2022-02-17 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3344

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+16.91%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

70.7%

in alpha space · 59.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+4.18%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0969	0.101534	+4.78%	0.0886	-8.57%	0.1981	✗	1.51	944k	2022-03-19
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.0054	0.005593	+3.58%	0.0036	-33.33%	0.5203	✗	1.94	16.8M	2022-03-19
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.02758	0.028439	+3.11%	0.03602	+30.60%	0.1805	✓	1.36	11.0M	2022-03-19
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.78	16.1864	+2.58%	16.43	+4.12%	0.0540	✗	1.68	3.2M	2022-03-19
SOL	Solana	Solana	93.56	94.9434	+1.48%	92.39	-1.25%	0.0778	✗	1.23	179.7M	2022-03-19
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0849	0.086059	+1.36%	0.0761	-10.37%	0.1692	✗	1.13	201k	2022-03-19
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	119.39	120.1287	+0.62%	119.96	+0.48%	0.0426	✗	1.00	7.6M	2022-03-19
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1008	2.1119	+0.53%	2.2702	+8.07%	0.0219	✓	1.23	315k	2022-03-19
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.138407	0.139125	+0.52%	0.123635	-10.67%	0.1590	✗	1.00	5.9M	2022-03-19
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.13	2.1407	+0.50%	2.084	-2.16%	0.0694	✗	1.04	3.2M	2022-03-19
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	40,651.20	40,839.79	+0.46%	42,269.50	+3.98%	0.0055	✗	0.97	58k	2022-03-19
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0608	0.060982	+0.30%	0.066	+8.55%	0.0078	✓	1.74	64.3M	2022-03-19
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.66	1.665	+0.30%	1.21	-27.11%	0.3689	✗	1.21	1.2M	2022-03-19
XVG	Verge	native	0.0107	0.010724	+0.23%	0.00967	-9.63%	0.1572	✗	1.31	1.2M	2022-03-19
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.43	29.4847	+0.19%	33.99	+15.49%	0.0987	✓	1.06	5.4M	2022-03-19
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.541	1.5429	+0.12%	1.639	+6.36%	0.0134	✓	1.15	2.1M	2022-03-19
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.45	5.4493	-0.01%	4.65	-14.68%	0.2016	✓	1.05	532k	2022-03-19
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.41	10.4027	-0.07%	9.74	-6.44%	0.1194	✓	1.31	11.7M	2022-03-19
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	152.99	152.6355	-0.23%	157.26	+2.79%	0.0275	✓	1.40	7.8M	2022-03-19
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	313.15	312.3121	-0.27%	328.01	+4.75%	0.0091	✗	0.98	8.4M	2022-03-19
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.542	0.540138	-0.34%	0.8804	+62.44%	0.4352	✗	1.30	2.4M	2022-03-19
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0203	1.0157	-0.45%	0.903	-11.50%	0.1630	✓	1.11	102.4M	2022-03-19
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.334	0.332475	-0.46%	0.698	+108.98%	0.6861	✗	1.36	2.3M	2022-03-19
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	50.27	50.0379	-0.46%	92.1	+83.21%	0.5522	✗	1.41	6.1M	2022-03-19
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.58	14.5083	-0.49%	22.51	+54.39%	0.3974	✗	1.02	483k	2022-03-19
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.5502	5.5203	-0.54%	6.054	+9.08%	0.0768	✗	0.38	441k	2022-03-19
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	155.14	154.2638	-0.56%	146.84	-5.35%	0.0973	✓	1.17	973k	2022-03-19
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		87.71	87.1087	-0.69%	83.33	-4.99%	0.0807	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-03-19
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.883	0.876946	-0.69%	0.936	+6.00%	0.0061	✓	1.44	501k	2022-03-19
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.062402	0.061969	-0.69%	0.061921	-0.77%	0.0352	✓	0.84	344k	2022-03-19
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00987	0.009796	-0.75%	0.00981	-0.61%	0.0408	✓	1.03	489k	2022-03-19
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.69	1.6746	-0.91%	1.588	-6.04%	0.1088	✓	1.36	2.7M	2022-03-19
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6239	0.617956	-0.95%	0.4542	-27.20%	0.3663	✓	1.43	665k	2022-03-19
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,893.56	2,865.58	-0.97%	2,952.16	+2.03%	0.0158	✓	1.11	588.4M	2022-03-19
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.894	0.885144	-0.99%	0.863	-3.47%	0.0804	✓	1.34	2.4M	2022-03-19
