QUAI

Quai Network · native · gru_s5

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +7d

assessed

180

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

73.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1476

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0184

actual -0.0673

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00768	0.007514	-2.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007865	-1.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.008282	-2.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.0085	-1.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.008768	-1.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.008769	-1.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.008884	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008719	-1.70%	0.00768	-13.42%	0.1364	✓	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.008864	-1.73%	0.008005	-11.25%	0.1007	✓	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.008931	-2.18%	0.00846	-7.34%	0.0549	✓	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.009368	-2.67%	0.008665	-9.97%	0.0582	✓	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.009445	-2.98%	0.008945	-8.12%	0.0333	✓	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.009168	-2.78%	0.008945	-5.14%	0.0095	✓	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.00915	-2.71%	0.00905	-3.77%	0.0162	✓	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.009054	-3.06%	0.00887	-5.03%	0.0001	✓	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009582	-3.50%	0.00902	-9.16%	0.0319	✓	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.009804	-4.02%	0.00913	-10.62%	0.0264	✓	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.010639	-3.81%	0.009625	-12.97%	0.0692	✓	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.011024	-3.67%	0.009735	-14.94%	0.1036	✓	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010528	-3.90%	0.00943	-13.92%	0.0877	✓	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.009821	-4.37%	0.009405	-8.42%	0.0063	✓	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.009992	-4.11%	0.00934	-10.36%	0.0641	✓	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010425	-3.25%	0.00993	-7.84%	0.0672	✓	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.010991	-3.25%	0.010215	-10.08%	0.1008	✓	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010463	-3.30%	0.01106	+2.22%	0.0333	✓	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.01089	-2.98%	0.011445	+1.96%	0.0462	✗	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.00994	-3.12%	0.010955	+6.77%	0.0929	✗	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.009718	-2.92%	0.01027	+2.60%	0.0504	✗	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.009868	-2.59%	0.01042	+2.86%	0.0631	✗	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.009689	-2.53%	0.010775	+8.40%	0.1351	✗	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.009455	-2.57%	0.01136	+17.05%	0.2198	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.008365	-2.22%	0.01082	+26.48%	0.2212	✗	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008522	-2.16%	0.011225	+28.87%	0.2407	✗	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008547	-1.76%	0.01026	+17.93%	0.1485	✗	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008453	-2.16%	0.01001	+15.86%	0.0771	✗	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.008473	-2.27%	0.01013	+16.84%	0.0858	✗	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.008596	-2.70%	0.00994	+12.51%	0.0371	✗	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.008501	-2.40%	0.009705	+11.42%	0.0460	✗	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.008717	-2.33%	0.008555	-4.15%	0.0675	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009617	-2.02%	0.00871	-11.26%	0.1418	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.009923	-1.85%	0.0087	-13.95%	0.1701	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.010455	-1.74%	0.00864	-18.80%	0.1887	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.01126	-0.40%	0.00867	-23.31%	0.2396	✓	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.011155	+0.13%	0.008835	-20.69%	0.2043	✗	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.012813	-0.17%	0.00871	-32.14%	0.3772	✓	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.011033	+2.30%	0.008925	-17.25%	0.1724	✗	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.011115	+2.35%	0.009815	-9.62%	0.0957	✗	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.010025	+2.98%	0.01011	+3.85%	0.0349	✓	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.008701	+4.57%	0.01064	+27.88%	0.2600	✓	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.007424	-0.82%	0.011305	+51.04%	0.4101	✗	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.007932	-0.23%	0.01114	+40.13%	0.3284	✗	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.008587	+0.43%	0.012835	+50.12%	0.3967	✓	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.008801	-0.55%	0.010785	+21.86%	0.1787	✗	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.008918	-0.58%	0.01086	+21.07%	0.1827	✗	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.009318	-1.30%	0.009735	+3.12%	0.0272	✗	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.010547	+0.26%	0.00832	-20.91%	0.2451	✗	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.009935	-0.80%	0.007485	-25.26%	0.2694	✓	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.011017	-1.01%	0.00795	-28.57%	0.3170	✓	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.011471	-1.24%	0.00855	-26.39%	0.2904	✓	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.011493	-1.77%	0.00885	-24.36%	0.2608	✓	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.011542	-2.02%	0.00897	-23.85%	0.2617	✓	