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WARD

Warden · Base · gru_s5

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
756
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
222
of 252 predictions shown
direction hit
80.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.5646
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0962
actual -0.2467

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos0.0027550.002594-5.83%–pending––1.00
2026-10-21oos0.0027650.002614-5.46%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002567-5.61%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002551-6.40%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.002804-8.80%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002538-5.81%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002547-5.51%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002599-5.32%–pending––0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.00263-4.88%–pending––0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002715-4.22%–pending––0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002629-4.39%–pending––0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002709-4.11%–pending––0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002714-4.44%–pending––0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002671-4.27%–pending––0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002624-4.40%–pending––0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002757-4.61%–pending––0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002834-3.60%–pending––0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.00307-5.53%–pending––0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003007-3.93%–pending––0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.002884-4.81%–pending––0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002796-4.59%–pending––0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002889-4.03%–pending––0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002837-4.14%–pending––0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002815-3.43%–pending––0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002877-4.09%–pending––0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003009-4.18%–pending––0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003199-6.46%–pending––0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002828-2.31%–pending––0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002763-1.34%–pending––1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002799-1.43%–pending––1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002921-0.82%0.002755-6.45%0.0361✓0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002894-0.05%0.002765-4.49%0.0150✓1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002504-0.64%0.00272+7.94%0.0642✗0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002604-1.00%0.002725+3.61%0.0391✗0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002802-3.21%0.003075+6.22%0.0805✗0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002553-4.03%0.002695+1.32%0.0010✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002346-2.27%0.002695+12.29%0.0819✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002383-2.94%0.002745+11.81%0.0687✗0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002499-1.80%0.002765+8.64%0.0629✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002506-2.86%0.002835+9.88%0.0545✗0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002603-3.59%0.00275+1.85%0.0045✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.00265-3.47%0.002825+2.91%0.0026✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002527-3.01%0.00284+9.02%0.0447✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002763-3.40%0.00279-2.45%0.0355✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002657-2.32%0.002745+0.92%0.0010✓0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002604-0.80%0.00289+10.10%0.0621✗0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002672-0.11%0.00294+9.91%0.0410✗0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002752+0.27%0.00325+18.40%0.1029✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002629-0.24%0.00313+18.79%0.1061✗0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002882+0.09%0.00303+5.21%0.0170✓0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002838-3.13%0.00293+0.00%0.0514✓0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003058-4.73%0.00301-6.23%0.1012✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.002921-3.45%0.00296-2.15%0.0478✓0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.00251-1.97%0.002915+13.87%0.0582✗1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002485-2.36%0.003+17.88%0.1254✗0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002703-2.96%0.00314+12.75%0.0702✗0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.00277-2.47%0.00342+20.42%0.1619✗0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002629-2.08%0.002895+7.82%0.0390✗0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002644-2.24%0.0028+3.51%0.0094✓0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002809-1.97%0.00284-0.87%0.0492✓0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.002972-2.72%0.002945-3.60%0.1122✓1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.00287-2.87%0.002895-2.03%0.1058✓0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.002972-2.23%0.00252-17.11%0.1997✓0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.002857-6.01%0.00263-13.49%0.1918✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.002886-6.89%0.002895-6.61%0.1791✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.002779-8.58%0.00266-12.50%0.2596✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.002922-9.52%0.0024-25.70%0.3960✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.002769-8.92%0.002455-19.24%0.3328✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.002806-8.89%0.002545-17.37%0.3402✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002665-8.87%0.00258-11.79%0.2553✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002652-9.32%0.0027-7.69%0.2173✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.002866-10.14%0.002745-13.95%0.2283✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002662-9.62%0.002605-11.54%0.1575✓0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003037-11.34%0.00286-16.50%0.1019✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.002741-9.82%0.00272-10.53%0.0206✓0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.002779-10.06%0.002625-15.05%0.0578✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.002955-10.74%0.002675-19.18%0.1018✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003241-12.99%0.002745-26.31%0.1804✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.003994-19.81%0.002635-47.09%0.4250✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002737-8.47%0.00288-3.68%0.0862✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.002883-9.33%0.00293-7.86%0.0435✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.002952-10.28%0.00321-2.43%0.1085✗-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.002938-9.60%0.003025-6.92%0.0650✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.002854-8.83%0.00256-18.21%0.0742✓-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.002926-8.98%0.002545-20.84%0.1040✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003136-9.11%0.002785-19.28%0.0730✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003308-8.87%0.00284-21.76%0.0981✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003348-8.27%0.002685-26.44%0.1726✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003479-7.97%0.002705-28.44%0.2040✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003428-7.23%0.002865-22.46%0.1304✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003444-6.65%0.003055-17.21%0.0866✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003591-6.36%0.002955-22.95%0.1580✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003752-6.20%0.00304-24.00%0.1711✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003747-5.86%0.00304-23.62%0.1873✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003662-5.63%0.0031-20.10%0.1540✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.00386-6.09%0.00304-26.03%0.2388✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.003827-5.86%0.00323-20.54%0.1706✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.003953-6.22%0.00304-27.88%0.2658✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004044-6.38%0.00308-28.70%0.2745✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004221-6.82%0.002925-35.43%0.3742✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003541-4.03%0.002925-20.73%0.1971✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