8=======>

2022-02-13 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2023
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+17.21%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.7%
in alpha space · 82.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.60%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.030660.031012+1.15%0.01762-42.53%0.4894✗1.119.8M2022-03-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1487270.149323+0.40%0.112562-24.32%0.2116✗1.047.0M2022-03-15
SOLSolanaSolana92.9292.9884+0.07%82.85-10.84%0.0289✗1.27179.7M2022-03-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.417.3997-0.14%5.85-21.05%0.2147✓0.301.2M2022-03-15
ETHEthereumEthereum2,872.842,864.94-0.27%2,619.15-8.83%0.0126✓1.13572.6M2022-03-15
AAVEAaveEthereum158.29157.5511-0.47%122.06-22.89%0.1590✓1.418.6M2022-03-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.1315.054-0.50%12.6-16.72%0.1054✓1.06483k2022-03-15
NANOnanopayBase2.11442.1029-0.54%1.7127-19.00%0.1216✓1.22486k2022-03-15
XVSVenusEthereum8.78.6502-0.57%8.49-2.41%0.0718✗1.332.8M2022-03-15
UNIUniswapEthereum10.3510.2876-0.60%8.72-15.75%0.0736✓1.3412.5M2022-03-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.55.4638-0.66%6.53+18.73%0.2338✗0.81398k2022-03-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.880.872938-0.80%0.771-12.39%0.0295✓1.392.4M2022-03-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.042590.042229-0.85%0.04009-5.87%0.0256✗1.1430k2022-03-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash333.81330.7468-0.92%289.44-13.29%0.0633✓1.038.9M2022-03-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.28120.278582-0.93%0.2536-9.82%0.0172✓1.12538k2022-03-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.40620.402274-0.97%0.4259+4.85%0.1485✗1.348.7M2022-03-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.72791.7101-1.03%2.019+16.84%0.2426✗1.1269k2022-03-15
XEMNEMnative0.110.108813-1.08%0.0945-14.09%0.0681✓1.0737k2022-03-15
QNTQuantEthereum121.97120.6176-1.11%110.23-9.63%0.0197✓1.037.8M2022-03-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.005790.005725-1.12%0.00345-40.41%0.3683✓2.0218.8M2022-03-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7470.738509-1.14%0.611-18.21%0.1139✓1.111.6M2022-03-15
XLMStellarStellar0.2103110.207915-1.14%0.182627-13.16%0.0583✓1.0523.0M2022-03-15
LUNATerraTerra 251.8951.2697-1.20%88.57+70.69%0.6442✗1.437.4M2022-03-15
QTUMQtumQtum6.51066.4313-1.22%5.721-12.13%0.0182✓1.45145k2022-03-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.26880.265499-1.23%0.1917-28.68%0.2191✓1.564.2M2022-03-15
DASHDashDash102.03100.7536-1.25%95.14-6.75%0.0208✗1.142.0M2022-03-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0214690.021191-1.30%0.01617-24.68%0.1864✓1.232.4M2022-03-15
IMXImmutableEthereum2.292.26-1.31%1.511-34.02%0.3362✓0.973.0M2022-03-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.496.4038-1.33%7.92+22.03%0.2702✗0.84441k2022-03-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.7518.5003-1.33%17.81-5.01%0.0555✗1.3734.9M2022-03-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.095180.093909-1.33%0.09171-3.65%0.0506✗1.0951k2022-03-15
COMPCompoundEthereum124.43122.7442-1.35%104.05-16.38%0.0773✓1.2954k2022-03-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.1427.7532-1.37%27.1-3.70%0.0424✗0.971.1M2022-03-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013620.013427-1.41%0.01185-13.00%0.0709✓0.7913k2022-03-15
TRXTRONTron0.0645880.063675-1.41%0.060553-6.25%0.0126✓0.92344k2022-03-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum58.0857.2533-1.42%46.86-19.32%0.1153✓1.258.8M2022-03-15
