NIULAI
? · · gru_s5
- token id
- #227
- symbol
- NIULAI
- variant
- –
- chain
- address
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-19
- predictions
- 168
Track record at +30d
assessed
26
of 56 predictions shown
direction hit
84.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3090
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1415
actual -0.3105
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.06274 | 0.055705 | -11.21% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.062305 | 0.055843 | -10.37% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0625 | 0.056141 | -10.17% | – | pending | – | – | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.05795 | 0.053019 | -8.51% | – | pending | – | – | 1.53 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.058765 | 0.053663 | -8.68% | – | pending | – | – | 1.53 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.059455 | 0.054454 | -8.41% | – | pending | – | – | 1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.065015 | 0.058633 | -9.82% | – | pending | – | – | 1.52 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.06738 | 0.060306 | -10.50% | – | pending | – | – | 1.51 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.06963 | 0.062072 | -10.85% | – | pending | – | – | 1.51 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.07463 | 0.065276 | -12.53% | – | pending | – | – | 1.48 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.07206 | 0.063867 | -11.37% | – | pending | – | – | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.07927 | 0.068636 | -13.41% | – | pending | – | – | 1.40 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.080075 | 0.069467 | -13.25% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.07419 | 0.065724 | -11.41% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0731 | 0.065398 | -10.54% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.071685 | 0.064308 | -10.29% | – | pending | – | – | 1.44 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.079075 | 0.06958 | -12.01% | – | pending | – | – | 1.36 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.0768 | 0.068109 | -11.32% | – | pending | – | – | 1.36 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.08235 | 0.072425 | -12.05% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.08011 | 0.071076 | -11.28% | – | pending | – | – | 1.33 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.08755 | 0.077001 | -12.05% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.09927 | 0.086821 | -12.54% | – | pending | – | – | 1.27 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.104825 | 0.091375 | -12.83% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.10513 | 0.091602 | -12.87% | – | pending | – | – | 1.31 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.115845 | 0.100107 | -13.59% | – | pending | – | – | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.10403 | 0.090548 | -12.96% | – | pending | – | – | 1.38 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.10584 | 0.09193 | -13.14% | – | pending | – | – | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.104305 | 0.090504 | -13.23% | – | pending | – | – | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.10064 | 0.087434 | -13.12% | – | pending | – | – | 1.38 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.10741 | 0.093111 | -13.31% | – | pending | – | – | 1.36 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.112325 | 0.097315 | -13.36% | 0.06274 | -44.14% | 0.4085 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10777 | 0.09338 | -13.35% | 0.062305 | -42.19% | 0.3648 | ✓ | 1.32 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.10109 | 0.08728 | -13.66% | 0.0625 | -38.17% | 0.3657 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.107915 | 0.092901 | -13.91% | 0.05795 | -46.30% | 0.4826 | ✓ | 1.44 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.11962 | 0.101876 | -14.83% | 0.058765 | -50.87% | 0.5701 | ✓ | 1.43 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.10627 | 0.090256 | -15.07% | 0.059455 | -44.05% | 0.4813 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.10055 | 0.085825 | -14.64% | 0.065015 | -35.34% | 0.3457 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.11971 | 0.100079 | -16.40% | 0.06738 | -43.71% | 0.4786 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.12225 | 0.102731 | -15.97% | 0.06963 | -43.04% | 0.4314 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.11709 | 0.098233 | -16.10% | 0.07463 | -36.26% | 0.3537 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.134925 | 0.110707 | -17.95% | 0.07206 | -46.59% | 0.4857 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.125765 | 0.103216 | -17.93% | 0.07927 | -36.97% | 0.3444 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.12138 | 0.098031 | -19.24% | 0.080075 | -34.03% | 0.2823 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.078585 | 0.06998 | -10.95% | 0.07419 | -5.59% | 0.0054 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.102125 | 0.08698 | -14.83% | 0.0731 | -28.42% | 0.2144 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.08165 | 0.07268 | -10.99% | 0.071685 | -12.20% | 0.0653 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.09102 | 0.080707 | -11.33% | 0.079075 | -13.12% | 0.0832 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.12056 | 0.100404 | -16.72% | 0.0768 | -36.30% | 0.3395 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.08412 | 0.076283 | -9.32% | 0.08235 | -2.10% | 0.0057 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.09631 | 0.085922 | -10.79% | 0.08011 | -16.82% | 0.1120 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.07782 | 0.070647 | -9.22% | 0.08755 | +12.50% | 0.1255 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.08336 | 0.074929 | -10.11% | 0.09927 | +19.09% | 0.1894 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.10287 | 0.088205 | -14.26% | 0.104825 | +1.90% | 0.1110 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.10148 | 0.084875 | -16.36% | 0.10513 | +3.60% | 0.1399 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.05494 | 0.054168 | -1.40% | 0.115845 | +110.86% | 0.6955 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.05606 | 0.055117 | -1.68% | 0.10403 | +85.57% | 0.5536 | ✗ | 1.00 |