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.011805	-1.38%	0.00944	-21.14%	0.2196	✓	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.011706	-2.85%	0.01052	-12.70%	0.1712	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.011608	-3.59%	0.010015	-16.82%	0.2419	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.011475	-4.21%	0.01113	-7.10%	0.1863	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.011181	-4.02%	0.011615	-0.30%	0.1267	✓	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.011148	-3.73%	0.0117	+1.04%	0.1260	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.010926	-3.31%	0.01178	+4.25%	0.0900	✓	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.011133	-3.19%	0.01197	+4.09%	0.1058	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.011177	-3.31%	0.01205	+4.24%	0.0392	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.010697	-2.67%	0.01204	+9.55%	0.0494	✗	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.010848	-2.62%	0.01198	+7.54%	0.0860	✗	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.01137	-2.82%	0.01165	-0.43%	0.0180	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.011609	-2.65%	0.01158	-2.89%	0.0197	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.01155	-2.53%	0.0113	-4.64%	0.0011	✓	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.011579	-2.37%	0.0115	-3.04%	0.0130	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.011457	-2.25%	0.01156	-1.37%	0.0176	✓	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.011246	-2.12%	0.01099	-4.35%	0.0108	✓	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.011372	-2.18%	0.01114	-4.17%	0.0153	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.011156	-1.80%	0.0117	+2.99%	0.0432	✗	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.011996	-2.32%	0.011925	-2.89%	0.0191	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.011975	-2.24%	0.01185	-3.27%	0.0319	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.011492	-1.78%	0.01186	+1.37%	0.0111	✓	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.011994	-2.05%	0.01172	-4.29%	0.0188	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.012949	-2.20%	0.01149	-13.22%	0.1262	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.013655	-2.40%	0.011625	-16.90%	0.1628	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.013697	-2.17%	0.01136	-18.86%	0.1849	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.015315	-2.45%	0.01228	-21.78%	0.2059	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.014878	-2.25%	0.01225	-19.51%	0.1824	✓	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.014436	-2.33%	0.0117	-20.84%	0.2008	✓	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.016396	-2.93%	0.012245	-27.50%	0.2898	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.016472	-2.65%	0.01324	-21.75%	0.2037	✓	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.016683	-2.47%	0.01399	-18.21%	0.1580	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.016981	-2.66%	0.014	-19.75%	0.1817	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.01668	-2.51%	0.0157	-8.24%	0.0654	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.017918	-2.75%	0.01522	-17.39%	0.1598	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.018031	-2.85%	0.01478	-20.37%	0.2000	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.019246	-3.77%	0.01689	-15.55%	0.1390	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.016791	-2.80%	0.01692	-2.05%	0.0034	✓	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.018407	-3.78%	0.017105	-10.59%	0.0862	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.01318	-2.16%	0.017445	+29.51%	0.2785	✗	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.016634	-2.87%	0.01711	-0.09%	0.0301	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.028827	-7.75%	0.018425	-41.04%	0.4461	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.012937	-1.62%	0.01856	+41.14%	0.3610	✗	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.013325	-1.52%	0.02	+47.82%	0.4058	✗	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.012573	-1.08%	0.017275	+35.92%	0.3192	✗	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.011865	-0.92%	0.01913	+59.75%	0.4778	✗	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.012532	-0.93%	0.01347	+6.48%	0.0717	✗	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.012747	-0.99%	0.017125	+33.01%	0.2952	✗	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.012224	-0.82%	0.03125	+153.55%	0.9390	✗	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.011919	-0.76%	0.01315	+9.49%	0.0994	✗	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.011038	-0.46%	0.01353	+22.00%	0.2062	✗	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.014463	-2.21%	0.01271	-14.06%	0.1345	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.010175	-0.05%	0.011975	+17.63%	0.1782	✗	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.009126	+0.17%	0.01265	+38.86%	0.3321	✓	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.010237	+0.07%	0.012875	+25.86%	0.2322	✓	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.009545	+0.36%	0.012325	+29.60%	0.2571	✓	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009724	+0.51%	0.01201	+24.13%	0.2123	✓	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.009585	+0.79%	0.01109	+16.61%	0.1469	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.010477	+0.25%	0.01479	+41.53%	0.3433	✓	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.010999	-0.01%	0.01018	-7.45%	0.0856	✓	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.01205	-0.33%	0.00911	-24.65%	0.2904	✓	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.012119	-0.21%	0.01023	-15.77%	0.1806	✓	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.01169	-0.08%	0.00951	-18.72%	0.2173	✓	