2022-01-28 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 144 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1602

144 of 144 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+22.01%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

52.8%

in alpha space · 53.5% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-0.07%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (144 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
SOL	Solana	Solana	91.35	93.3556	+2.20%	85.7	-6.19%	0.0848	✗	1.18	164.2M	2022-02-27
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.42	8.5934	+2.06%	8.4	-0.24%	0.0219	✗	1.32	2.8M	2022-02-27
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.23	14.5101	+1.97%	12	-15.67%	0.1893	✗	0.99	886k	2022-02-27
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	97.25	99.1527	+1.96%	105.8	+8.79%	0.0656	✓	1.04	7.5M	2022-02-27
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.85	0.865689	+1.85%	1.179	+38.71%	0.3099	✓	1.52	528k	2022-02-27
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.49	6.603	+1.74%	6.06	-6.63%	0.0857	✗	0.22	1.2M	2022-02-27
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	91.3	92.8642	+1.71%	102.66	+12.44%	0.1012	✓	1.32	7.0M	2022-02-27
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,546.84	2,590.46	+1.71%	2,618.01	+2.79%	0.0113	✓	1.11	569.1M	2022-02-27
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	47.09	47.889	+1.70%	47.98	+1.89%	0.0027	✓	1.16	7.5M	2022-02-27
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	149.11	151.4211	+1.55%	131.61	-11.74%	0.1393	✗	1.36	13.3M	2022-02-27
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.328	0.332956	+1.51%	0.28	-14.63%	0.1723	✗	1.39	1.7M	2022-02-27
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.141603	0.143376	+1.25%	0.123115	-13.06%	0.1517	✗	1.05	7.1M	2022-02-27
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1177	0.119169	+1.25%	0.1447	+22.94%	0.1947	✓	0.95	337k	2022-02-27
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.736	0.744994	+1.22%	0.648	-11.96%	0.1388	✗	1.11	1.9M	2022-02-27
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.899	0.909839	+1.21%	0.812	-9.68%	0.1129	✗	1.37	2.4M	2022-02-27
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.544057	0.550551	+1.19%	0.521555	-4.14%	0.0533	✗	1.22	3.7M	2022-02-27
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.67	10.7961	+1.18%	9.77	-8.43%	0.0990	✗	1.33	12.5M	2022-02-27
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.81	5.8726	+1.08%	6.32	+8.78%	0.0739	✓	0.78	481k	2022-02-27
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002134	0.000021559	+1.02%	0.00002342	+9.75%	0.0837	✓	1.41	1.7M	2022-02-27
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04014	0.040529	+0.97%	0.03926	-2.19%	0.0311	✗	1.13	31k	2022-02-27
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6203	1.6354	+0.93%	1.5293	-5.61%	0.0663	✗	1.12	82k	2022-02-27
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.7966	5.8505	+0.93%	5.8667	+1.21%	0.0037	✓	1.43	224k	2022-02-27
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.64	0.645915	+0.92%	0.67	+4.69%	0.0378	✓	1.86	1.2M	2022-02-27
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.9	18.059	+0.89%	13.22	-26.15%	0.3107	✗	1.82	3.9M	2022-02-27
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	296.79	299.2654	+0.83%	304.19	+2.49%	0.0170	✓	1.04	7.8M	2022-02-27
XVG	Verge	native	0.00986	0.009936	+0.77%	0.00923	-6.39%	0.0728	✗	1.33	1.6M	2022-02-27
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	109.49	110.2603	+0.70%	103.05	-5.88%	0.0668	✗	1.34	33.8M	2022-02-27
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.438	1.4461	+0.56%	1.43	-0.56%	0.0104	✗	1.18	1.6M	2022-02-27
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3494	2.3611	+0.50%	1.7425	-25.83%	0.3030	✗	1.24	884k	2022-02-27
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1183	0.118825	+0.44%	0.115	-2.79%	0.0319	✗	1.31	3.8M	2022-02-27
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01046	0.010504	+0.42%	0.00965	-7.74%	0.0839	✗	1.28	2.2M	2022-02-27
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0927	0.093086	+0.42%	0.0773	-16.61%	0.1849	✗	1.47	1.7M	2022-02-27
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01255	0.012602	+0.41%	0.01158	-7.73%	0.0839	✗	0.90	20k	2022-02-27
