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WARD

Warden · Base · gru_s5

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +7d

assessed
244
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
69.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2377
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0301
actual -0.0868

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.002674-2.24%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002666-2.00%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.00267-2.02%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.002985-2.94%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002642-1.98%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002642-1.98%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002686-2.16%–pending––0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002708-2.07%0.002735-1.08%0.0033✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002784-1.80%0.00272-4.06%0.0213✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002699-1.85%0.002725-0.91%0.0085✓0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002767-2.06%0.003075+8.85%0.1213✗0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002779-2.14%0.002695-5.11%0.0161✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002733-2.03%0.002695-3.41%0.0042✓0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002692-1.91%0.002745+0.00%0.0151✓0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002829-2.09%0.002765-4.33%0.0077✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002873-2.27%0.002835-3.57%0.0090✓0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.00317-2.45%0.00275-15.38%0.1000✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003048-2.62%0.002825-9.74%0.0440✓0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.002952-2.58%0.00284-6.27%0.0180✓0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002853-2.62%0.00279-4.78%0.0002✓0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002925-2.83%0.002745-8.80%0.0278✓0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002888-2.42%0.00289-2.36%0.0037✓0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.00285-2.24%0.00294+0.86%0.0095✓0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002934-2.21%0.00325+8.33%0.0776✗0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003067-2.32%0.00313-0.32%0.0017✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003337-2.44%0.00303-11.40%0.1001✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002837-2.00%0.00293+1.21%0.0274✗0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002744-1.99%0.00301+7.50%0.0870✗1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.00279-1.76%0.00296+4.23%0.0690✗1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002897-1.61%0.002915-1.02%0.0351✗0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002853-1.46%0.003+3.63%0.0877✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002494-1.01%0.00314+24.60%0.1959✗0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002604-0.99%0.00342+30.04%0.2393✗0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002853-1.46%0.002895+0.00%0.0205✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002625-1.31%0.0028+5.26%0.0189✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002386-0.60%0.00284+18.33%0.0882✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002435-0.83%0.002945+19.96%0.0750✗0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.00253-0.61%0.002895+13.75%0.0431✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002557-0.91%0.00252-2.33%0.0626✓0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.00267-1.11%0.00263-2.59%0.0600✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002717-1.02%0.002895+5.46%0.0250✗0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002585-0.76%0.00266+2.11%0.0307✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002836-0.84%0.0024-16.08%0.1433✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002708-0.43%0.002455-9.74%0.0673✓0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002626+0.02%0.002545-3.05%0.0217✗0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002685+0.38%0.00258-3.55%0.0008✓0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.00276+0.54%0.0027-1.64%0.0071✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002644+0.33%0.002745+4.17%0.0638✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002889+0.30%0.002605-9.55%0.0562✗0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.00289-1.36%0.00286-2.39%0.0222✓0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003149-1.91%0.00272-15.26%0.1589✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.002977-1.57%0.002625-13.22%0.1327✓0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.00253-1.15%0.002675+4.49%0.0137✗1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002513-1.24%0.002745+7.86%0.0685✗0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002728-2.04%0.002635-5.39%0.0576✓0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002803-1.32%0.00288+1.41%0.0154✗0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002646-1.46%0.00293+9.12%0.1224✗0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002663-1.54%0.00321+18.67%0.2001✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.00282-1.56%0.003025+5.58%0.0749✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.002997-1.91%0.00256-16.20%0.1567✓1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002897-1.97%0.002545-13.87%0.1444✓0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.002995-1.47%0.002785-8.39%0.0668✓0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.00295-2.95%0.00284-6.58%0.1349✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.002991-3.50%0.002685-13.39%0.2629✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.002913-4.19%0.002705-11.02%0.3263✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003089-4.38%0.002865-11.30%0.3180✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.002907-4.38%0.003055+0.49%0.1950✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.002958-3.95%0.002955-4.06%0.2275✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002811-3.88%0.00304+3.93%0.1666✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002804-4.14%0.00304+3.93%0.0869✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.00305-4.40%0.0031-2.82%0.0670✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002816-4.39%0.00304+3.23%0.0635✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003268-4.58%0.00323-5.69%0.0136✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.002911-4.26%0.00304+0.00%0.0456✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.002955-4.37%0.00308-0.32%0.0415✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003165-4.38%0.002925-11.63%0.0785✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003553-4.63%0.002925-21.48%0.1935✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004638-6.86%0.00319-35.94%0.3735✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.0029-3.00%0.002945-1.51%0.0141✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003076-3.28%0.003425+7.70%0.1085✗-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003168-3.70%0.00304-7.60%0.0387✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003142-3.31%0.00309-4.92%0.0115✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003045-2.73%0.00331+5.75%0.0888✗-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003106-3.39%0.003725+15.86%0.1804✗-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.00333-3.49%0.00498+44.35%0.4051✗-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003509-3.32%0.00299-17.63%0.1594✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003527-3.38%0.00318-12.88%0.1042✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003648-3.50%0.00329-12.96%0.1106✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003582-3.07%0.00325-12.04%0.1029✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003591-2.68%0.00313-15.18%0.1408✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.00373-2.73%0.003215-16.17%0.1498✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003891-2.73%0.00345-13.75%0.1280✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003877-2.59%0.00363-8.79%0.0754✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003791-2.30%0.00365-5.93%0.0427✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004013-2.36%0.00378-8.03%0.0577✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.003979-2.10%0.003695-9.10%0.0757✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004133-1.94%0.00369-12.46%0.1129✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