SIGN

Sign · Ethereum · gru_s5

token id: #520
symbol: SIGN
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x868fced65edbf0056c4163515dd840e9f287a4c3
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-21
predictions: 525

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

145

of 175 predictions shown

direction hit

71.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1771

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0333

actual -0.0395

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.010474	0.00987	-5.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-20	oos	0.010772	0.010183	-5.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-19	oos	0.011014	0.010394	-5.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-18	oos	0.011069	0.010454	-5.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.011685	0.011012	-5.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.011774	0.011103	-5.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.012009	0.011315	-5.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-14	oos	0.011812	0.011135	-5.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-13	oos	0.0128	0.012045	-5.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-12	oos	0.012991	0.012187	-6.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-11	oos	0.012905	0.012138	-5.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-10	oos	0.012919	0.012136	-6.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-09	oos	0.012907	0.012118	-6.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-08	oos	0.012345	0.011609	-5.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-07	oos	0.01225	0.011536	-5.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-06	oos	0.012594	0.011866	-5.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.012734	0.011983	-5.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-04	oos	0.012807	0.012029	-6.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.012649	0.011882	-6.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.012734	0.01193	-6.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.01223	0.011401	-6.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-09-30	oos	0.012499	0.011603	-7.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-29	oos	0.012441	0.011482	-7.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-28	oos	0.012654	0.011595	-8.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-27	oos	0.013821	0.01255	-9.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.013853	0.012505	-9.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-25	oos	0.013473	0.012301	-8.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-24	oos	0.012913	0.01197	-7.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.012528	0.011653	-6.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-22	oos	0.012568	0.011667	-7.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.012193	0.011314	-7.22%	0.010474	-14.10%	0.0320	✓	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.011562	0.010835	-6.28%	0.010772	-6.83%	0.0281	✓	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.011772	0.011028	-6.32%	0.011014	-6.44%	0.0089	✓	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.011794	0.011078	-6.08%	0.011069	-6.16%	0.0153	✓	1.04
2026-09-17	oos	0.010752	0.010186	-5.26%	0.011685	+8.68%	0.0742	✗	0.99
2026-09-16	oos	0.010675	0.010134	-5.07%	0.011774	+10.29%	0.0829	✗	0.99
2026-09-15	oos	0.010572	0.010038	-5.05%	0.012009	+13.59%	0.0975	✗	0.98
2026-09-14	oos	0.010665	0.010158	-4.75%	0.011812	+10.75%	0.1102	✗	0.96
2026-09-13	oos	0.009751	0.009364	-3.97%	0.0128	+31.26%	0.2401	✗	0.92
2026-09-12	oos	0.010795	0.010256	-4.99%	0.012991	+20.35%	0.1862	✗	0.89
2026-09-11	oos	0.010615	0.010177	-4.13%	0.012905	+21.57%	0.1646	✗	0.91
