SPYB
SPY (bStocks Tokenized Stock) · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s5
- token id
- #357
- symbol
- SPYB
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x7138b48df7d98d7e3cc221bfe7192d0a178182d8
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-07
- predictions
- 294
Track record at +1d
assessed
97
of 98 predictions shown
direction hit
50.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0085
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0063
actual -0.0002
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 771.235 | 767.9321 | -0.43% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 771.485 | 768.1552 | -0.43% | 771.235 | -0.03% | 0.0043 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 768.255 | 763.8401 | -0.57% | 771.485 | +0.42% | 0.0085 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 767.73 | 764.0761 | -0.48% | 768.255 | +0.07% | 0.0057 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 760.825 | 757.1462 | -0.48% | 767.73 | +0.91% | 0.0131 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 762.325 | 758.1606 | -0.55% | 760.825 | -0.20% | 0.0037 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 771.365 | 766.9185 | -0.58% | 762.325 | -1.17% | 0.0052 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 768.04 | 762.6679 | -0.70% | 771.365 | +0.43% | 0.0106 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 778.575 | 772.9523 | -0.72% | 768.04 | -1.35% | 0.0046 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 778.155 | 771.7325 | -0.83% | 778.575 | +0.05% | 0.0072 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 780.995 | 774.2733 | -0.86% | 778.155 | -0.36% | 0.0073 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 779.025 | 772.6622 | -0.82% | 780.995 | +0.25% | 0.0098 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 779.035 | 773.2716 | -0.74% | 779.025 | -0.00% | 0.0070 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 774.915 | 769.118 | -0.75% | 779.035 | +0.53% | 0.0118 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 777.815 | 771.1639 | -0.86% | 774.915 | -0.37% | 0.0068 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 779.94 | 773.3477 | -0.85% | 777.815 | -0.27% | 0.0086 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 775.085 | 767.1744 | -1.02% | 779.94 | +0.63% | 0.0168 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 770.915 | 763.4395 | -0.97% | 775.085 | +0.54% | 0.0161 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 770.925 | 763.2956 | -0.99% | 770.915 | -0.00% | 0.0077 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 769.8 | 762.6896 | -0.92% | 770.925 | +0.15% | 0.0104 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 765.105 | 757.876 | -0.94% | 769.8 | +0.61% | 0.0161 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 765.845 | 758.1671 | -1.00% | 765.105 | -0.10% | 0.0074 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 766.09 | 758.3928 | -1.00% | 765.845 | -0.03% | 0.0099 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 766.2 | 758.2824 | -1.03% | 766.09 | -0.01% | 0.0100 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 769.91 | 761.9683 | -1.03% | 766.2 | -0.48% | 0.0069 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 770.34 | 762.5612 | -1.01% | 769.91 | -0.06% | 0.0095 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 771.89 | 764.2973 | -0.98% | 770.34 | -0.20% | 0.0075 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 766.21 | 759.0863 | -0.93% | 771.89 | +0.74% | 0.0171 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 767.7 | 761.174 | -0.85% | 766.21 | -0.19% | 0.0066 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 773.525 | 766.99 | -0.84% | 767.7 | -0.75% | 0.0032 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 773.705 | 766.9754 | -0.87% | 773.525 | -0.02% | 0.0090 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 763.305 | 757.4136 | -0.77% | 773.705 | +1.36% | 0.0151 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 762.725 | 752.582 | -1.33% | 763.305 | +0.08% | 0.0142 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 763.025 | 751.7109 | -1.48% | 762.725 | -0.04% | 0.0141 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 762.5 | 761.2487 | -0.16% | 763.025 | +0.07% | 0.0037 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 757.98 | 757.1156 | -0.11% | 762.5 | +0.60% | 0.0068 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 758.605 | 758.0844 | -0.07% | 757.98 | -0.08% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 761.035 | 759.651 | -0.18% | 758.605 | -0.32% | 0.0022 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 760.005 | 759.5268 | -0.06% | 761.035 | +0.14% | 0.0001 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 765.035 | 764.8278 | -0.03% | 760.005 | -0.66% | 0.0057 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 764.985 | 765.5802 | +0.08% | 765.035 | +0.01% | 0.0008 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 757.865 | 758.6553 | +0.10% | 764.985 | +0.94% | 0.0074 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 763.135 | 763.1459 | +0.00% | 757.865 | -0.69% | 0.0048 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 765.76 | 765.1727 | -0.08% | 763.135 | -0.34% | 0.0025 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 769.03 | 768.7606 | -0.04% | 765.76 | -0.43% | 0.0031 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 769.955 | 769.7143 | -0.03% | 769.03 | -0.12% | 0.0006 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 771.335 | 771.3148 | -0.00% | 769.955 | -0.18% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 769.845 | 769.907 | +0.01% | 771.335 | +0.19% | 0.0017 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 772.18 | 772.2849 | +0.01% | 769.845 | -0.30% | 0.0013 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 765.52 | 765.4977 | -0.00% | 772.18 | +0.87% | 0.0044 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 762.065 | 761.8795 | -0.02% | 765.52 | +0.45% | 0.0049 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 767.635 | 767.1197 | -0.07% | 762.065 | -0.73% | 0.0054 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 766.5 | 765.8395 | -0.09% | 767.635 | +0.15% | 0.0014 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 770.89 | 770.6341 | -0.03% | 766.5 | -0.57% | 0.0048 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 769.17 | 768.8782 | -0.04% | 770.89 | +0.22% | 0.0022 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 769.72 | 769.5251 | -0.03% | 769.17 | -0.07% | 0.0020 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 770.475 | 769.462 | -0.13% | 769.72 | -0.10% | 0.0010 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 765.15 | 763.5387 | -0.21% | 770.475 | +0.70% | 0.0085 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 763.8 | 761.1825 | -0.34% | 765.15 | +0.18% | 0.0057 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 766.01 | 761.5446 | -0.58% | 763.8 | -0.29% | 0.0016 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 765.34 | 759.6606 | -0.74% | 766.01 | +0.09% | 0.0076 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 766.75 | 760.7433 | -0.78% | 765.34 | -0.18% | 0.0074 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 763.06 | 757.1343 | -0.78% | 766.75 | +0.48% | 0.0063 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 770.3 | 765.0118 | -0.69% | 763.06 | -0.94% | 0.0103 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 767.375 | 762.0718 | -0.69% | 770.3 | +0.38% | 0.0035 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 773.335 | 767.818 | -0.71% | 767.375 | -0.77% | 0.0012 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 777.65 | 771.6704 | -0.77% | 773.335 | -0.55% | 0.0043 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 777.08 | 770.6273 | -0.83% | 777.65 | +0.07% | 0.0098 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 776.58 | 769.3026 | -0.94% | 777.08 | +0.06% | 0.0099 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 778.54 | 768.7525 | -1.26% | 776.58 | -0.25% | 0.0119 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 772.95 | 763.8546 | -1.18% | 778.54 | +0.72% | 0.0190 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 771.53 | 761.9251 | -1.24% | 772.95 | +0.18% | 0.0148 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 773.14 | 762.1708 | -1.42% | 771.53 | -0.21% | 0.0137 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 770.34 | 760.4352 | -1.29% | 773.14 | +0.36% | 0.0204 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 773.83 | 762.7014 | -1.44% | 770.34 | -0.45% | 0.0102 | ✓ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 773.54 | 762.2905 | -1.45% | 773.83 | +0.04% | 0.0150 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 769.85 | 758.6657 | -1.45% | 773.54 | +0.48% | 0.0169 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 771.95 | 762.6746 | -1.20% | 769.85 | -0.27% | 0.0146 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 773.64 | 762.7076 | -1.41% | 771.95 | -0.22% | 0.0035 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 759.05 | 748.4364 | -1.40% | 773.64 | +1.92% | 0.0240 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 750.47 | 745.7516 | -0.63% | 759.05 | +1.14% | 0.0182 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 745.165 | 738.7123 | -0.87% | 750.47 | +0.71% | 0.0041 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 745.49 | 739.4391 | -0.81% | 745.165 | -0.04% | 0.0087 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 744.68 | 739.7335 | -0.66% | 745.49 | +0.11% | 0.0375 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 733.825 | 728.8404 | -0.68% | 744.68 | +1.48% | 0.0087 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 743.59 | 739.2023 | -0.59% | 733.825 | -1.31% | 0.0081 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 739.94 | 736.5618 | -0.46% | 743.59 | +0.49% | 0.0071 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 745.955 | 742.9762 | -0.40% | 739.94 | -0.81% | 0.0214 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 742.375 | 739.2805 | -0.42% | 745.955 | +0.48% | 0.0071 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 740.185 | 737.2461 | -0.40% | 742.375 | +0.30% | 0.0036 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 739.95 | 737.0003 | -0.40% | 740.185 | +0.03% | 0.0193 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 747.53 | 744.4131 | -0.42% | 739.95 | -1.01% | 0.0098 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 749.28 | 746.0981 | -0.42% | 747.53 | -0.23% | 0.0084 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 743.3 | 738.4408 | -0.65% | 749.28 | +0.80% | 0.0052 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 746.62 | 743.9432 | -0.36% | 743.3 | -0.44% | 0.0090 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 744.91 | 742.4907 | -0.32% | 746.62 | +0.23% | 0.0073 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 744.45 | 741.9863 | -0.33% | 744.91 | +0.06% | 0.0101 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 750.69 | 748.0685 | -0.35% | 744.45 | -0.83% | 0.0068 | ✓ | 1.00 |