2021-12-28 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2920

137 of 137 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+25.31%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

83.2%

in alpha space · 95.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-21.78%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	4.38	3.9042	-10.86%	1.95	-55.48%	0.4486	✓	1.00	15.2M	2022-01-27
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02187	0.019498	-10.85%	0.00534	-75.58%	1.0494	✓	1.00	39.8M	2022-01-27
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.7106	0.635548	-10.56%	0.4474	-37.04%	0.0254	✓	1.33	3.4M	2022-01-27
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01993	0.017952	-9.92%	0.01439	-27.80%	0.0680	✓	0.62	45k	2022-01-27
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.52	3.1764	-9.76%	2.26	-35.80%	0.0830	✓	1.05	787k	2022-01-27
HIVE	Hive	native	1.6115	1.455	-9.71%	0.8838	-45.16%	0.1584	✓	1.38	7.1M	2022-01-27
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.05063	0.045827	-9.49%	0.02909	-42.54%	0.2295	✓	0.92	10.4M	2022-01-27
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.4667	1.329	-9.39%	0.9364	-36.16%	0.0740	✓	1.12	31.7M	2022-01-27
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		14.59	13.2226	-9.37%	6.745	-53.77%	0.7010	✓	-0.11	129k	2022-01-27
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11.66	10.5744	-9.31%	5.07	-56.52%	0.5260	✓	0.85	1.3M	2022-01-27
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	14.64	13.2798	-9.29%	6.75	-53.89%	0.6908	✓	-0.06	4.8M	2022-01-27
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.2085	0.189314	-9.20%	0.17087	-18.05%	0.2920	✗	1.61	13k	2022-01-27
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.3399	3.0333	-9.18%	2.2527	-32.55%	0.0652	✓	0.95	8.0M	2022-01-27
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	11.57	10.5351	-8.95%	5.62	-51.43%	0.4857	✓	0.58	1.5M	2022-01-27
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.7896	0.720741	-8.72%	0.6525	-17.36%	0.3375	✗	1.78	28.3M	2022-01-27
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.05	11.0287	-8.48%	6.37	-47.14%	0.5981	✓	-0.20	4.3M	2022-01-27
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.891	3.5626	-8.44%	2.637	-32.23%	0.0552	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-01-27
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.798	8.9953	-8.19%	5.873	-40.06%	0.2810	✓	0.59	455k	2022-01-27
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.72	4.3501	-7.84%	2.79	-40.89%	0.1161	✓	1.34	26.8M	2022-01-27
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.754	2.5391	-7.80%	1.58	-42.63%	0.2237	✓	1.02	2.2M	2022-01-27
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.28	1.1817	-7.68%	0.725	-43.36%	0.2576	✓	0.94	3.1M	2022-01-27
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.6826	1.5552	-7.57%	0.99692	-40.75%	0.2055	✓	0.97	5.3M	2022-01-27
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.5	4.1598	-7.56%	2.23	-50.44%	0.3778	✓	1.00	4.4M	2022-01-27
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.027	0.949476	-7.55%	0.8569	-16.56%	0.1431	✗	1.00	151k	2022-01-27
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	149.45	138.2243	-7.51%	88.89	-40.52%	0.1090	✓	1.35	11.8M	2022-01-27
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	107.05	99.2874	-7.25%	64.73	-39.53%	0.1501	✓	1.13	136.0M	2022-01-27
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3781	0.350721	-7.24%	0.2772	-26.69%	0.1300	✗	1.49	4.7M	2022-01-27
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3842	0.356544	-7.20%	0.2343	-39.02%	0.1045	✓	1.28	4.4M	2022-01-27
ZEN	Horizen	Base	63.32	58.941	-6.92%	36.7	-42.04%	0.1003	✓	1.52	1.2M	2022-01-27
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.57	24.7472	-6.86%	30	+12.91%	0.4158	✗	0.91	40.2M	2022-01-27
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	294.8	274.8878	-6.75%	164.64	-44.15%	0.2377	✓	1.12	1.5M	2022-01-27
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1923	0.17938	-6.72%	0.0947	-50.75%	0.3581	✓	1.14	3.6M	2022-01-27
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.77	1.6536	-6.58%	0.81	-54.24%	0.2896	✓	1.73	1.5M	2022-01-27