.003923-4.31%0.00319-22.20%0.2051✓-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004036-4.91%0.002945-30.62%0.3156✓-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004126-5.25%0.003425-21.35%0.1856✓-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004421-6.34%0.00304-35.59%0.3711✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.004979-6.58%0.00309-42.03%0.4707✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004602-6.47%0.00331-32.72%0.3191✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.005877-5.82%0.003725-40.30%0.4503✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.006987-5.96%0.00498-32.97%0.3348✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.007582-6.51%0.00299-63.13%0.9291✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007291-6.52%0.00318-59.23%0.8286✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.007688-6.98%0.00329-60.19%0.8456✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.007918-7.50%0.00325-62.03%0.8867✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007323-7.43%0.00313-60.43%0.8387✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.007878-8.40%0.003215-62.62%0.8801✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008232-9.44%0.00345-62.05%0.8568✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.006597-7.21%0.00363-48.95%0.5773✓-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007212-7.78%0.00365-53.32%0.6624✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.007443-8.11%0.00378-53.33%0.6522✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007333-8.28%0.003695-53.78%0.6631✓-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007207-8.54%0.00369-53.17%0.6589✓-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.007803-9.37%0.003835-55.46%0.7001✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008083-10.09%0.004-55.51%0.6931✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.007829-9.91%0.00398-54.20%0.6605✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.008474-11.08%0.00388-59.29%0.7761✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.008164-10.72%0.00411-55.06%0.6802✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.007968-10.77%0.004065-54.48%0.6638✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.008537-12.08%0.004215-56.59%0.7089✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.008804-13.51%0.00432-57.56%0.7215✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.008231-13.91%0.00453-52.62%0.6037✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.007384-12.10%0.00369-56.07%0.6971✓-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.008164-13.79%0.0041-56.71%0.6970✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.006728-10.17%0.004245-43.32%0.4595✓-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.006658-10.03%0.004355-41.15%0.4233✓-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.006824-9.50%0.00472-37.40%0.3549✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006053-7.31%0.00533-18.38%0.1197✓-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.006558-8.91%0.00492-31.67%0.2924✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007046-10.02%0.00624-20.31%0.1213✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.007322-9.38%0.00743-8.04%0.0386✓-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007158-9.28%0.00811+2.79%0.1424✗-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.007785-11.94%0.0078-11.76%0.0044✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.007946-12.58%0.008265-9.08%0.0305✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.008376-14.10%0.00856-12.21%0.0021✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.009942-20.66%0.00791-36.87%0.4314✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.007868-16.17%0.0086-8.36%0.1173✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.007516-15.64%0.00909+2.02%0.0158✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.008733-20.61%0.00711-35.36%0.3674✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.006446-11.58%0.00782+7.27%0.0504✓-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.006533-13.18%0.0081+7.64%0.0759✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.006628-13.59%0.007995+4.24%0.0238✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.007574-15.19%0.00788-11.76%0.0348✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.008354-16.17%0.00861-13.60%0.0257✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.008912-16.32%0.00899-15.59%0.0135✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.00998-18.03%0.00869-28.62%0.1513✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.011107-19.69%0.00953-31.09%0.1836✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.010711-18.92%0.009145-30.77%0.1858✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.014027-20.77%0.00893-49.56%0.4676✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.015752-23.35%0.00971-52.75%0.4596✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.013613-21.94%0.01018-41.63%0.2412✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.014162-22.27%0.00956-47.53%0.3450✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.017047-24.87%0.0084-62.98%0.6638✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.013163-23.43%0.00947-44.91%0.2339✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.015888-27.19%0.00749-65.67%0.6564✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.005451-19.66%0.0074+9.06%0.5727✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.003931-10.66%0.00754+71.36%1.0317✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002528+3.60%0.00653+167.62%1.3759✓1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002481+2.10%0.0072+196.30%1.4263✓1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002395+0.61%0.00783+228.99%1.5482✓1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002287+0.77%0.00808+255.95%1.6775✓1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002241+0.05%0.00789+252.23%1.7166✓1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002326-1.24%0.00884+275.37%1.5653✗0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002256-1.89%0.00909+295.22%1.6054✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002329-3.35%0.00975+304.56%1.5902✗0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002379-4.07%0.01253+405.24%1.7563✗0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002324-3.95%0.009385+287.81%1.4547✗0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002511-5.07%0.00891+236.86%1.2998✗0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002592-5.59%0.011+300.73%1.4771✗0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002773-6.00%0.00729+147.12%1.0033✗0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002743-6.07%0.007525+157.71%1.0492✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.002865-8.19%0.00767+145.83%1.0214✗0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002537-7.73%0.00893+224.73%1.2633✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003007-8.03%0.009965+204.74%1.2041✗0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003072-8.58%0.01065+216.96%1.2638✗0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003153-8.47%0.012175+253.41%1.3860✗0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.002984-8.74%0.01383+322.94%1.5187✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003223-9.45%0.01321+271.07%1.3904✗0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003191-9.98%0.017705+399.44%1.6764✗0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003146-9.48%0.02055+491.37%1.8614✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003159-10.52%0.01744+394.05%1.7046✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003401-11.43%0.01822+374.48%1.6396✗1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003249-9.86%0.02269+529.40%1.8883✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.00321-10.34%0.01719+380.17%1.5891✗1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003146-11.12%0.02182+516.38%1.8734✗1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003569-11.12%0.006785+68.99%0.5014✗1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.003606-12.36%0.0044+6.93%0.0736✓1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.003542-12.44%0.00244-39.68%0.5057✓1.12
2026-04-09oos0.003850.003408-11.47%0.00243-36.88%0.4665✓1.10
2026-04-08oos0.004030.003547-11.98%0.00238-40.94%0.5319✓1.10
2026-04-07oos0.0043550.003723-14.50%0.00227-47.88%0.6122✓1.10
2026-04-06oos0.0037850.003377-10.77%0.00224-40.82%0.5801✓1.01
2026-04-05oos0.004090.003619-11.52%0.002355-42.42%0.5901✓1.01
2026-04-04oos0.00420.003753-10.63%0.0023-45.24%0.6625✓1.01
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