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2021-12-22 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3759
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+24.85%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
68.4%
in alpha space · 95.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-25.00%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1731880.171038-1.24%0.142057-17.98%0.1303✗1.105.5M2022-01-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3570.351504-1.54%0.271-24.09%0.0463✓0.7449k2022-01-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0229890.022597-1.71%0.016171-29.66%0.0135✓1.212.0M2022-01-21
AAVEAaveEthereum206.48202.5255-1.92%171.09-17.14%0.1091✗0.9711.4M2022-01-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum48,803.2047,823.95-2.01%36,607.80-24.99%0.0160✓0.9812k2022-01-21
QNTQuantEthereum182.5178.6968-2.08%114.44-37.29%0.1825✓0.9112.1M2022-01-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.59953.5205-2.19%3.5345-1.81%0.0218✓-0.09372k2022-01-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73670.718801-2.43%0.5619-23.73%0.1040✗1.227.7M2022-01-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.3422.7518-2.52%24.19+3.64%0.4454✗1.3421.2M2022-01-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.6734.7239-2.65%25.95-27.25%0.0091✓1.046.2M2022-01-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.08770.085099-2.97%0.05552-36.69%0.0701✓1.2422.6M2022-01-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2272.16-3.01%1.445-35.11%0.0824✓1.113.4M2022-01-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.9219.3082-3.07%17.44-12.45%0.2643✗1.2767.0M2022-01-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.7632.6856-3.18%21.23-37.11%0.0007✓1.501.6M2022-01-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.0243.8884-3.37%3.392-15.71%0.0945✗0.80714k2022-01-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV123.67119.3448-3.50%95.68-22.63%0.0622✗0.982.8M2022-01-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.08891.05-3.57%0.6747-38.04%0.0057✓1.523.0M2022-01-21
XMRMoneroMonero190.53183.4205-3.73%172.82-9.30%0.2141✗0.952.8M2022-01-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash438.3421.8602-3.75%315.04-28.12%0.0048✓1.0314.2M2022-01-21
UNIUniswapEthereum16.2115.5963-3.79%12.63-22.09%0.1542✗1.2714.1M2022-01-21
NANOnanopayBase3.47533.3417-3.84%2.3265-33.06%0.0625✓1.04819k2022-01-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.2426.1707-3.93%19.67-27.79%0.0713✗1.2475.5M2022-01-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8623.7102-3.93%3.168-17.97%0.0377✓0.68487k2022-01-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.23723.1077-4.00%3.11-3.93%0.3474✗1.214.0M2022-01-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.798.4341-4.05%6.31-28.21%0.1014✓0.661.1M2022-01-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1514.9401-4.10%4.12-20.02%0.0005✓0.63936k2022-01-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.535.3034-4.10%4.17-24.59%0.0705✗1.085.3M2022-01-21
XVSVenusEthereum15.5614.9156-4.14%9.94-36.12%0.0773✓1.145.7M2022-01-21
ADACardanoCardano1.32791.2727-4.16%1.1211-15.57%0.1685✗1.03128.9M2022-01-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,630.7130,314.46-4.16%25,741.64-18.62%0.0088✓0.546.8M2022-01-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.379.935-4.19%9.4-9.35%0.1587✗0.741.6M2022-01-21
SUSHISushiEthereum6.366.0926-4.20%4.96-22.01%0.1723✗1.3113.8M2022-01-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20780.198977-4.25%0.1474-29.07%0.0486✓0.87776k2022-01-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin48,608.6246,466.19-4.41%36,456.94-25.00%0.0451✗1.00750.8M2022-01-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.2587.8898-4.46%8.351+1.13%0.4367✗1.32635k2022-01-21
TRXTRONTron0.0790460.075506-4.48%0.061109-22.69%0.0656✗0.96787k2022-01-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.09420.089968-4.49%0.05388-42.80%0.0786✓1.516.4M2022-01-21
XLMStellarStellar0.2677240.255616-4.52%0.202862-24.23%0.0528✗0.9939.0M2022-01-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.34090.325476-4.52%0.2396-29.72%0.0511✓0.89401k2022-01-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.7915.057-4.64%13.42-15.01%0.0758✗0.661.5M2022-01-21
GTGateEthereum6.1255.8391-4.67%6.243+1.93%0.3011✗0.814.7M2022-01-21
