2022-01-31 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3215

145 of 145 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+28.27%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

82.8%

in alpha space · 55.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+14.08%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.94	8.1043	+2.07%	9.78	+23.17%	0.0134	✓	1.33	2.8M	2022-03-02
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4369	0.442219	+1.22%	0.5029	+15.11%	0.0820	✗	1.60	2.0M	2022-03-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	97.15	97.9953	+0.87%	117.95	+21.41%	0.0469	✓	1.05	7.5M	2022-03-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0812	0.081806	+0.75%	0.0754	-7.14%	0.2444	✗	1.24	317k	2022-03-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	20.15	20.247	+0.48%	15.16	-24.76%	0.5330	✗	1.85	3.9M	2022-03-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.54	6.5328	-0.11%	6.71	+2.60%	0.0031	✓	0.23	1.1M	2022-03-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.318	0.317194	-0.25%	0.308	-3.14%	0.2089	✓	1.36	1.7M	2022-03-02
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	75.0775	74.7694	-0.41%	71.55	-4.70%	0.2116	✓	1.27	410k	2022-03-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.01022	0.010177	-0.42%	0.01037	+1.47%	0.1574	✓	1.34	1.6M	2022-03-02
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,589.30	38,341.14	-0.64%	44,262.00	+14.70%	0.0097	✗	1.02	51k	2022-03-02
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.82	0.812576	-0.91%	1.164	+41.95%	0.1580	✗	1.53	490k	2022-03-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	52.38	51.8441	-1.02%	55.59	+6.13%	0.0833	✓	1.16	8.0M	2022-03-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	25.67	25.3969	-1.06%	29.52	+15.00%	0.0070	✓	1.09	3.3M	2022-03-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9985	0.987465	-1.11%	0.8082	-19.06%	0.4419	✓	1.83	929k	2022-03-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.141646	0.140011	-1.15%	0.133081	-6.05%	0.1911	✓	1.07	7.1M	2022-03-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.36	14.189	-1.19%	13.69	-4.67%	0.1657	✓	0.99	814k	2022-03-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7199	3.673	-1.26%	5.9424	+59.75%	0.4835	✗	-0.02	350k	2022-03-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5492	0.540612	-1.56%	0.7291	+32.76%	0.1232	✗	1.34	2.7M	2022-03-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	99.52	97.907	-1.62%	100.73	+1.22%	0.1277	✓	1.19	165.9M	2022-03-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	285.23	280.1252	-1.79%	320.43	+12.34%	0.0034	✓	1.05	6.8M	2022-03-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1315	2.0923	-1.84%	1.8782	-11.89%	0.2713	✓	1.24	888k	2022-03-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6166	0.604936	-1.89%	0.5144	-16.57%	0.3650	✓	1.54	1.2M	2022-03-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.547	1.5151	-2.06%	1.59	+2.78%	0.1111	✓	1.21	1.6M	2022-03-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.15	2.1036	-2.16%	1.27	-40.93%	0.7097	✓	1.56	2.3M	2022-03-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059132	0.057842	-2.18%	0.061505	+4.01%	0.0613	✓	0.93	431k	2022-03-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.48	3.3941	-2.47%	4.016	+15.40%	0.0009	✓	1.27	2.5M	2022-03-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	94.57	92.2312	-2.47%	125.91	+33.14%	0.1332	✗	1.35	6.6M	2022-03-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	159.75	155.7306	-2.52%	138.31	-13.42%	0.2738	✓	1.18	1.2M	2022-03-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.64	0.622911	-2.67%	0.75	+17.19%	0.0590	✓	1.86	1.1M	2022-03-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00994	0.009672	-2.69%	0.00957	-3.72%	0.1476	✓	1.04	588k	2022-03-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.25	6.0802	-2.72%	4.65	-25.60%	0.3928	✓	0.95	892k	2022-03-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,689.72	2,613.66	-2.83%	2,948.56	+9.62%	0.0251	✓	1.11	557.7M	2022-03-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1361	0.132089	-2.95%	0.1595	+17.19%	0.0592	✗	0.98	312k	2022-03-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.731	0.709309	-2.97%	0.703	-3.83%	0.1495	✓	1.07	1.7M	2022-03-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5526	