8=======>

WARD

Warden · Base · gru_s5

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
756
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +1d

assessed
251
of 252 predictions shown
direction hit
58.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0774
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0068
actual -0.0139

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos0.0027550.002739-0.58%–pending––1.00
2026-10-21oos0.0027650.002751-0.51%0.002755-0.36%0.0008✓1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002707-0.50%0.002765+1.65%0.0081✗1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002708-0.64%0.00272-0.18%0.0090✓1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.003036-1.25%0.002725-11.38%0.1061✓1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002682-0.50%0.003075+14.10%0.1294✗0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002682-0.49%0.002695+0.00%0.0063✗0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002731-0.51%0.002695-1.82%0.0059✓0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002752-0.47%0.002745-0.72%0.0091✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002823-0.42%0.002765-2.47%0.0025✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002739-0.39%0.002835+3.09%0.0190✗0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002814-0.39%0.00275-2.65%0.0048✓0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002829-0.39%0.002825-0.53%0.0086✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002781-0.34%0.00284+1.79%0.0177✗0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002736-0.33%0.00279+1.64%0.0113✗0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002877-0.46%0.002745-5.02%0.0326✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002928-0.39%0.00289-1.70%0.0076✗0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003225-0.77%0.00294-9.54%0.0903✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003114-0.52%0.00325+3.83%0.0513✗0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.003012-0.59%0.00313+3.30%0.0189✗0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.00291-0.68%0.00303+3.41%0.0377✗0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002996-0.45%0.00293-2.66%0.0186✓0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002947-0.42%0.00301+1.69%0.0069✗0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002904-0.39%0.00296+1.54%0.0201✗0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002984-0.54%0.002915-2.83%0.0253✓0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003121-0.59%0.003-4.46%0.0287✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.00338-1.16%0.00314-8.19%0.0742✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002883-0.43%0.00342+18.13%0.1672✗0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002791-0.33%0.002895+3.39%0.0401✗1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002829-0.37%0.0028-1.41%0.0106✓1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002932-0.43%0.00284-3.57%0.0114✓0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.00288-0.51%0.002945+1.73%0.0269✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002515-0.19%0.002895+14.88%0.0850✗0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002623-0.26%0.00252-4.18%0.0393✓0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002878-0.60%0.00263-9.15%0.0940✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002647-0.47%0.002895+8.83%0.0414✗0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002396-0.15%0.00266+10.83%0.1021✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.00245-0.22%0.0024-2.24%0.0269✓0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002541-0.18%0.002455-3.54%0.0040✓0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002574-0.23%0.002545-1.36%0.0269✓0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002691-0.32%0.00258-4.44%0.0369✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002736-0.34%0.0027-1.64%0.0137✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002597-0.33%0.002745+5.37%0.0477✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002839-0.73%0.002605-8.92%0.0667✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002709-0.40%0.00286+5.15%0.0559✗0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.00262-0.21%0.00272+3.62%0.0443✗0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.00267-0.19%0.002625-1.87%0.0034✓0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002741-0.15%0.002675-2.55%0.0300✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002632-0.13%0.002745+4.17%0.0405✗0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002874-0.20%0.002635-8.51%0.0714✓0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002918-0.40%0.00288-1.71%0.0599✓0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003183-0.85%0.00293-8.72%0.0817✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003001-0.79%0.00321+6.12%0.0821✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002555-0.21%0.003025+18.16%0.1548✗1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002539-0.26%0.00256+0.59%0.0155✗0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002777-0