2021-12-30 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2679

137 of 137 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+13.82%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

81.0%

in alpha space · 89.8% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-18.95%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.171183	0.173245	+1.20%	0.143169	-16.36%	0.0409	✓	1.10	5.5M	2022-01-29
XYM	Symbol	native	0.188	0.190236	+1.19%	0.1739	-7.50%	0.0254	✓	0.55	393k	2022-01-29
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.87	8.9425	+0.82%	5.93	-33.15%	0.2845	✗	0.60	1.0M	2022-01-29
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	47,186.00	47,438.70	+0.54%	38,181.60	-19.08%	0.0129	✗	0.97	9,204	2022-01-29
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022142	0.022235	+0.42%	0.014518	-34.43%	0.1682	✗	1.23	2.4M	2022-01-29
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.063	2.0711	+0.39%	1.493	-27.63%	0.0912	✗	1.12	3.2M	2022-01-29
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11126	0.111652	+0.35%	0.08979	-19.30%	0.0138	✓	1.10	29k	2022-01-29
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,710.02	3,715.22	+0.14%	2,603.74	-29.82%	0.1404	✗	1.02	752.6M	2022-01-29
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.403	0.403254	+0.06%	0.251	-37.72%	0.3183	✗	0.74	45k	2022-01-29
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	24.78	24.7838	+0.02%	20.18	-18.56%	0.0899	✓	1.41	24.1M	2022-01-29
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	199.64	199.6553	+0.01%	123.06	-38.36%	0.2485	✗	1.12	220k	2022-01-29
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.4868	3.4865	-0.01%	2.3362	-33.00%	0.1816	✓	1.04	819k	2022-01-29
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.13	7.1261	-0.05%	5.16	-27.63%	0.1893	✓	0.64	1.1M	2022-01-29
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	431.58	431.0605	-0.12%	299.03	-30.71%	0.1570	✓	0.99	9.8M	2022-01-29
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.09	3.0836	-0.21%	1.92	-37.86%	0.2035	✓	1.29	3.2M	2022-01-29
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.048	4.0394	-0.21%	3.009	-25.67%	0.1576	✓	0.65	514k	2022-01-29
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.53	27.4499	-0.29%	18.75	-31.89%	0.1179	✓	1.25	75.5M	2022-01-29
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	32.06	31.9602	-0.31%	26.24	-18.15%	0.0633	✓	0.64	518k	2022-01-29
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.077853	0.07757	-0.36%	0.060341	-22.49%	0.0551	✓	0.93	607k	2022-01-29
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	19.94	19.8673	-0.36%	16.24	-18.56%	0.0635	✗	1.26	69.7M	2022-01-29
SOL	Solana	Solana	172.52	171.8333	-0.40%	96.25	-44.21%	0.3787	✓	0.96	248.9M	2022-01-29
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.533	1.5259	-0.46%	0.924	-39.73%	0.2333	✓	1.28	3.8M	2022-01-29
XEM	NEM	native	0.1255	0.124886	-0.49%	0.1047	-16.57%	0.0471	✗	1.06	158k	2022-01-29
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.268	0.266583	-0.53%	0.203491	-24.07%	0.0570	✓	1.01	29.6M	2022-01-29
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	34.96	34.7738	-0.53%	20.29	-41.96%	0.3233	✓	1.03	23.3M	2022-01-29
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	262.93	261.3319	-0.61%	154.04	-41.41%	0.3006	✓	1.08	11.4M	2022-01-29
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	8.8384	8.7832	-0.62%	5.9616	-32.55%	0.1001	✓	1.37	280k	2022-01-29
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2007	0.199425	-0.64%	0.1205	-39.96%	0.3192	✓	0.88	655k	2022-01-29
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	147.94	146.9756	-0.65%	110.84	-25.08%	0.0009	✓	1.34	49.4M	2022-01-29
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	178.71	177.5237	-0.66%	97.51	-45.44%	0.3992	✓	0.95	9.8M	2022-01-29
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.57	34.3353	-0.68%	25.34	-26.70%	0.0929	✓	1.00	4.7M	2022-01-29
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	47,122.08	46,801.08	-0.68%	38,191.10	-18.95%	0.0068	✗	1.00	750.8M	2022-01-29
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.46	2.4432	-0.68%	1.72	-30.08%	0.1394	✓	1.01	4.2M	2022-01-29
