2022-01-27 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 144 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0923

144 of 144 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+13.78%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

72.2%

in alpha space · 60.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+5.24%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (144 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2041	1.0306	-14.41%	0.794	-34.06%	0.3119	✓	1.00	3.6M	2022-02-26
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.38	2.0576	-13.55%	1.86	-21.85%	0.1521	✓	1.00	3.8M	2022-02-26
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	6.617	5.7535	-13.05%	2.581	-60.99%	0.8527	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-26
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30	26.615	-11.28%	29.89	-0.37%	0.0579	✓	1.14	130.3M	2022-02-26
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6525	0.588524	-9.80%	0.3507	-46.25%	0.6152	✓	1.91	52.0M	2022-02-26
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9364	0.851693	-9.05%	0.8598	-8.18%	0.0500	✓	1.16	37.9M	2022-02-26
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01439	0.013097	-8.99%	0.01217	-15.43%	0.1211	✓	0.93	19k	2022-02-26
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,910.78	21,787.82	-8.88%	20,876.08	-12.69%	0.0900	✓	0.93	19.5M	2022-02-26
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04444	0.040655	-8.52%	0.03453	-22.30%	0.2144	✓	1.00	6.4M	2022-02-26
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.21	17.59	-8.43%	19.06	-0.78%	0.0200	✓	1.18	13.6M	2022-02-26
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.050557	0.046299	-8.42%	0.02263	-55.24%	0.7669	✓	1.00	332k	2022-02-26
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8569	0.786351	-8.23%	1.6235	+89.46%	0.6481	✗	1.50	107k	2022-02-26
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.58	1.4517	-8.12%	1.441	-8.80%	0.0734	✓	1.29	1.8M	2022-02-26
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.57	4.203	-8.03%	3.874	-15.23%	0.1451	✓	1.24	3.1M	2022-02-26
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2772	0.255048	-7.99%	0.2129	-23.20%	0.2595	✓	1.54	4.2M	2022-02-26
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.2527	2.0753	-7.88%	2.6813	+19.02%	0.2081	✗	0.94	3.1M	2022-02-26
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.26	2.0828	-7.84%	2.05	-9.29%	0.0765	✓	1.19	626k	2022-02-26
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.59	1.4668	-7.75%	1.437	-9.62%	0.0855	✓	1.27	2.3M	2022-02-26
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.79	2.5743	-7.73%	2.394	-14.19%	0.1441	✓	1.40	26.3M	2022-02-26
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.75	6.2329	-7.66%	6.27	-7.11%	0.0083	✓	0.28	2.0M	2022-02-26
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.745	6.2362	-7.54%	6.245	-7.41%	0.0106	✓	0.24	38k	2022-02-26
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.7225	2.5197	-7.45%	2.2359	-17.87%	0.1627	✓	0.85	8,523	2022-02-26
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.873	5.4452	-7.28%	5.009	-14.71%	0.1261	✓	0.83	145k	2022-02-26
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.093	0.086264	-7.24%	0.141	+51.61%	0.4403	✗	1.00	141k	2022-02-26
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	64.73	60.0507	-7.23%	81.79	+26.36%	0.2414	✗	1.32	92.3M	2022-02-26
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.42	1.3182	-7.17%	1.148	-19.15%	0.2042	✓	1.29	3.6M	2022-02-26
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0541	0.050316	-6.99%	0.0712	+31.61%	0.2369	✗	2.16	22.4M	2022-02-26
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5303	0.493907	-6.86%	0.5505	+3.81%	0.0492	✓	1.16	2.1M	2022-02-26
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9095	2.7103	-6.85%	3.4172	+17.45%	0.1623	✗	1.36	2.6M	2022-02-26
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1127	0.105407	-6.47%	0.1212	+7.54%	0.0730	✗	1.30	3.9M	2022-02-26
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.97	3.7131	-6.47%	6.528	+64.43%	0.5517	✗	0.25	570k	2022-02-26
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4474	0.418739	-6.41%	0.3655	-18.31%	0.2065	✓	1.38	2.5M	2022-02-26
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	0.99692	0.934762	-6.23%	1.2108	+21.46%	0.1932	✗	1.28	2.4M	2022-02-26
