SIGN

Sign · Ethereum · gru_s5

token id: #520
symbol: SIGN
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x868fced65edbf0056c4163515dd840e9f287a4c3
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-21
predictions: 528

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

175

of 176 predictions shown

direction hit

54.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0211

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0042

actual -0.0021

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.011185	0.011126	-0.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-21	oos	0.011175	0.011121	-0.49%	0.011185	+0.09%	0.0035	✓	0.97
2026-10-20	oos	0.010772	0.01072	-0.48%	0.011175	+3.74%	0.0290	✗	0.96
2026-10-19	oos	0.011014	0.010969	-0.40%	0.010772	-2.20%	0.0312	✓	0.97
2026-10-18	oos	0.011069	0.011026	-0.39%	0.011014	-0.49%	0.0010	✓	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.011685	0.011636	-0.42%	0.011069	-5.28%	0.0575	✓	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.011774	0.011719	-0.46%	0.011685	-0.76%	0.0015	✓	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.012009	0.011941	-0.56%	0.011774	-1.95%	0.0067	✓	0.96
2026-10-14	oos	0.011812	0.011762	-0.42%	0.012009	+1.66%	0.0142	✗	0.96
2026-10-13	oos	0.0128	0.012723	-0.59%	0.011812	-7.72%	0.0569	✓	0.93
2026-10-12	oos	0.012991	0.012904	-0.67%	0.0128	-1.47%	0.0238	✓	0.95
2026-10-11	oos	0.012905	0.012835	-0.54%	0.012991	+0.67%	0.0340	✗	0.94
2026-10-10	oos	0.012919	0.012848	-0.55%	0.012905	-0.11%	0.0041	✓	0.93
2026-10-09	oos	0.012907	0.012826	-0.63%	0.012919	+0.09%	0.0031	✓	0.93
2026-10-08	oos	0.012345	0.012285	-0.49%	0.012907	+4.55%	0.0398	✗	0.92
2026-10-07	oos	0.01225	0.012176	-0.60%	0.012345	+0.78%	0.0317	✗	0.93
2026-10-06	oos	0.012594	0.012529	-0.52%	0.01225	-2.73%	0.0024	✓	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.012734	0.012662	-0.57%	0.012594	-1.10%	0.0031	✓	0.92
2026-10-04	oos	0.012807	0.012733	-0.57%	0.012734	-0.56%	0.0082	✗	0.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.012649	0.012576	-0.57%	0.012807	+1.25%	0.0009	✓	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.012734	0.012654	-0.63%	0.012649	-0.67%	0.0030	✓	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.01223	0.012162	-0.56%	0.012734	+4.12%	0.0497	✗	0.93
2026-09-30	oos	0.012499	0.012425	-0.59%	0.01223	-2.15%	0.0302	✓	0.94
2026-09-29	oos	0.012441	0.012361	-0.64%	0.012499	+0.47%	0.0120	✗	0.94
2026-09-28	oos	0.012654	0.012555	-0.78%	0.012441	-1.68%	0.0112	✓	0.94
2026-09-27	oos	0.013821	0.013685	-0.99%	0.012654	-8.44%	0.0671	✓	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.013853	0.013714	-1.00%	0.013821	-0.23%	0.0073	✓	0.94
2026-09-25	oos	0.013473	0.013352	-0.90%	0.013853	+2.82%	0.0332	✗	0.94
2026-09-24	oos	0.012913	0.012816	-0.75%	0.013473	+4.34%	0.0533	✗	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.012528	0.012429	-0.80%	0.012913	+3.07%	0.0381	✗	0.96
2026-09-22	oos	0.012568	0.012465	-0.83%	0.012528	-0.32%	0.0256	✗	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.012193	0.0121	-0.77%	0.012568	+3.08%	0.0425	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.011562	0.011488	-0.64%	0.012193	+5.47%	0.0068	✓	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.011772	0.011693	-0.68%	0.011562	-1.79%	0.0103	✓	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.011794	0.011711	-0.70%	0.011772	-0.19%	0.0006	✓	1.04
2026-09-17	oos	0.010752	0.010708	-0.41%	0.011794	+9.70%	0.0397	✗	0.99
2026-09-16	oos	0.010675	0.010629	-0.43%	0.010752	+0.72%	0.0088	✗	0.99
2026-09-15	oos	0.010572	0.010519	-0.50%	0.010675	+0.98%	0.0075	✗	0.98
2026-09-14	oos	0.010665	0.010611	-0.50%	0.010572	-0.87%	0.0285	✗	0.96
2026-09-13	oos	0.009751	0.009733	-0.19%	0.010665	+9.37%	0.0751	✗	0.92
2026-09-12	oos	0.010795	0.010749	-0.42%	0.009751	-9.66%	0.0921	✓	0.89