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.198646	0.199423	+0.39%	0.181008	-8.88%	0.0962	✗	1.03	26.2M	2022-02-27
KCS	KuCoin	native	16.846	16.9048	+0.35%	19.035	+12.99%	0.1197	✓	1.51	10.9M	2022-02-27
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.923	5.943	+0.34%	5.036	-14.98%	0.1649	✗	0.99	320k	2022-02-27
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,761.00	37,883.01	+0.32%	37,686.70	-0.20%	0.0045	✗	1.01	53k	2022-02-27
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.491	0.492492	+0.30%	0.416	-15.27%	0.1678	✗	1.53	5.3M	2022-02-27
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.04731	0.04744	+0.27%	0.01609	-65.99%	1.0804	✗	1.33	9.2M	2022-02-27
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.08	20.135	+0.27%	19.91	-0.85%	0.0102	✗	1.56	814k	2022-02-27
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9591	0.961696	+0.27%	0.7983	-16.77%	0.1854	✗	1.17	37.7M	2022-02-27
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03024	0.030318	+0.26%	0.02689	-11.08%	0.1194	✗	0.93	8.7M	2022-02-27
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.057631	0.05778	+0.26%	0.058112	+0.83%	0.0064	✓	0.94	478k	2022-02-27
DASH	Dash	Dash	95.64	95.8809	+0.25%	88.3	-7.67%	0.0816	✗	1.18	3.0M	2022-02-27
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08808	0.08828	+0.23%	0.08363	-5.05%	0.0533	✗	1.20	46k	2022-02-27
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9906	0.992713	+0.21%	0.7266	-26.65%	0.3108	✗	1.97	1.1M	2022-02-27
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014181	0.014211	+0.21%	0.011286	-20.41%	0.2297	✗	1.19	2.7M	2022-02-27
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.29	2.2946	+0.20%	1.97	-13.97%	0.1517	✗	1.19	611k	2022-02-27
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00547	0.005479	+0.17%	0.00404	-26.14%	0.3033	✗	2.27	21.3M	2022-02-27
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0442	1.0459	+0.16%	1.1719	+12.23%	0.1146	✓	1.29	2.4M	2022-02-27
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4141	0.414733	+0.15%	0.3363	-18.79%	0.2088	✗	1.28	10.2M	2022-02-27
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.46	3.4644	+0.13%	3.452	-0.23%	0.0028	✗	1.24	2.5M	2022-02-27
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.82	2.8226	+0.09%	1.412	-49.93%	0.6916	✗	1.54	2.2M	2022-02-27
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.038917	0.038952	+0.09%	0.046151	+18.59%	0.1704	✓	1.22	10.1M	2022-02-27
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.91	5.9142	+0.07%	4.21	-28.76%	0.3393	✗	0.96	953k	2022-02-27
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0812	0.081235	+0.04%	0.0675	-16.87%	0.1844	✗	1.24	338k	2022-02-27
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	25.23	25.2391	+0.04%	27.37	+8.48%	0.0818	✓	1.08	3.4M	2022-02-27
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.34	18.3432	+0.02%	17.5	-4.58%	0.0462	✗	1.38	51.5M	2022-02-27
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.82	1.8201	+0.01%	1.6	-12.09%	0.1280	✗	1.36	2.8M	2022-02-27
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	124.2	124.2004	+0.00%	108.08	-12.98%	0.1382	✗	1.28	74k	2022-02-27
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.11	5.1099	-0.00%	4.3	-15.85%	0.1719	✓	0.98	1.0M	2022-02-27
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.04	6.039	-0.02%	5.65	-6.46%	0.0660	✓	0.85	529k	2022-02-27
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.14	5.1391	-0.02%	4.64	-9.73%	0.1017	✓	0.73	437k	2022-02-27
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	169	168.9185	-0.05%	117.66	-30.38%	0.3608	✓	1.20	1.3M	2022-02-27
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.247	0.24688	-0.05%	0.217	-12.15%	0.1284	✓	0.96	67k	2022-02-27
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.1	7.0952	-0.07%	5.93	-16.48%	0.1792	✓	0.29	1.9M	2022-02-27
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.131	6.1265	-0.07%	4.682	-23.63%	0.2684	✓	0.84	133k	2022-02-27
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07192	0.07186	-0.08%	0.06333	-11.94%	0.1258	✓	0.78	67k	2022-02-27
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007277	0.000072679	-0.13%	0.00007235	-0.58%	0.0038	✓	1.11	5.8M	2022-02-27
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2523	0.251871	-0.17%	0.2684	+6.38%	0.0643	✗	1.13	532k	2022-02-27