2026-09-10	oos	0.01031	0.009929	-3.69%	0.012919	+25.31%	0.1914	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.010932	0.010535	-3.64%	0.012907	+18.06%	0.1571	✗	0.87
2026-09-08	oos	0.011235	0.010841	-3.51%	0.012345	+9.88%	0.0948	✗	0.87
2026-09-07	oos	0.010951	0.010628	-2.95%	0.01225	+11.86%	0.0965	✗	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.010757	0.010536	-2.06%	0.012594	+17.08%	0.1201	✗	0.93
2026-09-05	oos	0.010377	0.01023	-1.42%	0.012734	+22.72%	0.1533	✗	0.92
2026-09-04	oos	0.009716	0.009749	+0.34%	0.012807	+31.81%	0.1991	✓	0.89
2026-09-03	oos	0.009525	0.009675	+1.58%	0.012649	+32.79%	0.2292	✓	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.008784	0.008784	-0.00%	0.012734	+44.97%	0.2883	✗	0.93
2026-09-01	oos	0.008936	0.008918	-0.21%	0.01223	+36.86%	0.2290	✗	0.95
2026-08-31	oos	0.008794	0.008864	+0.79%	0.012499	+42.13%	0.2891	✓	0.89
2026-08-30	oos	0.008705	0.008786	+0.93%	0.012441	+42.92%	0.2819	✓	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.008386	0.008565	+2.14%	0.012654	+50.89%	0.3298	✓	0.93
2026-08-28	oos	0.008235	0.008399	+1.99%	0.013821	+67.83%	0.4221	✓	0.93
2026-08-27	oos	0.008145	0.008534	+4.78%	0.013853	+70.08%	0.4359	✓	0.96
2026-08-26	oos	0.008134	0.008463	+4.05%	0.013473	+65.65%	0.4050	✓	0.97
2026-08-25	oos	0.007845	0.008119	+3.49%	0.012913	+64.60%	0.3943	✓	0.97
2026-08-24	oos	0.0078	0.008131	+4.24%	0.012528	+60.62%	0.3683	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.007819	0.008051	+2.96%	0.012568	+60.74%	0.3436	✓	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	0.007708	0.007936	+2.95%	0.012193	+58.19%	0.3147	✓	0.98
2026-08-21	oos	0.007736	0.008092	+4.60%	0.011562	+49.45%	0.3217	✓	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.007216	0.00716	-0.78%	0.011772	+63.13%	0.3923	✗	0.98
2026-08-19	oos	0.007008	0.006745	-3.75%	0.011794	+68.30%	0.4000	✗	1.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00654	0.006147	-6.01%	0.010752	+64.42%	0.3896	✗	1.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.006674	0.006275	-5.99%	0.010675	+59.94%	0.3602	✗	1.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.006659	0.006236	-6.36%	0.010572	+58.75%	0.3343	✗	1.05
2026-08-15	oos	0.006515	0.006109	-6.24%	0.010665	+63.69%	0.3305	✗	1.05
2026-08-14	oos	0.006387	0.006007	-5.95%	0.009751	+52.67%	0.2756	✗	1.05
2026-08-13	oos	0.006477	0.006115	-5.60%	0.010795	+66.65%	0.3573	✗	1.07
2026-08-12	oos	0.006531	0.006179	-5.39%	0.010615	+62.54%	0.3239	✗	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006685	0.006335	-5.23%	0.01031	+54.23%	0.2805	✗	1.11
2026-08-10	oos	0.00678	0.006457	-4.76%	0.010932	+61.25%	0.2986	✗	1.12
2026-08-09	oos	0.00686	0.00657	-4.22%	0.011235	+63.78%	0.3241	✗	1.12
2026-08-08	oos	0.00682	0.006565	-3.74%	0.010951	+60.57%	0.2917	✗	1.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006835	0.006601	-3.43%	0.010757	+57.38%	0.2502	✗	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.006515	0.00632	-2.99%	0.010377	+59.28%	0.2576	✗	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.006635	0.006461	-2.62%	0.009716	+46.44%	0.1769	✗	1.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.00663	0.006467	-2.45%	0.009525	+43.67%	0.1256	✗	1.10
2026-08-03	oos	0.00678	0.006598	-2.68%	0.008784	+29.56%	0.0669	✗	1.11
2026-08-02	oos	0.00679	0.006603	-2.75%	0.008936	+31.61%	0.0833	✗	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.00675	0.006558	-2.84%	0.008794	+30.28%	0.0423	✗	1.12
2026-07-31	oos	0.00686	0.006642	-3.18%	0.008705	+26.90%	0.0333	✗	1.12
2026-07-30	oos	0.007055	0.006812	-3.45%	0.008386	+18.87%	0.0065	✓	1.13
2026-07-29	oos	0.00702	0.006756	-3.76%	0.008235	+17.31%	0.0212	✓	1.11
2026-07-28	oos	0.007615	0.007277	-4.44%	0.008145	+6.96%	0.1424	✓	1.11
2026-07-27	oos	0.00772	0.007363	-4.62%	0.008134	+5.36%	0.1408	✓	1.11
2026-07-26	oos	0.00839	0.007973	-4.97%	0.007845	-6.50%	0.2128	✓	1.07
