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2022-01-19 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2384
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+22.67%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
84.2%
in alpha space · 89.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.06%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.75920.771083+1.57%0.5205-31.44%0.3496✗1.052.5M2022-02-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,724.0041,990.46+0.64%40,196.70-3.66%0.0027✓0.9916k2022-02-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum22.1422.0741-0.30%15.77-28.77%0.2589✓1.873.9M2022-02-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.65463.6423-0.34%5.708+56.19%0.4466✗-0.06371k2022-02-18
QNTQuantEthereum135.59134.7309-0.63%113.58-16.23%0.1320✓0.946.7M2022-02-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7091.6945-0.85%1.518-11.18%0.0620✓1.161.9M2022-02-18
XYMSymbolnative0.17860.176892-0.96%0.1609-9.91%0.0665✓0.68573k2022-02-18
NANOnanopayBase3.05553.0259-0.97%2.0548-32.75%0.3401✓1.13665k2022-02-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1617050.159646-1.27%0.138612-14.28%0.0958✓1.106.4M2022-02-18
XVGVergenative0.012670.0125-1.34%0.01063-16.10%0.1104✓1.251.9M2022-02-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17120.168652-1.49%0.1446-15.54%0.1160✓0.91380k2022-02-18
SOLSolanaSolana135.33133.2514-1.54%89.9-33.57%0.3464✓1.14147.7M2022-02-18
TRXTRONTron0.0691920.068102-1.57%0.063085-8.83%0.0373✓0.95489k2022-02-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.018950.018629-1.69%0.015984-15.65%0.1023✓1.232.7M2022-02-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.2730.7387-1.70%28.96-7.39%0.0151✓1.083.2M2022-02-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.68380.671062-1.86%0.5229-23.53%0.1965✓1.283.3M2022-02-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV109.45107.332-1.94%87.44-20.11%0.1655✓0.951.8M2022-02-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07610.074375-2.27%0.0682-10.38%0.0412✓1.1021k2022-02-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.11910.116352-2.31%0.0978-17.88%0.1202✓1.292.1M2022-02-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash369.1360.5562-2.31%310.22-15.95%0.1082✓1.026.6M2022-02-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.577.3824-2.48%6.37-15.85%0.1157✓0.77638k2022-02-18
LRCLoopringEthereum1.18351.1541-2.49%0.877-25.90%0.1954✓1.911.3M2022-02-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.472.4083-2.50%1.82-26.32%0.2253✓1.323.2M2022-02-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.6232.5551-2.59%2.222-15.29%0.1021✓0.9125k2022-02-18
XEMNEMnative0.11260.109642-2.63%0.1011-10.21%0.0373✓1.0641k2022-02-18
XMRMoneroMonero201.62196.2842-2.65%160.94-20.18%0.1576✓0.992.9M2022-02-18
COMPCompoundEthereum172.8168.1493-2.69%121.52-29.68%0.2762✓1.1795k2022-02-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10120.098371-2.80%0.0797-21.25%0.1638✓1.13240k2022-02-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum71.8269.795-2.82%55.59-22.60%0.1828✓1.086.4M2022-02-18
ETHEthereumEthereum3,085.272,996.81-2.87%2,780.08-9.89%0.0305✓1.08485.8M2022-02-18
XVSVenusEthereum12.5212.1568-2.90%10.35-17.33%0.1135✓1.142.7M2022-02-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,674.2740,464.07-2.90%39,983.56-4.06%0.0295✓1.00636.6M2022-02-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum26.1325.3694-2.91%20.51-21.51%0.1483✓1.551.0M2022-02-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.100440.097472-2.96%0.09046-9.94%0.0273✓1.1431k2022-02-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.4621.4174-3.05%1.0419-28.73%0.2709✓0.89423k2022-02-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin136.2132.0067-3.08%114.85-15.68%0.0832✓1.3531.1M2022-02-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.366.1638-3.09%5.25-17.45%0.1331✓0.66524k2022-02-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.8514.3914-3.09%15.2+2.36%0.0828✗0.68862k2022-02-18
XLMStellarStellar0.2455670.237751-3.18%0.200634-18.30%0.1268✓1.0423.9M2022-02-18
AAVEAaveEthereum210.15203.3075-3.26%145.64-30.70%0.2836✓1.2117.6M2022-02-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.072180.06976-3.35%0.04965-31.21%0.2809✓1.432.3M2022-02-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.8125.9106-3.35%29.08+8.47%0.1448✗0.71353k2022-02-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07740.074782-3.38%0.0812+4.91%0.1402✗1.40949k2022-02-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.08530.082412-3.39%0.07167-15.98%0.1093✓0.7355k2022-02-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.677.4041-3.47%5.97-22.16%0.1890✓0.63660k2022-02-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.99393.855-3.48%2.9795-25.40%0.2266✓0.752,2572022-02-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7934.6251-3.50%4.716-1.61%0.0473✗0.67457k2022-02-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum19.0318.3594-3.52%14.44-24.12%0.1962✓1.06841k2022-02-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.229.8583-3.54%10.17-0.49%0.0622✗0.75808k2022-02-18
