SIGN

Sign · Ethereum · gru_s5

token id: #520
symbol: SIGN
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x868fced65edbf0056c4163515dd840e9f287a4c3
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-21
predictions: 525

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

168

of 175 predictions shown

direction hit

67.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0595

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0155

actual -0.0125

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.010474	0.010238	-2.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-20	oos	0.010772	0.010542	-2.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-19	oos	0.011014	0.010782	-2.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-18	oos	0.011069	0.010845	-2.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.011685	0.01144	-2.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.011774	0.011533	-2.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.012009	0.011749	-2.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-14	oos	0.011812	0.011579	-1.97%	0.010474	-11.33%	0.1136	✓	0.96
2026-10-13	oos	0.0128	0.012503	-2.32%	0.010772	-15.84%	0.1472	✓	0.93
2026-10-12	oos	0.012991	0.012674	-2.44%	0.011014	-15.22%	0.1415	✓	0.95
2026-10-11	oos	0.012905	0.012605	-2.32%	0.011069	-14.23%	0.1111	✓	0.94
2026-10-10	oos	0.012919	0.012616	-2.34%	0.011685	-9.55%	0.0594	✓	0.93
2026-10-09	oos	0.012907	0.0126	-2.38%	0.011774	-8.78%	0.0560	✓	0.93
2026-10-08	oos	0.012345	0.01208	-2.15%	0.012009	-2.73%	0.0107	✓	0.92
2026-10-07	oos	0.01225	0.011975	-2.25%	0.011812	-3.58%	0.0057	✓	0.93
2026-10-06	oos	0.012594	0.012304	-2.30%	0.0128	+1.63%	0.0663	✗	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.012734	0.012428	-2.41%	0.012991	+2.01%	0.0885	✗	0.92
2026-10-04	oos	0.012807	0.012487	-2.50%	0.012905	+0.77%	0.0635	✗	0.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.012649	0.01234	-2.44%	0.012919	+2.14%	0.0661	✗	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.012734	0.012408	-2.56%	0.012907	+1.36%	0.0610	✗	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.01223	0.011899	-2.70%	0.012345	+0.94%	0.0719	✗	0.93
2026-09-30	oos	0.012499	0.012141	-2.87%	0.01225	-1.99%	0.0121	✓	0.94
2026-09-29	oos	0.012441	0.01205	-3.14%	0.012594	+1.23%	0.0231	✓	0.94
2026-09-28	oos	0.012654	0.01221	-3.51%	0.012734	+0.64%	0.0165	✓	0.94
2026-09-27	oos	0.013821	0.013271	-3.98%	0.012807	-7.34%	0.0579	✓	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.013853	0.013269	-4.21%	0.012649	-8.69%	0.0515	✓	0.94
2026-09-25	oos	0.013473	0.01297	-3.74%	0.012734	-5.49%	0.0229	✓	0.94
2026-09-24	oos	0.012913	0.012511	-3.11%	0.01223	-5.29%	0.0279	✓	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.012528	0.012151	-3.02%	0.012499	-0.24%	0.0376	✗	0.96
2026-09-22	oos	0.012568	0.012173	-3.15%	0.012441	-1.01%	0.0507	✗	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.012193	0.011811	-3.14%	0.012654	+3.78%	0.1051	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.011562	0.011264	-2.58%	0.013821	+19.54%	0.1637	✗	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.011772	0.011464	-2.62%	0.013853	+17.67%	0.1499	✗	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.011794	0.011497	-2.52%	0.013473	+14.23%	0.1179	✗	1.04
2026-09-17	oos	0.010752	0.010567	-1.72%	0.012913	+20.10%	0.1016	✗	0.99
2026-09-16	oos	0.010675	0.010503	-1.61%	0.012528	+17.36%	0.0750	✗	0.99
2026-09-15	oos	0.010572	0.0104	-1.63%	0.012568	+18.88%	0.0600	✗	0.98
2026-09-14	oos	0.010665	0.01049	-1.64%	0.012193	+14.33%	0.0527	✗	0.96
2026-09-13	oos	0.009751	0.009665	-0.89%	0.011562	+18.56%	0.1284	✗	0.92
2026-09-12	oos	0.010795	0.010609	-1.72%	0.011772	+9.06%	0.0594	✗	0.89
2026-09-11	oos	0.010615	0.010483	-1.25%	0.011794	+11.11%	0.0758	✗	0.91
