2022-02-18 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3514

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+26.04%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

68.7%

in alpha space · 60.0% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+3.26%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.02552	0.026173	+2.56%	0.03255	+27.55%	0.1738	✓	1.38	10.9M	2022-03-20
SOL	Solana	Solana	89.9	90.461	+0.62%	88.64	-1.40%	0.0602	✗	1.24	179.7M	2022-03-20
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	145.64	146.4878	+0.58%	152.83	+4.94%	0.0032	✓	1.42	7.3M	2022-03-20
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.138612	0.139266	+0.47%	0.119124	-14.06%	0.1885	✗	1.01	5.6M	2022-03-20
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,780.08	2,783.51	+0.12%	2,862.44	+2.96%	0.0078	✗	1.12	588.4M	2022-03-20
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.247	0.247068	+0.03%	0.2056	-16.76%	0.2326	✗	1.52	3.8M	2022-03-20
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.05	2.0496	-0.02%	2.186	+6.63%	0.0310	✗	1.04	3.2M	2022-03-20
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.25	5.2476	-0.05%	6.31	+20.19%	0.1600	✗	0.76	415k	2022-03-20
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.16	10.153	-0.07%	9.33	-8.17%	0.1264	✓	1.31	11.7M	2022-03-20
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.97	5.957	-0.22%	7.97	+33.50%	0.2645	✗	0.83	398k	2022-03-20
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	55.59	55.3047	-0.51%	49.87	-10.29%	0.1443	✓	1.27	9.2M	2022-03-20
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.322	0.320322	-0.52%	0.814	+152.80%	0.8900	✗	1.33	2.3M	2022-03-20
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01279	0.012722	-0.53%	0.0125	-2.27%	0.0434	✓	0.80	15k	2022-03-20
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	114.85	114.224	-0.55%	114.88	+0.03%	0.0332	✓	1.21	31.6M	2022-03-20
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0978	0.097263	-0.55%	0.0911	-6.85%	0.1138	✓	1.50	919k	2022-03-20
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	113.58	112.9452	-0.56%	118.64	+4.46%	0.0166	✗	1.01	7.5M	2022-03-20
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	121.52	120.7707	-0.62%	116.01	-4.53%	0.0815	✓	1.29	59k	2022-03-20
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.44	14.3504	-0.62%	17.35	+20.15%	0.1570	✗	1.02	483k	2022-03-20
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.0548	2.0419	-0.63%	2.21	+7.55%	0.0393	✗	1.24	292k	2022-03-20
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6654	1.6546	-0.65%	2.1435	+28.71%	0.2230	✗	1.12	72k	2022-03-20
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.86	0.854202	-0.67%	0.847	-1.51%	0.0514	✓	1.34	2.4M	2022-03-20
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	50.61	50.2682	-0.68%	90.43	+78.68%	0.5420	✗	1.41	5.6M	2022-03-20
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4126	0.409716	-0.70%	0.3905	-5.36%	0.0927	✓	1.39	9.0M	2022-03-20
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.200634	0.199193	-0.72%	0.197329	-1.65%	0.0423	✓	1.02	22.0M	2022-03-20
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		87.44	86.8024	-0.73%	85.03	-2.76%	0.0490	✓	0.88	1.1M	2022-03-20
DASH	Dash	Dash	105.32	104.539	-0.74%	115.63	+9.79%	0.0656	✗	1.10	1.7M	2022-03-20
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.6403	6.5894	-0.77%	6.4475	-2.90%	0.0485	✓	0.83	3.6M	2022-03-20
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063085	0.062583	-0.80%	0.061551	-2.43%	0.0436	✓	0.84	330k	2022-03-20
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	310.22	307.6968	-0.81%	327.61	+5.61%	0.0313	✗	0.98	8.4M	2022-03-20
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	40,196.70	39,844.08	-0.88%	41,609.40	+3.51%	0.0121	✗	0.97	58k	2022-03-20
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.771	0.764212	-0.88%	0.64	-16.99%	0.2112	✓	1.05	1.9M	2022-03-20
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.903	6.842	-0.88%	6.486	-6.04%	0.0648	✓	0.35	36k	2022-03-20
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2677	0.265233	-0.92%	0.2994	+11.84%	0.0861	✗	1.09	538k	2022-03-20
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00516	0.005111	-0.95%	0.00365	-29.26%	0.3990	✓	1.94	15.8M	2022-03-20
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1446	0.1432	-0.97%	0.1522	+5.26%	0.0280	✗	1.03	470k	2022-03-20
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.9958	0.986069	-0.98%	0.879	-11.73%	0.1505	✓	1.11	98.1M	2022-03-20