2026-07-25	oos	0.0083	0.007877	-5.10%	0.0078	-6.02%	0.2368	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.00824	0.007828	-5.00%	0.007819	-5.11%	0.2130	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.008445	0.008026	-4.96%	0.007708	-8.73%	0.2259	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.00858	0.008187	-4.58%	0.007736	-9.84%	0.2421	✓	1.09
2026-07-21	oos	0.00864	0.00827	-4.29%	0.007216	-16.48%	0.2380	✓	1.09
2026-07-20	oos	0.008565	0.00821	-4.15%	0.007008	-18.18%	0.2235	✓	1.07
2026-07-19	oos	0.008405	0.008055	-4.17%	0.00654	-22.20%	0.2084	✓	1.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.008395	0.008077	-3.78%	0.006674	-20.49%	0.1855	✓	1.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.00853	0.008227	-3.55%	0.006659	-21.93%	0.1934	✓	1.08
2026-07-16	oos	0.008395	0.008106	-3.44%	0.006515	-22.39%	0.2056	✓	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	0.00866	0.008371	-3.34%	0.006387	-26.24%	0.2411	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.00869	0.008418	-3.13%	0.006477	-25.46%	0.2359	✓	1.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.008555	0.008266	-3.38%	0.006531	-23.66%	0.2559	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.008585	0.008308	-3.23%	0.006685	-22.13%	0.2136	✓	1.14
2026-07-11	oos	0.008775	0.008484	-3.31%	0.00678	-22.74%	0.2267	✓	1.14
2026-07-10	oos	0.00876	0.008457	-3.46%	0.00686	-21.69%	0.2220	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.00867	0.008364	-3.53%	0.00682	-21.34%	0.2350	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008307	-3.36%	0.006835	-20.48%	0.2426	✓	1.14
2026-07-07	oos	0.00869	0.008428	-3.01%	0.006515	-25.03%	0.2745	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.00864	0.008386	-2.94%	0.006635	-23.21%	0.2450	✓	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.00864	0.008384	-2.96%	0.00663	-23.26%	0.2432	✓	1.16
2026-07-04	oos	0.0087	0.00846	-2.76%	0.00678	-22.07%	0.2283	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.00871	0.008471	-2.74%	0.00679	-22.04%	0.2393	✓	1.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.008665	0.008428	-2.74%	0.00675	-22.10%	0.2461	✓	1.17
2026-07-01	oos	0.00844	0.008211	-2.71%	0.00686	-18.72%	0.2342	✓	1.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.00814	0.007927	-2.62%	0.007055	-13.33%	0.2321	✓	1.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.00857	0.008337	-2.71%	0.00702	-18.09%	0.2403	✓	1.13
2026-06-28	oos	0.0083	0.008089	-2.54%	0.007615	-8.25%	0.1397	✓	1.12
2026-06-27	oos	0.008405	0.008189	-2.57%	0.00772	-8.15%	0.1270	✓	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.00864	0.008409	-2.67%	0.00839	-2.89%	0.0977	✓	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.00832	0.008124	-2.36%	0.0083	-0.24%	0.0604	✓	1.10
2026-06-24	oos	0.008405	0.008188	-2.58%	0.00824	-1.96%	0.0493	✓	1.12
2026-06-23	oos	0.008755	0.008506	-2.85%	0.008445	-3.54%	0.0493	✓	1.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.0093	0.008996	-3.27%	0.00858	-7.74%	0.0833	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.009075	0.008796	-3.08%	0.00864	-4.79%	0.0725	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.0095	0.009184	-3.32%	0.008565	-9.84%	0.0861	✓	1.07
2026-06-19	oos	0.00932	0.009034	-3.07%	0.008405	-9.82%	0.0921	✓	1.06
2026-06-18	oos	0.00928	0.009026	-2.74%	0.008395	-9.54%	0.1042	✓	1.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.00949	0.009223	-2.82%	0.00853	-10.12%	0.0689	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.008815	0.00862	-2.21%	0.008395	-4.76%	0.0063	✓	1.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.008885	0.008681	-2.30%	0.00866	-2.53%	0.0250	✗	1.15
2026-06-14	oos	0.009	0.008789	-2.34%	0.00869	-3.44%	0.0014	✓	1.16
2026-06-13	oos	0.008615	0.008462	-1.78%	0.008555	-0.70%	0.0493	✗	1.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.00858	0.008443	-1.60%	0.008585	+0.06%	0.0131	✓	1.12