2026-09-10	oos	0.01031	0.010211	-0.96%	0.010752	+4.29%	0.0538	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.010932	0.010803	-1.19%	0.010675	-2.35%	0.0122	✗	0.87
2026-09-08	oos	0.011235	0.011093	-1.26%	0.010572	-5.90%	0.0159	✓	0.87
2026-09-07	oos	0.010951	0.010848	-0.94%	0.010665	-2.61%	0.0067	✓	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.010757	0.010688	-0.64%	0.009751	-9.35%	0.0498	✓	0.93
2026-09-05	oos	0.010377	0.010345	-0.31%	0.010795	+4.02%	0.0726	✗	0.92
2026-09-04	oos	0.009716	0.009801	+0.88%	0.010615	+9.26%	0.1080	✓	0.89
2026-09-03	oos	0.009525	0.009668	+1.50%	0.01031	+8.24%	0.1197	✓	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.008784	0.008833	+0.56%	0.010932	+24.46%	0.2015	✓	0.93
2026-09-01	oos	0.008936	0.008953	+0.19%	0.011235	+25.73%	0.2143	✓	0.95
2026-08-31	oos	0.008794	0.008829	+0.39%	0.010951	+24.53%	0.2095	✓	0.89
2026-08-30	oos	0.008705	0.008726	+0.24%	0.010757	+23.57%	0.1792	✓	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.008386	0.008429	+0.51%	0.010377	+23.74%	0.1890	✓	0.93
2026-08-28	oos	0.008235	0.00824	+0.06%	0.009716	+17.98%	0.1431	✓	0.93
2026-08-27	oos	0.008145	0.008203	+0.71%	0.009525	+16.94%	0.1376	✓	0.96
2026-08-26	oos	0.008134	0.008125	-0.11%	0.008784	+8.00%	0.0993	✗	0.97
2026-08-25	oos	0.007845	0.00783	-0.19%	0.008936	+13.91%	0.1461	✗	0.97
2026-08-24	oos	0.0078	0.007779	-0.27%	0.008794	+12.74%	0.1278	✗	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.007819	0.007772	-0.60%	0.008705	+11.33%	0.1142	✗	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	0.007708	0.007621	-1.12%	0.008386	+8.80%	0.0806	✗	0.98
2026-08-21	oos	0.007736	0.00768	-0.73%	0.008235	+6.45%	0.0760	✗	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.007216	0.007101	-1.60%	0.008145	+12.87%	0.0438	✗	0.98
2026-08-19	oos	0.007008	0.006835	-2.47%	0.008134	+16.06%	0.0389	✗	1.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00654	0.006378	-2.48%	0.007845	+19.96%	0.0088	✓	1.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.006674	0.006508	-2.49%	0.0078	+16.86%	0.0278	✓	1.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.006659	0.006485	-2.62%	0.007819	+17.41%	0.0360	✓	1.05
2026-08-15	oos	0.006515	0.006351	-2.52%	0.007708	+18.30%	0.0179	✓	1.05
2026-08-14	oos	0.006387	0.006234	-2.40%	0.007736	+21.11%	0.0138	✓	1.05
2026-08-13	oos	0.006477	0.006334	-2.21%	0.007216	+11.41%	0.0201	✓	1.07
2026-08-12	oos	0.006531	0.006392	-2.13%	0.007008	+7.30%	0.0060	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006685	0.006544	-2.12%	0.00654	-2.18%	0.0205	✓	1.11
2026-08-10	oos	0.00678	0.006652	-1.89%	0.006674	-1.56%	0.0065	✓	1.12
2026-08-09	oos	0.00686	0.006733	-1.86%	0.006659	-2.92%	0.0243	✗	1.12
2026-08-08	oos	0.00682	0.006709	-1.63%	0.006515	-4.46%	0.0036	✓	1.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006835	0.006736	-1.44%	0.006387	-6.55%	0.0198	✓	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.006515	0.006453	-0.96%	0.006477	-0.58%	0.0183	✗	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.006635	0.006569	-1.00%	0.006531	-1.57%	0.0148	✗	1.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.00663	0.006584	-0.69%	0.006685	+0.83%	0.0241	✗	1.10
2026-08-03	oos	0.00678	0.006728	-0.77%	0.00678	+0.00%	0.0000	✓	1.11
2026-08-02	oos	0.00679	0.006735	-0.81%	0.00686	+1.03%	0.0049	✓	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.00675	0.006697	-0.78%	0.00682	+1.04%	0.0194	✓	1.12
2026-07-31	oos	0.00686	0.006792	-1.00%	0.006835	-0.36%	0.0298	✓	1.12
2026-07-30	oos	0.007055	0.006965	-1.27%	0.006515	-7.65%	0.0589	✓	1.13
2026-07-29	oos	0.00702	0.006921	-1.41%	0.006635	-5.48%	0.0545	✓	1.11
2026-07-28	oos	0.007615	0.007485	-1.71%	0.00663	-12.93%	0.1248	✓	1.11
2026-07-27	oos	0.00772	0.007579	-1.82%	0.00678	-12.18%	0.1075	✓	1.11
2026-07-26	oos	0.00839	0.008222	-2.00%	0.00679	-19.07%	0.1608	✓	1.07