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	54.08	50.7207	-6.21%	78.15	+44.51%	0.3455	✗	1.70	8.6M	2022-02-26
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.637	2.475	-6.14%	2.305	-12.59%	0.1496	✓	1.54	1.0M	2022-02-26
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02909	0.027328	-6.06%	0.02842	-2.30%	0.0081	✓	0.93	8.7M	2022-02-26
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8043	1.6954	-6.03%	1.8532	+2.71%	0.0493	✓	0.78	2.6M	2022-02-26
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.61	18.4274	-6.03%	17.73	-9.59%	0.1025	✓	1.25	34.3M	2022-02-26
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2126	3.9691	-5.78%	4.0234	-4.49%	0.0480	✓	1.21	403k	2022-02-26
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.3	2.168	-5.74%	2.3	+0.00%	0.0072	✓	1.02	800k	2022-02-26
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.722	5.3939	-5.73%	5.391	-5.78%	0.0506	✓	0.98	320k	2022-02-26
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.13	17.0951	-5.71%	18.04	-0.50%	0.0166	✓	1.38	54.6M	2022-02-26
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2343	0.220933	-5.70%	0.226	-3.54%	0.0407	✓	1.24	1.8M	2022-02-26
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.12	4.8302	-5.66%	4.68	-8.59%	0.0688	✓	0.73	457k	2022-02-26
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.35	36.2007	-5.60%	43.29	+12.88%	0.1172	✗	1.21	35.1M	2022-02-26
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.955	2.7901	-5.58%	2.576	-12.83%	0.1204	✓	0.79	431k	2022-02-26
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	26.76	25.2734	-5.56%	30.18	+12.78%	0.1372	✗	0.79	377k	2022-02-26
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.93	8.4359	-5.53%	9.33	+4.48%	0.0626	✗	0.75	724k	2022-02-26
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07195	0.067976	-5.52%	0.06611	-8.12%	0.0679	✓	0.78	60k	2022-02-26
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8032	0.759069	-5.49%	0.7459	-7.13%	0.0736	✓	1.10	20.0M	2022-02-26
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0403	0.038096	-5.47%	0.04014	-0.40%	0.0057	✓	1.14	30k	2022-02-26
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08437	0.079756	-5.47%	0.08727	+3.44%	0.0292	✓	1.19	46k	2022-02-26
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.107	2.9373	-5.46%	2.874	-7.50%	0.0657	✓	0.86	944k	2022-02-26
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17087	0.161551	-5.45%	0.15626	-8.55%	0.1134	✓	1.57	18k	2022-02-26
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1754	0.165958	-5.38%	0.1751	-0.17%	0.0160	✓	1.36	4.0M	2022-02-26
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7628	2.6142	-5.38%	2.7384	-0.88%	0.0061	✓	1.03	1.9M	2022-02-26
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007022	0.000066455	-5.36%	0.00007538	+7.35%	0.0695	✗	1.11	5.8M	2022-02-26
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	121.94	115.4174	-5.35%	113.35	-7.04%	0.0832	✓	1.28	74k	2022-02-26
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.05	3.834	-5.33%	3.25	-19.75%	0.2339	✓	1.34	12.5M	2022-02-26
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.32	9.7723	-5.31%	9.06	-12.21%	0.1434	✓	1.33	12.5M	2022-02-26
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.23	2.1124	-5.28%	1.24	-44.39%	0.6118	✓	1.55	2.6M	2022-02-26
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002125	0.000020135	-5.25%	0.00002435	+14.59%	0.1177	✗	1.42	1.8M	2022-02-26
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.83214	0.789377	-5.14%	0.69949	-15.94%	0.2089	✓	1.72	681k	2022-02-26
DASH	Dash	Dash	91.73	87.0404	-5.11%	93.68	+2.13%	0.0133	✓	1.18	3.0M	2022-02-26
XEM	NEM	native	0.0984	0.093381	-5.10%	0.101	+2.64%	0.0250	✓	1.04	43k	2022-02-26
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.038232	0.036322	-5.00%	0.048351	+26.47%	0.2237	✗	1.22	10.8M	2022-02-26
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.243	0.230993	-4.94%	0.232	-4.53%	0.0446	✓	0.96	67k	2022-02-26
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.5312	6.2094	-4.93%	6.4106	-1.85%	0.0156	✓	0.93	4.2M	2022-02-26
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.725	0.689802	-4.85%	0.679	-6.34%	0.0723	✓	1.11	1.9M	2022-02-26
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0428	0.992618	-4.81%	0.8873	-14.91%	0.1700	✓	1.13	113.2M	2022-02-26