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.079	5.0413	-0.74%	4.042	-20.42%	0.0988	✓	0.58	798k	2022-01-29
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.37	15.2512	-0.77%	8.22	-46.52%	0.3805	✓	1.13	4.7M	2022-01-29
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0828	0.08207	-0.88%	0.0653	-21.14%	0.0083	✓	1.05	18k	2022-01-29
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.302	8.2227	-0.96%	6.128	-26.19%	0.0368	✓	1.22	392k	2022-01-29
DASH	Dash	Dash	133.04	131.7621	-0.96%	96.55	-27.43%	0.0494	✓	1.24	2.0M	2022-01-29
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.45	15.2965	-0.99%	13.15	-14.89%	0.0096	✓	0.67	1.4M	2022-01-29
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3585	1.3449	-1.00%	1.0603	-21.95%	0.0174	✓	1.05	114.6M	2022-01-29
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	33.99	33.6367	-1.04%	20.73	-39.01%	0.1767	✓	1.46	1.3M	2022-01-29
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3222	1.3082	-1.06%	1.7284	+30.72%	0.5018	✗	1.06	1.0M	2022-01-29
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.13	5.0749	-1.07%	3.51	-31.58%	0.1234	✓	1.17	2.4M	2022-01-29
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.3407	4.2937	-1.08%	3.0915	-28.78%	0.0538	✓	1.31	4.9M	2022-01-29
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.01	23.7449	-1.10%	14.12	-41.19%	0.3692	✓	0.72	1.5M	2022-01-29
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07911	0.078189	-1.16%	0.05052	-36.14%	0.1766	✓	1.24	21.7M	2022-01-29
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	95.03	93.914	-1.17%	49.58	-47.83%	0.4330	✓	0.98	7.4M	2022-01-29
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.72	8.6146	-1.21%	6.08	-30.28%	0.1960	✓	0.73	1.1M	2022-01-29
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	17.81	17.5875	-1.25%	11.16	-37.34%	0.1888	✓	1.27	15.5M	2022-01-29
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.267	1.251	-1.26%	0.731	-42.30%	0.3414	✓	0.93	2.8M	2022-01-29
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.795409	0.784777	-1.34%	0.565434	-28.91%	0.1040	✓	1.06	2.8M	2022-01-29
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		122.49	120.85	-1.34%	92.7	-24.32%	0.0666	✓	0.95	3.7M	2022-01-29
XEC	eCash	native	0.00010959	0.000108102	-1.36%	0.00007692	-29.81%	0.1327	✓	0.99	9.0M	2022-01-29
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6466	0.637267	-1.44%	0.4104	-36.53%	0.1887	✓	1.20	11.8M	2022-01-29
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	280.04	275.9654	-1.45%	171.16	-38.88%	0.2497	✓	1.08	1.5M	2022-01-29
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.89	38.305	-1.50%	41.73	+7.30%	0.2961	✗	1.00	20.7M	2022-01-29
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.57	4.499	-1.55%	3.0631	-32.97%	0.2429	✓	0.67	25k	2022-01-29
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.863	0.849533	-1.56%	0.508	-41.14%	0.2111	✓	1.44	8.7M	2022-01-29
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0549	0.05404	-1.57%	0.04089	-25.52%	0.0580	✓	1.05	15k	2022-01-29
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.11	9.9506	-1.58%	9.17	-9.30%	0.0764	✗	0.75	1.4M	2022-01-29
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.69	1.6631	-1.59%	0.85	-49.70%	0.3167	✓	1.69	1.2M	2022-01-29
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08851	0.087086	-1.61%	0.06396	-27.74%	0.0032	✓	1.45	4.0M	2022-01-29
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4189	0.411517	-1.76%	0.5693	+35.90%	0.6212	✗	1.41	793k	2022-01-29
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.329	9.1637	-1.77%	6.001	-35.67%	0.2918	✓	0.63	368k	2022-01-29
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01653	0.016234	-1.79%	0.0104	-37.08%	0.1784	✓	1.27	2.4M	2022-01-29
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.55	5.4457	-1.88%	5.4	-2.70%	0.2300	✗	1.13	4.3M	2022-01-29
XMR	Monero	Monero	225.01	220.7726	-1.88%	153.67	-31.71%	0.1716	✓	0.91	2.9M	2022-01-29
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.27	3.2077	-1.90%	2.42	-25.99%	0.0769	✓	0.97	1.1M	2022-01-29