GTGateEthereum6.77266.6757-1.43%6.305-6.90%0.0039✓0.894.0M2022-03-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin125.67123.858-1.44%106.94-14.90%0.0588✓1.2934.8M2022-03-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16110.158774-1.44%0.1451-9.93%0.0183✓1.05470k2022-03-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.61.5764-1.48%1.481-7.44%0.0175✗1.171.9M2022-03-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.609390.600206-1.51%0.490642-19.49%0.1214✓1.173.5M2022-03-15
ADACardanoCardano1.04311.027-1.54%0.7992-23.38%0.1737✓1.13115.7M2022-03-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.636.5266-1.56%6.86+3.47%0.1114✗0.90416k2022-03-15
UOSUltraEthereum1.010.993587-1.62%1.1206+10.96%0.2023✗1.202.3M2022-03-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3790.372775-1.64%0.462+21.90%0.3079✗1.372.3M2022-03-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.80760.793824-1.71%0.78447-2.86%0.0914✗1.51299k2022-03-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07140.070178-1.71%0.07459+4.47%0.1375✗1.1217k2022-03-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.9035.8005-1.74%4.941-16.30%0.1004✓0.8872k2022-03-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.4430.43504-1.80%0.3117-29.64%0.2304✓1.512.0M2022-03-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,091.2041,324.74-1.82%39,353.60-6.50%0.0175✓0.9742k2022-03-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,074.9941,307.60-1.82%39,298.10-6.60%0.0184✗1.00642.7M2022-03-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV92.5290.8191-1.84%75.84-18.03%0.1185✓0.901.2M2022-03-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.615.3118-1.85%13.7-12.18%0.0287✓1.2170.2M2022-03-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.89670.880103-1.85%0.7163-20.12%0.1290✓1.1326.7M2022-03-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0840.082413-1.89%0.0682-18.81%0.1050✓1.24195k2022-03-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2910.285444-1.91%0.221-24.05%0.1913✓0.9577k2022-03-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.91.8632-1.94%1.02-46.32%0.5215✓1.191.4M2022-03-15
KSMKusamaHydration163.53160.3131-1.97%125.47-23.27%0.1621✓1.22930k2022-03-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.10250.100468-1.98%0.0863-15.80%0.0442✓1.581.2M2022-03-15
XECeCashnative0.000081770.000080143-1.99%0.00007953-2.74%0.0711✗1.155.5M2022-03-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.0526.909-2.03%4.502-36.16%0.3582✓1.03407k2022-03-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.061.0384-2.04%0.92-13.21%0.0249✓1.41655k2022-03-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.8216.4732-2.06%13.34-20.69%0.0916✓1.753.7M2022-03-15
STORJStorjEthereum1.13341.1096-2.09%1-11.77%0.0318✓1.06239k2022-03-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.53450.523289-2.10%0.7126+33.32%0.3990✗1.322.4M2022-03-15
XVGVergenative0.010990.010758-2.11%0.00872-20.66%0.1143✓1.401.2M2022-03-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.531.8058-2.14%25.82-20.55%0.1358✓1.064.9M2022-03-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.030050.029408-2.14%0.02452-18.40%0.1222✓0.876.2M2022-03-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1393.0716-2.15%3.233+2.99%0.1074✗0.82215k2022-03-15
KCSKuCoinnative19.12618.7055-2.20%18.08-5.47%0.0594✗1.3710.2M2022-03-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.20090.196333-2.27%0.1914-4.73%0.0717✗1.423.7M2022-03-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.0710.8173-2.28%11.22+1.36%0.0860✗0.72660k2022-03-15
