PROS

Pharos · native · gru_s5

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 507

Track record at +30d

assessed

139

of 169 predictions shown

direction hit

55.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1979

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0407

actual +0.0187

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.59875	0.542113	-9.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-21	oos	0.59595	0.545489	-8.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.56557	-8.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.57792	-8.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.578686	-8.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.564648	-8.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.597453	-8.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.549574	-7.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.545442	-6.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.582801	-6.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.575955	-6.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.629238	-7.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.630732	-7.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.615577	-6.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.59834	-6.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.613753	-6.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.616695	-6.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.691668	-6.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.750852	-7.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.670503	-6.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.695139	-6.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.656533	-6.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.664085	-7.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.633391	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.621008	-7.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.606376	-7.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.578654	-6.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.610998	-7.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.578593	-6.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.545289	-5.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.548591	-5.15%	0.59875	+3.52%	0.1007	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.545116	-5.01%	0.59595	+3.85%	0.1082	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.48797	-4.80%	0.6195	+20.87%	0.2269	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.50917	-5.44%	0.63415	+17.77%	0.2155	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.508517	-5.57%	0.6322	+17.40%	0.2103	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.482674	-6.33%	0.6148	+19.31%	0.2096	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.483426	-6.20%	0.6534	+26.78%	0.2679	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.461065	-5.35%	0.59205	+21.53%	0.2169	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.473985	-4.58%	0.58455	+17.67%	0.1929	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.455323	-4.06%	0.62335	+31.34%	0.2833	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.462107	-3.87%	0.6167	+28.29%	0.2666	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.469759	-4.14%	0.6777	+38.29%	0.3362	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.466947	-5.15%	0.67945	+38.02%	0.3461	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.457791	-4.28%	0.6611	+38.23%	0.3471	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.426533	-2.64%	0.6411	+46.34%	0.3940	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.434313	-3.16%	0.6584	+46.80%	0.3993	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.416321	-1.58%	0.65775	+55.50%	0.4335	✗	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.410578	-1.16%	0.74105	+78.39%	0.5628	✗	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.40774	-0.96%	0.81385	+97.68%	0.6612	✗	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.410084	+0.34%	0.71825	+75.74%	0.5446	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.39979	-1.55%	0.747	+83.94%	0.6000	✗	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.407767	-1.48%	0.702	+69.61%	0.5176	✗	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.410416	-0.52%	0.71695	+73.78%	0.5420	✗	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.413197	-0.92%	0.6801	+63.07%	0.4765	✗	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.421784	-0.77%	0.67065	+57.78%	0.4461	✗	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.419106	-0.24%	0.6561	+56.18%	0.4261	✗	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.425589	+2.31%	0.61765	+48.47%	0.3578	✓	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.416641	+2.02%	0.66155	+61.99%	0.4446	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.427159	+1.69%	0.6188	+47.32%	0.3496	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.453666	+1.38%	0.5799	+29.59%	0.2287	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.414212	+1.85%	0.5784	+42.22%	0.3112	✓	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.399581	+1.78%	0.57385	+46.17%	0.3373	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.428096	+1.78%	0.51255	+21.86%	0.1736	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.393875	-0.89%	0.53845	+35.49%	0.3025	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.386218	-2.89%	0.5385	+35.40%	0.3146	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.368582	-4.98%	0.5153	+32.84%	0.3244	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.352853	-4.25%	0.5154	+39.86%	0.3634	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.3488	-5.10%	0.48715	+32.54%	0.3178	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.359071	-4.58%	0.49675	+32.01%	0.3021	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.355024	-3.84%	0.4746	+28.55%	0.2680	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.364219	-3.66%	0.4807	+27.15%	0.2612	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.365326	-3.58%	0.49005	+29.33%	0.2728	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.376281	-3.92%	0.4923	+25.70%	0.2398	✗	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.384838	-3.97%	0.47825	+19.34%	0.1793	✗	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.39169	-4.21%	0.4381	+7.14%	0.0744	✗	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.378055	-3.77%	0.4485	+14.17%	0.1298	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.378268	-3.80%	0.423	+7.58%	0.0817	✗	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.378714	-4.11%	0.4154	+5.18%	0.0529	✗	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.379006	-3.90%	0.4117	+4.39%	0.0336	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.384866	-4.12%	0.4087	+1.82%	0.0028	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.395215	-4.72%	0.4061	-2.10%	0.0234	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.415724	-5.56%	0.4139	-5.97%	0.0546	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.418912	-5.86%	0.41255	-7.29%	0.0655	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.412711	-5.25%	0.41705	-4.26%	0.0370	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.428508	-5.04%	0.42505	-5.81%	0.0462	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.415197	-4.39%	0.4201	-3.26%	0.0110	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.409222	-4.10%	0.416	-2.51%	0.0018	