PROS

Pharos · native · gru_s5

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 507

Track record at +7d

assessed

162

of 169 predictions shown

direction hit

58.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0922

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0234

actual -0.0045

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.59875	0.579734	-3.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-21	oos	0.59595	0.581684	-2.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.603369	-2.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.617263	-2.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.615367	-2.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.599893	-2.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.632424	-3.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.578539	-2.28%	0.59875	+1.13%	0.0176	✓	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.571028	-2.31%	0.59595	+1.95%	0.0230	✓	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.604215	-3.07%	0.6195	-0.62%	0.0262	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.596993	-3.20%	0.63415	+2.83%	0.0597	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.650039	-4.08%	0.6322	-6.71%	0.0176	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.651859	-4.06%	0.6148	-9.52%	0.0484	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.634762	-3.98%	0.6534	-1.16%	0.0359	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.616409	-3.85%	0.59205	-7.65%	0.0432	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.631701	-4.06%	0.58455	-11.22%	0.0664	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.627102	-4.66%	0.62335	-5.23%	0.0097	✓	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.70925	-4.29%	0.6167	-16.78%	0.1140	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.779302	-4.24%	0.6777	-16.73%	0.1231	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.688957	-4.08%	0.67945	-5.40%	0.0041	✓	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.718894	-3.76%	0.6611	-11.50%	0.0735	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.676933	-3.57%	0.6411	-8.68%	0.0374	✓	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.690428	-3.70%	0.6584	-8.17%	0.0459	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.656337	-3.49%	0.65775	-3.29%	0.0081	✓	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.646714	-3.57%	0.74105	+10.50%	0.1240	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.631668	-3.72%	0.81385	+24.04%	0.2409	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.59607	-3.49%	0.71825	+16.29%	0.1844	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.638297	-3.51%	0.747	+12.92%	0.1547	✗	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.598684	-3.25%	0.702	+13.45%	0.1563	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.561656	-3.15%	0.71695	+23.63%	0.2493	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.560001	-3.18%	0.6801	+17.58%	0.2115	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.557063	-2.93%	0.67065	+16.87%	0.2089	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.498761	-2.69%	0.6561	+28.01%	0.2525	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.522393	-2.98%	0.61765	+14.71%	0.1470	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.522116	-3.04%	0.66155	+22.85%	0.2158	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.498926	-3.18%	0.6188	+20.09%	0.1646	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.499604	-3.06%	0.5799	+12.51%	0.0986	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.474098	-2.68%	0.5784	+18.73%	0.1464	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.484446	-2.48%	0.57385	+15.52%	0.1289	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.463941	-2.25%	0.51255	+8.00%	0.0781	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.470314	-2.16%	0.53845	+12.01%	0.1158	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.478754	-2.31%	0.5385	+9.89%	0.1001	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.478227	-2.86%	0.5153	+4.67%	0.0756	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.46651	-2.45%	0.5154	+7.77%	0.1103	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.432086	-1.37%	0.48715	+11.20%	0.1323	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.440701	-1.74%	0.49675	+10.76%	0.1235	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.419164	-0.91%	0.4746	+12.20%	0.1413	✗	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.411796	-0.87%	0.4807	+15.72%	0.1674	✗	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.407849	-0.94%	0.49005	+19.03%	0.1951	✗	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.406427	-0.56%	0.4923	+20.46%	0.2143	✗	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.4008	-1.30%	0.47825	+17.77%	0.1731	✗	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.407463	-1.56%	0.4381	+5.85%	0.0687	✗	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.406849	-1.38%	0.4485	+8.71%	0.0957	✗	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.410769	-1.51%	0.423	+1.43%	0.0194	✗	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.418337	-1.58%	0.4154	-2.27%	0.0126	✓	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.414596	-1.31%	0.4117	-2.00%	0.0133	✓	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.413819	-0.52%	0.4087	-1.75%	0.0160	✓	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.406424	-0.48%	0.4061	-0.56%	0.0055	✗	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.416833	-0.77%	0.4139	-1.46%	0.0028	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.441545	-1.33%	0.41255	-7.81%	0.0666	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.403193	-0.86%	0.41705	+2.54%	0.0340	✗	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.389434	-0.81%	0.42505	+8.27%	0.0843	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.416037	-1.08%	0.4201	-0.12%	0.0108	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.39103	-1.60%	0.416	+4.68%	0.0529	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.390228	-1.88%	0.4084	+2.69%	0.0304	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.379368	-2.20%	0.42005	+8.29%	0.0893	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.361437	-1.92%	0.4475	+21.44%	0.1947	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.359853	-2.09%	0.4067	+10.65%	0.1037	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.369153	-1.90%	0.3926	+4.33%	0.0407	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.363105	-1.65%	0.4206	+13.92%	0.1225	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.371564	-1.72%	0.3974	+5.12%	0.0556	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.371922	-1.84%	0.3977	+4.96%	0.0576	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.383387	-2.11%	0.3879	-0.96%	0.0089	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.392224	-2.13%	0.3685	-8.05%	0.0640	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.399525	-2.29%	0.36755	-10.11%	0.0772	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.383532	-2.37%	0.3763	-4.21%	0.0129	✓	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.38372	-2.41%	0.3692	-6.10%	0.0344	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.38457	-2.63%	0.37805	-4.28%	0.0147	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.383918	-2.66%	0.3789	-3.93%	0.0088	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.390875	-2.62%	0.39165	-2.43%	0.0039	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.402751	-2.90%	0.40075	-3.39%	0.0068	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.427853	-2.80%	0.4089	-7.11%	0.0506	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.432287	-2.86%	0.39285	-11.72%	0.1032	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.424645	