1.5056	-3.02%	1.9592	+26.19%	0.1166	✗	1.11	82k	2022-03-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		91.32	88.5146	-3.07%	86.11	-5.71%	0.1524	✓	0.95	1.6M	2022-03-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.69	2.6047	-3.17%	1.464	-45.58%	0.7809	✓	1.55	2.2M	2022-03-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002142	0.000020712	-3.30%	0.00002591	+20.96%	0.0380	✗	1.41	1.6M	2022-03-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014268	0.013795	-3.32%	0.012216	-14.38%	0.2754	✓	1.17	2.7M	2022-03-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	109.55	105.905	-3.33%	110.35	+0.73%	0.1366	✓	1.35	33.8M	2022-03-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.0678	5.8659	-3.33%	6.4867	+6.90%	0.0919	✓	1.46	181k	2022-03-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.915	0.884284	-3.36%	0.917	+0.22%	0.1452	✓	1.38	2.3M	2022-03-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	25.21	24.3521	-3.40%	30.37	+20.47%	0.1180	✗	0.78	447k	2022-03-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	147.48	142.4388	-3.42%	177.46	+20.33%	0.0854	✗	1.02	1.9M	2022-03-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.199723	0.1928	-3.47%	0.193624	-3.05%	0.1325	✓	1.04	26.2M	2022-03-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,491.93	37,137.18	-3.52%	43,912.34	+14.08%	0.0358	✗	1.00	717.4M	2022-03-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.065	17.418	-3.58%	20.355	+12.68%	0.0449	✓	1.52	10.6M	2022-03-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0619	0.059659	-3.62%	0.0775	+25.20%	0.0885	✗	1.31	564k	2022-03-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00993	0.009564	-3.69%	0.01231	+23.97%	0.0808	✗	1.30	2.1M	2022-03-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.904	5.685	-3.71%	6.038	+2.27%	0.0771	✓	1.04	341k	2022-03-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0658	0.063324	-3.76%	0.0714	+8.51%	0.0261	✓	1.11	21k	2022-03-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2718	0.26154	-3.78%	0.2945	+8.35%	0.0324	✓	1.15	557k	2022-03-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0524	1.0126	-3.78%	0.9394	-10.74%	0.2258	✓	1.14	113.2M	2022-03-02
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.567335	0.545755	-3.80%	0.570611	+0.58%	0.1162	✓	1.22	3.3M	2022-03-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	41	39.4347	-3.82%	38.92	-5.07%	0.2277	✓	1.63	626k	2022-03-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.409	0.393383	-3.82%	0.3742	-8.51%	0.2224	✓	1.31	10.0M	2022-03-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.8	5.5759	-3.86%	5.59	-3.62%	0.1367	✓	1.06	1.0M	2022-03-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.25	13.6988	-3.87%	16.15	+13.33%	0.0724	✗	0.70	841k	2022-03-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	157.59	151.4101	-3.92%	137.7	-12.62%	0.2788	✓	1.40	12.7M	2022-03-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19016	0.18261	-3.97%	0.16542	-13.01%	0.3116	✓	1.62	24k	2022-03-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	17.16	16.4773	-3.98%	15.29	-10.90%	0.2352	✓	1.22	88.8M	2022-03-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.867	6.5915	-4.01%	6.803	-0.93%	0.0934	✓	0.95	4.2M	2022-03-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.1164	2.9903	-4.05%	3.0297	-2.78%	0.1352	✓	1.13	2.9M	2022-03-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.27	6.0126	-4.11%	6.43	+2.55%	0.0474	✓	0.87	529k	2022-03-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.1022	0.097946	-4.16%	0.1064	+4.11%	0.0512	✓	1.02	41k	2022-03-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.108	3.9366	-4.17%	4.505	+9.66%	0.0285	✓	0.81	367k	2022-03-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04045	0.038762	-4.17%	0.04078	+0.82%	0.0968	✓	1.12	29k	2022-03-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2423	0.231852	-4.31%	0.2571	+6.11%	0.0509	✓	1.17	1.9M	2022-03-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.058	0.055493	-4.32%	0.04875	-15.95%	0.3176	✓	1.43	1.7M	2022-03-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.51	19.6204	-4.34%	20.76	+1.22%	0.1526	✓	1.59	556k	2022-03-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.85261	0.815516	-4.35%	0.73047	-14.33%	0.3388	✓	1.74	534k	2022-03-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	27.02	25.8184	-4.45%	26.56	-1.70%	0.1906	✓	1.66	2.6M	2022-03-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07979	0.07623	-4.46%	0.07258	-9.04%	0.1456	✓	0.73	84k	2022-03-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.58	41.6234	-4.49%	46.16	+5.92%	0.0591	✓	1.23	37.0M	2022-03-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	94.18	89.9203	-4.52%	100.9	+7.14%	0.0401	✓	1.18	2.9M	2022-03-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.247	2.1453	-4.53%	2.298	+2.27%	0.0748	✓	1.09	23k	2022-03-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.04586	0.043773	-4.55%	0.01634	-64.37%	1.1319	✓	1.11	9.2M	2022-03-02