2026-07-25	oos	0.0083	0.008131	-2.03%	0.00675	-18.67%	0.1596	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.00824	0.008075	-2.00%	0.00686	-16.75%	0.1414	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.008445	0.008274	-2.02%	0.007055	-16.46%	0.1539	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.00858	0.008415	-1.92%	0.00702	-18.18%	0.1444	✓	1.09
2026-07-21	oos	0.00864	0.008481	-1.84%	0.007615	-11.86%	0.0629	✓	1.09
2026-07-20	oos	0.008565	0.008412	-1.79%	0.00772	-9.87%	0.0605	✓	1.07
2026-07-19	oos	0.008405	0.008257	-1.76%	0.00839	-0.18%	0.0051	✓	1.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.008395	0.008256	-1.66%	0.0083	-1.13%	0.0136	✓	1.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.00853	0.008392	-1.62%	0.00824	-3.40%	0.0214	✓	1.08
2026-07-16	oos	0.008395	0.008269	-1.50%	0.008445	+0.60%	0.0004	✓	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	0.00866	0.008531	-1.49%	0.00858	-0.92%	0.0168	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.00869	0.008563	-1.46%	0.00864	-0.58%	0.0160	✓	1.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.008555	0.008429	-1.48%	0.008565	+0.12%	0.0355	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.008585	0.008457	-1.49%	0.008405	-2.10%	0.0229	✓	1.14
2026-07-11	oos	0.008775	0.008638	-1.57%	0.008395	-4.33%	0.0466	✓	1.14
2026-07-10	oos	0.00876	0.00862	-1.60%	0.00853	-2.63%	0.0063	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.00867	0.008528	-1.64%	0.008395	-3.17%	0.0264	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008453	-1.65%	0.00866	+0.76%	0.0204	✓	1.14
2026-07-07	oos	0.00869	0.008542	-1.71%	0.00869	+0.00%	0.0126	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.00864	0.008516	-1.44%	0.008555	-0.98%	0.0364	✗	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.00864	0.008519	-1.40%	0.008585	-0.64%	0.0048	✓	1.16
2026-07-04	oos	0.0087	0.008579	-1.39%	0.008775	+0.86%	0.0100	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.00871	0.008584	-1.45%	0.00876	+0.57%	0.0093	✓	1.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.008665	0.008531	-1.54%	0.00867	+0.06%	0.0156	✓	1.17
2026-07-01	oos	0.00844	0.008323	-1.38%	0.008595	+1.84%	0.0113	✓	1.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.00814	0.008043	-1.20%	0.00869	+6.76%	0.0131	✓	1.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.00857	0.00845	-1.40%	0.00864	+0.82%	0.0480	✓	1.13
2026-06-28	oos	0.0083	0.008196	-1.25%	0.00864	+4.10%	0.0219	✓	1.12
2026-06-27	oos	0.008405	0.008306	-1.18%	0.0087	+3.51%	0.0109	✓	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.00864	0.008526	-1.32%	0.00871	+0.81%	0.0247	✓	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.00832	0.008224	-1.16%	0.008665	+4.15%	0.0198	✗	1.10
2026-06-24	oos	0.008405	0.008295	-1.31%	0.00844	+0.42%	0.0363	✗	1.12
2026-06-23	oos	0.008755	0.008621	-1.53%	0.00814	-7.02%	0.0187	✗	1.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.0093	0.00912	-1.94%	0.00857	-7.85%	0.0046	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.009075	0.008931	-1.59%	0.0083	-8.54%	0.0070	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.0095	0.009339	-1.69%	0.008405	-11.53%	0.0316	✓	1.07
2026-06-19	oos	0.00932	0.009178	-1.52%	0.00864	-7.30%	0.0009	✓	1.06
2026-06-18	oos	0.00928	0.009155	-1.35%	0.00832	-10.34%	0.0409	✓	1.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.00949	0.009357	-1.40%	0.008405	-11.43%	0.0483	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.008815	0.008729	-0.98%	0.008755	-0.68%	0.0561	✗	1.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.008885	0.008793	-1.04%	0.0093	+4.67%	0.0972	✗	1.15
2026-06-14	oos	0.009	0.008906	-1.05%	0.009075	+0.83%	0.0632	✗	1.16
2026-06-13	oos	0.008615	0.008553	-0.72%	0.0095	+10.27%	0.1086	✗	1.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.00858	0.008537	-0.50%	0.00932	+8.62%	0.0889	✗	1.12
2026-06-11	oos	0.00857	0.008532	-0.45%	0.00928	+8.28%	0.0962	✗	1.12
