SPYB
SPY (bStocks Tokenized Stock) · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s5
- token id
- #357
- symbol
- SPYB
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x7138b48df7d98d7e3cc221bfe7192d0a178182d8
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-07
- predictions
- 297
Track record at +30d
assessed
69
of 99 predictions shown
direction hit
53.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0494
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0344
actual -0.0488
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 771.035 | 713.7178 | -7.43% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 769.995 | 715.5574 | -7.07% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 771.485 | 712.4643 | -7.65% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 768.255 | 704.9939 | -8.23% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 767.73 | 706.2332 | -8.01% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 760.825 | 699.2772 | -8.09% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 762.325 | 699.911 | -8.19% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 771.365 | 708.5907 | -8.14% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 768.04 | 703.0167 | -8.47% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 778.575 | 717.5713 | -7.84% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 778.155 | 711.5221 | -8.56% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 780.995 | 721.6614 | -7.60% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 779.025 | 719.1792 | -7.68% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 779.035 | 719.9854 | -7.58% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 774.915 | 712.4017 | -8.07% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 777.815 | 720.63 | -7.35% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 779.94 | 735.7066 | -5.67% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 775.085 | 731.8285 | -5.58% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 770.915 | 734.3126 | -4.75% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 770.925 | 725.189 | -5.93% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 769.8 | 725.1799 | -5.80% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 765.105 | 723.5368 | -5.43% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 765.845 | 718.1876 | -6.22% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 766.09 | 718.8895 | -6.16% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 766.2 | 718.583 | -6.21% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 769.91 | 730.0642 | -5.18% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 770.34 | 731.5661 | -5.03% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 771.89 | 733.2685 | -5.00% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 766.21 | 736.396 | -3.89% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 767.7 | 747.1071 | -2.68% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 773.525 | 764.8235 | -1.12% | 771.035 | -0.32% | 0.0106 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 773.705 | 769.8496 | -0.50% | 769.995 | -0.48% | 0.0034 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 763.305 | 734.4895 | -3.78% | 771.485 | +1.07% | 0.0471 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 762.725 | 734.1276 | -3.75% | 768.255 | +0.73% | 0.0447 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 763.025 | 729.8365 | -4.35% | 767.73 | +0.62% | 0.0493 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 762.5 | 710.8855 | -6.77% | 760.825 | -0.22% | 0.0612 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 757.98 | 708.3281 | -6.55% | 762.325 | +0.57% | 0.0664 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 758.605 | 708.7184 | -6.58% | 771.365 | +1.68% | 0.0760 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 761.035 | 723.9906 | -4.87% | 768.04 | +0.92% | 0.0546 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 760.005 | 720.77 | -5.16% | 778.575 | +2.44% | 0.0688 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 765.035 | 732.0824 | -4.31% | 778.155 | +1.71% | 0.0552 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 764.985 | 740.0719 | -3.26% | 780.995 | +2.09% | 0.0455 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 757.865 | 735.0003 | -3.02% | 779.025 | +2.79% | 0.0501 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 763.135 | 747.7694 | -2.01% | 779.035 | +2.08% | 0.0358 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 765.76 | 751.2637 | -1.89% | 774.915 | +1.20% | 0.0271 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 769.03 | 762.2275 | -0.88% | 777.815 | +1.14% | 0.0154 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 769.955 | 769.3455 | -0.08% | 779.94 | +1.30% | 0.0077 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 771.335 | 774.5512 | +0.42% | 775.085 | +0.49% | 0.0061 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 769.845 | 776.2722 | +0.83% | 770.915 | +0.14% | 0.0147 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 772.18 | 787.438 | +1.98% | 770.925 | -0.16% | 0.0251 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 765.52 | 768.1864 | +0.35% | 769.8 | +0.56% | 0.0055 