2026-06-11	oos	0.00857	0.008437	-1.56%	0.008775	+2.39%	0.0356	✗	1.12
2026-06-10	oos	0.0083	0.00823	-0.84%	0.00876	+5.54%	0.0149	✗	1.11
2026-06-09	oos	0.008605	0.008503	-1.19%	0.00867	+0.76%	0.0070	✓	1.11
2026-06-08	oos	0.00913	0.008949	-1.98%	0.008595	-5.86%	0.0261	✓	1.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.00876	0.008626	-1.53%	0.00869	-0.80%	0.0070	✓	1.09
2026-06-06	oos	0.00866	0.008602	-0.67%	0.00864	-0.23%	0.0534	✓	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.00885	0.00878	-0.79%	0.00864	-2.37%	0.0630	✓	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.00966	0.009429	-2.39%	0.0087	-9.94%	0.0684	✓	1.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.01054	0.010196	-3.27%	0.00871	-17.36%	0.1318	✓	1.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.01031	0.009937	-3.62%	0.008665	-15.96%	0.0328	✓	1.29
2026-06-01	oos	0.01101	0.010464	-4.96%	0.00844	-23.34%	0.0515	✗	1.54
2026-05-31	oos	0.0119	0.011172	-6.12%	0.00814	-31.60%	0.0155	✓	1.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.011635	0.010996	-5.49%	0.00857	-26.34%	0.0484	✓	1.46
2026-05-29	oos	0.011735	0.011091	-5.49%	0.0083	-29.27%	0.0179	✓	1.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.01153	0.010926	-5.24%	0.008405	-27.10%	0.0379	✓	1.47
2026-05-27	oos	0.01209	0.011405	-5.66%	0.00864	-28.54%	0.0304	✓	1.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.01232	0.011608	-5.78%	0.00832	-32.47%	0.0256	✓	1.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.01291	0.012127	-6.07%	0.008405	-34.90%	0.0177	✓	1.48
2026-05-24	oos	0.01273	0.011996	-5.77%	0.008755	-31.23%	0.0131	✓	1.47
2026-05-23	oos	0.013085	0.012328	-5.79%	0.0093	-28.93%	0.0137	✓	1.48
2026-05-22	oos	0.01276	0.012072	-5.39%	0.009075	-28.88%	0.0297	✓	1.45
2026-05-21	oos	0.01351	0.012721	-5.84%	0.0095	-29.68%	0.0256	✓	1.41
2026-05-20	oos	0.012955	0.012276	-5.24%	0.00932	-28.06%	0.0762	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.01279	0.012169	-4.85%	0.00928	-27.44%	0.0715	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.012985	0.012362	-4.80%	0.00949	-26.92%	0.0871	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.013405	0.012757	-4.83%	0.008815	-34.24%	0.2044	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0138	0.013125	-4.89%	0.008885	-35.62%	0.2259	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01476	0.014004	-5.12%	0.009	-39.02%	0.2571	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.01595	0.015121	-5.20%	0.008615	-45.99%	0.3327	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01559	0.014771	-5.25%	0.00858	-44.96%	0.3218	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01654	0.015642	-5.43%	0.00857	-48.19%	0.3657	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.016455	0.015615	-5.10%	0.0083	-49.56%	0.3468	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.016415	0.015668	-4.55%	0.008605	-47.58%	0.3122	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01612	0.015382	-4.58%	0.00913	-43.36%	0.2756	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.01606	0.015339	-4.49%	0.00876	-45.45%	0.3238	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01576	0.015089	-4.26%	0.00866	-45.05%	0.2816	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01607	0.015467	-3.75%	0.00885	-44.93%	0.2698	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01597	0.015372	-3.74%	0.00966	-39.51%	0.2271	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.01593	0.015317	-3.85%	0.01054	-33.84%	0.1531	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01549	0.014868	-4.02%	0.01031	-33.44%	0.2018	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01572	0.015096	-3.97%	0.01101	-29.96%	0.2173	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01564	0.015011	-4.02%	0.0119	-23.91%	0.1709	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01568	0.014997	-4.36%	0.011635	-25.80%	0.2200	✓	1.00