ZEN	Horizen	Base	36.74	36.357	-1.04%	41.99	+14.29%	0.0807	✗	1.55	405k	2022-03-19
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	40,536.73	40,060.90	-1.17%	42,232.26	+4.18%	0.0118	✓	1.00	686.5M	2022-03-19
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.107	7.0225	-1.19%	7.016	-1.28%	0.0154	✓	0.35	37k	2022-03-19
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.202261	0.199839	-1.20%	0.20054	-0.85%	0.0379	✓	1.01	21.9M	2022-03-19
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	56.37	55.6705	-1.24%	52.05	-7.66%	0.1191	✓	1.27	9.2M	2022-03-19
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	116.39	114.8922	-1.29%	116.82	+0.37%	0.0332	✓	1.22	31.6M	2022-03-19
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.742	0.73243	-1.29%	0.654	-11.86%	0.1570	✓	1.07	1.9M	2022-03-19
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1536	0.151598	-1.30%	0.155	+0.91%	0.0200	✓	1.03	470k	2022-03-19
XMR	Monero	Monero	163.89	161.6697	-1.35%	197.76	+20.67%	0.1600	✗	1.01	1.2M	2022-03-19
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	11.44	11.2786	-1.41%	9.14	-20.10%	0.2603	✓	1.22	3.2M	2022-03-19
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0698	0.068808	-1.42%	0.07384	+5.79%	0.0267	✗	1.07	17k	2022-03-19
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002821	0.000027806	-1.43%	0.00002416	-14.36%	0.1973	✓	1.38	3.5M	2022-03-19
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.3	20.9939	-1.44%	20.56	-3.47%	0.0831	✓	1.52	387k	2022-03-19
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.58	6.4825	-1.48%	6.3214	-3.93%	0.0591	✓	0.83	3.7M	2022-03-19
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.35	15.1216	-1.49%	13.17	-14.20%	0.1660	✓	0.68	1.7M	2022-03-19
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020359	0.020036	-1.59%	0.02061	+1.23%	0.0187	✓	1.15	2.4M	2022-03-19
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.76017	0.748035	-1.60%	0.84022	+10.53%	0.0561	✗	1.47	334k	2022-03-19
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6695	1.6426	-1.61%	2.1759	+30.33%	0.2346	✗	1.14	72k	2022-03-19
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.71	19.3917	-1.61%	18.631	-5.47%	0.0905	✓	1.23	10.0M	2022-03-19
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.54	5.4504	-1.62%	4.69	-15.34%	0.1919	✓	1.02	701k	2022-03-19
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0731	1.0548	-1.71%	1.0989	+2.41%	0.0025	✓	1.06	189k	2022-03-19
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.142	1.1222	-1.74%	1.285	+12.52%	0.0849	✗	1.24	3.4M	2022-03-19
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2746	0.269632	-1.81%	0.2986	+8.74%	0.0555	✗	1.14	538k	2022-03-19
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.499	6.3774	-1.87%	5.261	-19.05%	0.2327	✓	0.98	407k	2022-03-19
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.567	4.4795	-1.92%	4.875	+6.74%	0.0516	✗	0.81	379k	2022-03-19
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.62107	0.609113	-1.93%	0.547794	-11.80%	0.1524	✓	1.13	3.6M	2022-03-19
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.231	2.188	-1.93%	2.249	+0.81%	0.0156	✓	1.05	20k	2022-03-19
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.0902	0.088447	-1.94%	0.09651	+7.00%	0.0425	✗	1.09	50k	2022-03-19
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05215	0.051116	-1.98%	0.05148	-1.28%	0.0492	✓	1.37	1.1M	2022-03-19
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.24	10.0357	-2.00%	12.43	+21.39%	0.1872	✗	0.65	821k	2022-03-19
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.268	0.262411	-2.09%	0.239	-10.82%	0.1302	✓	0.90	70k	2022-03-19
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16982	0.166265	-2.09%	0.15441	-9.07%	0.1327	✓	1.43	32k	2022-03-19
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.015816	0.015485	-2.10%	0.012233	-22.65%	0.2810	✓	1.11	417k	2022-03-19
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8222	0.804936	-2.10%	0.7509	-8.67%	0.1130	✓	1.06	11.6M	2022-03-19
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.9	1.8597	-2.12%	1.93	+1.58%	0.0178	✓	1.34	2.1M	2022-03-19
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.16	17.7736	-2.13%	19.42	+6.94%	0.0339	✗	1.34	32.8M	2022-03-19
XEM	NEM	native	0.1047	0.102466	-2.13%	0.1011	-3.44%	0.0550	✓	1.01	37k	2022-03-19
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.72	42.7861	-2.14%	44.92	+2.74%	0.0010	✓	1.16	30.4M	2022-03-19
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.36	5.2446	-2.15%	6.43	+19.96%	0.1731	✗	0.75	415k	2022-03-19