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.8047	4.4887	-6.58%	2.7225	-43.34%	0.3210	✓	0.73	26k	2022-01-27
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	9.06	8.4663	-6.55%	4.05	-55.30%	0.4132	✓	1.32	15.8M	2022-01-27
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	38.45	35.9446	-6.52%	24.3	-36.80%	0.0335	✓	1.73	3.0M	2022-01-27
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2199	0.205702	-6.46%	0.1127	-48.75%	0.3003	✓	1.23	6.1M	2022-01-27
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	39.7	37.1584	-6.40%	16.82	-57.63%	0.3420	✓	1.83	7.2M	2022-01-27
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.10316	0.096571	-6.39%	0.07195	-30.25%	0.1385	✓	0.63	92k	2022-01-27
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05427	0.050808	-6.38%	0.0403	-25.74%	0.0409	✓	1.11	16k	2022-01-27
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0752	1.9436	-6.34%	0.9645	-53.52%	0.2259	✓	1.93	1.5M	2022-01-27
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003492	0.000032727	-6.28%	0.00002125	-39.15%	0.1862	✓	1.00	2.2M	2022-01-27
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.05923	0.055529	-6.25%	0.038232	-35.45%	0.0180	✓	1.45	8.2M	2022-01-27
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.4291	1.3417	-6.11%	0.8032	-43.80%	0.2769	✓	0.96	23.6M	2022-01-27
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.71	1.6074	-6.00%	0.4535	-73.48%	1.0677	✓	0.80	5.9M	2022-01-27
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.4846	2.3396	-5.83%	1.5616	-37.15%	0.1250	✓	1.14	147k	2022-01-27
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.2203	1.1508	-5.70%	0.83214	-31.81%	0.1132	✗	1.78	1.5M	2022-01-27
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	10.128	9.5584	-5.62%	5.722	-43.50%	0.2064	✓	1.25	411k	2022-01-27
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.664	1.571	-5.59%	1.42	-14.66%	0.2301	✗	1.35	8.3M	2022-01-27
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.34	3.1556	-5.52%	2.3	-31.14%	0.0712	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-01-27
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.56	4.3126	-5.43%	3.97	-12.94%	0.1629	✗	1.00	1.2M	2022-01-27
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	5.349	5.0598	-5.41%	3.107	-41.91%	0.3198	✓	0.68	734k	2022-01-27
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01563	0.014802	-5.30%	0.00962	-38.45%	0.1949	✓	0.96	1.2M	2022-01-27
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.18	1.1184	-5.22%	0.65	-44.92%	0.2971	✓	1.00	2.4M	2022-01-27
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	85.17	80.8969	-5.02%	54.08	-36.50%	0.1571	✓	1.00	7.4M	2022-01-27
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	5.0292	4.7785	-4.98%	3.0464	-39.43%	0.1287	✓	1.31	5.2M	2022-01-27
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6659	0.633624	-4.85%	0.4054	-39.12%	0.1281	✓	1.30	12.5M	2022-01-27
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.59	9.1265	-4.83%	5.67	-40.88%	0.1998	✓	1.12	4.1M	2022-01-27
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3011	1.2392	-4.75%	1.8043	+38.67%	0.6419	✗	1.08	1.1M	2022-01-27
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1358	0.129369	-4.74%	0.0794	-41.53%	0.2282	✓	1.06	344k	2022-01-27
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.64	0.609705	-4.73%	0.314	-50.94%	0.3508	✓	1.27	2.9M	2022-01-27
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.8135	1.7277	-4.73%	1.0754	-40.70%	0.2834	✓	0.78	1.1M	2022-01-27
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.506	20.4942	-4.70%	16.064	-25.30%	0.1625	✗	1.65	18.6M	2022-01-27
XEM	NEM	native	0.1284	0.12236	-4.70%	0.0984	-23.36%	0.0538	✗	1.11	175k	2022-01-27
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.98	2.8403	-4.69%	2.121	-28.83%	0.0778	✓	0.87	92k	2022-01-27
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	33.51	31.9464	-4.67%	26.76	-20.14%	0.0157	✓	0.66	572k	2022-01-27
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.4909	4.2819	-4.65%	2.9095	-35.21%	0.0586	✓	1.33	5.4M	2022-01-27
