-22
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.697	5.7014	+0.08%	5.07	-11.01%	0.2205	✗	1.04	327k	2022-03-22
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15607	0.156172	+0.07%	0.15608	+0.01%	0.1419	✗	1.43	30k	2022-03-22
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	116.98	117.0496	+0.06%	114.7	-1.95%	0.1463	✗	1.27	66k	2022-03-22
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.063	1.0628	-0.02%	1.26	+18.53%	0.0468	✗	1.25	3.0M	2022-03-22
STX	Stacks	native	1.23	1.2294	-0.05%	1.3	+5.69%	0.0703	✓	1.28	817k	2022-03-22
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6203	1.6182	-0.13%	2.188	+35.04%	0.1893	✗	1.14	75k	2022-03-22
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	14.6	14.5716	-0.19%	15.43	+5.68%	0.0613	✓	1.20	63.5M	2022-03-22
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	16.92	16.8732	-0.28%	20.22	+19.50%	0.0485	✗	1.34	31.3M	2022-03-22
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08575	0.085513	-0.28%	0.09728	+13.45%	0.0217	✗	1.08	49k	2022-03-22
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.06201	0.061812	-0.32%	0.063447	+2.32%	0.0565	✓	0.84	307k	2022-03-22
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.962	18.9007	-0.32%	18.261	-3.70%	0.1526	✓	1.20	9.8M	2022-03-22
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.24	0.239066	-0.39%	0.253	+5.42%	0.0363	✓	0.94	68k	2022-03-22
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,389.03	38,234.50	-0.40%	42,378.26	+10.39%	0.0040	✓	1.00	633.0M	2022-03-22
XMR	Monero	Monero	153.87	153.1781	-0.45%	193.89	+26.01%	0.1365	✗	1.00	1.0M	2022-03-22
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.735	5.7035	-0.55%	6.1887	+7.91%	0.0436	✗	0.38	430k	2022-03-22
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3961	0.393812	-0.58%	0.3622	-8.56%	0.2251	✓	1.43	1.6M	2022-03-22
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.84	40.5971	-0.59%	45.28	+10.87%	0.0059	✓	1.16	27.9M	2022-03-22
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.107	3.0883	-0.60%	4.136	+33.12%	0.2026	✗	0.91	492k	2022-03-22
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.76	2.7433	-0.61%	2.16	-21.74%	0.3379	✓	1.00	696k	2022-03-22
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7859	0.780427	-0.70%	0.7746	-1.44%	0.1180	✓	1.12	9.9M	2022-03-22
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.55	2.5291	-0.82%	2.268	-11.06%	0.2661	✓	1.59	14.5M	2022-03-22
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8455	0.838268	-0.86%	0.8268	-2.21%	0.1367	✓	1.24	24.6M	2022-03-22
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.019255	0.019084	-0.89%	0.01899	-1.38%	0.1185	✓	1.15	2.4M	2022-03-22
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.0929	4.0565	-0.89%	4.8022	+17.33%	0.0514	✗	1.19	327k	2022-03-22
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.57	2.547	-0.90%	2.21	-14.01%	0.2408	✓	1.00	681k	2022-03-22
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.57	6.4998	-1.07%	6.98	+6.24%	0.0310	✗	0.41	1.4M	2022-03-22
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.798	2.766	-1.14%	4.168	+48.96%	0.3303	✗	0.81	206k	2022-03-22
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01318	0.013023	-1.19%	0.013307	+0.96%	0.0911	✓	1.14	81k	2022-03-22
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1863	0.183732	-1.38%	0.2091	+12.24%	0.0071	✓	1.38	3.2M	2022-03-22
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	74.3242	73.2807	-1.40%	66.9272	-9.95%	0.2401	✓	1.51	281k	2022-03-22
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	49.33	48.6373	-1.40%	93.09	+88.71%	0.5125	✗	1.38	5.1M	2022-03-22
XYM	Symbol	native	0.154	0.151726	-1.48%	0.1371	-10.97%	0.1761	✓	0.76	350k	2022-03-22
XEM	NEM	native	0.0988	0.097337	-1.48%	0.1082	+9.51%	0.0061	✓	1.01	38k	2022-03-22
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.2326	6.1387	-1.51%	7.6005	+21.95%	0.0686	✗	1.47	172k	2022-03-22
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.028	0.027578	-1.51%	0.026	-7.14%	0.2036	✓	1.46	499k	2022-03-22
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01078	0.010612	-1.56%	0.01179	+9.37%	0.0494	✓	1.56	2.2M	2022-03-22
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3917	0.385488	-1.59%	0.4105	+4.80%	0.0749	✓	1.39	8.7M	2022-03-22
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.36	5.2745	-1.59%	7.622	+42.20%	0.2702	✗	0.99	1.8M	2022-03-22
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.5	2.4597	-1.61%	6.234	+149.36%	0.8046	✗	1.27	845k	2022-03-22
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,667.46	20,325.68	-1.65%	20,305.82	-1.75%	0.1019	✓	1.02	6.0M	2022-03-22
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000197	0.000001937	-1.66%	0.00000186	-5.58%	0.1395	✓	1.00	14.3M	2022-03-22
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02715	0.026695	-1.67%	0.02633	-3.02%	0.0988	✓	0.86	5.0M	2022-03-22
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.0176	1.9825	-1.74%	3.292	+63.16%	0.4566	✗	0.51	2.8M	2022-03-22
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.9539	2.9012	-1.78%	3.8754	+31.20%	0.1922	✗	0.98	2.5M	2022-03-22
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	108.11	106.1803	-1.78%	174.59	+61.49%	0.3794	✗	1.19	7.6M	2022-03-22
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.516	5.4172	-1.79%	5.986	+8.52%	0.0212	✗	0.80	65k	2022-03-22
