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2021-12-19 · +30d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 135 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3297
135 of 135 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+19.15%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.9%
in alpha space · 75.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.25%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (135 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69090.687435-0.50%0.6816-1.35%0.1086✗1.218.2M2022-01-18
AAVEAaveEthereum183.44182.3521-0.59%232.45+26.72%0.3376✗0.9810.9M2022-01-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07090.06998-1.30%0.06479-8.62%0.0205✗1.0123.2M2022-01-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.169530.167109-1.43%0.165155-2.58%0.0968✗1.125.3M2022-01-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum31.8431.3311-1.60%27.84-12.56%0.0291✗1.521.6M2022-01-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,160.0046,325.90-1.77%42,495.40-9.89%0.0100✓0.9915k2022-01-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3630.355729-2.00%0.376+3.58%0.1280✗0.7554k2022-01-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.8934.0887-2.30%32.64-6.45%0.0594✗1.066.9M2022-01-18
QNTQuantEthereum182.22177.8113-2.42%146.04-19.86%0.1098✓0.9012.3M2022-01-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0231720.022603-2.46%0.019469-15.98%0.0291✓1.241.9M2022-01-18
SUSHISushiEthereum5.335.1936-2.56%6.21+16.51%0.3051✗1.3012.7M2022-01-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.6722.0807-2.60%29.38+29.60%0.4151✗1.3320.5M2022-01-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1312.0722-2.76%1.794-15.81%0.0353✓1.123.4M2022-01-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8893.7723-3.00%4.117+5.86%0.1671✗0.82780k2022-01-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.215.0491-3.09%5.03-3.45%0.1010✗1.085.5M2022-01-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.9087.6636-3.09%7-11.48%0.0411✗1.36640k2022-01-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.32520.315095-3.11%0.3128-3.81%0.0782✗0.88775k2022-01-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.553.4343-3.26%3.727+4.99%0.1469✗0.67532k2022-01-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.8818.2633-3.27%22.98+21.72%0.3547✗1.2969.7M2022-01-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.7823.9441-3.37%25.15+1.49%0.1705✗1.2575.1M2022-01-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.967.6889-3.41%7.79-2.14%0.0771✗0.661.1M2022-01-18
QTUMQtumQtum9.08398.7618-3.55%7.8307-13.80%0.0308✓1.48356k2022-01-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.07691.0378-3.63%0.9593-10.92%0.0692✗1.523.6M2022-01-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.47743.3499-3.67%3.6709+5.56%0.0817✗-0.10372k2022-01-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7224.5484-3.68%4.936+4.53%0.1430✗0.63961k2022-01-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash432.94416.8852-3.71%381.47-11.89%0.0132✓1.0514.2M2022-01-18
XVSVenusEthereum15.4814.8957-3.77%13.04-15.76%0.0207✓1.166.6M2022-01-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.4512.9408-3.79%14.74+9.59%0.1956✗0.671.6M2022-01-18
UNIUniswapEthereum14.9714.4003-3.81%15.98+6.75%0.2289✗1.2914.2M2022-01-18
XMRMoneroMonero183.97176.9484-3.82%204.44+11.13%0.2391✗0.982.9M2022-01-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09470.090961-3.95%0.0808-14.68%0.0135✓1.363.6M2022-01-18
ADACardanoCardano1.24431.1943-4.02%1.4589+17.25%0.3004✗1.03131.8M2022-01-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV123.02118.0564-4.03%108.41-11.88%0.0117✓1.002.3M2022-01-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.588.2316-4.06%10.34+20.51%0.2959✗0.701.9M2022-01-18
DODODODOEthereum0.8260.792036-4.11%0.739-10.53%0.0734✗1.4712.1M2022-01-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin153.31146.6754-4.33%141.53-7.68%0.1035✗1.4463.2M2022-01-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017610.016844-4.35%0.01425-19.08%0.0452✓1.263.6M2022-01-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092060.088053-4.35%0.07514-18.38%0.0170✓1.467.0M2022-01-18
MOVRMoonriverBase183.3809175.2397-4.44%126.385-31.08%0.2154✓1.151.2M2022-01-18
FTTFTXEthereum39.7437.9465-4.51%44.97+13.16%0.2732✗1.0726.1M2022-01-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.646.34-4.52%6.43-3.16%0.0763✗0.641.1M2022-01-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.95595.6858-4.53%5.9429-0.22%0.1594✗1.19876k2022-01-18