.30%0.002545-8.62%0.0921✓0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002832-0.28%0.002785-1.94%0.0133✗0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002679-0.22%0.00284+5.77%0.0438✗0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002698-0.25%0.002685-0.74%0.0108✓0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002858-0.24%0.002705-5.58%0.0498✓0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003045-0.31%0.002865-6.22%0.0770✓1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002946-0.30%0.003055+3.38%0.0277✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.00303-0.32%0.002955-2.80%0.0092✓0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.003022-0.59%0.00304+0.00%0.0658✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003081-0.60%0.00304-1.94%0.0750✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.003018-0.71%0.0031+1.97%0.0630✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003201-0.90%0.00304-5.88%0.0553✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.003018-0.73%0.00323+6.25%0.0383✗1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.003059-0.70%0.00304-1.30%0.0028✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002907-0.62%0.00308+5.30%0.0570✗1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002906-0.64%0.002925+0.00%0.0149✗1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003165-0.80%0.002925-8.31%0.0789✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002926-0.63%0.00319+8.32%0.0876✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003391-0.99%0.002945-14.01%0.1398✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.00302-0.67%0.003425+12.66%0.1269✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.003069-0.68%0.00304-1.62%0.0095✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003284-0.80%0.00309-6.65%0.0608✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003678-1.26%0.00331-11.14%0.1061✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004826-3.10%0.003725-25.20%0.2586✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002977-0.45%0.00498+66.56%0.5159✗-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003162-0.58%0.00299-5.97%0.0545✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003266-0.73%0.00318-3.34%0.0267✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003232-0.55%0.00329+1.23%0.0196✗-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003117-0.43%0.00325+3.83%0.0418✗-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.0032-0.48%0.00313-2.64%0.0276✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003432-0.51%0.003215-6.81%0.0625✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.00361-0.54%0.00345-4.96%0.0452✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003632-0.49%0.00363-0.55%0.0000✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.00376-0.54%0.00365-3.44%0.0362✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003679-0.43%0.00378+2.30%0.0309✗-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003676-0.38%0.003695+0.14%0.0058✗-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003819-0.40%0.00369-3.78%0.0378✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003982-0.45%0.003835-4.13%0.0413✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003963-0.42%0.004+0.50%0.0077✗-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003868-0.31%0.00398+2.58%0.0327✗-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004094-0.39%0.00388-5.60%0.0520✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.004051-0.35%0.00411+1.11%0.0141✗-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004199-0.38%0.004065-3.56%0.0298✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004302-0.43%0.004215-2.43%0.0200✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004504-0.56%0.00432-4.64%0.0458✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003694+0.11%0.00453+22.76%0.2030✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.004102+0.04%0.00369-10.00%0.1016✗-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004241-0.09%0.0041-3.42%0.0368✓-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.00435-0.11%0.004245-2.53%0.0247✓-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004708-0.25%0.004355-7.73%0.0796✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005312-0.34%0.00472-11.44%0.1146✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.00491-0.20%0.00533+8.33%0.0858✗-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006218-0.35%0.00492-21.15%0.2409✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007395-0.46%0.00624-16.02%0.1743✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.008063-0.58%0.00743-8.38%0.0805✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007759-0.53%0.00811+3.97%0.0459✗-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.008214-0.61%0.0078-5.63%0.0499✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.0085-0.70%0.008265-3.45%0.0250✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007858-0.66%0.00856+8.22%0.0916✗-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008529-0.83%0.00791-8.02%0.0714✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