ETHEthereumEthereum3,981.123,794.80-4.68%2,569.01-35.47%0.0849✓1.06768.5M2022-01-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13650.130012-4.75%0.0834-38.90%0.1329✓1.08508k2022-01-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin155.44147.996-4.79%114.51-26.33%0.1459✗1.4060.2M2022-01-21
SOLSolanaSolana178.45169.8744-4.81%112.32-37.06%0.1234✓1.01265.5M2022-01-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.838.3984-4.89%6.56-25.71%0.0251✓0.77934k2022-01-21
FTTFTXEthereum41.3339.2899-4.94%38.52-6.80%0.2858✗1.0623.4M2022-01-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08650.082203-4.97%0.0634-26.71%0.0569✗1.1022k2022-01-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum33.0831.4307-4.99%23.31-29.53%0.1069✓0.67711k2022-01-21
IMXImmutableEthereum4.534.3022-5.03%2.71-40.18%0.1745✓1.002.8M2022-01-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.5123.2761-5.03%15.55-36.56%0.0971✓1.062.7M2022-01-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.937.5242-5.12%5.64-28.88%0.1063✓0.631.1M2022-01-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.00794.7505-5.14%3.2277-35.55%0.1678✓0.7631k2022-01-21
XYMSymbolnative0.24240.229806-5.20%0.1639-32.38%0.2066✓0.46428k2022-01-21
XTZTezosTezos4.54184.3023-5.27%3.3417-26.42%0.1211✗1.305.1M2022-01-21
CBKCobakEthereum2.9732.8161-5.28%2.197-26.10%0.0060✓0.84103k2022-01-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.072.9066-5.32%2-34.85%0.0040✓1.293.2M2022-01-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.06554.7949-5.34%3.555-29.82%0.0939✗1.375.0M2022-01-21
QTUMQtumQtum9.42998.9237-5.37%6.1225-35.07%0.0396✓1.45349k2022-01-21
BANDBandEthereum5.365.0702-5.41%3.96-26.12%0.0931✗1.182.8M2022-01-21
MOVRMoonriverBase181.9072171.9595-5.47%95-47.78%0.2653✓1.14748k2022-01-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.393.2016-5.56%2.46-27.43%0.0192✓0.981.3M2022-01-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.115070.108639-5.59%0.08324-27.66%0.0505✓1.1030k2022-01-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.28560.269611-5.60%0.198-30.67%0.0538✓1.266.6M2022-01-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01790.016879-5.70%0.01111-37.93%0.0570✓1.263.6M2022-01-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10260.096715-5.74%0.0619-39.67%0.0579✓1.353.3M2022-01-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.45110.425151-5.75%0.5351+18.62%0.6383✗1.421.6M2022-01-21
KCSKuCoinnative21.43520.199-5.77%16.808-21.59%0.3021✗1.6922.7M2022-01-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.472.3268-5.80%1.84-25.51%0.0377✓0.954.7M2022-01-21
XVGVergenative0.017240.016226-5.88%0.01002-41.88%0.1433✓1.182.9M2022-01-21
COMPCompoundEthereum206.65194.2299-6.01%139.37-32.56%0.0294✓1.05236k2022-01-21
XECeCashnative0.000110550.000103903-6.01%0.00007968-27.92%0.0201✓0.9912.0M2022-01-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.6333.4607-6.09%21.98-38.31%0.1290✓1.0122.5M2022-01-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum101.5695.2476-6.22%58.39-42.51%0.2144✓0.969.8M2022-01-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.36281.2771-6.29%1.4321+5.09%0.4235✗1.071.5M2022-01-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.211.1337-6.31%0.73-39.67%0.1525✓1.002.3M2022-01-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5691.4691-6.36%0.984-37.28%0.0225✓1.325.4M2022-01-21
CTKShentuOsmosis1.8011.6856-6.41%1.209-32.87%0.0385✓1.296.8M2022-01-21
LSKLiskEthereum2.45672.2987-6.43%1.6672-32.14%0.0251✓1.20147k2022-01-21
SCSiacoinnative0.016010.014977-6.45%0.01044-34.79%0.0953✓0.921.5M2022-01-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8242080.77071-6.49%0.55846-32.24%0.0152✓1.074.7M2022-01-21
XEMNEMnative0.13050.122019-6.50%0.097-25.67%0.0829✗1.09202k2022-01-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.18651.1093-6.51%0.81011-31.72%0.1876✗1.741.6M2022-01-21
DASHDashDash135.16126.3293-6.53%105.73-21.77%0.1809✗1.252.2M2022-01-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.27091.1861-6.67%0.857-32.57%0.0185✓1.0723.6M2022-01-21
KSMKusamaHydration273.22254.9412-6.69%213.87-21.72%0.1350✗1.081.5M2022-01-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.54026.0981-6.76%4.7186-27.85%0.0848✗1.19833k2022-01-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.69440.646333-6.92%0.4366-37.13%0.0224✓1.2914.9M2022-01-21
DODODODOEthereum0.8980.835683-6.94%0.561-37.53%0.0246✓1.479.7M2022-01-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.056850.052875-6.99%0.03977-30.04%0.0385✓1.1220k2022-01-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.61.4877-7.02%0.97-39.38%0.0604✓1.701.6M2022-01-21
