QUAI

Quai Network · native · gru_s5

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +30d

assessed

157

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

91.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3294

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0381

actual -0.2561

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00768	0.007288	-5.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007678	-4.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.008052	-4.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.00829	-4.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.008544	-4.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.008545	-4.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.008667	-4.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008505	-4.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.008692	-3.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.008686	-4.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.009061	-5.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.009099	-6.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.008847	-6.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.008836	-6.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.008714	-6.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009196	-7.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.009348	-8.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.010193	-7.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.01059	-7.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010078	-8.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.009337	-9.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.009533	-8.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010109	-6.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.010634	-6.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010121	-6.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.010625	-5.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.009645	-5.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.009463	-5.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.009684	-4.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.009557	-3.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.009318	-3.99%	0.00768	-20.87%	0.1481	✓	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.008164	-4.57%	0.008005	-6.43%	0.0393	✓	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008311	-4.58%	0.00846	-2.87%	0.0111	✓	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008372	-3.77%	0.008665	-0.40%	0.0223	✓	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008195	-5.15%	0.008945	+3.53%	0.0289	✓	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.008195	-5.48%	0.008945	+3.17%	0.0262	✓	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.008281	-6.27%	0.00905	+2.43%	0.0204	✓	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.008215	-5.68%	0.00887	+1.84%	0.0408	✓	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.00844	-5.44%	0.00902	+1.06%	0.0031	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009335	-4.89%	0.00913	-6.98%	0.0703	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.009649	-4.56%	0.009625	-4.80%	0.0694	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.010183	-4.29%	0.009735	-8.51%	0.1100	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.011101	-1.80%	0.00943	-16.59%	0.2049	✓	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.011044	-0.87%	0.009405	-15.57%	0.1920	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.012856	+0.16%	0.00934	-27.23%	0.3582	✗	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.010966	+1.68%	0.00993	-7.93%	0.1543	✗	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.01108	+2.02%	0.010215	-5.94%	0.1439	✗	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.009946	+2.17%	0.01106	+13.61%	0.0368	✓	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.008516	+2.36%	0.011445	+37.56%	0.2545	✓	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.007301	-2.46%	0.010955	+46.36%	0.3318	✗	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.007852	-1.23%	0.01027	+29.18%	0.1919	✗	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.00856	+0.12%	0.01042	+21.87%	0.1483	✓	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.008738	-1.26%	0.010775	+21.75%	0.1559	✗	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.008895	-0.83%	0.01136	+26.64%	0.1986	✗	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.009233	-2.19%	0.01082	+14.62%	0.1004	✗	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.010793	+2.60%	0.011225	+6.70%	0.0066	✓	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.010046	+0.31%	0.01026	+2.45%	0.0178	✗	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.011144	+0.13%	0.01001	-10.06%	0.1536	✗	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.01157	-0.39%	0.01013	-12.79%	0.1765	✓	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.011478	-1.89%	0.00994	-15.04%	0.2095	✓	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.011468	-2.64%	0.009705	-17.61%	0.2408	✓	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.011957	-0.11%	0.008555	-28.53%	0.3575	✓	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.011412	-5.29%	0.00871	-27.72%	0.3426	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.011158	-7.33%	0.0087	-27.74%	0.3596	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.010906	-8.96%	0.00864	-27.88%	0.3661	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.010596	-9.05%	0.00867	-25.58%	0.3356	✓	