KCSKuCoinnative19.95119.2287-3.62%19.552-2.00%0.0833✗1.6110.6M2022-02-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.0623.1844-3.64%17.83-25.89%0.2065✓1.3658.5M2022-02-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.52440.505272-3.65%0.4126-21.32%0.1484✓1.3111.3M2022-02-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.14213.0273-3.66%3.1093-1.04%0.0755✗1.182.1M2022-02-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum21.5620.7658-3.68%15.2-29.50%0.2622✓1.2072.8M2022-02-18
UNIUniswapEthereum15.1214.5566-3.73%10.16-32.80%0.3051✓1.3212.4M2022-02-18
ADACardanoCardano1.33661.2867-3.73%0.9958-25.50%0.2097✓1.1399.0M2022-02-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2941.2454-3.76%1.104-14.68%0.0637✓1.373.8M2022-02-18
GTGateEthereum7.16.8331-3.76%6.6403-6.47%0.0069✓0.864.3M2022-02-18
QTUMQtumQtum7.40327.1229-3.79%7.2333-2.29%0.0752✗1.44263k2022-02-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum8.358.0297-3.84%7.67-8.14%0.0463✓-0.011.3M2022-02-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2221.1748-3.87%0.86-29.62%0.2552✓1.372.4M2022-02-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.956760.918773-3.97%0.75452-21.14%0.1229✓1.79866k2022-02-18
XTZTezosTezos3.88493.7279-4.04%3.6234-6.73%0.0287✓1.383.2M2022-02-18
KSMKusamaHydration243.71233.8471-4.05%150.07-38.42%0.3942✓1.191.3M2022-02-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.29820.286104-4.06%0.2543-14.72%0.0646✓1.292.0M2022-02-18
BANDBandEthereum4.914.7097-4.08%4.7-4.28%0.0439✗1.112.2M2022-02-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.171.122-4.10%0.99-15.38%0.0559✓1.67556k2022-02-18
API3Api3Ethereum4.354.1707-4.12%6.01+38.16%0.4059✗0.98471k2022-02-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.046920.044958-4.18%0.04101-12.60%0.0465✓1.1023k2022-02-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.960.919121-4.26%0.771-19.69%0.1352✓0.982.1M2022-02-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.44865.214-4.31%4.35-20.16%0.1304✓1.23446k2022-02-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013940.013329-4.38%0.01204-13.63%0.0474✓1.312.1M2022-02-18
FTTFTXEthereum46.6744.6256-4.38%43.09-7.67%0.0108✓1.1124.3M2022-02-18
SCSiacoinnative0.01270.012134-4.45%0.00961-24.33%0.1918✓1.00641k2022-02-18
IMXImmutableEthereum3.563.3971-4.58%2.05-42.42%0.4448✓1.452.2M2022-02-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.16931.1157-4.59%1.196+2.28%0.1135✗1.062.4M2022-02-18
ZECZcashZcash125.87120.0608-4.62%109.21-13.24%0.0411✓1.309.5M2022-02-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.930.886839-4.64%0.89-4.30%0.0830✗1.921.4M2022-02-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.071620.068284-4.66%0.02552-64.37%0.9340✓1.2112.4M2022-02-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.912.7743-4.66%2.38-18.21%0.1122✓0.99855k2022-02-18
LSKLiskEthereum2.05091.9553-4.66%1.6654-18.80%0.1143✓1.1189k2022-02-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.091.9922-4.68%1.59-23.92%0.1810✓1.072.7M2022-02-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0266240.025367-4.72%0.019599-26.39%0.2154✓1.034.4M2022-02-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027260.000025958-4.78%0.00002815+3.26%0.1372✗1.351.7M2022-02-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3490.332283-4.79%0.261-25.21%0.2089✓0.7951k2022-02-18
LUNATerraTerra 281.2777.3585-4.81%50.61-37.73%0.3472✓1.867.7M2022-02-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6849680.651981-4.82%0.594984-13.14%0.0437✓1.152.3M2022-02-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4690.446393-4.82%0.322-31.34%0.2723✓1.311.8M2022-02-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.6273.4503-4.87%3.02-16.74%0.1038✓0.71523k2022-02-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2823.1218-4.88%2.581-21.36%0.1188✓1.721.2M2022-02-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.92710.881618-4.91%0.5682-38.71%0.3813✓1.401.5M2022-02-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.94.6581-4.94%4.37-10.82%0.0143✓1.203.2M2022-02-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9563.758-5.00%3.181-19.59%0.1337✓0.801.1M2022-02-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum26.5325.2015-5.01%19.61-26.08%0.1919✓1.4234.3M2022-02-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain43.7982-5.04%3.076-23.10%0.1587✓1.264.0M2022-02-18