NANOnanopayBase3.35563.2022-4.57%2.9248-12.84%0.0107✓1.04781k2022-01-18
XLMStellarStellar0.2538850.242183-4.61%0.253995+0.04%0.1434✗0.9939.3M2022-01-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,687.1944,532.62-4.61%42,369.74-9.25%0.0472✗1.00744.5M2022-01-18
BANDBandEthereum5.124.8797-4.69%5.05-1.37%0.1490✗1.182.8M2022-01-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13650.130094-4.69%0.105-23.08%0.1075✓1.10648k2022-01-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.712.5798-4.80%2.55-5.90%0.1126✗1.282.9M2022-01-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.551.4738-4.92%1.28-17.42%0.0233✓1.692.1M2022-01-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.347.9296-4.92%7.81-6.35%0.0610✗0.79824k2022-01-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.9842.8369-4.93%2.691-9.82%0.0305✓0.86105k2022-01-18
GTGateEthereum5.79835.5117-4.94%7.0464+21.53%0.3250✗0.825.2M2022-01-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.02332.8732-4.96%3.2233+6.62%0.2327✗1.214.7M2022-01-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08460.080381-4.99%0.0796-5.91%0.0984✗1.1124k2022-01-18
TRXTRONTron0.0795040.075525-5.00%0.068419-13.94%0.0031✓0.99735k2022-01-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20120.191087-5.03%0.1749-13.07%0.0035✓0.88776k2022-01-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.26310.249814-5.05%0.259-1.56%0.1590✗1.277.4M2022-01-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.7323.461-5.13%19.56-20.91%0.0783✓1.073.0M2022-01-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111040.105291-5.18%0.10541-5.07%0.1098✗1.1231k2022-01-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,997.5130,329.81-5.21%32,596.41+1.87%0.1279✗0.575.5M2022-01-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.2530.4926-5.45%27.26-15.47%0.0479✓0.66754k2022-01-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.43510.411309-5.47%0.6027+38.52%0.4791✗1.001.8M2022-01-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum95.2990.035-5.51%73.86-22.49%0.1052✓0.9610.9M2022-01-18
ETHEthereumEthereum3,925.793,708.03-5.55%3,160.81-19.49%0.0545✓1.08768.5M2022-01-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6040.570491-5.55%0.499-17.38%0.0134✓1.243.4M2022-01-18
SOLSolanaSolana179.95169.9109-5.58%141.35-21.45%0.0846✓1.02281.0M2022-01-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4531.3707-5.66%1.273-12.39%0.0546✓1.335.6M2022-01-18
XVGVergenative0.016740.015787-5.69%0.01322-21.03%0.0626✓1.183.6M2022-01-18
DASHDashDash129.18121.8187-5.70%130.54+1.05%0.1907✗1.252.2M2022-01-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.770370.726284-5.72%0.720057-6.53%0.0961✗1.084.8M2022-01-18
LSKLiskEthereum2.33162.1974-5.76%2.0816-10.73%0.0613✗1.19191k2022-01-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.73624.4632-5.76%4.1197-13.02%0.0528✓1.375.2M2022-01-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.06411.0023-5.81%1.1015+3.51%0.1870✗0.9523.6M2022-01-18
SCSiacoinnative0.015370.014475-5.82%0.0133-13.47%0.0045✓0.922.1M2022-01-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.422.2785-5.85%2.19-9.50%0.0535✓0.964.9M2022-01-18
XECeCashnative0.000108670.000102315-5.85%0.00009565-11.98%0.0300✓1.0014.3M2022-01-18
XYMSymbolnative0.25770.242457-5.92%0.1864-27.67%0.2172✓0.47434k2022-01-18
KCSKuCoinnative21.2319.9721-5.93%20.371-4.05%0.1874✗1.7324.3M2022-01-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64820.609609-5.95%0.5309-18.10%0.0183✓1.2414.9M2022-01-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.27851.202-5.98%1.473+15.21%0.3090✗1.091.6M2022-01-18
IMXImmutableEthereum4.54.2296-6.01%3.72-17.33%0.0313✓1.003.1M2022-01-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.223.0185-6.26%3.02-6.21%0.0967✗0.991.3M2022-01-18
XTZTezosTezos4.13833.8738-6.39%4.1162-0.53%0.1887✗1.324.2M2022-01-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.055640.052067-6.42%0.04814-13.48%0.0318✓1.1422k2022-01-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19220.179735-6.49%0.1541-19.82%0.0369✓1.218.9M2022-01-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.93344.6121-6.51%4.0803-17.29%0.0473✓0.7831k2022-01-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.833.4479-6.57%28.48-20.45%0.0604✓1.0320.8M2022-01-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.30630.286035-6.62%0.4092+33.59%0.5010✗1.474.9M2022-01-18
COMPCompoundEthereum195.44182.4565-6.64%178.35-8.74%0.0807✗1.07228k2022-01-18