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.3132	3.2407	-2.19%	3.779	+14.06%	0.1150	✗	0.94	2.3M	2022-03-19
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.54	24.9677	-2.24%	27.71	+8.50%	0.0435	✗	1.48	2.0M	2022-03-19
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.03	5.8897	-2.33%	8.09	+34.16%	0.2835	✗	0.83	435k	2022-03-19
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1642	0.160336	-2.35%	0.137	-16.57%	0.1843	✓	0.66	388k	2022-03-19
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2558	0.249583	-2.43%	0.2115	-17.32%	0.2280	✓	1.52	3.9M	2022-03-19
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.6	15.2132	-2.48%	15.01	-3.78%	0.0622	✓	1.19	69.3M	2022-03-19
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	113.58	110.6531	-2.58%	179.68	+58.20%	0.4354	✗	1.21	7.6M	2022-03-19
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0825	0.080344	-2.61%	0.072	-12.73%	0.1639	✓	1.32	966k	2022-03-19
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04103	0.039938	-2.66%	0.04149	+1.12%	0.0070	✓	1.10	32k	2022-03-19
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2525	0.245646	-2.71%	0.2536	+0.44%	0.0091	✓	1.00	1.8M	2022-03-19
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.227	3.139	-2.73%	4.1949	+29.99%	0.2492	✗	0.99	2.4M	2022-03-19
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	26.61	25.8748	-2.76%	29.06	+9.21%	0.0775	✗	0.94	1.2M	2022-03-19
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.42	6.2408	-2.79%	6.42	+0.00%	0.0065	✓	0.85	449k	2022-03-19
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.08	2.994	-2.79%	3.33	+8.12%	0.0748	✗	0.77	212k	2022-03-19
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07416	0.072073	-2.81%	0.07465	+0.66%	0.0038	✓	0.77	89k	2022-03-19
HIVE	Hive	native	1.0138	0.985128	-2.83%	0.9324	-8.03%	0.1185	✓	1.55	1.9M	2022-03-19
STX	Stacks	native	1.4	1.3601	-2.85%	1.32	-5.71%	0.0709	✓	1.00	963k	2022-03-19
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.92	2.8364	-2.86%	2.13	-27.05%	0.3274	✓	1.00	775k	2022-03-19
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.268	3.1734	-2.89%	3.759	+15.02%	0.1332	✗	0.88	481k	2022-03-19
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.6686	3.561	-2.93%	3.2577	-11.20%	0.1409	✓	1.27	2.4M	2022-03-19
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.46	7.241	-2.94%	6.3	-15.55%	0.1481	✓	0.22	1.3M	2022-03-19
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.2781	2.2096	-3.01%	3.3286	+46.11%	0.3875	✗	0.54	3.1M	2022-03-19
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.3951	4.2602	-3.07%	4.7092	+7.14%	0.0521	✗	1.17	335k	2022-03-19
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4073	0.394712	-3.09%	0.3541	-13.06%	0.1766	✓	1.66	18.6M	2022-03-19
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8983	0.869663	-3.19%	0.7651	-14.83%	0.1781	✓	1.22	26.6M	2022-03-19
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01258	0.012176	-3.21%	0.01239	-1.51%	0.0154	✓	0.80	15k	2022-03-19
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4369	0.422529	-3.29%	0.4109	-5.95%	0.0844	✓	1.38	8.9M	2022-03-19
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.07	1.0346	-3.31%	1.512	+41.31%	0.3250	✗	1.33	751k	2022-03-19
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.89	2.7914	-3.41%	2.15	-25.61%	0.3021	✓	1.00	723k	2022-03-19
DASH	Dash	Dash	104.76	101.1683	-3.43%	103.03	-1.65%	0.0268	✓	1.10	1.8M	2022-03-19
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.015	6.7738	-3.44%	6.3544	-9.42%	0.1236	✓	1.46	165k	2022-03-19
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.4641	3.3436	-3.48%	2.2005	-36.48%	0.4566	✓	0.93	28k	2022-03-19
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4344	0.419281	-3.48%	0.3558	-18.09%	0.2238	✓	1.46	1.8M	2022-03-19
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	123.7	119.3414	-3.52%	118.78	-3.98%	0.0574	✓	1.28	65k	2022-03-19
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007849	0.000075714	-3.54%	0.00008321	+6.01%	0.0482	✗	1.13	4.8M	2022-03-19
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.59	4.4261	-3.57%	5.173	+12.70%	0.1061	✗	1.22	2.6M	2022-03-19
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2015	0.194197	-3.62%	0.2114	+4.91%	0.0290	✓	1.36	3.6M	2022-03-19
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.94	0.905712	-3.65%	0.66	-29.79%	0.3972	✓	1.97	1.2M	2022-03-19