UMAUMAEthereum8.267.835-5.15%5.92-28.33%0.2405✓0.964.1M2022-02-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.04920.995203-5.15%0.8015-23.61%0.1755✓0.9923.2M2022-02-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.0096.6471-5.16%6.389-8.85%0.0140✓1.29271k2022-02-18
MOVRMoonriverBase120.5322114.1972-5.26%83.1979-30.97%0.2699✓1.13489k2022-02-18
XECeCashnative0.000092270.000087395-5.28%0.0000786-14.82%0.0639✓1.026.5M2022-02-18
ZENHorizenBase49.9347.2898-5.29%37.11-25.68%0.1805✓1.49636k2022-02-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.29830.281984-5.47%0.2677-10.26%0.0091✓1.03397k2022-02-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5371.4528-5.48%2.1176+37.77%0.4116✗0.841.2M2022-02-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin27.5926.0411-5.61%21.02-23.81%0.1690✓1.0914.5M2022-02-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.12.9235-5.69%1.61-48.06%0.5449✓1.252.7M2022-02-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum8.437.9445-5.76%5.29-37.25%0.3765✓0.73995k2022-02-18
RADRadworksEthereum7.016.6059-5.76%5.3-24.39%0.1836✓0.891.1M2022-02-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1510.142244-5.80%0.1365-9.60%0.0111✓1.264.2M2022-02-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.199130.187435-5.87%0.17101-14.12%0.0268✓1.576,5192022-02-18
DASHDashDash126.8119.3267-5.89%105.32-16.94%0.0754✓1.192.8M2022-02-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.2726.8434-5.89%5.881-19.13%0.1227✓0.70170k2022-02-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche82.6477.734-5.94%83.75+1.34%0.1240✗1.1992.3M2022-02-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0511150.048067-5.96%0.0487-4.72%0.0629✗1.208.4M2022-02-18
DODODODOEthereum0.7010.658746-6.03%0.494-29.53%0.2260✓1.498.0M2022-02-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.04860.04566-6.05%0.0302-37.86%0.3568✓1.371.3M2022-02-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum32.4330.4106-6.23%25.01-22.88%0.1265✓1.672.7M2022-02-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.015850.014859-6.25%0.01279-19.31%0.1190✓0.7522k2022-02-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,142.2930,122.45-6.28%21,934.46-31.76%0.2889✓0.6821.5M2022-02-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.24630.230634-6.36%0.1967-20.14%0.1037✓1.344.0M2022-02-18
GITCOINGITCOIN10.2749.6147-6.42%6.903-32.81%0.3273✓0.1040k2022-02-18
SUSHISushiEthereum6.055.6574-6.49%3.91-35.37%0.3158✓1.3017.7M2022-02-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57010.53288-6.53%0.5612-1.56%0.1095✗1.391.5M2022-02-18
HIVEHivenative1.13861.0613-6.79%0.9999-12.18%0.0014✓1.413.7M2022-02-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.3660.341142-6.79%0.247-32.51%0.2608✓1.504.1M2022-02-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.037180.034622-6.88%0.02928-21.25%0.1297✓0.918.4M2022-02-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05750.053525-6.91%0.0602+4.70%0.1589✗1.0024.3M2022-02-18
MANADecentralandEthereum2.73462.5393-7.14%2.97+8.61%0.1996✗1.044.5M2022-02-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.57840.535092-7.49%0.4211-27.20%0.1821✓1.392.7M2022-02-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.333.0792-7.53%1.58-52.55%0.6139✓1.298.5M2022-02-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.26591.1695-7.62%0.895-29.30%0.2185✓1.1830.5M2022-02-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.2192.0476-7.73%1.674-24.56%0.1546✓1.131.9M2022-02-18
MINAMina Protocolnative3.393.1171-8.05%2.43-28.32%0.2040✓1.09808k2022-02-18
CELLCellframeEthereum1.04570.959528-8.24%1.6049+53.48%0.5585✗1.07108k2022-02-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.193.8352-8.47%2.81-32.94%0.2526✓1.4132.4M2022-02-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum10.219.3445-8.48%6.93-32.13%0.2921✓0.162.8M2022-02-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos37.0733.8791-8.61%26.85-27.57%0.1923✓0.9798.5M2022-02-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.011720.010691-8.78%0.00516-55.97%0.6275✓2.4423.2M2022-02-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.075110.067038-10.75%0.026937-64.14%0.8703✓1.00719k2022-02-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.84660.755465-10.76%0.4198-50.41%0.5139✓1.7846.2M2022-02-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.