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.41	3.2545	-4.56%	7.3	+114.08%	0.7829	✗	0.19	1.4M	2022-03-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.491	0.468588	-4.56%	0.468	-4.68%	0.2037	✓	1.54	5.0M	2022-03-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1648	1.1112	-4.60%	1.0742	-7.78%	0.1685	✓	1.02	352k	2022-03-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08784	0.083781	-4.62%	0.091	+3.60%	0.0610	✓	1.09	46k	2022-03-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1836	0.175072	-4.64%	0.149	-18.85%	0.2506	✓	0.68	495k	2022-03-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.95	1.8592	-4.66%	1.93	-1.03%	0.1344	✓	1.30	2.8M	2022-03-02
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00728	0.00694	-4.68%	0.00469	-35.58%	0.7006	✓	2.34	23.2M	2022-03-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0665	2.92	-4.78%	3.0322	-1.12%	0.1001	✓	1.05	2.0M	2022-03-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.78	11.2173	-4.78%	10.05	-14.69%	0.2898	✓	1.37	12.5M	2022-03-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.039278	0.037398	-4.79%	0.04679	+19.13%	0.0590	✗	1.25	9.4M	2022-03-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.62	9.1529	-4.86%	10.14	+5.41%	0.0031	✓	0.75	744k	2022-03-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.247	0.234958	-4.88%	0.247	+0.00%	0.0755	✓	0.95	63k	2022-03-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	52.15	49.6054	-4.88%	92.43	+77.24%	0.3992	✗	1.69	8.8M	2022-03-02
STX	Stacks	native	1.49	1.4169	-4.91%	1.25	-16.11%	0.2571	✓	1.00	2.0M	2022-03-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.887	1.7941	-4.92%	2.7751	+47.06%	0.3404	✗	0.73	3.1M	2022-03-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.26	5.9504	-4.95%	7.94	+26.84%	0.1836	✗	0.80	504k	2022-03-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	19.39	18.4187	-5.01%	18.61	-4.02%	0.1739	✓	1.40	50.2M	2022-03-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.021024	0.019954	-5.09%	0.01892	-10.01%	0.1878	✓	1.02	3.1M	2022-03-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.5	2.3728	-5.09%	2.43	-2.80%	0.1100	✓	1.02	754k	2022-03-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0903	1.0345	-5.11%	1.389	+27.40%	0.1332	✗	1.23	2.4M	2022-03-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	69.92	66.2658	-5.23%	83.42	+19.31%	0.0532	✓	1.34	85.3M	2022-03-02
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9619	0.911176	-5.27%	0.9988	+3.84%	0.1105	✓	1.54	2.0M	2022-03-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8338	0.789682	-5.29%	0.7872	-5.59%	0.1517	✓	1.13	16.8M	2022-03-02
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.25	4.9668	-5.39%	5.57	+6.10%	0.0178	✓	0.73	429k	2022-03-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02978	0.028157	-5.45%	0.02832	-4.90%	0.1132	✓	0.90	8.7M	2022-03-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1889	0.178596	-5.45%	0.197	+4.29%	0.0789	✓	1.34	3.8M	2022-03-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1136	0.107398	-5.46%	0.1299	+14.35%	0.0153	✓	1.33	3.8M	2022-03-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.464	0.438606	-5.47%	0.397	-14.44%	0.2840	✓	1.40	2.2M	2022-03-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.042	2.8732	-5.55%	2.98	-2.04%	0.0704	✓	0.81	342k	2022-03-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0352	0.033209	-5.65%	0.0268	-23.86%	0.4079	✓	1.47	617k	2022-03-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.683	2.5311	-5.66%	2.99	+11.44%	0.0346	✓	1.53	986k	2022-03-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007633	0.000071988	-5.69%	0.00007594	-0.51%	0.0950	✓	1.13	5.8M	2022-03-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.359	1.2815	-5.71%	1.202	-11.55%	0.2307	✓	1.26	3.5M	2022-03-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8388	0.790887	-5.71%	1.6226	+93.44%	0.5203	✗	1.51	106k	2022-03-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.227	3.0404	-5.78%	3.114	-3.50%	0.0883	✓	0.85	819k	2022-03-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.119	5.7646	-5.79%	5.551	-9.28%	0.1505	✓	0.86	118k	2022-03-02