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.8152	6.6843	-1.92%	6.7736	-0.61%	0.1757	✗	0.77	4.0M	2022-01-29
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3713	0.363464	-2.11%	0.31	-16.51%	0.1352	✗	1.40	4.4M	2022-01-29
XVG	Verge	native	0.01711	0.016738	-2.18%	0.01002	-41.44%	0.2625	✓	1.19	2.5M	2022-01-29
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7283	0.712136	-2.22%	0.5251	-27.90%	0.0428	✓	1.25	6.2M	2022-01-29
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.061787	0.060399	-2.25%	0.039999	-35.26%	0.1227	✓	1.38	7.9M	2022-01-29
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.624	1.587	-2.28%	1.364	-16.01%	0.1294	✗	1.34	7.9M	2022-01-29
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.37	0.361567	-2.28%	0.2425	-34.46%	0.1303	✓	1.28	4.3M	2022-01-29
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3349	0.327185	-2.30%	0.2671	-20.24%	0.0046	✓	0.94	293k	2022-01-29
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.8078	3.7199	-2.31%	3.4878	-8.40%	0.0899	✓	-0.12	409k	2022-01-29
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1947	1.1663	-2.38%	0.84787	-29.03%	0.0476	✗	1.74	1.4M	2022-01-29
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01945	0.018969	-2.47%	0.01347	-30.75%	0.2263	✓	0.55	43k	2022-01-29
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.4417	2.3794	-2.55%	1.6081	-34.14%	0.1691	✓	1.06	147k	2022-01-29
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04892	0.047656	-2.58%	0.03035	-37.96%	0.2639	✓	0.89	9.1M	2022-01-29
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.10085	0.098239	-2.59%	0.0727	-27.91%	0.1640	✓	0.65	74k	2022-01-29
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033799	0.032903	-2.65%	0.022029	-34.82%	0.1809	✓	1.05	8.9M	2022-01-29
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.048	20.4748	-2.72%	17.542	-16.66%	0.1878	✗	1.63	17.5M	2022-01-29
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.208	0.202328	-2.73%	0.121	-41.83%	0.2628	✓	1.20	5.7M	2022-01-29
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30.19	29.3323	-2.84%	29.1	-3.61%	0.1816	✗	0.90	41.9M	2022-01-29
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2896	0.281185	-2.91%	0.1844	-36.33%	0.1513	✓	1.29	5.6M	2022-01-29
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.91	2.8254	-2.91%	2.245	-22.85%	0.0472	✓	0.87	65k	2022-01-29
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	30,177.90	29,297.39	-2.92%	24,297.65	-19.49%	0.0608	✓	0.60	10.4M	2022-01-29
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1317	0.127829	-2.94%	0.0817	-37.97%	0.2228	✓	1.07	344k	2022-01-29
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1771	3.0834	-2.95%	2.9824	-6.13%	0.2221	✗	1.22	3.3M	2022-01-29
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.4845	1.4397	-3.02%	1.0479	-29.41%	0.1119	✓	0.98	4.8M	2022-01-29
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	10.83	10.5014	-3.03%	5.34	-50.69%	0.4957	✓	0.86	1.3M	2022-01-29
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.32	9.037	-3.04%	6.08	-34.76%	0.1602	✓	1.12	4.1M	2022-01-29
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.04	11.6704	-3.07%	6.65	-44.77%	0.5973	✓	-0.17	3.7M	2022-01-29
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.6911	1.6383	-3.12%	0.4988	-70.50%	1.0077	✓	0.86	4.7M	2022-01-29
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.13	1.0941	-3.18%	0.66	-41.59%	0.2953	✓	1.00	2.3M	2022-01-29
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.755	1.6976	-3.27%	1.154	-34.24%	0.2186	✓	0.80	946k	2022-01-29
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.643	2.5556	-3.31%	1.758	-33.48%	0.1628	✓	1.01	2.2M	2022-01-29
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.697	4.5406	-3.33%	3.258	-30.64%	0.1874	✓	0.69	1.0M	2022-01-29
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	153.9	148.635	-3.42%	96.39	-37.37%	0.1645	✓	1.28	11.8M	2022-01-29
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	185.6988	179.3088	-3.44%	79.3124	-57.29%	0.6036	✓	1.01	648k	2022-01-29
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.9975	1.9277	-3.50%	0.9684	-51.52%	0.2875	✓	1.91	1.5M	2022-01-29