XEMNEMnative0.12880.120032-6.81%0.1142-11.34%0.0576✓1.11191k2022-01-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos22.1820.6152-7.05%38.27+72.54%0.6994✗0.8342.5M2022-01-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.13121.0483-7.33%1.0043-11.22%0.1297✗1.781.6M2022-01-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.4290.397391-7.37%0.9154+113.38%1.0096✗1.8010.2M2022-01-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7551.6242-7.45%1.348-23.19%0.0606✓1.307.6M2022-01-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum35.1432.5206-7.45%34.09-2.99%0.2176✗1.766.8M2022-01-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.100480.092854-7.59%0.08843-11.99%0.0026✓0.53143k2022-01-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07070.065334-7.59%0.0499-29.42%0.1354✓1.383.5M2022-01-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.68471.5565-7.61%1.5502-7.98%0.0593✓0.651.4M2022-01-18
KSMKusamaHydration274.31253.4236-7.61%253.4-7.62%0.1078✗1.111.5M2022-01-18
UMAUMAEthereum9.098.3972-7.62%7.94-12.65%0.0517✓1.114.1M2022-01-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6283.3413-7.90%3.378-6.89%0.1080✗1.003.8M2022-01-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0608960.056058-7.94%0.052076-14.48%0.0726✓1.5113.9M2022-01-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2191.1205-8.08%1.008-17.31%0.0092✓1.005.1M2022-01-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.8337.5051-8.14%23.4-42.69%0.2833✓1.9413.8M2022-01-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.171.0729-8.30%0.98-16.24%0.0064✓1.002.4M2022-01-18
ZENHorizenBase65.5260.0483-8.35%52.32-20.15%0.0122✓1.552.2M2022-01-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.65181.5113-8.50%0.8648-47.64%0.5112✓0.489.0M2022-01-18
API3Api3Ethereum4.23.8326-8.75%4.64+10.48%0.2882✗1.001.7M2022-01-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.8810.8037-9.06%8.79-26.01%0.2387✓-0.335.9M2022-01-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3352.1203-9.19%2.277-2.48%0.1605✗0.923.4M2022-01-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.69.6059-9.38%8.78-17.17%0.0415✓0.504.2M2022-01-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.173.7787-9.38%4.56+9.35%0.3166✗1.3328.7M2022-01-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.725.1809-9.42%3.25-43.18%0.3693✓1.0011.5M2022-01-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.203670.184247-9.54%0.19779-2.89%0.2308✗1.6537k2022-01-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.3229.3347-9.56%7.355-28.74%0.1738✓0.67374k2022-01-18
ZECZcashZcash157.78142.5839-9.63%131.97-16.36%0.0572✓1.3915.2M2022-01-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche107.696.95-9.90%86.02-20.06%0.0096✓1.13164.3M2022-01-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.64580.581146-10.01%0.6093-5.65%0.1667✗1.238.7M2022-01-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.35641.2202-10.04%1.3179-2.84%0.1795✗1.0638.2M2022-01-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36580.328962-10.07%0.3129-14.46%0.0772✓1.317.0M2022-01-18
MINAMina Protocolnative3.182.8582-10.12%3.45+8.49%0.2836✗0.98821k2022-01-18
RADRadworksEthereum9.98.8952-10.15%7.44-24.85%0.0850✓0.971.9M2022-01-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030760.000027608-10.25%0.00002811-8.62%0.1151✗1.001.8M2022-01-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0384950.034532-10.29%0.027164-29.43%0.1411✓1.0215.0M2022-01-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.47011.3183-10.33%1.236-15.92%0.0332✓1.017.8M2022-01-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.28.2225-10.63%11.41+24.02%0.3122✗-0.163.7M2022-01-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.0480.042818-10.80%0.03887-19.02%0.0037✓0.9615.8M2022-01-18
GITCOINGITCOIN9.2798.2653-10.92%11.382+22.66%0.2992✗-0.21119k2022-01-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.020350.018112-11.00%0.01679-17.49%0.0215✓0.5661k2022-01-18
HIVEHivenative1.46421.3028-11.02%1.2149-17.03%0.0597✓1.3312.4M2022-01-18
LRCLoopringEthereum2.05191.818-11.40%1.1612-43.41%0.2572✓1.972.3M2022-01-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.533.0898-12.47%3.54+0.28%0.2331✗1.0012.1M2022-01-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.016890.01477-12.55%0.01274-24.57%0.0508✓1.0033.0M2022-01-18
MANADecentralandEthereum3.25672.8424-12.72%2.859-12.21%0.0913✓0.8812.2M2022-01-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.27680.22989-16.95%0.1293-53.29%0.4574✓1.223.7M2022-01-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.