QUAI

Quai Network · native · gru_s5

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +1d

assessed

186

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

62.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0537

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0042

actual -0.0099

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00768	0.007654	-0.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007983	-0.28%	0.00768	-4.06%	0.0367	✓	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.00843	-0.36%	0.008005	-5.38%	0.0610	✓	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.008637	-0.33%	0.00846	-2.37%	0.0193	✓	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.008912	-0.37%	0.008665	-3.13%	0.0333	✓	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.00891	-0.40%	0.008945	+0.00%	0.0050	✗	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.009018	-0.35%	0.008945	-1.16%	0.0029	✓	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008841	-0.33%	0.00905	+2.03%	0.0187	✗	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.008976	-0.49%	0.00887	-1.66%	0.0005	✓	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.009082	-0.52%	0.00902	-1.20%	0.0174	✓	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.009575	-0.52%	0.00913	-5.14%	0.0246	✓	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.009679	-0.57%	0.009625	-1.13%	0.0160	✓	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.009382	-0.51%	0.009735	+3.23%	0.0317	✗	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.009359	-0.49%	0.00943	+0.27%	0.0027	✓	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.009291	-0.53%	0.009405	+0.70%	0.0313	✗	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009866	-0.64%	0.00934	-5.94%	0.0283	✓	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.010141	-0.73%	0.00993	-2.79%	0.0187	✓	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.010974	-0.78%	0.010215	-7.64%	0.0635	✓	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.011349	-0.84%	0.01106	-3.36%	0.0454	✓	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010863	-0.84%	0.011445	+4.47%	0.0495	✗	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.010184	-0.84%	0.010955	+6.67%	0.0769	✗	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.010336	-0.81%	0.01027	-1.44%	0.0219	✓	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010681	-0.87%	0.01042	-3.29%	0.0240	✓	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.011272	-0.77%	0.010775	-5.15%	0.0473	✓	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.01074	-0.74%	0.01136	+4.99%	0.0673	✗	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.011129	-0.85%	0.01082	-3.61%	0.0287	✓	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.010187	-0.71%	0.011225	+9.41%	0.0937	✗	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.009942	-0.68%	0.01026	+2.50%	0.0345	✗	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.010057	-0.72%	0.01001	-1.18%	0.0047	✓	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.009862	-0.79%	0.01013	+1.91%	0.0472	✗	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.00963	-0.77%	0.00994	+2.42%	0.0362	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.008514	-0.48%	0.009705	+13.44%	0.0721	✗	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008674	-0.42%	0.008555	-1.78%	0.0130	✓	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008668	-0.37%	0.00871	+0.11%	0.0010	✓	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008606	-0.40%	0.0087	+0.69%	0.0420	✓	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.008638	-0.37%	0.00864	-0.35%	0.0021	✓	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.008792	-0.48%	0.00867	-1.87%	0.0201	✓	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.008677	-0.38%	0.008835	+1.44%	0.0466	✗	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.008891	-0.38%	0.00871	-2.41%	0.0362	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009783	-0.32%	0.008925	-9.07%	0.0867	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.010079	-0.30%	0.009815	-2.92%	0.0272	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.010606	-0.32%	0.01011	-4.98%	0.0550	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.011288	-0.15%	0.01064	-5.88%	0.0414	✓	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.011131	-0.08%	0.011305	+1.48%	0.0172	✗	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.012757	-0.61%	0.01114	-13.21%	0.1294	✓	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.010818	+0.31%	0.012835	+19.01%	0.1847	✓	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.010879	+0.17%	0.010785	-0.69%	0.0142	✗	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.009764	+0.30%	0.01086	+11.56%	0.1048	✓	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.008388	+0.82%	0.009735	+17.01%	0.1682	✓	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.007478	-0.09%	0.00832	+11.16%	0.0652	✗	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.007949	-0.01%	0.007485	-5.85%	0.0592	✓	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.008557	+0.08%	0.00795	-7.02%	0.0618	✗	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.008843	-0.08%	0.00855	-3.39%	0.0420	✓	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.008961	-0.10%	0.00885	-1.34%	0.0073	✓	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.00942	-0.21%	0.00897	-4.98%	0.0526	✓	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.010513	-0.07%	0.00944	-10.27%	0.0877	✓	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.009994	-0.21%	0.01052	+5.04%	0.0415	✗	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.011094	-0.33%	0.010015	-10.02%	0.1063	✓	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.011575	-0.35%	0.01113	-4.18%	0.0354	✓	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.011649	-0.44%	0.011615	-0.73%	0.0131	