SPYB
SPY (bStocks Tokenized Stock) · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s5
- token id
- #357
- symbol
- SPYB
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x7138b48df7d98d7e3cc221bfe7192d0a178182d8
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-07
- predictions
- 294
Track record at +7d
assessed
91
of 98 predictions shown
direction hit
42.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0288
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0216
actual -0.0007
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 771.235 | 753.4385 | -2.31% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 771.485 | 754.2482 | -2.23% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 768.255 | 748.8996 | -2.52% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 767.73 | 748.0582 | -2.56% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 760.825 | 740.6848 | -2.65% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 762.325 | 741.5133 | -2.73% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 771.365 | 748.7732 | -2.93% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 768.04 | 743.1032 | -3.25% | 771.235 | +0.42% | 0.0357 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 778.575 | 750.7944 | -3.57% | 771.485 | -0.91% | 0.0274 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 778.155 | 747.9893 | -3.88% | 768.255 | -1.27% | 0.0266 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 780.995 | 748.2459 | -4.19% | 767.73 | -1.70% | 0.0277 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 779.025 | 747.3078 | -4.07% | 760.825 | -2.34% | 0.0198 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 779.035 | 749.8299 | -3.75% | 762.325 | -2.14% | 0.0178 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 774.915 | 745.1927 | -3.84% | 771.365 | -0.46% | 0.0340 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 777.815 | 746.8367 | -3.98% | 768.04 | -1.26% | 0.0301 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 779.94 | 748.2517 | -4.06% | 778.575 | -0.18% | 0.0428 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 775.085 | 741.4 | -4.35% | 778.155 | +0.40% | 0.0535 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 770.915 | 735.0902 | -4.65% | 780.995 | +1.31% | 0.0642 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 770.925 | 734.7395 | -4.69% | 779.025 | +1.05% | 0.0609 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 769.8 | 737.1945 | -4.24% | 779.035 | +1.20% | 0.0578 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 765.105 | 730.997 | -4.46% | 774.915 | +1.28% | 0.0625 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 765.845 | 729.2291 | -4.78% | 777.815 | +1.56% | 0.0649 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 766.09 | 729.6797 | -4.75% | 779.94 | +1.81% | 0.0641 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 766.2 | 729.523 | -4.79% | 775.085 | +1.16% | 0.0576 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 769.91 | 733.3131 | -4.75% | 770.915 | +0.13% | 0.0474 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 770.34 | 734.7522 | -4.62% | 770.925 | +0.08% | 0.0476 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 771.89 | 737.6964 | -4.43% | 769.8 | -0.27% | 0.0421 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 766.21 | 734.7539 | -4.11% | 765.105 | -0.14% | 0.0399 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 767.7 | 739.8892 | -3.62% | 765.845 | -0.24% | 0.0356 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 773.525 | 747.5374 | -3.36% | 766.09 | -0.96% | 0.0278 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 773.705 | 749.013 | -3.19% | 766.2 | -0.97% | 0.0267 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 763.305 | 738.9253 | -3.19% | 769.91 | +0.87% | 0.0373 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 762.725 | 735.4692 | -3.57% | 770.34 | +1.00% | 0.0427 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 763.025 | 734.0037 | -3.80% | 771.89 | +1.16% | 0.0466 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 762.5 | 749.0227 | -1.77% | 766.21 | +0.49% | 0.0122 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 757.98 | 747.4408 | -1.39% | 767.7 | +1.28% | 0.0160 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 758.605 | 750.3472 | -1.09% | 773.525 | +1.97% | 0.0167 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 761.035 | 749.7728 | -1.48% | 773.705 | +1.66% | 0.0207 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 760.005 | 752.6672 | -0.97% | 763.305 | +0.43% | 0.0082 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 765.035 | 759.2099 | -0.76% | 762.725 | -0.30% | 0.0006 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 764.985 | 764.0372 | -0.12% | 763.025 | -0.26% | 0.0061 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 757.865 | 759.045 | +0.16% | 762.5 | +0.61% | 0.0048 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 763.135 | 762.1225 | -0.13% | 757.98 | -0.68% | 0.0028 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 765.76 | 762.9146 | -0.37% | 758.605 | -0.93% | 0.0021 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 769.03 | 768.6282 | -0.05% | 761.035 | -1.04% | 0.0088 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 769.955 | 770.1381 | +0.02% | 760.005 | -1.29% | 0.0090 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 771.335 | 773.4918 | +0.28% | 765.035 | -0.82% | 0.0079 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 