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 762.065 | 766.8604 | +0.63% | 765.105 | +0.40% | 0.0102 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 767.635 | 777.1951 | +1.25% | 765.845 | -0.23% | 0.0197 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 766.5 | 773.7596 | +0.95% | 766.09 | -0.05% | 0.0160 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 770.89 | 787.5165 | +2.16% | 766.2 | -0.61% | 0.0325 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 769.17 | 793.1539 | +3.12% | 769.91 | +0.10% | 0.0361 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 769.72 | 810.5953 | +5.31% | 770.34 | +0.08% | 0.0550 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 770.475 | 805.5245 | +4.55% | 771.89 | +0.18% | 0.0478 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 765.15 | 799.4809 | +4.49% | 766.21 | +0.14% | 0.0484 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 763.8 | 806.8503 | +5.64% | 767.7 | +0.51% | 0.0552 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 766.01 | 805.2229 | +5.12% | 773.525 | +0.98% | 0.0490 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 765.34 | 800.8659 | +4.64% | 773.705 | +1.09% | 0.0445 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 766.75 | 812.173 | +5.92% | 763.305 | -0.45% | 0.0651 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 763.06 | 766.1094 | +0.40% | 762.725 | -0.04% | 0.0141 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 770.3 | 746.4597 | -3.09% | 763.025 | -0.94% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 767.375 | 721.8207 | -5.94% | 762.5 | -0.64% | 0.0206 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 773.335 | 727.038 | -5.99% | 757.98 | -1.99% | 0.0069 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 777.65 | 728.3092 | -6.34% | 758.605 | -2.45% | 0.0056 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 777.08 | 728.8471 | -6.21% | 761.035 | -2.06% | 0.0109 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 776.58 | 728.6399 | -6.17% | 760.005 | -2.13% | 0.0077 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 778.54 | 729.333 | -6.32% | 765.035 | -1.73% | 0.0014 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 772.95 | 725.0432 | -6.20% | 764.985 | -1.03% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 771.53 | 722.9863 | -6.29% | 757.865 | -1.77% | 0.0006 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 773.14 | 723.0309 | -6.48% | 763.135 | -1.29% | 0.0036 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 770.34 | 722.4371 | -6.22% | 765.76 | -0.59% | 0.0083 | ✓ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 773.83 | 723.2121 | -6.54% | 769.03 | -0.62% | 0.0098 | ✓ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 773.54 | 721.2249 | -6.76% | 769.955 | -0.46% | 0.0096 | ✓ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 769.85 | 714.8867 | -7.14% | 771.335 | +0.19% | 0.0198 | ✓ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 771.95 | 717.9853 | -6.99% | 769.845 | -0.27% | 0.1400 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 773.64 | 713.6342 | -7.76% | 772.18 | -0.19% | 0.1592 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 759.05 | 697.7643 | -8.07% | 765.52 | +0.85% | 0.1046 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 750.47 | 696.6409 | -7.17% | 762.065 | +1.55% | 0.1082 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 745.165 | 687.6181 | -7.72% | 767.635 | +3.02% | 0.1144 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 745.49 | 687.1067 | -7.83% | 766.5 | +2.82% | 0.1027 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 744.68 | 691.7858 | -7.10% | 770.89 | +3.52% | 0.0813 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 733.825 | 679.0742 | -7.46% | 769.17 | +4.82% | 0.0728 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 743.59 | 689.3073 | -7.30% | 769.72 | +3.51% | 0.1186 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 739.94 | 688.8893 | -6.90% | 770.475 | +4.13% | 0.1038 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 745.955 | 701.4046 | -5.97% | 765.15 | +2.57% | 0.0968 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 742.375 | 697.8773 | -5.99% | 763.8 | +2.89% | 0.1155 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 740.185 | 697.2309 | -5.80% | 766.01 | +3.49% | 0.0990 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 739.95 | 702.0468 | -5.12% | 765.34 | +3.43% | 0.0830 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 747.53 | 713.8524 | -4.51% | 766.75 | +2.57% | 0.0984 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 749.28 | 717.5518 | -4.23% | 763.06 | +1.84% | 0.0317 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 743.3 | 706.5051 | -4.95% | 770.3 | +3.63% | 0.0257 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 746.62 | 710.2399 | -4.87% | 767.375 | +2.78% | 0.0774 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 744.91 | 709.5852 | -4.74% | 773.335 | +3.82% | 0.0910 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 744.45 | 707.008 | -5.03% | 777.65 | +4.46% | 0.1119 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 750.69 | 712.2982 | -5.11% | 777.08 | +3.52% | 0.0989 | ✗ | 1.00 |