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.549	0.516102	-5.99%	0.5665	+3.19%	0.0609	✓	1.17	2.1M	2022-03-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.0138	4.7128	-6.00%	4.413	-11.98%	0.2311	✓	1.26	430k	2022-03-02
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.95	5.5865	-6.11%	8.421	+41.53%	0.2673	✗	1.09	2.1M	2022-03-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.82	18.5793	-6.26%	19.31	-2.57%	0.1295	✓	1.28	34.3M	2022-03-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.23	3.9564	-6.47%	3.41	-19.39%	0.3328	✓	1.40	9.3M	2022-03-02
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.037542	0.035112	-6.47%	0.021073	-43.87%	0.6951	✓	1.40	172k	2022-03-02
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.16	2.0202	-6.47%	1.359	-37.08%	0.5995	✓	1.54	4.2M	2022-03-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01331	0.012444	-6.50%	0.01235	-7.21%	0.1255	✓	0.90	14k	2022-03-02
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.1775	2.9648	-6.69%	2.2311	-29.78%	0.4035	✓	0.90	22k	2022-03-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	121.39	113.1921	-6.75%	122.45	+0.87%	0.0939	✓	1.31	65k	2022-03-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.4938	3.2566	-6.79%	3.494	+0.01%	0.1138	✓	1.40	2.4M	2022-03-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9504	0.884626	-6.92%	0.8204	-13.68%	0.2304	✓	1.18	34.5M	2022-03-02
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.68	1.5626	-6.99%	1.496	-10.95%	0.2145	✓	1.30	2.1M	2022-03-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.318	6.7971	-7.12%	6.7	-8.44%	0.0448	✓	0.23	40k	2022-03-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3291	0.30542	-7.20%	0.2308	-29.87%	0.4944	✓	1.63	4.2M	2022-03-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1215	0.112498	-7.41%	0.0991	-18.44%	0.3244	✓	1.50	1.7M	2022-03-02
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.122	0.112565	-7.73%	0.116	-4.92%	0.1017	✓	1.00	141k	2022-03-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,852.85	22,883.85	-7.92%	22,346.94	-10.08%	0.1480	✓	0.94	16.4M	2022-03-02
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5403	0.497212	-7.97%	0.4033	-25.36%	0.4581	✓	1.89	48.9M	2022-03-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.73	5.2704	-8.02%	3.976	-30.61%	0.4538	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-03-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.39	2.1946	-8.18%	2.13	-10.88%	0.1887	✓	1.21	602k	2022-03-02
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0975	0.089421	-8.29%	0.0655	-32.82%	0.6609	✓	2.65	24.9M	2022-03-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8223	2.5725	-8.85%	2.7532	-2.45%	0.0606	✓	0.98	2.8M	2022-03-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	28.07	25.5709	-8.90%	32.25	+14.89%	0.0802	✓	1.15	120.6M	2022-03-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	21.3	19.3732	-9.05%	20.73	-2.68%	0.0925	✓	1.22	12.6M	2022-03-02
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.35	6.6749	-9.18%	6.64	-9.66%	0.0412	✓	0.27	1.8M	2022-03-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.888	1.7113	-9.36%	1.548	-18.01%	0.2642	✓	1.24	1.5M	2022-03-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.27	2.9637	-9.37%	2.647	-19.05%	0.3044	✓	1.45	24.6M	2022-03-02
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04985	0.044952	-9.82%	0.03397	-31.86%	0.4119	✓	1.00	5.5M	2022-03-02
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.389	4.7377	-12.09%	2.895	-46.28%	0.6243	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-03-02
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.31	2.0222	-12.46%	1.82	-21.21%	0.2371	✓	1.00	3.4M	2022-03-02
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2778	1.0945	-14.35%	0.7242	-43.32%	0.5447	✓	1.00	3.1M	2022-03-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.