769.845 | 773.0009 | +0.41% | 764.985 | -0.63% | 0.0074 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 772.18 | 776.5963 | +0.57% | 757.865 | -1.85% | 0.0188 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 765.52 | 768.5866 | +0.40% | 763.135 | -0.31% | 0.0082 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 762.065 | 765.2036 | +0.41% | 765.76 | +0.48% | 0.0004 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 767.635 | 770.225 | +0.34% | 769.03 | +0.18% | 0.0021 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 766.5 | 768.4105 | +0.25% | 769.955 | +0.45% | 0.0007 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 770.89 | 776.1293 | +0.68% | 771.335 | +0.06% | 0.0078 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 769.17 | 776.0739 | +0.90% | 769.845 | +0.09% | 0.0099 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 769.72 | 779.7819 | +1.31% | 772.18 | +0.32% | 0.0108 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 770.475 | 777.0618 | +0.85% | 765.52 | -0.64% | 0.0132 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 765.15 | 769.8142 | +0.61% | 762.065 | -0.40% | 0.0089 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 763.8 | 767.7261 | +0.51% | 767.635 | +0.50% | 0.0003 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 766.01 | 765.6567 | -0.05% | 766.5 | +0.06% | 0.0012 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 765.34 | 762.2075 | -0.41% | 770.89 | +0.73% | 0.0100 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 766.75 | 764.5127 | -0.29% | 769.17 | +0.32% | 0.0066 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 763.06 | 754.2376 | -1.16% | 769.72 | +0.87% | 0.0117 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 770.3 | 758.2053 | -1.57% | 770.475 | +0.02% | 0.0034 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 767.375 | 751.2878 | -2.10% | 765.15 | -0.29% | 0.0217 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 773.335 | 756.756 | -2.14% | 763.8 | -1.23% | 0.0332 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 777.65 | 759.4589 | -2.34% | 766.01 | -1.50% | 0.0448 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 777.08 | 758.5315 | -2.39% | 765.34 | -1.51% | 0.0416 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 776.58 | 757.2283 | -2.49% | 766.75 | -1.27% | 0.0423 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 778.54 | 756.9031 | -2.78% | 763.06 | -1.99% | 0.0270 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 772.95 | 752.0455 | -2.70% | 770.3 | -0.34% | 0.0018 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 771.53 | 750.1981 | -2.76% | 767.375 | -0.54% | 0.0182 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 773.14 | 750.5874 | -2.92% | 773.335 | +0.03% | 0.0277 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 770.34 | 749.2977 | -2.73% | 777.65 | +0.95% | 0.0454 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 773.83 | 751.501 | -2.89% | 777.08 | +0.42% | 0.0412 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 773.54 | 750.9923 | -2.91% | 776.58 | +0.39% | 0.0413 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 769.85 | 746.9352 | -2.98% | 778.54 | +1.13% | 0.0449 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 771.95 | 750.8742 | -2.73% | 772.95 | +0.13% | 0.0476 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 773.64 | 750.5138 | -2.99% | 771.53 | -0.27% | 0.0357 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 759.05 | 736.0205 | -3.03% | 773.14 | +1.86% | 0.0422 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 750.47 | 733.2024 | -2.30% | 770.34 | +2.65% | 0.0284 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 745.165 | 726.0331 | -2.57% | 773.83 | +3.85% | 0.0302 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 745.49 | 726.7582 | -2.51% | 773.54 | +3.76% | 0.0300 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 744.68 | 728.0351 | -2.24% | 769.85 | +3.38% | 0.0629 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 733.825 | 717.0471 | -2.29% | 771.95 | +5.20% | 0.0628 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 743.59 | 727.0501 | -2.22% | 773.64 | +4.04% | 0.0589 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 739.94 | 724.1833 | -2.13% | 759.05 | +2.58% | 0.0506 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 745.955 | 731.108 | -1.99% | 750.47 | +0.61% | 0.0547 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 742.375 | 727.6516 | -1.98% | 745.165 | +0.38% | 0.0479 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 740.185 | 725.7777 | -1.95% | 745.49 | +0.72% | 0.0466 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 739.95 | 726.1701 | -1.86% | 744.68 | +0.64% | 0.0302 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 747.53 | 734.0444 | -1.80% | 733.825 | -1.83% | 0.0334 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 749.28 | 736.0231 | -1.77% | 743.59 | -0.76% | 0.0512 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 743.3 | 728.0329 | -2.05% | 739.94 | -0.45% | 0.0398 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 746.62 | 733.1596 | -1.80% | 745.955 | -0.09% | 0.0072 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 744.91 | 731.8591 | -1.75% | 742.375 | -0.34% | 0.0220 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 744.45 | 731.3048 | -1.77% | 740.185 | -0.57% | 0.0091 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 750.69 | 737.412 | -1.77% | 739.95 | -1.43% | 0.0164 | ✓ | 1.00 |