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.530399	0.504934	-4.80%	0.544581	+2.67%	0.0136	✓	1.21	3.7M	2022-02-26
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.23	14.5005	-4.79%	14.72	-3.35%	0.0469	✓	1.21	81.3M	2022-02-26
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01041	0.00992	-4.71%	0.00997	-4.23%	0.0604	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-02-26
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.84	5.5676	-4.66%	5.38	-7.88%	0.0743	✓	0.78	504k	2022-02-26
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.65	0.619778	-4.65%	0.7	+7.69%	0.0258	✓	1.88	1.2M	2022-02-26
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.121	2.0228	-4.63%	2.285	+7.73%	0.0668	✗	1.08	23k	2022-02-26
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.75	12.1632	-4.60%	14.7	+15.29%	0.1547	✗	0.68	801k	2022-02-26
KCS	KuCoin	native	16.064	15.3312	-4.56%	19.708	+22.68%	0.1741	✗	1.51	10.9M	2022-02-26
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.65	2.5293	-4.55%	1.5	-43.40%	0.6001	✓	1.52	2.2M	2022-02-26
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8838	0.843871	-4.52%	0.9533	+7.86%	0.0447	✓	1.51	3.2M	2022-02-26
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020242	0.019337	-4.47%	0.01882	-7.02%	0.0843	✓	1.12	3.2M	2022-02-26
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0464	2.9102	-4.47%	2.7102	-11.04%	0.1271	✓	1.09	3.6M	2022-02-26
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,188.37	35,528.73	-4.46%	39,137.80	+5.24%	0.0457	✓	1.00	734.4M	2022-02-26
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.89	3.7176	-4.43%	4.058	+4.32%	0.0476	✗	0.78	396k	2022-02-26
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0754	1.0282	-4.39%	0.99036	-7.90%	0.0877	✓	0.98	387k	2022-02-26
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.67	5.4234	-4.35%	4.934	-12.98%	0.1488	✓	1.06	2.6M	2022-02-26
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.861	0.824017	-4.30%	0.895	+3.95%	0.0128	✓	1.37	2.4M	2022-02-26
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	106.92	102.3362	-4.29%	108.29	+1.28%	0.0116	✓	1.33	35.7M	2022-02-26
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.9	5.6474	-4.28%	5.7	-3.39%	0.0339	✓	0.85	561k	2022-02-26
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.194019	0.185892	-4.19%	0.192899	-0.58%	0.0157	✓	1.03	26.2M	2022-02-26
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0357	0.034211	-4.17%	0.0274	-23.25%	0.2974	✓	1.48	887k	2022-02-26
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,425.82	2,326.64	-4.09%	2,780.71	+14.63%	0.1220	✗	1.10	569.1M	2022-02-26
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.76	1.6887	-4.05%	1.67	-5.11%	0.0807	✓	1.36	2.9M	2022-02-26
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5616	1.4995	-3.98%	1.5733	+0.74%	0.0087	✓	1.11	89k	2022-02-26
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0638	0.061281	-3.95%	0.0674	+5.64%	0.0378	✓	1.12	21k	2022-02-26
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4054	0.389397	-3.95%	0.3486	-14.01%	0.1763	✓	1.28	10.9M	2022-02-26
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.065	0.062448	-3.93%	0.073	+12.31%	0.0826	✗	1.44	605k	2022-02-26
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.482	0.46334	-3.87%	0.438	-9.13%	0.1346	✓	1.53	5.5M	2022-02-26
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.04646	0.044672	-3.85%	0.01784	-61.60%	0.9856	✓	1.32	9.5M	2022-02-26
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		89.31	85.8898	-3.83%	84.76	-5.09%	0.0615	✓	0.94	1.7M	2022-02-26
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1614	0.155434	-3.70%	0.1441	-10.72%	0.1092	✓	0.66	573k	2022-02-26
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	164.64	158.5829	-3.68%	124.78	-24.21%	0.3010	✓	1.20	1.3M	2022-02-26
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.3	23.4072	-3.67%	24.45	+0.62%	0.0418	✓	1.67	2.7M	2022-02-26
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00534	0.005145	-3.65%	0.00431	-19.29%	0.2931	✓	2.27	21.3M	2022-02-26
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1146	0.110592	-3.50%	0.1506	+31.41%	0.2603	✗	0.95	349k	2022-02-26
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3156	2.2348	-3.49%	1.8651	-19.46%	0.2443	✓	1.24	841k	2022-02-26
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2367	0.228552	-3.44%	0.2767	+16.90%	0.1342	✗	1.12	469k	2022-02-26