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.38812	-2.59%	0.4084	+2.50%	0.0297	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.374359	-0.99%	0.42005	+11.09%	0.0876	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.381112	-1.24%	0.4475	+15.96%	0.1280	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.382624	-0.73%	0.4067	+5.51%	0.0308	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.379624	-0.11%	0.3926	+3.30%	0.0051	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.366478	+0.64%	0.4206	+15.50%	0.1046	✓	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.345371	+1.19%	0.3974	+16.44%	0.1209	✓	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.328811	+1.38%	0.3977	+22.61%	0.1803	✓	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.352308	+0.69%	0.3879	+10.86%	0.0962	✓	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.3679	+0.37%	0.3685	+0.53%	0.0026	✓	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.392311	-0.63%	0.36755	-6.90%	0.0614	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.392231	-0.35%	0.3763	-4.40%	0.0388	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.387728	+0.12%	0.3692	-4.66%	0.0425	✗	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.385398	+0.34%	0.37805	-1.58%	0.0134	✗	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.390623	-0.03%	0.3789	-3.03%	0.0354	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.414079	-0.39%	0.39165	-5.79%	0.0549	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.415514	-0.38%	0.40075	-3.92%	0.0367	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.412728	-0.36%	0.4089	-1.28%	0.0119	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.393684	+0.17%	0.39285	-0.04%	0.0073	✗	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.400739	+0.31%	0.3932	-1.58%	0.0272	✗	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.414043	-0.11%	0.39495	-4.72%	0.0499	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.40531	-0.07%	0.3944	-2.76%	0.0291	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.390146	-0.22%	0.4014	+2.66%	0.0271	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.414779	-1.27%	0.4148	-1.26%	0.0012	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.418806	-1.32%	0.4402	+3.72%	0.0467	✗	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.411963	-1.05%	0.445	+6.88%	0.0734	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.412788	-0.77%	0.4356	+4.71%	0.0458	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.414704	-0.67%	0.45125	+8.08%	0.0678	✗	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.447815	-1.54%	0.43425	-4.52%	0.0361	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.450676	-2.01%	0.4267	-7.22%	0.0610	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.449769	-2.19%	0.39845	-13.35%	0.1267	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.421203	-1.54%	0.3781	-11.62%	0.1148	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.426432	-1.88%	0.3859	-11.21%	0.1059	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.446596	-2.68%	0.38545	-16.01%	0.1496	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.482786	-3.84%	0.38005	-24.30%	0.2378	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.515499	-4.81%	0.36415	-32.76%	0.3444	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.523595	-4.97%	0.3413	-38.06%	0.4233	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.529725	-5.15%	0.32435	-41.92%	0.4891	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.536304	-4.94%	0.3499	-37.98%	0.4252	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.56678	-6.01%	0.36655	-39.21%	0.4341	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.52436	-4.99%	0.3948	-28.47%	0.2834	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.527796	-5.37%	0.3936	-29.43%	0.2919	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.549469	-6.03%	0.38725	-33.78%	0.3490	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.547989	-5.92%	0.3841	-34.06%	0.3550	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.557595	-5.95%	0.39075	-34.10%	0.3542	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.57594	-6.62%	0.4157	-32.60%	0.3263	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.524153	-5.32%	0.4171	-24.66%	0.2286	✓	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.552062	-5.86%	0.4142	-29.37%	0.2942	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.547562	-5.93%	0.393	-32.49%	0.3355	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.56278	-6.62%	0.3995	-33.71%	0.3409	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.588515	-7.48%	0.4145	-34.84%	0.3506	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.59442	-7.71%	0.4056	-37.03%	0.3908	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.59318	-8.29%	0.391	-39.55%	0.4237	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.566522	-7.64%	0.4201	-31.51%	0.2946	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.562489	-7.73%	0.4244	-30.38%	0.2723	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.555414	-8.27%	0.41635	-31.24%	0.2479	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.56988	-9.79%	0.416	-34.15%	0.2257	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.563575	-9.91%	0.4175	-33.26%	0.1401	✓	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.558246	-9.68%	0.4548	-26.42%	0.0610	✓	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.551247	-9.49%	0.4599	-24.49%	0.0386	✓	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.564841	-9.83%	0.45985	-26.59%	0.0673	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.574489	-10.10%	0.4278	-33.05%	0.0809	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.550477	-9.57%	0.4346	-28.60%	0.0027	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.560132	-9.28%	0.4589	-25.67%	0.0371	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.561817	-8.99%	0.50205	-18.67%	0.0935	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.592446	-9.19%	0.54155	-16.99%	0.0913	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.580483	-9.11%	0.551	-13.73%	0.1244	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.600235	-9.08%	0.5585	-15.40%	0.1165	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.577446	-8.57%	0.56415	-10.68%	0.1760	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.530377	-7.74%	0.603	+4.89%	0.3279	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.584937	-7.84%	0.5519	-13.05%	0.1191	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.662963	-8.20%	0.55775	-22.77%	0.0076	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.698724	-8.42%	0.58475	-23.36%	0.0139	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.662189	-6.97%	0.5825	-18.17%	0.0568	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.695586	-6.04%	0.5929	-19.91%	0.0701	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.6561	-6.59%	0.6168	-12.19%	0.1597	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.718922	-6.26%	0.5536	-27.81%	0.0253	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.756197	-5.52%	0.5864	-26.74%	0.0309	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.847094	-6.99%	0.5821	-36.09%	0.0881	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.890065	-11.28%	0.6027	-39.92%	0.1438	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.784927	-9.39%	0.6361	-26.57%	0.0262	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.602479	-4.70%	0.6441	+1.88%	0.3405	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.