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.011	3.0054	-0.19%	2.647	-12.09%	0.1265	✓	0.80	407k	2022-02-27
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4527	0.451594	-0.24%	0.3419	-24.48%	0.2774	✓	1.38	2.4M	2022-02-27
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.0264	3.016	-0.34%	3.1219	+3.16%	0.0354	✗	1.36	2.5M	2022-02-27
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5223	0.520428	-0.36%	0.4859	-6.97%	0.0678	✓	1.36	2.7M	2022-02-27
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,741.90	37,603.65	-0.37%	37,717.08	-0.07%	0.0037	✗	1.00	734.4M	2022-02-27
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5887	0.586386	-0.39%	0.4426	-24.82%	0.2803	✓	1.53	1.4M	2022-02-27
XMR	Monero	Monero	149.15	148.5335	-0.41%	150.62	+0.99%	0.0146	✗	1.01	2.2M	2022-02-27
XEM	NEM	native	0.0999	0.099485	-0.42%	0.1	+0.10%	0.0059	✗	1.05	43k	2022-02-27
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3094	0.308078	-0.43%	0.1985	-35.84%	0.4385	✓	1.56	4.2M	2022-02-27
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.923	3.9049	-0.46%	4.06	+3.49%	0.0395	✗	0.78	381k	2022-02-27
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.16	4.1387	-0.51%	3.12	-25.00%	0.2817	✓	1.35	11.6M	2022-02-27
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020623	0.020517	-0.51%	0.01839	-10.83%	0.1087	✓	1.12	3.2M	2022-02-27
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.4	2.3876	-0.51%	2.17	-9.58%	0.0949	✓	1.02	794k	2022-02-27
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0486	1.0431	-0.52%	0.8569	-18.28%	0.1959	✓	1.13	113.2M	2022-02-27
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0101	0.010043	-0.56%	0.00867	-14.16%	0.1464	✓	1.05	598k	2022-02-27
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.86446	0.859535	-0.57%	0.66823	-22.70%	0.2506	✓	1.73	643k	2022-02-27
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.5861	6.5471	-0.59%	6.3355	-3.80%	0.0322	✓	0.93	4.3M	2022-02-27
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	16.16	16.0596	-0.62%	13.65	-15.53%	0.1618	✓	1.22	81.3M	2022-02-27
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.639	1.6288	-0.62%	1.377	-15.99%	0.1671	✓	1.30	1.7M	2022-02-27
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1798	0.17866	-0.63%	0.1674	-6.90%	0.0642	✓	1.37	3.9M	2022-02-27
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.0715	3.0518	-0.64%	2.23	-27.40%	0.3132	✓	0.87	16k	2022-02-27
ZEN	Horizen	Base	38.97	38.7192	-0.64%	32.64	-16.24%	0.1698	✓	1.58	626k	2022-02-27
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.091	7.042	-0.69%	5.854	-17.44%	0.1846	✓	0.25	38k	2022-02-27
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05152	0.051157	-0.71%	0.04436	-13.90%	0.1416	✓	1.43	1.7M	2022-02-27
HIVE	Hive	native	0.931	0.924395	-0.71%	0.8849	-4.95%	0.0427	✓	1.52	2.6M	2022-02-27
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	50.6	50.239	-0.71%	72.51	+43.30%	0.3680	✗	1.64	8.8M	2022-02-27
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2434	0.241588	-0.74%	0.2326	-4.44%	0.0371	✓	1.24	1.9M	2022-02-27
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.01	5.9628	-0.79%	4.795	-20.22%	0.2173	✓	1.07	2.4M	2022-02-27
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.86	12.7563	-0.81%	14.64	+13.84%	0.1382	✗	0.68	774k	2022-02-27
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	77.0062	76.3693	-0.83%	61.5448	-20.08%	0.2150	✓	1.22	437k	2022-02-27
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.65	1.6357	-0.87%	1.384	-16.12%	0.1663	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-02-27
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1266	1.1167	-0.88%	0.9359	-16.93%	0.1760	✓	0.99	385k	2022-02-27
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.482	0.477628	-0.91%	0.4116	-14.61%	0.1478	✓	1.46	2.1M	2022-02-27
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		90.37	89.4267	-1.04%	81.71	-9.58%	0.0896	✓	0.94	1.7M	2022-02-27
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.85	25.5735	-1.07%	23.96	-7.31%	0.0641	✓	1.68	2.7M	2022-02-27
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.4691	3.4317	-1.08%	5.951	+71.54%	0.5505	✗	-0.02	350k	2022-02-27
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0647	0.063972	-1.13%	0.0644	-0.46%	0.0074	✓	1.12	21k	2022-02-27
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.6	27.2608	-1.23%	29.13	+5.54%	0.0668	✗	0.79	407k	2022-02-27