BANDBandEthereum4.063.9662-2.31%3.446-15.12%0.0550✓1.251.9M2022-03-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.661.6209-2.36%1.354-18.43%0.0934✓1.271.4M2022-03-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011930.011647-2.37%0.01106-7.29%0.0537✗1.541.7M2022-03-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.8617.4294-2.41%12.77-28.50%0.2615✓0.731.1M2022-03-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.91510.892744-2.44%0.6774-25.98%0.1707✓1.54637k2022-03-15
XTZTezosTezos3.85463.7595-2.47%2.9767-22.78%0.1439✓1.312.4M2022-03-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.27710.270201-2.49%0.2348-15.27%0.0662✓1.091.6M2022-03-15
MINAMina Protocolnative2.372.3106-2.51%1.64-30.80%0.2541✓1.30383k2022-03-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.075340.073451-2.51%0.07211-4.29%0.0333✗0.7684k2022-03-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.277.0843-2.55%5.36-26.27%0.2542✓0.361.7M2022-03-15
DODODODOEthereum0.4990.48617-2.57%0.377-24.45%0.1542✓1.474.5M2022-03-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum21.9468-2.66%1.71-14.50%0.0396✓1.322.2M2022-03-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum22,889.9122,277.38-2.68%18,500.04-19.18%0.1201✓0.967.6M2022-03-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.522.4524-2.68%2.19-13.10%0.0425✓1.04415k2022-03-15
ZECZcashZcash117.13113.9065-2.75%136.27+16.34%0.2659✗1.277.2M2022-03-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.42070.409057-2.77%0.3344-20.51%0.0797✓1.7829.1M2022-03-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.8625.1367-2.80%23.06-10.83%0.0185✓1.532.0M2022-03-15
RADRadworksEthereum5.455.294-2.86%4.34-20.37%0.1246✓1.08701k2022-03-15
UMAUMAEthereum6.015.8339-2.93%7.638+27.09%0.3402✗1.041.9M2022-03-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.664.5231-2.94%4.452-4.46%0.0423✗0.85369k2022-03-15
SCSiacoinnative0.010360.010054-2.95%0.00867-16.31%0.0773✓1.04489k2022-03-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.47863.3752-2.97%3.8873+11.75%0.2183✗1.132.5M2022-03-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030110.000029211-2.99%0.00002162-28.20%0.2041✓1.421.8M2022-03-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.62960.610699-3.00%0.3755-40.36%0.3802✓1.55723k2022-03-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0163240.015832-3.02%0.01145-29.86%0.2428✓1.19573k2022-03-15
FTTFTXEthereum44.3242.9783-3.03%41.02-7.45%0.0343✗1.1931.6M2022-03-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7542.6702-3.04%5.359+94.59%0.7891✗1.351.0M2022-03-15
XYMSymbolnative0.16860.163414-3.08%0.1317-21.89%0.1666✓0.72388k2022-03-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.052670.051022-3.13%0.04553-13.56%0.0175✓1.411.2M2022-03-15
GITCOINGITCOIN7.2727.0436-3.14%5.363-26.25%0.2486✓0.3538k2022-03-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7371.6808-3.24%1.325-23.72%0.1480✓1.321.1M2022-03-15
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2441.2036-3.24%1.134-8.84%0.0266✓1.263.2M2022-03-15
ZENHorizenBase40.1638.8283-3.32%35.93-10.53%0.0297✓1.57400k2022-03-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.895.693-3.34%3.81-35.31%0.3264✓1.10599k2022-03-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.3820.6597-3.37%18.7-12.54%0.0073✓1.57375k2022-03-15
CBKCobakEthereum2.3882.307-3.39%2.106-11.81%0.0173✓1.0822k2022-03-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.171870.165993-3.42%0.14361-16.44%0.0335✓1.6336k2022-03-15
