2022-02-08 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1299

148 of 148 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+10.17%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

76.4%

in alpha space · 86.5% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-10.55%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	20.1	20.7369	+3.17%	14	-30.35%	0.2012	✗	1.72	3.8M	2022-03-10
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00724	0.007404	+2.26%	0.00366	-49.45%	0.4819	✗	2.00	20.0M	2022-03-10
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.29	7.4348	+1.99%	6.04	-17.15%	0.1720	✗	0.32	1.1M	2022-03-10
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.72	9.9091	+1.95%	8.5	-12.55%	0.0094	✓	1.29	2.5M	2022-03-10
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.25	2.2857	+1.59%	1.12	-50.22%	0.5817	✗	1.18	1.7M	2022-03-10
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0919	0.093307	+1.53%	0.068	-26.01%	0.1792	✗	1.23	244k	2022-03-10
SOL	Solana	Solana	113.58	114.7707	+1.05%	82.92	-26.99%	0.1871	✗	1.24	182.7M	2022-03-10
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3589	2.3663	+0.31%	1.6882	-28.43%	0.2056	✗	1.18	845k	2022-03-10
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.81	6.8118	+0.03%	4.08	-40.09%	0.3901	✗	1.10	789k	2022-03-10
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0791	1.0779	-0.11%	0.7156	-33.69%	0.2376	✓	1.54	680k	2022-03-10
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.371	0.370592	-0.11%	0.266	-28.30%	0.1810	✓	1.35	1.8M	2022-03-10
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	32.06	31.8776	-0.57%	26.7	-16.72%	0.0595	✓	1.06	4.0M	2022-03-10
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	335.57	332.8591	-0.81%	289.59	-13.70%	0.0260	✓	1.02	7.9M	2022-03-10
XVG	Verge	native	0.01184	0.011727	-0.95%	0.00985	-16.81%	0.0232	✓	1.36	1.3M	2022-03-10
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.809	0.800743	-1.02%	0.618	-23.61%	0.1376	✓	1.09	1.7M	2022-03-10
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	16.15	15.9834	-1.03%	12.75	-21.05%	0.1092	✓	1.05	604k	2022-03-10
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.1583	0.156413	-1.19%	0.116797	-26.22%	0.1775	✓	1.03	7.1M	2022-03-10
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.78	2.7466	-1.20%	1.512	-45.61%	0.4940	✓	0.92	2.6M	2022-03-10
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	147.49	145.5041	-1.35%	116.66	-20.90%	0.1093	✓	1.00	7.8M	2022-03-10
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		101.44	99.8571	-1.56%	78.54	-22.57%	0.1394	✓	0.90	1.5M	2022-03-10
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1638	0.161205	-1.58%	0.1518	-7.33%	0.0561	✗	1.04	362k	2022-03-10
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,914.50	42,206.65	-1.65%	39,505.90	-7.94%	0.0412	✗	0.96	41k	2022-03-10
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1243	0.122198	-1.69%	0.0821	-33.95%	0.2241	✓	1.56	1.5M	2022-03-10
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.791	1.7604	-1.71%	1.536	-14.24%	0.0084	✓	1.15	1.6M	2022-03-10
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.95	11.7455	-1.71%	8.68	-27.36%	0.1556	✓	1.32	12.9M	2022-03-10
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6264	0.615483	-1.74%	0.6973	+11.32%	0.2717	✗	1.32	2.7M	2022-03-10
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.04001	0.039296	-1.79%	0.01693	-57.69%	0.7177	✓	1.11	9.1M	2022-03-10
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.068059	0.066725	-1.96%	0.059896	-11.99%	0.0081	✓	0.90	362k	2022-03-10
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	66.79	65.4761	-1.97%	46.78	-29.96%	0.2005	✓	1.22	8.1M	2022-03-10
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01176	0.011521	-2.03%	0.00902	-23.30%	0.1327	✓	1.00	588k	2022-03-10
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,119.57	3,054.15	-2.10%	2,608.22	-16.39%	0.0344	✓	1.11	557.7M	2022-03-10
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.561	2.5061	-2.14%	2.141	-16.40%	0.0400	✓	1.05	22k	2022-03-10
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.5159	3.4396	-2.17%	2.8775	-18.16%	0.0568	✓	1.09	2.5M	2022-03-10
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.022305	0.021806	-2.24%	0.01703	-23.65%	0.1124	✓	1.21	2.5M	2022-03-10
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05908	0.057719	-2.30%	0.0474	-19.77%	0.0374	✓	1.43	1.3M	2022-03-10