API3Api3Ethereum5.044.6818-7.11%4.65-7.74%0.2809✗1.001.8M2022-01-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.32930.305147-7.33%0.2921-11.30%0.3742✗1.454.4M2022-01-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6340.587197-7.38%0.352-44.48%0.1598✓1.223.2M2022-01-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07120.065891-7.46%0.0363-49.02%0.2034✓1.372.7M2022-01-21
UMAUMAEthereum9.468.7453-7.56%6.6-30.23%0.0316✓1.094.1M2022-01-21
STORJStorjEthereum1.96551.8151-7.65%1.1848-39.72%0.2271✓0.691.3M2022-01-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0609370.056253-7.69%0.041641-31.67%0.1287✗1.4911.0M2022-01-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.106020.09786-7.70%0.07197-32.12%0.1507✓0.54143k2022-01-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.455.0247-7.80%2.29-57.98%0.4981✓1.006.8M2022-01-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2711.17-7.94%0.764-39.89%0.1445✓0.984.4M2022-01-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.1811.2015-8.03%6.72-44.83%0.6010✓-0.315.4M2022-01-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.149.3139-8.15%5.957-41.25%0.2619✓0.64455k2022-01-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.3925.107-8.33%34.64+26.47%0.5711✗0.8741.0M2022-01-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20770.190331-8.36%0.1206-41.94%0.1129✓1.197.6M2022-01-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum45.0341.1918-8.52%17.88-60.29%0.3016✓1.8510.6M2022-01-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum41.4937.925-8.59%24.86-40.08%0.0762✓1.735.2M2022-01-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7593.4324-8.69%2.795-25.65%0.0822✓1.003.6M2022-01-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0368870.033678-8.70%0.022082-40.14%0.1287✓1.0213.9M2022-01-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.0000350.000031909-8.83%0.00002226-36.40%0.0724✓1.001.9M2022-01-21
ZENHorizenBase6861.9389-8.91%38.94-42.74%0.0274✓1.521.7M2022-01-21
GITCOINGITCOIN10.589.6225-9.05%7.826-26.03%0.2572✓-0.18129k2022-01-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche116.66105.9838-9.15%66.07-43.37%0.1404✓1.15158.3M2022-01-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.36411.2385-9.21%1.0303-24.47%0.1178✗1.0535.5M2022-01-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.054.5822-9.26%3.31-34.46%0.0639✓1.3528.7M2022-01-21
ZECZcashZcash165.84150.4036-9.31%102.35-38.28%0.0069✓1.3613.6M2022-01-21
RADRadworksEthereum10.029.068-9.50%5.68-43.31%0.1950✓0.951.9M2022-01-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.0810.0203-9.56%6.49-41.43%0.2877✓0.513.4M2022-01-21
UOSUltraEthereum1.60781.4532-9.62%0.91734-42.95%0.1709✓1.017.8M2022-01-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5792.3301-9.65%1.738-32.61%0.0292✓0.922.8M2022-01-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.37740.340921-9.67%0.2523-33.15%0.0721✓1.306.6M2022-01-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.203510.1833-9.93%0.16704-17.92%0.3759✗1.6334k2022-01-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum10.629.5601-9.98%7.97-24.95%0.2161✓-0.124.2M2022-01-21
CELLCellframeEthereum1.311.1792-9.98%0.8913-31.96%0.0078✓1.00196k2022-01-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01940.017452-10.04%0.01394-28.14%0.0662✓0.5561k2022-01-21
MINAMina Protocolnative3.312.9775-10.04%2.9-12.39%0.2526✗0.97807k2022-01-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.050290.045222-10.08%0.0303-39.75%0.1281✓0.9516.3M2022-01-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.76541.5867-10.12%0.5186-70.62%0.9679✓0.528.5M2022-01-21
HIVEHivenative1.50551.3522-10.18%0.906-39.82%0.0234✓1.3111.9M2022-01-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.21190.189864-10.40%0.0939-55.69%0.3740✓1.154.2M2022-01-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.67210.599651-10.78%0.6365-5.30%0.5885✗1.8412.6M2022-01-21
LRCLoopringEthereum2.19981.9591-10.94%0.8678-60.55%0.2381✓2.002.3M2022-01-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.68930.611826-11.24%0.4811-30.20%0.1143✓1.236.5M2022-01-21
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28952.8972-11.92%2.2219-32.45%0.0208✓0.859.3M2022-01-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.593.103-13.56%2.45-31.75%0.0514✓1.0011.9M2022-01-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023880.020392-14.61%0.0092-61.47%0.5083✓1.0034.3M2022-01-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.