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.537	1.4656	-4.64%	0.861	-43.98%	0.2099	✓	1.31	4.1M	2022-01-27
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.54	2.4232	-4.60%	1.59	-37.40%	0.1655	✓	1.04	4.4M	2022-01-27
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.2569	1.1992	-4.59%	0.5781	-54.01%	0.3772	✓	1.43	2.3M	2022-01-27
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	99.74	95.1882	-4.56%	47.47	-52.41%	0.4590	✓	0.96	7.6M	2022-01-27
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.564	4.3582	-4.51%	2.955	-35.25%	0.2328	✓	0.63	502k	2022-01-27
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	25.42	24.3086	-4.37%	13.95	-45.12%	0.2972	✓	1.05	1.6M	2022-01-27
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	209	199.8859	-4.36%	121.94	-41.66%	0.2121	✓	1.15	236k	2022-01-27
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.695	5.4477	-4.34%	3.89	-31.69%	0.1950	✓	0.58	798k	2022-01-27
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4301	0.411738	-4.27%	0.5303	+23.30%	0.5983	✗	1.41	1.0M	2022-01-27
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	9.08	8.6927	-4.27%	5.9	-35.02%	0.2029	✓	0.75	1.1M	2022-01-27
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3033	0.290364	-4.27%	0.1754	-42.17%	0.1838	✓	1.30	5.8M	2022-01-27
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.798687	0.76471	-4.25%	0.530399	-33.59%	0.0952	✓	1.10	3.0M	2022-01-27
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	190.178	182.1273	-4.23%	73.6045	-61.30%	0.6199	✓	1.16	674k	2022-01-27
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,793.67	3,633.69	-4.22%	2,425.82	-36.06%	0.1484	✓	1.04	766.3M	2022-01-27
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033967	0.032535	-4.22%	0.020242	-40.41%	0.2173	✓	1.05	9.3M	2022-01-27
DASH	Dash	Dash	134.75	129.1242	-4.18%	91.73	-31.93%	0.0246	✓	1.29	2.0M	2022-01-27
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	18.4	17.6323	-4.17%	10.32	-43.91%	0.2216	✓	1.28	15.5M	2022-01-27
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	36.25	34.7428	-4.16%	19.21	-47.01%	0.3412	✓	1.02	22.1M	2022-01-27
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.459	6.1936	-4.11%	6.5312	+1.12%	0.2533	✗	0.82	4.3M	2022-01-27
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.911	0.874573	-4.00%	0.482	-47.09%	0.2314	✓	1.48	9.2M	2022-01-27
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	9.7	9.3178	-3.94%	5.84	-39.79%	0.3196	✓	0.60	1.1M	2022-01-27
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.34	5.1296	-3.94%	3.38	-36.70%	0.1209	✓	1.21	2.5M	2022-01-27
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1998	0.191967	-3.92%	0.1146	-42.64%	0.2950	✓	0.90	701k	2022-01-27
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.03	2.912	-3.89%	1.76	-41.91%	0.1818	✓	1.31	3.0M	2022-01-27
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.2683	6.0254	-3.88%	4.2126	-32.79%	0.0646	✓	1.19	724k	2022-01-27
XEC	eCash	native	0.00010951	0.000105277	-3.86%	0.00007022	-35.88%	0.1597	✓	1.00	9.9M	2022-01-27
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.01	38.4678	-3.85%	38.35	-4.15%	0.2548	✗	1.05	20.7M	2022-01-27
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.3661	3.2374	-3.82%	2.7628	-17.92%	0.1420	✗	1.22	3.3M	2022-01-27
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.274101	0.263645	-3.81%	0.194019	-29.22%	0.0547	✓	1.03	32.3M	2022-01-27
SOL	Solana	Solana	177.27	170.6054	-3.76%	89.55	-49.48%	0.3863	✓	1.05	257.1M	2022-01-27
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	16.17	15.5631	-3.75%	12.75	-21.15%	0.0321	✓	0.68	1.4M	2022-01-27
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.85	5.6319	-3.73%	4.57	-21.88%	0.0704	✗	1.14	5.1M	2022-01-27
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.87	4.689	-3.72%	2.65	-45.59%	0.3250	✓	1.00	2.5M	2022-01-27
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	47,543.09	45,833.34	-3.60%	37,188.37	-21.78%	0.0366	✓	1.00	750.8M	2022-01-27
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3998	1.3505	-3.52%	1.0428	-25.50%	0.0048	✓	1.07	120.2M	2022-01-27
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.077218	0.074521	-3.49%	0.056453	-26.89%	0.0444	✓	0.95	648k	2022-01-27