✓	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.011726	-0.46%	0.0117	-0.68%	0.0077	✓	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.011917	-0.44%	0.01178	-1.59%	0.0011	✓	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.011973	-0.64%	0.01197	-0.66%	0.0479	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.01194	-0.83%	0.01205	+0.08%	0.0282	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.011848	-1.10%	0.01204	+0.50%	0.0393	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.011555	-0.82%	0.01198	+2.83%	0.0336	✗	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.011488	-0.80%	0.01165	+0.60%	0.0071	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.01123	-0.62%	0.01158	+2.48%	0.0330	✗	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.011425	-0.65%	0.0113	-1.74%	0.0116	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.011458	-0.88%	0.0115	-0.52%	0.0095	✗	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.010937	-0.48%	0.01156	+5.19%	0.0552	✗	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.011096	-0.40%	0.01099	-1.35%	0.0082	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.011644	-0.47%	0.01114	-4.79%	0.0400	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.011867	-0.48%	0.0117	-1.89%	0.0039	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.011795	-0.47%	0.011925	+0.63%	0.0116	✗	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.011806	-0.45%	0.01185	-0.08%	0.0035	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.011672	-0.41%	0.01186	+1.19%	0.0096	✗	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.011442	-0.42%	0.01172	+2.00%	0.0274	✗	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.011573	-0.45%	0.01149	-1.16%	0.0127	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.011329	-0.27%	0.011625	+2.33%	0.0200	✗	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.012226	-0.44%	0.01136	-7.49%	0.0731	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.0122	-0.41%	0.01228	+0.24%	0.0008	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.01167	-0.25%	0.01225	+4.70%	0.0491	✗	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.012205	-0.33%	0.0117	-4.45%	0.0240	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.013184	-0.42%	0.012245	-7.52%	0.0817	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.013931	-0.42%	0.01324	-5.36%	0.0514	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.013949	-0.36%	0.01399	-0.07%	0.0015	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.015621	-0.50%	0.014	-10.83%	0.0962	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.015148	-0.47%	0.0157	+3.15%	0.0278	✗	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.014717	-0.43%	0.01522	+2.98%	0.0321	✗	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.016785	-0.62%	0.01478	-12.49%	0.1209	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.01682	-0.59%	0.01689	-0.18%	0.0111	✗	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.01699	-0.67%	0.01692	-1.08%	0.0013	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.017306	-0.80%	0.017105	-1.95%	0.0212	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.017004	-0.62%	0.017445	+1.96%	0.0217	✗	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.018257	-0.91%	0.01711	-7.14%	0.0641	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.018351	-1.12%	0.018425	-0.73%	0.0019	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.019626	-1.87%	0.01856	-7.20%	0.0567	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.017099	-1.02%	0.02	+15.77%	0.1644	✗	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.018775	-1.86%	0.017275	-9.70%	0.0809	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.013413	-0.42%	0.01913	+42.02%	0.3532	✗	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.016967	-0.92%	0.01347	-21.34%	0.2339	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.029717	-4.91%	0.017125	-45.20%	0.5512	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.013107	-0.33%	0.03125	+137.64%	0.8691	✗	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.013479	-0.38%	0.01315	-2.81%	0.0252	✓	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.012667	-0.34%	0.01353	+6.45%	0.0665	✗	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.011953	-0.18%	0.01271	+6.14%	0.0613	✗	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.012619	-0.25%	0.011975	-5.34%	0.0526	✓	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.012835	-0.31%	0.01265	-1.75%	0.0144	✓	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.012286	-0.31%	0.012875	+4.46%	0.0470	✗	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.011963	-0.39%	0.012325	+2.62%	0.0302	✗	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.011066	-0.21%	0.01201	+8.30%	0.0835	✗	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.014593	-1.33%	0.01109	-25.02%	0.2780	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.010177	-0.03%	0.01479	+45.28%	0.3785	✗	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.009119	+0.09%	0.01018	+11.75%	0.1076	✓	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.01023	-0.00%	0.00911	-10.95%	0.1154	✓	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.009523	+0.14%	0.01023	+7.57%	0.0714	✓	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009691	+0.16%	0.00951	-1.71%	0.0188	✗	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.009531	+0.22%	0.009675	+1.74%	0.0151	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.010462	+0.12%	0.00951	-9.00%	0.0973	✗	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.011007	+0.07%	0.01045	-5.00%	0.0552	✗	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.012088	-0.02%	0.011	-9.02%	0.0979	✓	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.012145	+0.00%	0.01209	-0.45%	0.0025	✗	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.011705	