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.010571	-8.71%	0.008835	-23.70%	0.3308	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.010372	-8.21%	0.00871	-22.92%	0.3518	✓	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.010573	-8.06%	0.008925	-22.39%	0.3317	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.010627	-8.07%	0.009815	-15.10%	0.2398	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.010144	-7.69%	0.01011	-8.01%	0.1562	✓	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.010292	-7.61%	0.01064	-4.49%	0.1044	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.010817	-7.55%	0.011305	-3.38%	0.1007	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.011092	-6.98%	0.01114	-6.58%	0.1300	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.011034	-6.89%	0.012835	+8.31%	0.0125	✓	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.011074	-6.63%	0.010785	-9.06%	0.1681	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.010932	-6.72%	0.01086	-7.34%	0.1492	✓	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.010741	-6.52%	0.009735	-15.27%	0.2361	✓	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.01086	-6.58%	0.00832	-28.43%	0.4198	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.010645	-6.29%	0.007485	-34.11%	0.4770	✓	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.01149	-6.43%	0.00795	-35.26%	0.4927	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.011465	-6.41%	0.00855	-30.20%	0.4360	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.011024	-5.78%	0.00885	-24.36%	0.3536	✓	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.011577	-5.45%	0.00897	-26.75%	0.3716	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.012527	-5.38%	0.00944	-28.70%	0.4029	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.013193	-5.70%	0.01052	-24.80%	0.3639	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.013277	-5.16%	0.010015	-28.46%	0.4101	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.014869	-5.29%	0.01113	-29.11%	0.3863	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.01448	-4.86%	0.011615	-23.69%	0.3221	✓	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.014028	-5.09%	0.0117	-20.84%	0.2726	✓	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.015852	-6.15%	0.01178	-30.25%	0.3685	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.01601	-5.38%	0.01197	-29.26%	0.3651	✓	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.016307	-4.67%	0.01205	-29.55%	0.3436	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.016571	-5.01%	0.01204	-30.98%	0.3487	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.016262	-4.96%	0.01198	-29.98%	0.3056	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.0175	-5.02%	0.01165	-36.77%	0.4047	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.017656	-4.87%	0.01158	-37.61%	0.4147	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.018808	-5.96%	0.0113	-43.50%	0.5045	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.016443	-4.82%	0.0115	-33.43%	0.3432	✓	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.018003	-5.89%	0.01156	-39.57%	0.4296	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.012917	-4.10%	0.01099	-18.41%	0.1623	✓	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.016252	-5.10%	0.01114	-34.95%	0.3781	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.027524	-11.92%	0.0117	-62.56%	0.8553	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.012818	-2.53%	0.011925	-9.32%	0.0725	✓	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.013234	-2.18%	0.01185	-12.42%	0.1115	✓	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.012602	-0.85%	0.01186	-6.69%	0.0591	✓	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.011892	-0.69%	0.01172	-2.13%	0.0145	✓	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.012594	-0.44%	0.01149	-9.17%	0.0916	✓	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.012819	-0.43%	0.011625	-9.71%	0.0977	✓	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.012356	+0.25%	0.01136	-7.83%	0.0838	✗	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.012107	+0.81%	0.01228	+2.25%	0.0149	✓	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.011197	+0.97%	0.01225	+10.46%	0.0919	✓	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.014534	-1.73%	0.0117	-20.89%	0.2235	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.010231	+0.50%	0.012245	+20.28%	0.1992	✓	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.009145	+0.39%	0.01324	+45.33%	0.3754	✓	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.010294	+0.63%	0.01399	+36.75%	0.3098	✓	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.009554	+0.46%	0.014	+47.21%	0.3838	✓	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009756	+0.83%	0.0157	+62.27%	0.4782	✓	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.009613	+1.08%	0.01522	+60.04%	0.4622	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.010536	+0.82%	0.01478	+41.44%	0.3428	✓	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.011075	+0.68%	0.01689	+53.55%	0.4266	✓	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.012121	+0.26%	0.01692	+39.95%	0.3394	✓	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.012195	+0.41%	0.017105	+40.84%	0.3475	✓	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.011793	+0.80%	0.017445	+49.10%	0.3939	✓	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012651	+0.92%	0.01711	+36.50%	0.3044	✓	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.013469	+0.81%	0.018425	+37.91%	0.3167	✓	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.012503	+1.00%	0.01856	