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.045	1.0209	-2.31%	0.827	-20.86%	0.0582	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-03-10
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01315	0.012845	-2.32%	0.01203	-8.52%	0.0231	✓	0.79	12k	2022-03-10
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08606	0.083942	-2.46%	0.07709	-10.42%	0.0006	✓	0.76	89k	2022-03-10
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.8682	1.8201	-2.58%	2.1814	+16.76%	0.3031	✗	1.09	78k	2022-03-10
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.96	3.8573	-2.59%	3.473	-12.30%	0.0355	✗	1.26	1.9M	2022-03-10
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.92382	0.899631	-2.62%	0.68631	-25.71%	0.1058	✓	1.48	311k	2022-03-10
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	57.22	55.7198	-2.62%	101.21	+76.88%	0.7536	✗	1.41	8.8M	2022-03-10
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1764	1.1454	-2.64%	0.807	-31.40%	0.2265	✓	1.11	113.2M	2022-03-10
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	192.41	187.1577	-2.73%	126.53	-34.24%	0.2569	✓	1.21	1.0M	2022-03-10
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	133.82	130.0722	-2.80%	102.58	-23.34%	0.0926	✓	1.30	32.4M	2022-03-10
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.83	6.6354	-2.85%	6.06	-11.27%	0.0069	✓	0.88	416k	2022-03-10
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0786	0.076318	-2.90%	0.0702	-10.69%	0.0376	✗	1.09	21k	2022-03-10
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	18.4	17.86	-2.93%	13.18	-28.37%	0.1713	✓	1.19	76.9M	2022-03-10
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.344	1.3044	-2.94%	1.0319	-23.22%	0.1196	✓	1.03	292k	2022-03-10
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5288	0.513248	-2.94%	0.2987	-43.51%	0.3753	✓	1.49	2.2M	2022-03-10
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.237	19.6417	-2.94%	18.083	-10.64%	0.0668	✗	1.34	10.5M	2022-03-10
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0314	0.03047	-2.96%	0.02578	-17.90%	0.0676	✓	0.89	7.0M	2022-03-10
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.681804	0.661354	-3.00%	0.503035	-26.22%	0.1457	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-03-10
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3139	0.304395	-3.03%	0.2624	-16.41%	0.0247	✓	1.11	538k	2022-03-10
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	44,085.59	42,736.21	-3.06%	39,433.71	-10.55%	0.0311	✓	1.00	682.8M	2022-03-10
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.39	44.9487	-3.11%	40.75	-12.16%	0.0319	✗	1.17	33.0M	2022-03-10
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.653	8.3838	-3.11%	5.737	-33.70%	0.3437	✓	0.32	38k	2022-03-10
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.47	10.1421	-3.13%	10.26	-2.01%	0.0895	✗	0.70	660k	2022-03-10
XEM	NEM	native	0.1163	0.112612	-3.17%	0.0965	-17.02%	0.0381	✓	1.04	35k	2022-03-10
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.847	2.7564	-3.18%	3.236	+13.66%	0.3096	✗	1.34	1.1M	2022-03-10
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.8111	6.5933	-3.20%	6.3304	-7.06%	0.0586	✗	0.89	4.1M	2022-03-10
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.242394	0.234574	-3.23%	0.178633	-26.30%	0.1581	✓	1.03	24.9M	2022-03-10
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	30.82	29.8236	-3.23%	24.22	-21.41%	0.0418	✓	1.49	2.0M	2022-03-10
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.08	26.188	-3.29%	27.97	+3.29%	0.1731	✗	0.96	543k	2022-03-10
ZEN	Horizen	Base	47.62	46.047	-3.30%	42.28	-11.21%	0.0866	✗	1.54	504k	2022-03-10
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1858	0.179621	-3.33%	0.1369	-26.32%	0.1921	✓	0.71	423k	2022-03-10
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	147.97	143.0142	-3.35%	103.46	-30.08%	0.1814	✓	1.28	65k	2022-03-10
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.578	4.424	-3.36%	4.112	-10.18%	0.0193	✓	0.83	346k	2022-03-10
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4741	0.45793	-3.41%	0.3255	-31.34%	0.1949	✓	1.31	9.3M	2022-03-10
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.95	6.7086	-3.47%	7.54	+8.49%	0.2067	✗	0.81	463k	2022-03-10
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	17.23	16.63	-3.48%	13.72	-20.37%	0.1145	✓	0.70	919k	2022-03-10
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	6.13	5.9098	-3.59%	4.46	-27.24%	0.1655	✓	1.04	867k	2022-03-10
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.557	0.536824	-3.62%	0.386	-30.70%	0.1702	✓	1.43	4.6M	2022-03-10