XMR	Monero	Monero	144.6	139.9378	-3.22%	157.91	+9.20%	0.0695	✗	1.00	2.2M	2022-02-26
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.38	3.2739	-3.14%	3.6	+6.51%	0.0317	✓	1.24	2.5M	2022-02-26
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00962	0.00934	-2.92%	0.00906	-5.82%	0.0838	✓	1.05	611k	2022-02-26
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	144.54	140.3739	-2.88%	136.67	-5.44%	0.0961	✓	1.36	14.3M	2022-02-26
ZEN	Horizen	Base	36.7	35.6544	-2.85%	33.26	-9.37%	0.1497	✓	1.57	626k	2022-02-26
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.5654	5.4079	-2.83%	6.1323	+10.19%	0.0528	✗	1.43	227k	2022-02-26
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.07	4.9291	-2.78%	4.47	-11.83%	0.1481	✓	0.98	1.1M	2022-02-26
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.4851	3.3893	-2.75%	6.0612	+73.92%	0.5823	✗	-0.02	371k	2022-02-26
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0947	0.09217	-2.67%	0.0854	-9.82%	0.1520	✓	1.48	1.9M	2022-02-26
SOL	Solana	Solana	89.55	87.2757	-2.54%	90.32	+0.86%	0.0261	✓	1.18	164.2M	2022-02-26
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	289.64	282.3287	-2.52%	315.57	+8.95%	0.0581	✗	1.04	8.5M	2022-02-26
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.056453	0.055041	-2.50%	0.059459	+5.32%	0.0292	✗	0.94	478k	2022-02-26
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	88.89	86.7488	-2.41%	107.8	+21.27%	0.1499	✗	1.32	7.5M	2022-02-26
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.37	6.2205	-2.35%	6.27	-1.57%	0.0029	✓	0.21	1.2M	2022-02-26
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.141443	0.138453	-2.11%	0.127595	-9.79%	0.1354	✓	1.05	7.1M	2022-02-26
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.399	1.3708	-2.02%	1.524	+8.93%	0.0458	✗	1.18	1.6M	2022-02-26
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.67	18.3344	-1.80%	21.2	+13.55%	0.0662	✗	1.55	841k	2022-02-26
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5092	0.500128	-1.78%	0.504	-1.02%	0.0619	✓	1.36	2.8M	2022-02-26
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.33	23.9137	-1.71%	28.91	+18.82%	0.1349	✗	1.07	3.8M	2022-02-26
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.95	13.7133	-1.70%	12.91	-7.46%	0.1111	✓	0.99	841k	2022-02-26
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04978	0.049075	-1.42%	0.04782	-3.94%	0.0984	✓	1.42	1.7M	2022-02-26
XVG	Verge	native	0.00965	0.009525	-1.30%	0.00985	+2.07%	0.0343	✓	1.33	1.6M	2022-02-26
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	47.47	46.9208	-1.16%	50.44	+6.26%	0.0129	✗	1.16	7.5M	2022-02-26
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014097	0.013946	-1.07%	0.01194	-15.30%	0.2159	✓	1.19	2.7M	2022-02-26
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,269.30	36,977.84	-0.78%	39,589.70	+6.23%	0.0164	✗	1.01	47k	2022-02-26
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.81	0.805052	-0.61%	1.139	+40.62%	0.2700	✗	1.51	532k	2022-02-26
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0794	0.078976	-0.53%	0.0685	-13.73%	0.2054	✓	1.24	352k	2022-02-26
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.95	1.9397	-0.53%	1.276	-34.56%	0.4939	✓	1.47	4.6M	2022-02-26
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.314	0.312715	-0.41%	0.29	-7.64%	0.1459	✓	1.38	1.6M	2022-02-26
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9645	0.960644	-0.40%	0.7651	-20.67%	0.3283	✓	1.97	1.1M	2022-02-26
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.62	5.6106	-0.17%	4.46	-20.64%	0.2781	✓	0.95	960k	2022-02-26
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.39	8.408	+0.21%	8.98	+7.03%	0.0017	✓	1.32	2.9M	2022-02-26
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5781	0.581612	+0.61%	0.4599	-20.45%	0.3131	✗	1.53	1.4M	2022-02-26
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	93.16	94.0938	+1.00%	110.79	+18.92%	0.1107	✓	1.03	7.5M	2022-02-26
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.82	16.9992	+1.07%	14.09	-16.23%	0.2801	✗	1.81	3.9M	2022-02-26
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	73.6045	75.3457	+2.37%	64.8155	-11.94%	0.2127	✗	1.22	442k	2022-02-26
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4535	0.468578	+3.32%	0.4281	-5.60%	0.1642	✗	1.45	2.1M	2022-02-26

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.