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.59	3.464	-3.51%	2.31	-35.65%	0.1866	✓	1.04	787k	2022-01-29
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.0654	5.8525	-3.51%	4.851	-20.02%	0.0518	✗	1.14	653k	2022-01-29
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	10.25	9.8895	-3.52%	4.19	-59.12%	0.5828	✓	1.31	16.5M	2022-01-29
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.42	4.262	-3.57%	3.69	-16.52%	0.0660	✗	1.00	1.2M	2022-01-29
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.203	1.1591	-3.65%	0.5968	-50.39%	0.3679	✓	1.41	2.3M	2022-01-29
ZEN	Horizen	Base	61.58	59.2349	-3.81%	41.64	-32.38%	0.0550	✓	1.42	1.0M	2022-01-29
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.634	0.609089	-3.93%	0.333	-47.48%	0.3420	✓	1.25	2.8M	2022-01-29
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0981	0.094174	-4.00%	0.0636	-35.17%	0.1006	✓	1.39	1.9M	2022-01-29
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.7081	4.5175	-4.05%	3.1573	-32.94%	0.0851	✓	1.30	5.0M	2022-01-29
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	5.14	4.9199	-4.28%	2.83	-44.94%	0.3429	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-01-29
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1856	0.177511	-4.36%	0.11	-40.73%	0.2362	✓	1.15	2.9M	2022-01-29
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	39.06	37.3434	-4.39%	20.07	-48.62%	0.2372	✓	1.83	6.8M	2022-01-29
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	84.84	80.9191	-4.62%	50.93	-39.97%	0.2529	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-01-29
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0787	0.07498	-4.73%	0.0362	-54.00%	0.4366	✓	1.39	1.7M	2022-01-29
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.9199	0.875762	-4.80%	0.9037	-1.76%	0.2415	✗	1.00	146k	2022-01-29
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.4266	1.3571	-4.87%	0.8302	-41.81%	0.3005	✓	0.91	23.6M	2022-01-29
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.7299	1.6444	-4.94%	0.9693	-43.97%	0.3031	✓	1.07	31.7M	2022-01-29
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003376	0.000032052	-5.06%	0.00002166	-35.84%	0.1249	✓	1.27	2.1M	2022-01-29
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	12.93	12.2558	-5.21%	7.35	-43.16%	0.5123	✓	-0.00	4.6M	2022-01-29
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6956	0.658821	-5.29%	0.4637	-33.34%	0.0734	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-01-29
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	11.98	11.3336	-5.40%	6.1	-49.08%	0.5010	✓	0.56	1.4M	2022-01-29
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01531	0.014484	-5.40%	0.01015	-33.70%	0.1554	✓	0.95	910k	2022-01-29
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.2	0.189178	-5.41%	0.18677	-6.62%	0.3165	✗	1.57	9,235	2022-01-29
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.11	4.8293	-5.49%	2.99	-41.49%	0.2060	✓	1.30	28.7M	2022-01-29
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.579	3.3688	-5.87%	2.667	-25.48%	0.0235	✓	1.00	2.7M	2022-01-29
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2879	3.0782	-6.38%	2.372	-27.86%	0.0617	✓	0.95	7.1M	2022-01-29
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		12.775	11.9568	-6.40%	7.324	-42.67%	0.5035	✓	-0.06	119k	2022-01-29
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	101.73	95.0561	-6.56%	71.95	-29.27%	0.0550	✓	1.06	127.7M	2022-01-29
HIVE	Hive	native	1.5179	1.4164	-6.69%	0.952	-37.28%	0.1089	✓	1.37	6.4M	2022-01-29
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	40.32	37.0331	-8.15%	27.09	-32.81%	0.0379	✓	1.67	3.0M	2022-01-29
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.33	3.9715	-8.28%	2.34	-45.96%	0.3189	✓	1.00	3.6M	2022-01-29
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.9403	0.84499	-10.14%	0.6022	-35.96%	0.0129	✓	1.67	29.3M	2022-01-29
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02166	0.01924	-11.17%	0.00723	-66.62%	0.7686	✓	1.00	34.3M	2022-01-29
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	4.72	4.1177	-12.76%	2.36	-50.00%	0.3465	✓	1.00	15.2M	2022-01-29

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.