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.5194	3.3901	-3.67%	2.8703	-18.44%	0.0603	✓	0.95	2.0M	2022-03-10
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04533	0.043657	-3.69%	0.03918	-13.57%	0.0160	✓	1.11	30k	2022-03-10
XMR	Monero	Monero	179	172.3135	-3.74%	178.98	-0.01%	0.1536	✗	1.04	1.6M	2022-03-10
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.19	2.1082	-3.74%	1.67	-23.74%	0.0885	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-03-10
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.6711	3.5324	-3.78%	2.155	-41.30%	0.3966	✓	0.88	27k	2022-03-10
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10219	0.098283	-3.82%	0.08882	-13.08%	0.0163	✓	1.05	49k	2022-03-10
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	86.45	83.1239	-3.85%	73.95	-14.46%	0.0331	✓	1.35	87.1M	2022-03-10
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1335	0.128289	-3.90%	0.1198	-10.26%	0.0844	✗	1.37	3.2M	2022-03-10
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	184.15	176.9036	-3.94%	119.26	-35.24%	0.2389	✓	1.39	9.8M	2022-03-10
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.9181	1.8415	-3.99%	2.7676	+44.29%	0.4759	✗	0.61	2.9M	2022-03-10
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016889	0.016205	-4.05%	0.011453	-32.19%	0.2159	✓	1.18	2.0M	2022-03-10
STX	Stacks	native	1.69	1.6205	-4.11%	1.51	-10.65%	0.0409	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-03-10
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.78	2.6642	-4.17%	2.2	-20.86%	0.0782	✓	1.02	504k	2022-03-10
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.22456	0.215186	-4.17%	0.15896	-29.21%	0.1258	✓	1.59	36k	2022-03-10
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.0785	6.781	-4.20%	6.006	-15.15%	0.0397	✓	1.44	179k	2022-03-10
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000225	0.000002155	-4.22%	0.00000181	-19.56%	0.0630	✓	1.00	15.3M	2022-03-10
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	21.68	20.7605	-4.24%	16.97	-21.73%	0.0512	✓	1.35	39.2M	2022-03-10
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2815	0.269348	-4.32%	0.2216	-21.28%	0.0751	✓	1.08	1.7M	2022-03-10
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.422	1.36	-4.36%	1.175	-17.37%	0.0081	✓	1.24	3.4M	2022-03-10
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.85	3.681	-4.39%	5.224	+35.69%	0.3857	✗	0.32	1.5M	2022-03-10
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.283	0.270511	-4.41%	0.23	-18.73%	0.0559	✓	0.95	76k	2022-03-10
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.692	6.392	-4.48%	4.672	-30.19%	0.2129	✓	0.90	81k	2022-03-10
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0344	0.032838	-4.54%	0.02397	-30.32%	0.1471	✓	1.50	490k	2022-03-10
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.632	7.2789	-4.63%	4.75	-37.76%	0.3151	✓	1.00	460k	2022-03-10
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7515	0.716633	-4.64%	0.4164	-44.59%	0.3721	✓	1.53	969k	2022-03-10
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.166	2.0645	-4.69%	1.676	-22.62%	0.0970	✓	1.00	66k	2022-03-10
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.63	5.3655	-4.70%	5.2	-7.64%	0.0552	✗	0.78	377k	2022-03-10
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0239	0.975632	-4.71%	0.7308	-28.63%	0.1666	✓	1.10	29.4M	2022-03-10
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2693	1.2082	-4.81%	1.1927	-6.04%	0.1191	✗	1.18	2.3M	2022-03-10
DASH	Dash	Dash	112.75	107.271	-4.86%	104.65	-7.18%	0.1017	✗	1.13	2.3M	2022-03-10
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0865	0.082287	-4.87%	0.0684	-20.92%	0.0307	✓	1.38	548k	2022-03-10
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5442	0.517607	-4.89%	0.3311	-39.16%	0.2460	✓	1.80	40.2M	2022-03-10
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.261	3.1013	-4.90%	2.591	-20.55%	0.0898	✓	0.81	206k	2022-03-10
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1789	1.1191	-5.07%	0.928	-21.28%	0.0244	✓	1.46	1.9M	2022-03-10
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.06	1.0052	-5.17%	0.91	-14.15%	0.0120	✓	1.00	287k	2022-03-10
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.123	0.116599	-5.20%	0.107	-13.01%	0.0256	✓	1.00	81k	2022-03-10
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	25,530.13	24,193.49	-5.24%	19,059.42	-25.35%	0.1334	✓	0.94	11.8M	2022-03-10
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.3927	4.1552	-5.41%	3.0579	-30.39%	0.1603	✓	1.31	2.3M	2022-03-10