XMRMoneroMonero174.01167.9965-3.46%183.37+5.38%0.1592✗1.051.2M2022-03-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche77.9775.2686-3.46%69.83-10.44%0.0179✓1.3698.5M2022-03-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57230.550804-3.76%0.4996-12.70%0.0254✓1.061.1M2022-03-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.41983.2911-3.76%2.0468-40.15%0.4142✓0.8930k2022-03-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0433190.041683-3.78%0.03917-9.58%0.0225✓1.247.4M2022-03-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.5619.7766-3.81%16.81-18.24%0.0795✓1.2210.5M2022-03-15
HIVEHivenative1.0721.031-3.83%0.8341-22.19%0.1108✓1.481.9M2022-03-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.76753.6225-3.85%3.6207-3.90%0.0655✗0.972.2M2022-03-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14750.141763-3.89%0.1195-18.98%0.0774✓1.373.2M2022-03-15
SUSHISushiEthereum4.033.8727-3.90%2.92-27.54%0.1881✓1.388.0M2022-03-15
BTTCBTTC0.000002120.000002037-3.93%0.00000176-16.98%0.0778✓1.0014.2M2022-03-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.910.873493-4.01%0.59-35.16%0.2584✓1.961.0M2022-03-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.1925.1177-4.09%26.91+2.75%0.1469✗1.1471.8M2022-03-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.474.2776-4.30%3.937-11.92%0.0014✓1.242.6M2022-03-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.84840.811474-4.35%0.7031-17.13%0.0697✓1.0812.4M2022-03-15
API3Api3Ethereum4.574.3697-4.38%4.675+2.30%0.0902✗0.332.0M2022-03-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.85385.5968-4.39%5.905+0.87%0.0752✗0.32430k2022-03-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.8231.7397-4.57%3.0554+67.60%0.6056✗0.622.9M2022-03-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.752.6231-4.61%1.952-29.02%0.1986✓1.4218.4M2022-03-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.7718.7914-4.95%15.84-19.88%0.0910✓1.1724.9M2022-03-15
MANADecentralandEthereum2.82312.6832-4.96%2.2729-19.49%0.0962✓1.022.8M2022-03-15
ORCAOrcaSolana3.062.9059-5.04%2.01-34.31%0.3003✓1.00946k2022-03-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3873.215-5.08%3.559+5.08%0.1630✗0.90502k2022-03-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.68034.4416-5.10%4.0264-13.97%0.0141✓1.23355k2022-03-15
DIADIAEthereum0.950.899782-5.29%0.89-6.32%0.0573✗1.00274k2022-03-15
STXStacksnative1.461.3826-5.30%1.21-17.12%0.0650✓1.001.1M2022-03-15
CELLCellframeEthereum1.31681.2456-5.40%1.35+2.52%0.1889✗1.59120k2022-03-15
AVTAventusEthereum2.752.6004-5.44%2.31-16.00%0.0502✓1.00748k2022-03-15
FIDABonfidaSolana2.4372.2988-5.67%1.596-34.51%0.2966✓1.0079k2022-03-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0276790.026104-5.69%0.019693-28.85%0.1937✓1.29102k2022-03-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1180.111204-5.76%0.101-14.41%0.0280✓1.0071k2022-03-15
MOVRMoonriverBase82.667777.4479-6.31%49.271-40.40%0.3525✓1.46315k2022-03-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08660.081066-6.39%0.0653-24.60%0.1212✓1.39608k2022-03-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.56440.526601-6.70%0.3734-33.84%0.2150✓1.891.8M2022-03-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06260.058326-6.83%0.0544-13.10%0.0497✓1.7557.0M2022-03-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03120.029067-6.84%0.02395-23.24%0.0941✓1.46485k2022-03-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.045230.042023-7.09%0.03542-21.69%0.1215✓0.723.4M2022-03-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.881.7451-7.17%1.199-36.22%0.2805✓1.392.9M2022-03-15
PROPropyEthereum2.22.0007-9.06%1.42-35.45%0.2069✓1.991.0M2022-03-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.7214.1384-12.34%2.237-52.62%0.5524✓0.92779k2022-03-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.29471.1218-13.36%0.699-46.01%0.4120✓0.891.7M2022-03-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.