2026-09-11	oos	0.010615	0.010584	-0.30%	0.010795	+1.69%	0.0191	✗	0.91
2026-09-10	oos	0.01031	0.010285	-0.24%	0.010615	+2.96%	0.0238	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.010932	0.010891	-0.38%	0.01031	-5.69%	0.0352	✓	0.87
2026-09-08	oos	0.011235	0.011178	-0.50%	0.010932	-2.69%	0.0204	✓	0.87
2026-09-07	oos	0.010951	0.01091	-0.38%	0.011235	+2.59%	0.0366	✗	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.010757	0.010711	-0.42%	0.010951	+1.80%	0.0367	✗	0.93
2026-09-05	oos	0.010377	0.010338	-0.37%	0.010757	+3.66%	0.0339	✗	0.92
2026-09-04	oos	0.009716	0.009711	-0.05%	0.010377	+6.80%	0.0646	✗	0.89
2026-09-03	oos	0.009525	0.00953	+0.05%	0.009716	+2.01%	0.0376	✓	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.008784	0.008779	-0.05%	0.009525	+8.44%	0.0350	✗	0.93
2026-09-01	oos	0.008936	0.008919	-0.18%	0.008784	-1.70%	0.0142	✓	0.95
2026-08-31	oos	0.008794	0.008774	-0.23%	0.008936	+1.61%	0.0315	✗	0.89
2026-08-30	oos	0.008705	0.008677	-0.32%	0.008794	+1.02%	0.0031	✓	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.008386	0.008362	-0.29%	0.008705	+3.80%	0.0470	✗	0.93
2026-08-28	oos	0.008235	0.008197	-0.46%	0.008386	+1.83%	0.0181	✗	0.93
2026-08-27	oos	0.008145	0.008112	-0.41%	0.008235	+1.10%	0.0448	✗	0.96
2026-08-26	oos	0.008134	0.008071	-0.77%	0.008145	+0.14%	0.0060	✓	0.97
2026-08-25	oos	0.007845	0.007799	-0.58%	0.008134	+3.68%	0.0358	✗	0.97
2026-08-24	oos	0.0078	0.007747	-0.68%	0.007845	+0.58%	0.0181	✗	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.007819	0.007767	-0.66%	0.0078	-0.24%	0.0116	✓	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	0.007708	0.00763	-1.01%	0.007819	+1.44%	0.0159	✗	0.98
2026-08-21	oos	0.007736	0.007668	-0.88%	0.007708	-0.36%	0.0213	✗	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.007216	0.007161	-0.77%	0.007736	+7.20%	0.0082	✗	0.98
2026-08-19	oos	0.007008	0.006927	-1.16%	0.007216	+2.98%	0.0127	✓	1.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00654	0.006506	-0.51%	0.007008	+7.16%	0.0038	✓	1.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.006674	0.006637	-0.56%	0.00654	-2.02%	0.0180	✓	1.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.006659	0.006618	-0.62%	0.006674	+0.23%	0.0185	✓	1.05
2026-08-15	oos	0.006515	0.00648	-0.55%	0.006659	+2.21%	0.0304	✗	1.05
2026-08-14	oos	0.006387	0.006352	-0.55%	0.006515	+2.00%	0.0247	✗	1.05
2026-08-13	oos	0.006477	0.006448	-0.46%	0.006387	-1.39%	0.0018	✓	1.07
2026-08-12	oos	0.006531	0.006499	-0.48%	0.006477	-0.82%	0.0036	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006685	0.006647	-0.57%	0.006531	-2.30%	0.0155	✓	1.11
2026-08-10	oos	0.00678	0.006748	-0.48%	0.006685	-1.40%	0.0026	✓	1.12
2026-08-09	oos	0.00686	0.006816	-0.65%	0.00678	-1.17%	0.0110	✗	1.12
2026-08-08	oos	0.00682	0.006781	-0.57%	0.00686	+0.59%	0.0126	✗	1.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006835	0.006801	-0.50%	0.00682	-0.22%	0.0025	✓	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.006515	0.0065	-0.22%	0.006835	+4.91%	0.0396	✗	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.006635	0.006611	-0.37%	0.006515	-1.81%	0.0088	✓	1.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.00663	0.006622	-0.12%	0.006635	+0.08%	0.0075	✓	1.10
2026-08-03	oos	0.00678	0.006771	-0.14%	0.00663	-2.21%	0.0312	✓	1.11
2026-08-02	oos	0.00679	0.006781	-0.13%	0.00678	-0.15%	0.0004	✓	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.00675	0.006742	-0.11%	0.00679	+0.59%	0.0060	✓	1.12
2026-07-31	oos	0.00686	0.00685	-0.15%	0.00675	-1.60%	0.0136	✓	1.12
2026-07-30	oos	0.007055	0.007041	-0.20%	0.00686	-2.76%	0.0076	✗	1.13
2026-07-29	oos	0.00702	0.007004	-0.23%	0.007055	+0.50%	0.0070	✓	1.11
2026-07-28	oos	0.007615	0.007593	-0.29%	0.00702	-7.81%	0.0793	✓	1.11
2026-07-27	oos	0.00772	0.007694	-0.33%	0.007615	-1.36%	0.0130	✓	1.11
2026-07-26	oos	0.00839	0.008359	-0.37%	0.00772	-7.99%	0.0523	✓	1.07