008982-1.19%0.0086-5.39%0.0493✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.007073-0.51%0.00909+27.85%0.2541✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.00777-0.64%0.00711-9.08%0.0912✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.008044-0.69%0.00782-3.46%0.0286✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007942-0.67%0.0081+1.31%0.0212✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007828-0.65%0.007995+1.46%0.0166✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.008541-0.80%0.00788-8.48%0.0879✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008904-0.96%0.00861-4.23%0.0400✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008617-0.84%0.00899+3.45%0.0460✗-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009428-1.07%0.00869-8.81%0.0866✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.00906-0.93%0.00953+4.21%0.0544✗-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.00885-0.89%0.009145+2.41%0.0357✗-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009602-1.12%0.00893-8.03%0.0815✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.010033-1.45%0.00971-4.62%0.0387✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.009411-1.55%0.01018+6.49%0.0758✗-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.008312-1.04%0.00956+13.81%0.1426✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.009324-1.55%0.0084-11.30%0.0996✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007442-0.64%0.00947+26.44%0.2456✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007359-0.56%0.00749+1.22%0.0175✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007506-0.46%0.0074-1.86%0.0033✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006539+0.14%0.00754+15.47%0.1412✓-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.007188-0.17%0.00653-9.31%0.1044✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007802-0.36%0.0072-8.05%0.0820✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.008064-0.20%0.00783-3.09%0.0106✓-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007883-0.09%0.00808+2.41%0.0235✗-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008788-0.58%0.00789-10.75%0.1329✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.00903-0.66%0.00884-2.75%0.0226✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.009652-1.00%0.00909-6.77%0.0718✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.012164-2.92%0.00975-22.19%0.3001✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.009238-1.57%0.01253+33.51%0.2767✗-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.008784-1.41%0.009385+5.33%0.0639✗-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.010662-3.07%0.00891-19.00%0.1753✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.007249-0.56%0.011+50.89%0.4156✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007461-0.85%0.00729-3.12%0.0303✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007603-0.87%0.007525-1.89%0.0241✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008814-1.30%0.00767-14.11%0.1448✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009807-1.58%0.00893-10.39%0.0927✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.010477-1.62%0.009965-6.43%0.0496✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.011913-2.15%0.01065-12.53%0.1109✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.01343-2.89%0.012175-11.97%0.1025✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.012861-2.64%0.01383+4.69%0.0728✗-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.017106-3.38%0.01321-25.39%0.2577✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.01964-4.43%0.017705-13.84%0.1034✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.016751-3.95%0.02055+17.83%0.2062✗0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.017465-4.14%0.01744-4.28%0.0012✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.02155-5.03%0.01822-19.70%0.1650✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.016387-4.67%0.02269+32.00%0.3359✗0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.020586-5.65%0.01719-21.22%0.1899✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006497-4.25%0.02182+221.59%1.2285✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004269-2.97%0.006785+54.20%0.4837✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002436-0.15%0.0044+80.33%0.5997✗1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002426-0.16%0.00244+0.41%0.0221✓1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002374-0.23%0.00243+2.10%0.0142✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002267-0.12%0.00238+4.85%0.0451✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002237-0.15%0.00227+1.34%0.0430✗1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.00235-0.21%0.00224-4.88%0.0543✓0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002295-0.23%0.002355+2.39%0.0133✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002404-0.27%0.0023-4.56%0.0598✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002472-0.34%0.00241-2.82%0.0237✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002413-0.28%0.00248