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	17.83	17.653	-0.99%	18.66	+4.66%	0.0125	✗	1.34	32.8M	2022-03-20
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5229	0.517573	-1.02%	0.9266	+77.20%	0.5405	✗	1.30	2.3M	2022-03-20
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.518	1.5022	-1.04%	1.566	+3.16%	0.0048	✓	1.15	2.1M	2022-03-20
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.594984	0.588701	-1.06%	0.549424	-7.66%	0.1056	✓	1.14	3.6M	2022-03-20
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	150.07	148.4568	-1.07%	152.19	+1.41%	0.0127	✓	1.17	973k	2022-03-20
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.895	0.885307	-1.08%	0.7418	-17.12%	0.2165	✓	1.24	26.6M	2022-03-20
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04101	0.040566	-1.08%	0.04113	+0.29%	0.0212	✓	1.09	31k	2022-03-20
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.37	6.2991	-1.11%	6.14	-3.61%	0.0530	✓	0.86	449k	2022-03-20
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	109.21	107.9481	-1.16%	174.15	+59.46%	0.4404	✗	1.18	7.6M	2022-03-20
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	39,983.56	39,511.75	-1.18%	41,287.24	+3.26%	0.0119	✗	1.00	690.2M	2022-03-20
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.019599	0.019361	-1.21%	0.01861	-5.05%	0.0765	✓	1.15	2.4M	2022-03-20
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.389	6.31	-1.24%	4.884	-23.56%	0.2878	✓	0.99	407k	2022-03-20
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09046	0.089337	-1.24%	0.09509	+5.12%	0.0274	✗	1.09	50k	2022-03-20
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.67	7.5708	-1.29%	6.71	-12.52%	0.1268	✓	0.19	1.4M	2022-03-20
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4211	0.415539	-1.32%	0.3429	-18.57%	0.2383	✓	1.44	1.6M	2022-03-20
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.877	0.865404	-1.32%	0.8221	-6.26%	0.0983	✓	1.46	464k	2022-03-20
XVG	Verge	native	0.01063	0.010489	-1.33%	0.00932	-12.32%	0.1598	✓	1.30	1.2M	2022-03-20
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.2	14.9935	-1.36%	14.56	-4.21%	0.0678	✓	1.20	69.3M	2022-03-20
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.75452	0.743701	-1.43%	0.82107	+8.82%	0.0513	✗	1.48	334k	2022-03-20
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.43	2.3949	-1.44%	2.12	-12.76%	0.1607	✓	1.21	390k	2022-03-20
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.17	10.0229	-1.45%	12.22	+20.16%	0.1769	✗	0.66	821k	2022-03-20
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2543	0.250608	-1.45%	0.2472	-2.79%	0.0458	✓	1.00	1.8M	2022-03-20
XEC	eCash	native	0.0000786	0.000077447	-1.47%	0.00007941	+1.03%	0.0113	✓	1.13	4.8M	2022-03-20
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.99	0.975458	-1.47%	1.437	+45.15%	0.3466	✗	1.27	818k	2022-03-20
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.261	0.25714	-1.48%	0.244	-6.51%	0.0818	✓	0.91	73k	2022-03-20
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.552	19.2619	-1.48%	18.205	-6.89%	0.0954	✓	1.21	10.0M	2022-03-20
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	10.35	10.192	-1.53%	8.96	-13.43%	0.1685	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-03-20
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0797	0.078456	-1.56%	0.0748	-6.15%	0.0835	✓	1.11	210k	2022-03-20
XEM	NEM	native	0.1011	0.099486	-1.60%	0.0995	-1.58%	0.0324	✓	1.02	37k	2022-03-20
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02928	0.028811	-1.60%	0.02552	-12.84%	0.1485	✓	0.85	5.3M	2022-03-20
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.02	2.971	-1.62%	3.301	+9.30%	0.0803	✗	0.78	212k	2022-03-20
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.881	5.785	-1.63%	5.461	-7.14%	0.0833	✓	0.80	68k	2022-03-20
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.92	5.823	-1.64%	7.574	+27.94%	0.2305	✗	1.01	1.9M	2022-03-20
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.196	1.1761	-1.67%	1.119	-6.44%	0.0903	✓	1.26	2.6M	2022-03-20
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.96	28.4642	-1.71%	38.21	+31.94%	0.2602	✗	1.07	5.2M	2022-03-20
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.91	3.8423	-1.73%	3.24	-17.14%	0.2147	✓	1.38	7.8M	2022-03-20
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.93	6.8093	-1.74%	6.49	-6.35%	0.0600	✓	0.37	1.6M	2022-03-20
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.82	1.7872	-1.80%	1.88	+3.30%	0.0079	✓	1.33	2.1M	2022-03-20