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012524	-0.09%	0.009675	-22.82%	0.2655	✓	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.013342	-0.14%	0.00951	-28.82%	0.3444	✓	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.012387	+0.06%	0.01045	-15.59%	0.1721	✗	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.012069	+0.20%	0.011	-8.68%	0.0933	✗	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.012887	+0.05%	0.01209	-6.13%	0.0648	✗	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013417	+0.13%	0.012145	-9.37%	0.1003	✗	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.013786	+0.30%	0.0117	-14.88%	0.1641	✗	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.014854	+0.03%	0.012535	-15.59%	0.1697	✗	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015492	-0.11%	0.01336	-13.86%	0.1477	✓	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015503	+0.51%	0.01238	-19.74%	0.2252	✗	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.017022	-0.13%	0.012045	-29.33%	0.3459	✓	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.017874	-0.54%	0.01288	-28.32%	0.3260	✓	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.017741	-0.39%	0.0134	-24.76%	0.2794	✓	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.017975	+0.25%	0.013745	-23.34%	0.2658	✗	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.019549	-0.31%	0.01485	-24.27%	0.2732	✓	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.0198	-0.85%	0.01551	-22.33%	0.2444	✓	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.020766	-1.16%	0.015425	-26.58%	0.3002	✓	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.021153	-1.75%	0.017045	-20.83%	0.2241	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.021484	-2.57%	0.01797	-18.50%	0.2045	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.021772	-2.95%	0.01781	-20.62%	0.2381	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.020886	-2.72%	0.01793	-16.49%	0.1979	✓	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.021751	-2.72%	0.01961	-12.30%	0.1448	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.020598	-2.38%	0.01997	-5.36%	0.0610	✓	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.021093	-2.62%	0.02101	-3.00%	0.0379	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.02238	-3.14%	0.02153	-6.82%	0.0808	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.021466	-2.96%	0.02205	-0.32%	0.0065	✓	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.022468	-2.84%	0.022435	-2.98%	0.0127	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.021669	-2.35%	0.02147	-3.24%	0.0192	✓	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.02389	-2.59%	0.02236	-8.83%	0.0706	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.02434	-2.83%	0.0211	-15.77%	0.1538	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.02627	-2.99%	0.02166	-20.01%	0.2017	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.025347	-2.76%	0.023105	-11.36%	0.0956	✓	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.027167	-2.80%	0.02212	-20.86%	0.2045	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.027869	-2.72%	0.023125	-19.28%	0.1882	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.027756	-2.39%	0.02219	-21.96%	0.2289	✓	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.027778	-2.17%	0.024525	-13.63%	0.1370	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.027575	-1.97%	0.02505	-10.95%	0.1071	✓	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.028571	-1.92%	0.02708	-7.04%	0.0582	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.027871	-1.48%	0.026065	-7.86%	0.0737	✓	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.027959	-1.24%	0.02795	-1.27%	0.0086	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.027703	-0.74%	0.02865	+2.65%	0.0266	✗	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.028984	-0.98%	0.028435	-2.85%	0.0207	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.029105	-1.07%	0.028395	-3.48%	0.0105	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.029901	-1.32%	0.02813	-7.16%	0.0744	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.029715	-1.02%	0.02913	-2.96%	0.0069	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.029958	-1.19%	0.02829	-6.70%	0.0520	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.030359	-1.69%	0.02831	-8.32%	0.0931	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.029816	-1.86%	0.02791	-8.13%	0.1114	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.031026	-1.91%	0.02927	-7.46%	0.0830	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.031341	-2.00%	0.02942	-8.01%	0.0879	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.03267	-2.18%	0.0303	-9.28%	0.1227	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.033886	-2.74%	0.03002	-13.83%	0.1935	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.033343	-2.73%	0.03032	-11.55%	0.1534	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.034178	-2.93%	0.03088	-12.30%	0.1331	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.033974	-2.71%	0.03038	-13.00%	0.1103	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.035121	-2.59%	0.03163	-12.27%	0.1179	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.034786	-2.50%	0.03198	-10.37%	0.0940	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.03644	-1.96%	0.0334	-10.14%	0.0615	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.035233	-1.80%	0.03484	-2.90%	0.0207	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.034074	-1.93%	0.03428	-1.34%	0.0064	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.033248	-1.87%	0.03521	+3.93%	0.0378	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.034554	-2.22%	0.03492	-1.19%	0.0531	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.034591	-1.95%	0.036055	+2.20%	0.0165	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.