+2.48%0.0218✗0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002635-0.37%0.00242-8.51%0.1097✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002733-0.45%0.002645-3.64%0.0397✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002936-0.48%0.002745-6.95%0.0599✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002905-0.52%0.00295+1.03%0.0290✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003092-0.88%0.00292-6.41%0.0407✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.00273-0.72%0.00312+13.45%0.1208✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003249-0.64%0.00275-15.90%0.1691✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003334-0.77%0.00327-2.68%0.0091✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003422-0.66%0.00336-2.47%0.0192✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003248-0.66%0.003445+5.35%0.0358✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003534-0.73%0.00327-8.15%0.0837✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003515-0.85%0.00356+0.42%0.0131✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003451-0.70%0.003545+2.01%0.0520✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003498-0.91%0.003475-1.56%0.0110✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.0038-1.05%0.00353-8.07%0.0993✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.00358-0.68%0.00384+6.52%0.0656✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003555-0.70%0.003605+0.70%0.0052✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003511-0.83%0.00358+1.13%0.0232✗1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003985-0.75%0.00354-11.83%0.1741✓1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.00408-0.85%0.004015-2.43%0.0203✗1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.004012-0.82%0.004115+1.73%0.0241✗1.12
2026-04-09oos0.003850.003824-0.67%0.004045+5.06%0.0378✗1.10
2026-04-08oos0.004030.004002-0.71%0.00385-4.47%0.0496✓1.10
2026-04-07oos0.0043550.004309-1.05%0.00403-7.46%0.0543✓1.10
2026-04-06oos0.0037850.003768-0.45%0.004355+15.06%0.1010✗1.01
2026-04-05oos0.004090.00407-0.49%0.003785-7.46%0.0704✓1.01
2026-04-04oos0.00420.004187-0.32%0.00409-2.62%0.0487✓1.01
2026-04-03oos0.0041250.004119-0.15%0.0042+1.82%0.0146✗1.00
2026-04-02oos0.0040950.004092-0.07%0.004125+0.73%0.0070✗1.00
2026-04-01oos0.004180.004174-0.14%0.004095-2.03%0.0009✓1.01
2026-03-31oos0.004240.004233-0.16%0.00418-1.42%0.0110✓1.01
2026-03-30oos0.00410.004104+0.09%0.00424+3.41%0.0109✓0.99
2026-03-29oos0.004090.004097+0.18%0.0041+0.24%0.0109✗0.98
2026-03-28oos0.004270.004272+0.04%0.00409-4.22%0.0380✗0.98
2026-03-27oos0.00450.004495-0.12%0.00427-5.11%0.0508✓0.98
2026-03-26oos0.004830.00481-0.42%0.0045-6.83%0.0310✓0.99
2026-03-25oos0.004820.004795-0.51%0.00483+0.21%0.0450✗1.05
2026-03-24oos0.004920.004897-0.47%0.00482-2.03%0.0271✓1.04
2026-03-23oos0.005190.005162-0.54%0.00492-5.20%0.0430✓1.04
2026-03-22oos0.005110.005094-0.32%0.00519+1.57%0.0258✓1.02
2026-03-21oos0.005290.00527-0.37%0.00511-3.40%0.0148✓1.03
2026-03-20oos0.005440.005416-0.43%0.00529-2.76%0.0003✓1.05
2026-03-19oos0.00530.005285-0.29%0.00544+2.64%0.0204✗1.04
2026-03-18oos0.005910.005883-0.46%0.0053-10.32%0.0849✓1.03
2026-03-17oos0.006090.006054-0.59%0.00591-2.96%0.0157✗1.08
2026-03-16oos0.00590.005871-0.50%0.00609+3.22%0.0508✗1.10
2026-03-15oos0.005870.005854-0.27%0.0059+0.51%0.0223✓1.08
2026-03-14oos0.005840.005839-0.02%0.00587+0.51%0.0182✓1.06
2026-03-13oos0.005930.005938+0.14%0.00584-1.52%0.0210✗1.06
2026-03-12oos0.005840.005861+0.36%0.00593+1.54%0.0056✓1.05
2026-03-11oos0.005870.005901+0.53%0.00584-0.51%0.0152✗1.04
2026-03-10oos0.006180.006217+0.60%0.00587-5.02%0.0611✗1.04
2026-03-09oos0.00710.00715+0.70%0.00618-12.96%0.1695✗1.07
2026-03-08oos0.007380.007447+0.91%0.0071-3.79%0.0872✗1.08
2026-03-07oos0.008070.008135+0.81%0.00738-8.55%0.0766✗1.08
2026-03-06oos0.008660.00872+0.69%0.00807-6.81%0.0639✗1.08
2026-03-05oos0.010240.010256+0.16%0.00866-15.43%0.1292✗1.00
2026-03-04oos0.012950.012916-0.26%0.01024-20.93%0.2072✓1.00
2026-03-03oos0.016320.016262-0.36%0.01295-20.65%0.2894✓1.00
2026-03-02oos0.018640.018531-0.59%0.01632-12.45%0.1198✓1.00
2026-03-01oos0.018920.018833-0.46%0.01864-1.48%0.0558✓1.00
2026-02-28oos0.021070.020915-0.74%0.01892-10.20%0.0822✓1.00
2026-02-27oos0.019730.019638-0.47%0.02107+6.79%0.0537✗1.00
2026-02-26oos0.021360.021187-0.81%0.01973-7.63%0.0468✓1.00
2026-02-25oos0.019490.01941-0.41%0.02136+9.59%0.1031✗1.00
2026-02-24oos0.014960.015042+0.55%0.01949+30.28%0.1996✓1.00
2026-02-23oos0.01740.017471+0.41%0.01496-14.02%0.1465✗1.00
2026-02-22oos0.019720.019727+0.04%0.0174-11.76%0.0803✗1.00
2026-02-21oos0.020690.020663-0.13%0.01972-4.69%0.0417✓1.00
2026-02-20oos0.019840.019795-0.23%0.02069+4.28%0.0446✗1.00
2026-02-19oos0.018650.018563-0.47%0.01984+6.38%0.0515✗1.00
2026-02-18oos0.018040.017859-1.00%0.01865+3.38%0.0350✗1.00
2026-02-17oos0.031660.031452-0.66%0.01804-43.02%0.5402✓1.00
2026-02-16oos0.041390.041018-0.90%0.03166-23.51%0.2385✓1.00
2026-02-15oos0.044530.044155-0.84%0.04139-7.05%0.0656✓1.00
2026-02-14oos0.046550.04617-0.82%0.04453-4.34%0.0218✓1.00
2026-02-13oos0.048740.04838-0.74%0.04655-4.49%0.0526✓1.00