+49.92%	0.3947	✓	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.012191	+1.21%	0.02	+66.04%	0.4947	✓	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.012974	+0.73%	0.017275	+34.12%	0.2856	✓	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013484	+0.63%	0.01913	+42.76%	0.3495	✓	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.013829	+0.61%	0.01347	-2.00%	0.0267	✗	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.014851	+0.01%	0.017125	+15.32%	0.1424	✓	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015456	-0.35%	0.03125	+101.48%	0.7039	✗	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015477	+0.34%	0.01315	-14.75%	0.1632	✗	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.016904	-0.83%	0.01353	-20.62%	0.2227	✓	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.017699	-1.51%	0.01271	-29.27%	0.3315	✓	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.017516	-1.65%	0.011975	-32.76%	0.3803	✓	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.01777	-0.89%	0.01265	-29.45%	0.3377	✓	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.019257	-1.80%	0.012875	-34.34%	0.4008	✓	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.01942	-2.75%	0.012325	-38.28%	0.4554	✓	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.020318	-3.29%	0.01201	-42.84%	0.5274	✓	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.020578	-4.42%	0.01109	-48.49%	0.6267	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.020772	-5.80%	0.01479	-32.93%	0.3761	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.02094	-6.67%	0.01018	-54.62%	0.7778	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.020087	-6.44%	0.00911	-57.57%	0.8387	✓	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.020916	-6.46%	0.01023	-54.25%	0.7622	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.019796	-6.18%	0.00951	-54.93%	0.7764	✓	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.020204	-6.72%	0.009675	-55.33%	0.7852	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.02135	-7.59%	0.00951	-58.84%	0.8869	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.020414	-7.71%	0.01045	-52.76%	0.7299	✓	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.021384	-7.53%	0.011	-52.43%	0.7161	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.020571	-7.30%	0.01209	-45.52%	0.5787	✓	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.022715	-7.38%	0.012145	-50.48%	0.6539	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.023097	-7.80%	0.0117	-53.29%	0.7186	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.025003	-7.67%	0.012535	-53.71%	0.7323	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.02411	-7.50%	0.01336	-48.74%	0.6381	✓	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.025876	-7.42%	0.01238	-55.71%	0.7837	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.026614	-7.11%	0.012045	-57.96%	0.8387	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.026576	-6.54%	0.01288	-54.70%	0.7685	✓	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.026671	-6.07%	0.0134	-52.81%	0.7376	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.026585	-5.49%	0.013745	-51.14%	0.7167	✓	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.02754	-5.46%	0.01485	-49.02%	0.6616	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.026919	-4.85%	0.01551	-45.17%	0.5847	✓	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.027076	-4.36%	0.015425	-45.51%	0.6019	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.026895	-3.64%	0.017045	-38.93%	0.4898	✓	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.028187	-3.70%	0.01797	-38.61%	0.4624	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.028304	-3.79%	0.01781	-39.46%	0.2268	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.029058	-4.10%	0.01793	-40.83%	0.2092	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.029006	-3.38%	0.01961	-34.68%	0.1030	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.029258	-3.50%	0.01997	-34.14%	0.1445	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.0295	-4.47%	0.02101	-31.96%	0.1187	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.028892	-4.90%	0.02153	-29.13%	0.1299	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.030158	-4.65%	0.02205	-30.29%	0.2148	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.03048	-4.69%	0.022435	-29.85%	0.2451	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.031801	-4.79%	0.02147	-35.72%	0.3590	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.032767	-5.95%	0.02236	-35.82%	0.3501	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.03227	-5.86%	0.0211	-38.45%	0.3874	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.03305	-6.13%	0.02166	-38.48%	0.3824	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.033013	-5.46%	0.023105	-33.83%	0.3200	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.034232	-5.06%	0.02212	-38.65%	0.4315	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.033969	-4.80%	0.023125	-35.19%	0.3782	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.03604	-3.04%	0.02219	-40.30%	0.4639	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.034942	-2.62%	0.024525	-31.65%	0.3180	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.033663	-3.11%	0.02505	-27.90%	0.3111	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.032901	-2.89%	0.02708	-20.07%	0.2157	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.034033	-3.70%	0.026065	-26.25%	0.3058	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.034478	-2.27%	0.02795	-20.78%	0.2257	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.