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.51	6.1568	-5.42%	7.407	+13.78%	0.2946	✗	0.98	1.9M	2022-03-10
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2258	0.213492	-5.45%	0.1964	-13.02%	0.0713	✗	1.39	3.7M	2022-03-10
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3065	0.289488	-5.55%	0.2025	-33.93%	0.1852	✓	1.54	4.1M	2022-03-10
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009444	0.000089197	-5.55%	0.00008054	-14.72%	0.0251	✓	1.14	5.5M	2022-03-10
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0799	0.075432	-5.59%	0.0588	-26.41%	0.0641	✓	1.66	27.8M	2022-03-10
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5993	0.565468	-5.65%	0.5014	-16.34%	0.0010	✓	1.07	1.3M	2022-03-10
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.26	2.1319	-5.67%	1.201	-46.86%	0.4206	✓	1.37	3.3M	2022-03-10
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	25.99	24.5158	-5.67%	18.43	-29.09%	0.1102	✓	1.57	405k	2022-03-10
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.86	1.7545	-5.67%	1.374	-26.13%	0.1051	✓	1.25	1.6M	2022-03-10
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	133.12	125.5123	-5.71%	157.3	+18.16%	0.3675	✗	1.27	6.6M	2022-03-10
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	7.5798	7.1464	-5.72%	5.8363	-23.00%	0.1684	✓	0.31	389k	2022-03-10
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.19	1.1211	-5.79%	0.979	-17.73%	0.0124	✓	1.33	523k	2022-03-10
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.034271	0.032249	-5.90%	0.015274	-55.43%	0.6076	✓	1.25	114k	2022-03-10
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.215	4.9056	-5.93%	4.2989	-17.57%	0.0043	✓	1.22	442k	2022-03-10
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.04912	0.046159	-6.03%	0.040695	-17.15%	0.0050	✓	1.17	8.8M	2022-03-10
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	101.7616	95.6164	-6.04%	51.3064	-49.58%	0.4646	✓	1.42	320k	2022-03-10
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9872	0.926379	-6.16%	0.732	-25.85%	0.1194	✓	1.04	13.5M	2022-03-10
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.641	3.4156	-6.19%	2.69	-26.12%	0.1417	✓	0.87	536k	2022-03-10
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003097	0.000029019	-6.30%	0.00002262	-26.96%	0.0939	✓	1.39	1.4M	2022-03-10
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.53	5.1705	-6.50%	4.473	-19.11%	0.0094	✓	1.22	2.7M	2022-03-10
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	24.6	22.9892	-6.55%	17.9	-27.24%	0.1172	✓	1.19	10.5M	2022-03-10
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01536	0.014351	-6.57%	0.01209	-21.29%	0.0048	✓	1.49	1.7M	2022-03-10
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30.42	28.3691	-6.74%	28.05	-7.79%	0.1124	✗	1.11	98.1M	2022-03-10
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.05	0.976006	-7.05%	0.61	-41.90%	0.2543	✓	1.93	1.0M	2022-03-10
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.319	1.2241	-7.20%	1.4191	+7.59%	0.3195	✗	1.54	106k	2022-03-10
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.65	4.3039	-7.44%	2.98	-35.91%	0.2155	✓	1.36	8.3M	2022-03-10
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.42	3.1523	-7.83%	2.046	-40.18%	0.2774	✓	1.39	20.8M	2022-03-10
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.4688	3.196	-7.86%	2.3707	-31.66%	0.1898	✓	0.98	2.8M	2022-03-10
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	23.02	21.1927	-7.94%	16.62	-27.80%	0.1149	✓	1.15	26.9M	2022-03-10
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.8556	0.782672	-8.52%	0.4126	-51.78%	0.4343	✓	1.85	1.8M	2022-03-10
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.11	1.9294	-8.56%	1.33	-36.97%	0.2289	✓	1.28	1.3M	2022-03-10
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3	2.7346	-8.85%	1.79	-40.33%	0.2807	✓	1.28	407k	2022-03-10
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04628	0.042066	-9.10%	0.04023	-13.07%	0.0669	✓	1.00	5.0M	2022-03-10
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	8.65	7.8355	-9.42%	5.7	-34.10%	0.2802	✓	0.34	1.6M	2022-03-10
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.23	2.0116	-9.79%	1.6	-28.25%	0.1174	✓	1.00	1.7M	2022-03-10
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.831	5.1111	-12.35%	2.532	-56.58%	0.5909	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-03-10
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.3504	1.1753	-12.97%	0.7483	-44.59%	0.3400	✓	1.00	2.1M	2022-03-10

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.