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000206	0.000001984	-3.69%	0.00000187	-9.22%	0.1001	✓	1.00	14.2M	2022-03-19
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	88.28	85.0009	-3.71%	89.58	+1.47%	0.0052	✓	1.41	106.7M	2022-03-19
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.47	2.375	-3.85%	2.4	-2.83%	0.0313	✓	1.02	361k	2022-03-19
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01178	0.011309	-4.00%	0.01214	+3.06%	0.0070	✓	1.56	2.0M	2022-03-19
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2511	1.2006	-4.04%	1.1565	-7.57%	0.0898	✓	1.28	2.5M	2022-03-19
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5558	0.533261	-4.06%	0.5182	-6.77%	0.0657	✓	0.90	804k	2022-03-19
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02995	0.028729	-4.08%	0.02695	-10.02%	0.0987	✓	0.85	5.8M	2022-03-19
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.668	2.5592	-4.08%	5.895	+120.95%	0.7819	✗	1.28	986k	2022-03-19
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.1	5.847	-4.15%	5.284	-13.38%	0.1344	✓	0.81	71k	2022-03-19
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.95	3.7851	-4.18%	3.36	-14.94%	0.1752	✓	1.37	8.2M	2022-03-19
API3	Api3	Ethereum	5	4.7807	-4.39%	5.02	+0.40%	0.0393	✓	0.23	1.8M	2022-03-19
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.493	0.470593	-4.55%	0.435	-11.76%	0.1360	✓	1.40	4.5M	2022-03-19
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.4805	1.41	-4.76%	1.5032	+1.53%	0.0015	✓	1.53	144k	2022-03-19
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.1	6.7542	-4.87%	7.03	-0.99%	0.0249	✓	0.37	1.7M	2022-03-19
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.105	2.0023	-4.88%	1.718	-18.38%	0.1941	✓	1.00	76k	2022-03-19
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.741	1.655	-4.94%	1.51	-13.27%	0.1474	✓	1.36	1.1M	2022-03-19
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.026932	0.025593	-4.97%	0.019485	-27.65%	0.3198	✓	1.15	89k	2022-03-19
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	22,441.70	21,324.19	-4.98%	20,673.79	-7.88%	0.0720	✓	1.00	6.9M	2022-03-19
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.54	19.4946	-5.09%	18.21	-11.34%	0.1182	✓	1.22	10.8M	2022-03-19
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1568	0.148641	-5.20%	0.1318	-15.94%	0.1718	✓	1.26	3.3M	2022-03-19
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.124	0.117545	-5.21%	0.11	-11.29%	0.1126	✓	1.13	57k	2022-03-19
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.65	1.5622	-5.32%	1.635	-0.91%	0.0044	✓	1.22	1.3M	2022-03-19
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.051055	0.048302	-5.39%	0.042197	-17.35%	0.1845	✓	1.21	7.6M	2022-03-19
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.0801	2.9052	-5.68%	2.508	-18.58%	0.1941	✓	1.15	3.3M	2022-03-19
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.56	2.4026	-6.15%	2.16	-15.62%	0.1551	✓	1.19	390k	2022-03-19
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.91	2.7269	-6.29%	2.286	-21.44%	0.2375	✓	1.49	15.9M	2022-03-19
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	85.9444	80.4651	-6.38%	56.5062	-34.25%	0.4150	✓	1.50	315k	2022-03-19
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.44	4.1554	-6.41%	3.81	-14.19%	0.1373	✓	1.23	1.9M	2022-03-19
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.03	5.6372	-6.51%	7.689	+27.51%	0.2696	✗	1.00	1.9M	2022-03-19
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	28.08	26.2419	-6.55%	28.65	+2.03%	0.0451	✓	1.04	66.4M	2022-03-19
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.5382	0.502592	-6.62%	0.4445	-17.41%	0.1979	✓	1.83	1.8M	2022-03-19
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.86	18.5168	-6.76%	17.62	-11.28%	0.0970	✓	1.16	24.4M	2022-03-19
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0309	0.028754	-6.95%	0.02698	-12.69%	0.1232	✓	1.45	499k	2022-03-19
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.2	1.0936	-8.86%	0.94	-21.67%	0.1924	✓	1.00	270k	2022-03-19
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04378	0.03964	-9.46%	0.03453	-21.13%	0.1667	✓	0.70	2.0M	2022-03-19
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.17	1.9563	-9.85%	1.53	-29.49%	0.3193	✓	1.79	782k	2022-03-19
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	4.316	3.863	-10.50%	2.85	-33.97%	0.3496	✓	1.11	620k	2022-03-19
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2327	1.0553	-14.39%	0.766	-37.86%	0.3504	✓	0.73	1.5M	2022-03-19

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.