+0.04%	0.012145	+3.80%	0.0345	✓	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012536	+0.01%	0.0117	-6.66%	0.0675	✗	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.013355	-0.03%	0.012535	-6.18%	0.0623	✓	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.012385	+0.04%	0.01336	+7.92%	0.0748	✓	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.012055	+0.08%	0.01238	+2.78%	0.0264	✓	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.01289	+0.08%	0.012045	-6.48%	0.0681	✗	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013414	+0.10%	0.01288	-3.88%	0.0404	✗	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.013764	+0.14%	0.0134	-2.51%	0.0266	✗	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.014862	+0.08%	0.013745	-7.44%	0.0786	✗	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015518	+0.05%	0.01485	-4.26%	0.0440	✗	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015449	+0.16%	0.01551	+0.55%	0.0037	✓	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.017054	+0.05%	0.015425	-9.50%	0.1004	✗	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.017959	-0.06%	0.017045	-5.15%	0.0530	✓	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.017815	+0.03%	0.01797	+0.90%	0.0085	✓	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.017957	+0.15%	0.01781	-0.67%	0.0065	✗	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.019617	+0.04%	0.01793	-8.57%	0.0901	✗	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.019958	-0.06%	0.01961	-1.80%	0.0205	✓	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.020976	-0.16%	0.01997	-4.95%	0.0494	✓	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.021474	-0.26%	0.02101	-2.42%	0.0261	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.021937	-0.51%	0.02153	-2.36%	0.0329	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.022314	-0.54%	0.02205	-1.72%	0.0196	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.021375	-0.44%	0.022435	+4.49%	0.0478	✗	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.02225	-0.49%	0.02147	-3.98%	0.0345	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.02102	-0.38%	0.02236	+5.97%	0.0614	✗	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.021574	-0.40%	0.0211	-2.59%	0.0247	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.022981	-0.54%	0.02166	-6.25%	0.0658	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.022027	-0.42%	0.023105	+4.45%	0.0430	✗	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.023023	-0.44%	0.02212	-4.35%	0.0391	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.022133	-0.26%	0.023125	+4.21%	0.0450	✗	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.024441	-0.34%	0.02219	-9.52%	0.0941	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.02494	-0.44%	0.024525	-2.10%	0.0224	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.026932	-0.55%	0.02505	-7.50%	0.0723	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.0259	-0.63%	0.02708	+3.89%	0.0468	✗	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.02782	-0.47%	0.026065	-6.74%	0.0658	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.028515	-0.47%	0.02795	-2.44%	0.0217	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.02832	-0.40%	0.02865	+0.76%	0.0092	✗	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.02829	-0.37%	0.028435	+0.14%	0.0019	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.028035	-0.34%	0.028395	+0.94%	0.0065	✗	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.029031	-0.34%	0.02813	-3.43%	0.0271	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.02822	-0.25%	0.02913	+2.97%	0.0296	✗	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.02826	-0.18%	0.02829	-0.07%	0.0010	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.027888	-0.08%	0.02831	+1.43%	0.0144	✗	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.029216	-0.18%	0.02791	-4.65%	0.0448	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.029351	-0.23%	0.02927	-0.51%	0.0086	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.030226	-0.24%	0.02942	-2.90%	0.0293	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.029959	-0.20%	0.0303	+0.93%	0.0291	✗	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.030236	-0.28%	0.03002	-0.99%	0.0137	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.030778	-0.33%	0.03032	-1.81%	0.0281	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.030281	-0.33%	0.03088	+1.65%	0.0033	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.031521	-0.35%	0.03038	-3.95%	0.0353	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.031865	-0.36%	0.03163	-1.09%	0.0131	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.033246	-0.46%	0.03198	-4.25%	0.0638	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.034652	-0.54%	0.0334	-4.13%	0.0441	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.034095	-0.54%	0.03484	+1.63%	0.0290	✗	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.035004	-0.59%	0.03428	-2.64%	0.0073	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.034727	-0.55%	0.03521	+0.83%	0.0306	✗	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.035848	-0.57%	0.03492	-3.15%	0.0393	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.035479	-0.56%	0.036055	+1.05%	0.0137	✗	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.036954	-0.58%	0.03568	-4.01%	0.0246	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.035685	-0.54%	0.03717	+3.60%	0.0398	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.034553	-0.55%	0.03588	+3.27%	0.0136	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.03369	-0.56%	0.034745	+2.55%	0.0245	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.035082	-0.73%	0.03388	-4.13%	0.0622	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.034988	-0.83%	0.03534	+0.17%	0.0356	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.