-2.51%	0.3932	-9.73%	0.0842	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.44033	-2.42%	0.39495	-12.48%	0.1073	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.424929	-2.15%	0.3944	-9.18%	0.0758	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.417716	-2.11%	0.4014	-5.93%	0.0401	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.391878	-1.65%	0.4148	+4.10%	0.0572	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.372973	-1.36%	0.4402	+16.42%	0.1700	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.38072	-1.34%	0.445	+15.31%	0.1598	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.380604	-1.26%	0.4356	+13.01%	0.1381	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.375429	-1.22%	0.45125	+18.73%	0.1848	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.361037	-0.85%	0.43425	+19.25%	0.1912	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.339135	-0.63%	0.4267	+25.02%	0.2382	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.322556	-0.55%	0.39845	+22.85%	0.2152	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.3473	-0.74%	0.3781	+8.06%	0.0831	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.363368	-0.87%	0.3859	+5.28%	0.0616	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.390156	-1.18%	0.38545	-2.37%	0.0128	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.389322	-1.09%	0.38005	-3.44%	0.0286	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.383238	-1.04%	0.36415	-5.97%	0.0561	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.38011	-1.04%	0.3413	-11.14%	0.1132	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.387008	-0.96%	0.32435	-16.99%	0.1890	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.410906	-1.15%	0.3499	-15.83%	0.1641	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.412306	-1.15%	0.36655	-12.12%	0.1213	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.409182	-1.21%	0.3948	-4.68%	0.0349	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.388696	-1.10%	0.3936	+0.15%	0.0108	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.395251	-1.06%	0.38725	-3.07%	0.0281	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.409496	-1.21%	0.3841	-7.33%	0.0688	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.401036	-1.13%	0.39075	-3.66%	0.0206	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.38686	-1.06%	0.4157	+6.32%	0.0715	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.414696	-1.29%	0.4171	-0.71%	0.0036	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.41916	-1.23%	0.4142	-2.40%	0.0171	✓	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.411708	-1.11%	0.393	-5.61%	0.0514	✓	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.412005	-0.96%	0.3995	-3.97%	0.0372	✓	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.414243	-0.78%	0.4145	-0.72%	0.0124	✓	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.449005	-1.27%	0.4056	-10.82%	0.1072	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.453682	-1.35%	0.391	-14.98%	0.1547	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.454332	-1.20%	0.4201	-8.64%	0.0830	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.424769	-0.71%	0.4244	-0.79%	0.0042	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.431894	-0.62%	0.41635	-4.20%	0.0391	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.454257	-1.01%	0.416	-9.35%	0.0872	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.493651	-1.67%	0.4175	-16.84%	0.1703	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.529057	-2.31%	0.4548	-16.02%	0.1572	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.538155	-2.33%	0.4599	-16.53%	0.1628	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.54455	-2.50%	0.45985	-17.66%	0.1757	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.551766	-2.20%	0.4278	-24.17%	0.2599	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.587833	-2.52%	0.4346	-27.93%	0.3050	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.539699	-2.21%	0.4589	-16.85%	0.1594	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.543931	-2.48%	0.50205	-9.99%	0.0778	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.568711	-2.74%	0.54155	-7.39%	0.0476	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.566521	-2.74%	0.551	-5.41%	0.0267	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.577478	-2.60%	0.5585	-5.80%	0.0333	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.599917	-2.74%	0.56415	-8.54%	0.0614	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.542302	-2.04%	0.603	+8.92%	0.1066	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.574091	-2.10%	0.5519	-5.88%	0.0471	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.569861	-2.10%	0.55775	-4.18%	0.0314	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.587043	-2.60%	0.58475	-2.98%	0.0107	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.617332	-2.95%	0.5825	-8.43%	0.0633	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.627754	-2.54%	0.5929	-7.95%	0.0669	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.629748	-2.64%	0.6168	-4.64%	0.0276	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.598097	-2.49%	0.5536	-9.75%	0.0758	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.594683	-2.45%	0.5864	-3.81%	0.0022	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.588098	-2.87%	0.5821	-3.86%	0.0284	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.606874	-3.93%	0.6027	-4.59%	0.0563	✗	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.600301	-4.04%	0.6361	+1.69%	0.1630	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.595223	-3.70%	0.6441	+4.21%	0.2148	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.588583	-3.36%	0.6468	+6.20%	0.2193	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.604001	-3.58%	0.6134	-2.08%	0.1114	✗	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.614769	-3.79%	0.6096	-4.60%	0.1404	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.587878	-3.42%	0.6055	-0.53%	0.1584	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.595688	-3.52%	0.6317	+2.32%	0.1386	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.596508	-3.37%	0.62555	+1.34%	0.0927	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.62903	-3.58%	0.6181	-5.26%	0.0208	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.617182	-3.37%	0.60905	-4.64%	0.0147	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.63674	-3.55%	0.6264	-5.12%	0.0371	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.611435	-3.19%	0.639	+1.17%	0.0857	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.561163	-2.39%	0.6087	+5.88%	0.0937	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.614764	-3.14%	0.6174	-2.73%	0.0003	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.696626	-3.54%	0.6173	-14.53%	0.1153	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.736684	-3.45%	0.6524	-14.50%	0.1027	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.690494	-2.99%	0.6387	-10.27%	0.0312	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.71909	-2.87%	0.6602	-10.82%	0.0409	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.680682	-3.09%	0.6316	-10.08%	0.0517	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.742116	-3.23%	0.5749	-25.04%	0.2080	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.776572	-2.98%	0.6347	-20.70%	0.1414	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.882619	-3.09%	0.7222	-20.71%	0.1405	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.958964	-4.41%	0.763	-23.94%	0.1965	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.830717	-4.11%	0.7118	-17.83%	0.1403	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.6183	-2.20%	0.7403	+17.10%	0.1667	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.