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0659	0.063602	-3.49%	0.0357	-45.83%	0.2512	✓	1.33	1.9M	2022-01-27
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.342	0.330145	-3.47%	0.2367	-30.79%	0.1016	✓	0.94	328k	2022-01-27
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11446	0.110519	-3.44%	0.08437	-26.29%	0.0035	✓	1.11	29k	2022-01-27
XMR	Monero	Monero	208.62	201.4717	-3.43%	144.6	-30.69%	0.0900	✓	0.98	2.8M	2022-01-27
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.57	7.3149	-3.37%	5.12	-32.36%	0.2002	✓	0.64	1.1M	2022-01-27
XVG	Verge	native	0.0176	0.017014	-3.33%	0.00965	-45.17%	0.2737	✓	1.19	2.8M	2022-01-27
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.76	10.4095	-3.26%	8.93	-17.01%	0.0322	✓	0.76	1.4M	2022-01-27
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	28,691.22	27,789.22	-3.14%	23,910.78	-16.66%	0.0077	✓	0.58	9.0M	2022-01-27
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		121.77	118.0807	-3.03%	89.31	-26.66%	0.0410	✓	0.97	3.7M	2022-01-27
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1045	0.101697	-2.68%	0.065	-37.80%	0.1086	✓	1.38	2.0M	2022-01-27
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0838	0.081553	-2.68%	0.0638	-23.87%	0.0215	✓	1.09	16k	2022-01-27
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2158	0.210128	-2.63%	0.1614	-25.21%	0.1344	✓	0.53	392k	2022-01-27
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.84	27.1262	-2.56%	18.13	-34.88%	0.0888	✓	1.28	77.1M	2022-01-27
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	438.74	427.7538	-2.50%	289.64	-33.98%	0.1400	✓	1.02	10.8M	2022-01-27
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.0923	8.8671	-2.48%	5.5654	-38.79%	0.1121	✓	1.44	285k	2022-01-27
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	252.64	246.9681	-2.25%	144.54	-42.79%	0.2667	✓	1.09	11.4M	2022-01-27
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	145.67	142.4559	-2.21%	106.92	-26.60%	0.0490	✗	1.37	53.2M	2022-01-27
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.7465	3.6651	-2.17%	2.3156	-38.19%	0.2008	✓	1.05	819k	2022-01-27
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.6	3.5294	-1.96%	3.4851	-3.19%	0.0414	✓	-0.12	405k	2022-01-27
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	20.36	19.9728	-1.90%	15.23	-25.20%	0.0586	✗	1.34	69.7M	2022-01-27
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.54	15.2566	-1.82%	8.39	-46.01%	0.3182	✓	1.14	4.8M	2022-01-27
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	188.78	185.7168	-1.62%	93.16	-50.65%	0.4540	✓	0.96	11.5M	2022-01-27
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.423	0.417555	-1.29%	0.243	-42.55%	0.3570	✓	0.75	46k	2022-01-27
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	47,383.60	46,801.10	-1.23%	37,269.30	-21.35%	0.0164	✗	0.99	10k	2022-01-27
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.108	2.0865	-1.02%	1.399	-33.63%	0.1221	✓	1.13	3.3M	2022-01-27
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	24.71	24.4639	-1.00%	19.61	-20.64%	0.1308	✗	1.43	22.9M	2022-01-27
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08977	0.089041	-0.81%	0.04978	-44.55%	0.2230	✓	1.46	4.1M	2022-01-27
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.96	34.6798	-0.80%	24.33	-30.41%	0.0970	✓	1.05	5.1M	2022-01-27
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01651	0.016379	-0.79%	0.01041	-36.95%	0.1389	✓	1.28	2.7M	2022-01-27
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.173745	0.173248	-0.29%	0.141443	-18.59%	0.0702	✗	1.11	6.0M	2022-01-27
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	35.02	34.9277	-0.26%	18.67	-46.69%	0.2510	✓	1.53	1.3M	2022-01-27
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7165	0.715592	-0.13%	0.5092	-28.93%	0.0286	✓	1.27	6.6M	2022-01-27
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.021978	0.022041	+0.28%	0.014097	-35.86%	0.1478	✗	1.22	2.4M	2022-01-27
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07538	0.078314	+3.89%	0.04646	-38.37%	0.2185	✗	1.24	21.1M	2022-01-27

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.