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0744	0.073056	-1.81%	0.0724	-2.69%	0.1426	✓	1.35	1.1M	2022-03-22
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03914	0.038433	-1.81%	0.04222	+7.87%	0.0144	✓	1.10	32k	2022-03-22
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007437	0.00007298	-1.87%	0.00008348	+12.25%	0.0225	✗	1.13	4.7M	2022-03-22
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.28	2.2368	-1.90%	2.44	+7.02%	0.0140	✓	1.02	299k	2022-03-22
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.02	2.9618	-1.93%	4.2393	+40.37%	0.2608	✗	0.99	2.4M	2022-03-22
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.17	7.0303	-1.95%	6.67	-6.97%	0.0724	✓	0.20	1.4M	2022-03-22
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.211	4.1284	-1.96%	5.543	+31.63%	0.2118	✗	0.84	395k	2022-03-22
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.01	4.9109	-1.98%	6.75	+34.73%	0.2411	✗	0.78	431k	2022-03-22
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.7	5.5859	-2.00%	8.37	+46.84%	0.3211	✗	0.84	398k	2022-03-22
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.71	14.4131	-2.02%	13.32	-9.45%	0.1491	✓	0.71	1.8M	2022-03-22
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002547	0.00002494	-2.08%	0.00002344	-7.97%	0.1992	✓	1.39	3.7M	2022-03-22
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.532	1.4991	-2.14%	1.457	-4.90%	0.1692	✓	1.42	1.0M	2022-03-22
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.471	0.460678	-2.19%	0.446	-5.31%	0.1692	✓	1.38	4.5M	2022-03-22
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2401	0.2347	-2.25%	0.253	+5.37%	0.0243	✓	1.01	1.9M	2022-03-22
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.828	2.7635	-2.28%	2.762	-2.33%	0.1275	✓	1.28	579k	2022-03-22
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.93	27.2654	-2.38%	29.9	+7.05%	0.0032	✓	0.97	1.4M	2022-03-22
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5119	0.499676	-2.39%	0.5151	+0.63%	0.0597	✓	0.91	724k	2022-03-22
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.77	9.5319	-2.44%	13.41	+37.26%	0.2751	✗	0.67	821k	2022-03-22
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.94	0.916725	-2.48%	0.95	+1.06%	0.0632	✓	1.00	277k	2022-03-22
DASH	Dash	Dash	98.1	95.5394	-2.61%	130.57	+33.10%	0.2028	✗	1.11	1.5M	2022-03-22
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.14	5.9724	-2.73%	6.43	+4.72%	0.0121	✓	0.87	430k	2022-03-22
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	77.39	75.2685	-2.74%	83.98	+8.52%	0.0337	✓	1.45	106.7M	2022-03-22
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.82	19.2749	-2.75%	18.31	-7.62%	0.1729	✓	1.23	10.5M	2022-03-22
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.78	0.757031	-2.94%	0.67	-14.10%	0.3168	✓	1.97	1.2M	2022-03-22
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.025474	0.024724	-2.95%	0.025067	-1.60%	0.0942	✓	1.09	89k	2022-03-22
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.039	1.9784	-2.97%	1.793	-12.06%	0.1972	✓	1.00	84k	2022-03-22
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1176	1.0832	-3.08%	1.1525	+3.12%	0.0706	✓	1.34	2.5M	2022-03-22
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	18.7	18.0774	-3.33%	18.02	-3.64%	0.1185	✓	1.17	23.0M	2022-03-22
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.127	0.122677	-3.40%	0.105	-17.32%	0.2637	✓	1.09	51k	2022-03-22
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.49	1.4389	-3.43%	1.547	+3.83%	0.0493	✓	1.23	1.1M	2022-03-22
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6921	2.5949	-3.61%	2.4316	-9.68%	0.1874	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-03-22
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.09	25.142	-3.63%	28.03	+7.44%	0.0027	✓	1.07	57.6M	2022-03-22
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01266	0.012192	-3.70%	0.01287	+1.66%	0.0264	✓	0.82	15k	2022-03-22
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03634	0.034908	-3.94%	0.03923	+7.95%	0.0452	✗	0.72	1.9M	2022-03-22
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4602	0.441703	-4.02%	0.4064	-11.69%	0.2754	✓	1.94	2.0M	2022-03-22
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.48	2.3619	-4.76%	2.15	-13.31%	0.2114	✓	1.19	359k	2022-03-22
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.38	4.1637	-4.94%	3.81	-13.01%	0.2119	✓	1.25	1.9M	2022-03-22
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1343	0.12683	-5.56%	0.1349	+0.45%	0.0668	✓	1.30	3.3M	2022-03-22
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.97	6.5571	-5.92%	4.907	-29.60%	0.3152	✓	0.26	2.0M	2022-03-22
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.8141	1.7054	-5.99%	1.466	-19.19%	0.3007	✓	1.51	189k	2022-03-22
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.051219	0.048146	-6.00%	0.040562	-20.81%	0.2989	✓	1.29	7.5M	2022-03-22
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.96	1.8267	-6.80%	1.54	-21.43%	0.3493	✓	1.81	690k	2022-03-22
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.05	6.4768	-8.13%	4.97	-29.50%	0.3531	✓	0.89	682k	2022-03-22
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.95	0.865298	-8.92%	0.78	-17.89%	0.1771	✓	0.74	1.5M	2022-03-22

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.