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.104	1.084	-1.81%	1.194	+8.15%	0.0570	✗	1.23	3.3M	2022-03-20
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.59	1.5611	-1.82%	1.555	-2.20%	0.0431	✓	1.22	1.3M	2022-03-20
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.77	15.4713	-1.89%	15.84	+0.44%	0.0310	✓	1.70	3.1M	2022-03-20
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	21,934.46	21,507.40	-1.95%	19,923.17	-9.17%	0.1089	✓	1.01	6.5M	2022-03-20
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04965	0.048668	-1.98%	0.04968	+0.06%	0.0233	✓	1.37	1.0M	2022-03-20
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5682	0.556952	-1.98%	0.4472	-21.30%	0.2653	✓	1.43	665k	2022-03-20
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002815	0.000027587	-2.00%	0.00002312	-17.87%	0.2210	✓	1.38	3.8M	2022-03-20
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1967	0.192749	-2.01%	0.2035	+3.46%	0.0104	✓	1.37	3.5M	2022-03-20
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.2	14.8872	-2.06%	12.86	-15.39%	0.1683	✓	0.68	1.7M	2022-03-20
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.09	42.1958	-2.08%	44.03	+2.18%	0.0051	✓	1.17	29.5M	2022-03-20
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1609	0.157526	-2.10%	0.1358	-15.60%	0.1696	✓	0.66	372k	2022-03-20
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07167	0.070134	-2.14%	0.07518	+4.90%	0.0449	✗	0.77	88k	2022-03-20
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.6234	3.5451	-2.16%	3.3362	-7.93%	0.1012	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-03-20
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.2333	7.0757	-2.18%	6.9787	-3.52%	0.0604	✓	1.45	179k	2022-03-20
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	29.08	28.4268	-2.25%	29.09	+0.03%	0.0068	✓	0.93	1.2M	2022-03-20
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01204	0.011764	-2.29%	0.01172	-2.66%	0.0540	✓	1.57	2.2M	2022-03-20
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0682	0.066621	-2.32%	0.0749	+9.82%	0.0828	✗	1.07	17k	2022-03-20
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.076	3.0042	-2.33%	4.2046	+36.69%	0.3043	✗	0.99	2.4M	2022-03-20
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0419	1.0176	-2.34%	1.0804	+3.69%	0.0260	✗	1.06	193k	2022-03-20
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.3	5.1746	-2.37%	4.85	-8.49%	0.0977	✓	1.03	701k	2022-03-20
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.494	0.482302	-2.37%	0.419	-15.18%	0.1852	✓	1.39	4.7M	2022-03-20
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.85	26.1632	-2.56%	27.83	+3.65%	0.0283	✗	1.04	64.2M	2022-03-20
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.38	2.3191	-2.56%	2.35	-1.26%	0.0196	✓	1.02	342k	2022-03-20
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.716	4.5932	-2.60%	4.965	+5.28%	0.0518	✗	0.81	383k	2022-03-20
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00961	0.009359	-2.61%	0.00918	-4.47%	0.0522	✓	1.02	504k	2022-03-20
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.222	2.1639	-2.62%	2.227	+0.23%	0.0048	✓	1.04	20k	2022-03-20
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.581	2.5134	-2.62%	6.238	+141.69%	0.8679	✗	1.28	911k	2022-03-20
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.51	19.9655	-2.65%	19.62	-4.34%	0.0665	✓	1.53	383k	2022-03-20
XMR	Monero	Monero	160.94	156.6449	-2.67%	194.71	+20.98%	0.1851	✗	1.01	1.2M	2022-03-20
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.01	24.3402	-2.68%	26.24	+4.92%	0.0270	✓	1.50	2.0M	2022-03-20
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4198	0.408383	-2.72%	0.3394	-19.15%	0.2384	✓	1.66	17.8M	2022-03-20
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.61	1.566	-2.74%	1.12	-30.43%	0.3742	✓	1.21	1.2M	2022-03-20
ZEN	Horizen	Base	37.11	36.0666	-2.81%	41.02	+10.54%	0.0795	✗	1.53	405k	2022-03-20
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.9795	2.8949	-2.84%	2.1688	-27.21%	0.3191	✓	0.95	27k	2022-03-20
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.674	1.626	-2.87%	1.444	-13.74%	0.1627	✓	1.37	1.1M	2022-03-20
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.29	5.135	-2.93%	4.45	-15.88%	0.1766	✓	1.04	517k	2022-03-20
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17101	0.165929	-2.97%	0.15317	-10.43%	0.1262	✓	1.44	32k	2022-03-20
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.015984	0.015505	-3.00%	0.01417	-11.35%	0.1253	✓	1.10	335k	2022-03-20