2026-06-10	oos	0.0083	0.008304	+0.05%	0.00949	+14.34%	0.0805	✓	1.11
2026-06-09	oos	0.008605	0.008596	-0.10%	0.008815	+2.44%	0.0436	✓	1.11
2026-06-08	oos	0.00913	0.009082	-0.52%	0.008885	-2.68%	0.0760	✓	1.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.00876	0.008742	-0.20%	0.009	+2.74%	0.0114	✓	1.09
2026-06-06	oos	0.00866	0.008695	+0.40%	0.008615	-0.52%	0.0747	✗	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.00885	0.008883	+0.37%	0.00858	-3.05%	0.0808	✗	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.00966	0.009606	-0.56%	0.00857	-11.28%	0.1100	✓	1.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.01054	0.010433	-1.01%	0.0083	-21.25%	0.1845	✓	1.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.01031	0.010194	-1.12%	0.008605	-16.54%	0.0696	✓	1.29
2026-06-01	oos	0.01101	0.010801	-1.90%	0.00913	-17.08%	0.0209	✗	1.54
2026-05-31	oos	0.0119	0.011563	-2.83%	0.00876	-26.39%	0.0594	✓	1.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.011635	0.011406	-1.97%	0.00866	-25.57%	0.0057	✓	1.46
2026-05-29	oos	0.011735	0.011508	-1.94%	0.00885	-24.58%	0.0072	✓	1.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.01153	0.011332	-1.71%	0.00966	-16.22%	0.0485	✗	1.47
2026-05-27	oos	0.01209	0.011856	-1.94%	0.01054	-12.82%	0.0967	✗	1.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.01232	0.012074	-1.99%	0.01031	-16.31%	0.0354	✗	1.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.01291	0.01262	-2.24%	0.01101	-14.72%	0.0186	✓	1.48
2026-05-24	oos	0.01273	0.012475	-2.00%	0.0119	-6.52%	0.0190	✓	1.47
2026-05-23	oos	0.013085	0.012823	-2.00%	0.011635	-11.08%	0.0405	✓	1.48
2026-05-22	oos	0.01276	0.01255	-1.64%	0.011735	-8.03%	0.0267	✓	1.45
2026-05-21	oos	0.01351	0.013227	-2.09%	0.01153	-14.66%	0.0618	✓	1.41
2026-05-20	oos	0.012955	0.012751	-1.57%	0.01209	-6.68%	0.0116	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.01279	0.012637	-1.20%	0.01232	-3.67%	0.0131	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.012985	0.012848	-1.06%	0.01291	-0.58%	0.0009	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.013405	0.01325	-1.16%	0.01273	-5.04%	0.0344	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0138	0.013615	-1.34%	0.013085	-5.18%	0.0209	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01476	0.014516	-1.65%	0.01276	-13.55%	0.0821	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.01595	0.015636	-1.97%	0.01351	-15.30%	0.1016	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01559	0.015297	-1.88%	0.012955	-16.90%	0.1430	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01654	0.01619	-2.11%	0.01279	-22.67%	0.1885	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.016455	0.016128	-1.99%	0.012985	-21.09%	0.1564	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.016415	0.016124	-1.77%	0.013405	-18.34%	0.1246	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01612	0.015844	-1.71%	0.0138	-14.39%	0.1060	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.01606	0.015793	-1.66%	0.01476	-8.09%	0.0534	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01576	0.015518	-1.53%	0.01595	+1.21%	0.0141	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01607	0.01584	-1.43%	0.01559	-2.99%	0.0109	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01597	0.015747	-1.39%	0.01654	+3.57%	0.0544	✗	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.01593	0.015703	-1.42%	0.016455	+3.30%	0.0236	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01549	0.015269	-1.43%	0.016415	+5.97%	0.0271	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01572	0.015494	-1.44%	0.01612	+2.54%	0.0148	✗	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01564	0.015414	-1.45%	0.01606	+2.69%	0.0164	✗	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01568	0.015436	-1.55%	0.01576	+0.51%	0.0266	✓	1.00