004243-1.78%0.003835-11.23%0.0976✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004427-2.28%0.004-11.70%0.0957✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003733+1.18%0.00398+7.86%0.0696✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.004136+0.88%0.00388-5.37%0.0595✗-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004252+0.16%0.00411-3.18%0.0321✗-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.00436+0.11%0.004065-6.66%0.0649✗-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.00469-0.64%0.004215-10.70%0.1079✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.00527-1.12%0.00432-18.95%0.1966✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004927+0.15%0.00453-7.93%0.0743✗-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006129-1.78%0.00369-40.87%0.4973✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007222-2.80%0.0041-44.82%0.5774✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.007842-3.31%0.004245-47.66%0.6133✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007552-3.18%0.004355-44.17%0.5483✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.007979-3.45%0.00472-42.89%0.5199✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008258-3.52%0.00533-37.73%0.4329✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007674-2.98%0.00492-37.80%0.4356✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008313-3.34%0.00624-27.44%0.2742✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008714-4.14%0.00743-18.26%0.1462✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.006964-2.05%0.00811+14.06%0.1713✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007599-2.83%0.0078-0.26%0.0418✗-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.007846-3.13%0.008265+2.04%0.0643✗-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007755-3.00%0.00856+7.07%0.1076✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007631-3.17%0.00791+0.38%0.0324✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.008261-4.05%0.0086-0.12%0.0215✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008587-4.48%0.00909+1.11%0.0378✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008307-4.41%0.00711-18.18%0.1750✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009089-4.63%0.00782-17.94%0.1732✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.008727-4.57%0.0081-11.43%0.0929✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008526-4.52%0.007995-10.47%0.0803✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009243-4.81%0.00788-18.85%0.1797✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.009679-4.92%0.00861-15.42%0.1324✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.009081-5.01%0.00899-5.96%0.0198✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.008018-4.55%0.00869+3.45%0.0684✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.00899-5.06%0.00953+0.63%0.0575✗-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007254-3.15%0.009145+22.10%0.2313✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007189-2.86%0.00893+20.68%0.2133✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007353-2.48%0.00971+28.78%0.2934✗-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006494-0.55%0.01018+55.90%0.4689✗-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.007044-2.16%0.00956+32.78%0.3243✗-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007597-2.98%0.0084+7.28%0.1180✗-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.007876-2.52%0.00947+17.20%0.2115✗-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007717-2.20%0.00749-5.07%0.0127✓-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008522-3.60%0.0074-16.29%0.1433✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.008742-3.83%0.00754-17.05%0.1631✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.009305-4.57%0.00653-33.03%0.3770✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.011731-6.38%0.0072-42.54%0.6320✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.008893-5.24%0.00783-16.57%0.2628✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.00845-5.16%0.00808-9.32%0.2095✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.010273-6.61%0.00789-28.27%0.4058✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.007065-3.09%0.00884+21.26%0.1251✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007254-3.60%0.00909+20.80%0.1289✗-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007385-3.71%0.00975+27.12%0.1895✗-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008548-4.28%0.01253+40.31%0.3573✗-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009525-4.42%0.009385-5.82%0.0271✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.010193-4.29%0.00891-16.34%0.1392✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.011622-4.55%0.011-9.65%0.0570✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.013121-5.13%0.00729-47.29%0.5963✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.012574-4.82%0.007525-43.04%0.5192✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.016743-5.43%0.00767-56.68%0.7817✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.019131-6.90%0.00893-56.55%0.7625✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.016359-6.20%0.009965-42.86%0.4940✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.01705-6.42%0.01065-41.55%0.4651✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.020872-8.01%0.012175-46.34%0.5279✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.015908-7.46%0.01383-19.55%0.1215✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.019729-9.58%0.01321-39.46%0.3911✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006317-6.90%0.017705+160.94%1.0841✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004203-4.47%0.02055+367.05%1.6675✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002443+0.12%0.01744+614.75%2.0549✓1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.00242-0.43%0.01822+649.79%2.0661✗1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002356-1.02%0.02269+853.36%2.2869✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002247-0.99%0.01719+657.27%2.0143✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002217-1.04%0.02182+874.11%2.3293✗1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002319-1.53%0.006785+188.11%1.0787✗0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002258-1.83%0.0044+91.30%0.6448✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002355-2.28%0.00244+1.24%0.0083✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002416-2.57%0.00243-2.02%0.0183✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002354-2.73%0.00238-1.65%0.0128✓0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002563-3.10%0.00227-14.18%0.1680✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002656-3.24%0.00224-18.40%0.2415✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002847-3.48%0.002355-20.17%0.2472✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002824-3.28%0.0023-21.23%0.2368✓0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003002-3.78%0.00241-22.76%0.2182✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002634-4.23%0.00248-9.82%0.0729✓0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.00312-4.58%0.00242-25.99%0.2638✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003222-4.12%0.002645-21.28%0.1723✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003295-4.37%0.002745-20.32%0.1514✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.00312-4.59%0.00295-9.79%0.0556✓0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003379-5.09%0.00292-17.98%0.1646✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003367-5.03%0.00312-11.99%0.1364✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003309-4.76%0.00275-20.86%0.2096✓0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003354-4.97%0.00327-7.37%0.0302✓0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003638-5.26%0.00336-12.50%0.1206✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003424-5.01%0.003445-4.44%0.0383✓1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003398-5.07%0.00327-8.66%0.0673✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003342-5.59%0.00356+0.56%0.0442✓1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003791-5.58%0.003545-11.71%0.1136✓1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.00387-5.96%0.003475-15.55%0.1475✓1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.003813-5.75%0.00353-12.73%0.1382✓1.12
2026-04-09oos0.003850.003647-5.26%0.00384-0.26%0.0010✓1.10
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