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.1165	3.0781	-1.23%	2.8883	-7.32%	0.0629	✓	1.10	3.4M	2022-02-27
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8173	0.807127	-1.24%	0.7097	-13.17%	0.1279	✓	1.10	19.5M	2022-02-27
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	67.06	66.1614	-1.34%	75.09	+11.97%	0.1275	✗	1.32	87.3M	2022-02-27
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.181	2.1504	-1.40%	2.379	+9.08%	0.1017	✗	1.08	23k	2022-02-27
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.05	8.9199	-1.44%	9.35	+3.31%	0.0476	✗	0.75	709k	2022-02-27
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.2835	2.2506	-1.44%	2.5576	+12.00%	0.1285	✗	0.95	2.8M	2022-02-27
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.25	2.2162	-1.50%	1.31	-41.78%	0.5247	✓	1.54	2.4M	2022-02-27
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.63	19.327	-1.54%	20.38	+3.82%	0.0538	✗	1.18	13.3M	2022-02-27
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.01	39.3221	-1.72%	41.51	+3.75%	0.0549	✗	1.21	35.1M	2022-02-27
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.31	19.9553	-1.75%	17.24	-15.12%	0.1454	✓	1.25	34.3M	2022-02-27
XYM	Symbol	native	0.177	0.173907	-1.75%	0.141	-20.34%	0.2093	✓	0.68	573k	2022-02-27
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.93	2.8772	-1.80%	2.185	-25.43%	0.2743	✓	1.40	25.6M	2022-02-27
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.647	2.5976	-1.87%	3.224	+21.80%	0.2170	✗	1.53	986k	2022-02-27
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,506.67	23,057.32	-1.91%	19,385.43	-17.53%	0.1729	✓	0.92	19.5M	2022-02-27
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.57	4.4787	-2.00%	3.741	-18.14%	0.1792	✓	1.24	3.0M	2022-02-27
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0353	0.0345	-2.27%	0.0267	-24.36%	0.2553	✓	1.47	852k	2022-02-27
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0629	0.061291	-2.56%	0.0698	+10.97%	0.1309	✗	1.43	605k	2022-02-27
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.294	3.2088	-2.59%	3.002	-8.86%	0.0660	✓	0.87	944k	2022-02-27
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8915	0.867474	-2.70%	1.541	+72.85%	0.5756	✗	1.52	107k	2022-02-27
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.1835	0.17855	-2.70%	0.15123	-17.59%	0.1650	✓	1.58	21k	2022-02-27
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.436	1.395	-2.85%	1.081	-24.72%	0.2542	✓	1.29	3.6M	2022-02-27
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.97	1.9136	-2.86%	1.197	-39.24%	0.4682	✓	1.47	4.2M	2022-02-27
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.75	3.6276	-3.26%	6.6	+76.00%	0.5986	✗	0.22	720k	2022-02-27
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7962	2.7046	-3.28%	2.859	+2.25%	0.0562	✗	1.03	1.9M	2022-02-27
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.5826	4.4277	-3.38%	3.8286	-16.45%	0.1446	✓	1.22	430k	2022-02-27
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.5	28.385	-3.78%	26.8	-9.15%	0.0567	✓	1.13	130.3M	2022-02-27
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0567	0.054475	-3.92%	0.0605	+6.70%	0.1063	✗	2.18	23.2M	2022-02-27
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.7954	1.7188	-4.27%	1.897	+5.66%	0.0992	✗	0.77	2.8M	2022-02-27
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5555	0.530836	-4.44%	0.5151	-7.27%	0.0293	✓	1.17	2.1M	2022-02-27
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6272	0.597969	-4.66%	0.3174	-49.39%	0.6321	✓	1.89	50.8M	2022-02-27
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.046901	0.044368	-5.40%	0.022401	-52.24%	0.6828	✓	1.00	321k	2022-02-27
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.0541	0.050674	-6.33%	0.03182	-41.18%	0.4647	✓	1.00	5.9M	2022-02-27
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.114	0.106507	-6.57%	0.14	+22.81%	0.2741	✗	1.00	149k	2022-02-27
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	6.452	5.9924	-7.12%	2.358	-63.45%	0.9320	✓	1.00	1.5M	2022-02-27
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.39	2.214	-7.37%	1.81	-24.27%	0.2008	✓	1.00	3.6M	2022-02-27
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2839	1.1512	-10.33%	0.7935	-38.20%	0.3715	✓	1.00	3.5M	2022-02-27

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.