2026-07-25	oos	0.0083	0.00827	-0.36%	0.00839	+1.08%	0.0034	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.00824	0.008211	-0.36%	0.0083	+0.73%	0.0072	✗	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.008445	0.008414	-0.37%	0.00824	-2.43%	0.0045	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.00858	0.008548	-0.37%	0.008445	-1.57%	0.0051	✗	1.09
2026-07-21	oos	0.00864	0.008608	-0.37%	0.00858	-0.69%	0.0038	✗	1.09
2026-07-20	oos	0.008565	0.008532	-0.38%	0.00864	+0.88%	0.0087	✓	1.07
2026-07-19	oos	0.008405	0.008377	-0.34%	0.008565	+1.90%	0.0135	✗	1.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.008395	0.008367	-0.33%	0.008405	+0.12%	0.0064	✗	1.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.00853	0.008498	-0.38%	0.008395	-1.58%	0.0273	✓	1.08
2026-07-16	oos	0.008395	0.008371	-0.29%	0.00853	+1.61%	0.0168	✗	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	0.00866	0.008634	-0.30%	0.008395	-3.06%	0.0123	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.00869	0.008663	-0.31%	0.00866	-0.35%	0.0042	✗	1.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.008555	0.008529	-0.31%	0.00869	+1.58%	0.0290	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.008585	0.008558	-0.32%	0.008555	-0.35%	0.0263	✗	1.14
2026-07-11	oos	0.008775	0.008742	-0.38%	0.008585	-2.17%	0.0175	✓	1.14
2026-07-10	oos	0.00876	0.008729	-0.36%	0.008775	+0.17%	0.0116	✗	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.00867	0.008637	-0.38%	0.00876	+1.04%	0.0030	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008558	-0.43%	0.00867	+0.87%	0.0040	✓	1.14
2026-07-07	oos	0.00869	0.008639	-0.59%	0.008595	-1.09%	0.0148	✗	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.00864	0.008611	-0.33%	0.00869	+0.58%	0.0214	✗	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.00864	0.008613	-0.31%	0.00864	+0.00%	0.0045	✓	1.16
2026-07-04	oos	0.0087	0.00867	-0.34%	0.00864	-0.69%	0.0126	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.00871	0.008675	-0.40%	0.0087	-0.11%	0.0077	✓	1.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.008665	0.008621	-0.50%	0.00871	+0.52%	0.0093	✓	1.17
2026-07-01	oos	0.00844	0.008405	-0.41%	0.008665	+2.67%	0.0012	✓	1.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.00814	0.008116	-0.30%	0.00844	+3.69%	0.0113	✗	1.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.00857	0.008532	-0.44%	0.00814	-5.02%	0.0158	✓	1.13
2026-06-28	oos	0.0083	0.008268	-0.39%	0.00857	+3.25%	0.0230	✗	1.12
2026-06-27	oos	0.008405	0.008379	-0.31%	0.0083	-1.25%	0.0009	✓	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.00864	0.008606	-0.40%	0.008405	-2.72%	0.0223	✓	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.00832	0.008291	-0.34%	0.00864	+3.85%	0.0357	✗	1.10
2026-06-24	oos	0.008405	0.008373	-0.38%	0.00832	-1.01%	0.0175	✗	1.12
2026-06-23	oos	0.008755	0.008713	-0.48%	0.008405	-4.00%	0.0059	✓	1.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.0093	0.009228	-0.77%	0.008755	-5.86%	0.0301	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.009075	0.009029	-0.50%	0.0093	+2.48%	0.0174	✗	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.0095	0.009449	-0.54%	0.009075	-4.47%	0.0239	✓	1.07
2026-06-19	oos	0.00932	0.009276	-0.47%	0.0095	+1.93%	0.0115	✗	1.06
2026-06-18	oos	0.00928	0.009239	-0.44%	0.00932	+0.43%	0.0013	✓	1.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.00949	0.009447	-0.46%	0.00928	-2.21%	0.0085	✗	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.008815	0.008798	-0.20%	0.00949	+7.66%	0.0964	✗	1.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.008885	0.008866	-0.22%	0.008815	-0.79%	0.0058	✗	1.15
2026-06-14	oos	0.009	0.008978	-0.24%	0.008885	-1.28%	0.0204	✓	1.16
2026-06-13	oos	0.008615	0.008601	-0.17%	0.009	+4.47%	0.0234	✗	1.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.00858	0.008573	-0.09%	0.008615	+0.41%	0.0107	✓	1.12