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8015	0.777069	-3.05%	0.7517	-6.21%	0.0675	✓	1.07	10.8M	2022-03-20
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1093	3.0141	-3.06%	3.8011	+22.25%	0.2013	✗	0.96	2.5M	2022-03-20
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.61	19.0086	-3.07%	16.77	-14.48%	0.1623	✓	1.15	23.7M	2022-03-20
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.35	4.2139	-3.13%	4.8674	+11.90%	0.1060	✗	1.19	330k	2022-03-20
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.7	4.5529	-3.13%	3.584	-23.74%	0.2785	✓	1.22	1.9M	2022-03-20
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.89	0.861884	-3.16%	0.64	-28.09%	0.3610	✓	1.97	1.2M	2022-03-20
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5612	0.543103	-3.22%	0.5158	-8.09%	0.0805	✓	0.90	780k	2022-03-20
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	21.02	20.3356	-3.26%	17.65	-16.03%	0.1808	✓	1.22	10.8M	2022-03-20
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000205	0.000001979	-3.47%	0.00000182	-11.22%	0.1158	✓	1.00	14.3M	2022-03-20
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.81	2.7112	-3.51%	2.15	-23.49%	0.2804	✓	1.51	15.4M	2022-03-20
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9999	0.963678	-3.62%	0.9064	-9.35%	0.1110	✓	1.55	1.9M	2022-03-20
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	83.75	80.6395	-3.71%	84.85	+1.31%	0.0064	✓	1.39	110.8M	2022-03-20
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.37	4.2042	-3.79%	5.219	+19.43%	0.1770	✗	1.22	2.5M	2022-03-20
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.708	5.4901	-3.82%	6.0638	+6.23%	0.0874	✗	0.37	441k	2022-03-20
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.026937	0.025905	-3.83%	0.024805	-7.91%	0.0800	✓	1.14	88k	2022-03-20
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.1176	2.0353	-3.89%	3.2419	+53.09%	0.4480	✗	0.55	3.1M	2022-03-20
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.58	1.5165	-4.02%	1.465	-7.28%	0.0782	✓	1.36	2.7M	2022-03-20
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0302	0.028956	-4.12%	0.02543	-15.79%	0.1761	✓	1.44	493k	2022-03-20
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.0487	0.046681	-4.15%	0.040072	-17.72%	0.1915	✓	1.21	7.5M	2022-03-20
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1365	0.130696	-4.25%	0.1247	-8.64%	0.0878	✓	1.27	3.3M	2022-03-20
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.85	2.7206	-4.54%	2.15	-24.56%	0.2675	✓	1.00	737k	2022-03-20
STX	Stacks	native	1.35	1.2861	-4.74%	1.26	-6.67%	0.0526	✓	1.00	911k	2022-03-20
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.181	3.0294	-4.77%	4.103	+28.98%	0.2750	✗	0.88	481k	2022-03-20
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.97	2.8272	-4.81%	2.3992	-19.22%	0.2021	✓	1.18	3.3M	2022-03-20
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.93	2.7886	-4.82%	2.43	-17.06%	0.1697	✓	1.00	736k	2022-03-20
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	83.1979	79.1028	-4.92%	59.6685	-28.28%	0.3293	✓	1.47	315k	2022-03-20
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.5205	0.493574	-5.17%	0.4042	-22.34%	0.2593	✓	1.86	1.9M	2022-03-20
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0602	0.057009	-5.30%	0.0662	+9.97%	0.0938	✗	1.73	64.3M	2022-03-20
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.07	1.0079	-5.81%	0.94	-12.15%	0.1018	✓	1.00	271k	2022-03-20
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.017	1.8995	-5.82%	1.647	-18.34%	0.1747	✓	1.00	68k	2022-03-20
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0812	0.07637	-5.95%	0.0705	-13.18%	0.1227	✓	1.33	1.1M	2022-03-20
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04094	0.038443	-6.10%	0.04486	+9.57%	0.1317	✗	0.71	1.9M	2022-03-20
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6049	1.5033	-6.33%	1.4713	-8.32%	0.0700	✓	1.51	164k	2022-03-20
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.139	0.12957	-6.78%	0.106	-23.74%	0.2358	✓	1.09	57k	2022-03-20
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.01	5.6003	-6.82%	4.773	-20.58%	0.1664	✓	0.20	1.8M	2022-03-20
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	3.889	3.5755	-8.06%	2.68	-31.09%	0.3244	✓	1.13	593k	2022-03-20
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.15	1.9711	-8.32%	1.72	-20.00%	0.1937	✓	1.79	744k	2022-03-20
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.0542	0.946308	-10.23%	0.7809	-25.92%	0.2167	✓	0.77	1.5M	2022-03-20

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.