2026-06-11	oos	0.00857	0.008564	-0.07%	0.00858	+0.12%	0.0024	✗	1.12
2026-06-10	oos	0.0083	0.008302	+0.03%	0.00857	+3.25%	0.0059	✗	1.11
2026-06-09	oos	0.008605	0.008604	-0.01%	0.0083	-3.54%	0.0317	✓	1.11
2026-06-08	oos	0.00913	0.00912	-0.11%	0.008605	-5.75%	0.0342	✓	1.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.00876	0.008759	-0.01%	0.00913	+4.22%	0.0456	✗	1.09
2026-06-06	oos	0.00866	0.008669	+0.10%	0.00876	+1.15%	0.0348	✗	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.00885	0.008859	+0.10%	0.00866	-2.15%	0.0193	✗	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.00966	0.009653	-0.08%	0.00885	-8.39%	0.0393	✓	1.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.01054	0.01052	-0.19%	0.00966	-8.35%	0.0813	✓	1.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.01031	0.010288	-0.21%	0.01054	+2.23%	0.0758	✗	1.29
2026-06-01	oos	0.01101	0.010961	-0.45%	0.01031	-6.36%	0.0426	✗	1.54
2026-05-31	oos	0.0119	0.011759	-1.18%	0.01101	-7.48%	0.0205	✓	1.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.011635	0.011593	-0.36%	0.0119	+2.28%	0.0300	✗	1.46
2026-05-29	oos	0.011735	0.01169	-0.38%	0.011635	-0.85%	0.0128	✓	1.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.01153	0.011499	-0.27%	0.011735	+1.78%	0.0232	✗	1.47
2026-05-27	oos	0.01209	0.012044	-0.38%	0.01153	-4.63%	0.0279	✓	1.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.01232	0.012274	-0.38%	0.01209	-1.87%	0.0151	✗	1.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.01291	0.012846	-0.50%	0.01232	-4.57%	0.0143	✓	1.48
2026-05-24	oos	0.01273	0.012683	-0.37%	0.01291	+1.41%	0.0125	✗	1.47
2026-05-23	oos	0.013085	0.013035	-0.38%	0.01273	-2.71%	0.0299	✓	1.48
2026-05-22	oos	0.01276	0.012722	-0.30%	0.013085	+2.55%	0.0052	✗	1.45
2026-05-21	oos	0.01351	0.013438	-0.53%	0.01276	-5.55%	0.0129	✓	1.41
2026-05-20	oos	0.012955	0.012919	-0.28%	0.01351	+4.28%	0.0438	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.01279	0.01277	-0.16%	0.012955	+1.29%	0.0052	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.012985	0.012967	-0.14%	0.01279	-1.50%	0.0115	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.013405	0.013385	-0.15%	0.012985	-3.13%	0.0243	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0138	0.013766	-0.25%	0.013405	-2.86%	0.0176	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01476	0.014718	-0.28%	0.0138	-6.50%	0.0523	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.01595	0.015878	-0.45%	0.01476	-7.46%	0.0478	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01559	0.015532	-0.37%	0.01595	+2.31%	0.0042	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01654	0.016461	-0.48%	0.01559	-5.74%	0.0394	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.016455	0.016386	-0.42%	0.01654	+0.52%	0.0247	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.016415	0.016351	-0.39%	0.016455	+0.24%	0.0121	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01612	0.016059	-0.38%	0.016415	+1.83%	0.0029	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.01606	0.016	-0.37%	0.01612	+0.37%	0.0016	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01576	0.015709	-0.33%	0.01606	+1.90%	0.0198	✗	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01607	0.016013	-0.35%	0.01576	-1.93%	0.0018	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01597	0.015918	-0.33%	0.01607	+0.63%	0.0030	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.01593	0.015874	-0.35%	0.01597	+0.25%	0.0071	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01549	0.015441	-0.32%	0.01593	+2.84%	0.0148	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01572	0.01567	-0.32%	0.01549	-1.46%	0.0100	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01564	0.015593	-0.30%	0.01572	+0.51%	0.0024	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01568	0.015633	-0.30%	0.01564	-0.26%	0.0245	✓	1.00