MOE

MOE · Mantle · gru_s5

token id: #827
symbol: MOE
variant: –
chain: Mantle
address: 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-29
predictions: 402

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

120

of 134 predictions shown

direction hit

69.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3281

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0234

actual -0.1811

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.000324	0.000327323	+1.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003162	0.000323085	+2.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003632	0.000370046	+1.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.00035745	0.000365776	+2.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004181	0.00042486	+1.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043585	0.000442049	+1.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.0004583	0.000461883	+0.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.0004529	0.000449972	-0.65%	0.000324	-28.46%	0.3536	✓	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.0004537	0.000439232	-3.19%	0.0003162	-30.31%	0.3583	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.00055985	0.000528782	-5.55%	0.0003632	-35.13%	0.3737	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.0006665	0.000608496	-8.70%	0.00035745	-46.37%	0.5332	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.000703	0.000585743	-16.68%	0.0004181	-40.53%	0.3170	✓	1.00
2025-04-08	in	0.00031	0.000310903	+0.29%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2025-04-07	in	0.000317	0.000316107	-0.28%	–	pending	–	–	2.12
2025-04-06	in	0.0003192	0.000318712	-0.15%	–	pending	–	–	2.11
2025-04-05	in	0.0003977	0.000393249	-1.12%	–	pending	–	–	2.13
2025-04-04	in	0.0004024	0.00039792	-1.11%	–	pending	–	–	2.14
2025-04-03	in	0.0003984	0.000393325	-1.27%	–	pending	–	–	2.14
2025-04-02	in	0.000448	0.000442387	-1.25%	–	pending	–	–	2.20
2025-04-01	in	0.0004932	0.000484809	-1.70%	0.00031	-37.15%	0.1924	✓	2.30
2025-03-31	in	0.0004862	0.00047818	-1.65%	0.000317	-34.80%	0.3137	✓	2.32
2025-03-30	in	0.0004699	0.000462451	-1.59%	0.0003192	-32.07%	0.2554	✓	2.31
2025-03-29	in	0.0004657	0.000458315	-1.59%	0.0003977	-14.60%	0.1661	✓	2.28
2025-03-28	in	0.0005013	0.000490924	-2.07%	0.0004024	-19.73%	0.1843	✓	2.34
2025-03-27	in	0.0005423	0.000527074	-2.81%	0.0003984	-26.54%	0.1658	✓	2.40
2025-03-26	in	0.0005207	0.000502699	-3.46%	0.000448	-13.96%	0.0045	✓	2.28
2025-03-25	in	0.0005439	0.000530602	-2.44%	0.0004932	-9.32%	0.0130	✓	2.30
2025-03-24	in	0.0005511	0.000536642	-2.62%	0.0004862	-11.78%	0.0354	✗	2.29
2025-03-23	in	0.0005092	0.000498334	-2.13%	0.0004699	-7.72%	0.0395	✗	2.23
2025-03-22	in	0.0005002	0.00048975	-2.09%	0.0004657	-6.90%	0.0173	✓	2.23
2025-03-21	in	0.0004994	0.000489173	-2.05%	0.0005013	+0.38%	0.0163	✓	2.17
2025-03-20	in	0.00055	0.000535385	-2.66%	0.0005423	-1.40%	0.0637	✓	2.16
2025-03-19	in	0.000542	0.00052957	-2.29%	0.0005207	-3.93%	0.0181	✓	2.20
2025-03-18	in	0.0004988	0.000491245	-1.51%	0.0005439	+9.04%	0.0271	✓	2.32
2025-03-17	in	0.00051	0.000501161	-1.73%	0.0005511	+8.06%	0.0017	✓	2.36
2025-03-16	in	0.0005015	0.000493607	-1.57%	0.0005092	+1.54%	0.0674	✓	2.35
2025-03-15	in	0.0005216	0.000511936	-1.85%	0.0005002	-4.10%	0.0087	✓	2.43
2025-03-14	in	0.0005378	0.000525284	-2.33%	0.0004994	-7.14%	0.0529	✓	2.48
2025-03-13	in	0.0004904	0.000490363	-0.01%	0.00055	+12.15%	0.0219	✗	2.47
2025-03-12	in	0.0005142	0.000511754	-0.48%	0.000542	+5.41%	0.0356	✓	2.46
2025-03-11	in	0.0005339	0.000531305	-0.49%	0.0004988	-6.57%	0.0567	✓	2.47
2025-03-10	in	0.0004858	0.000494441	+1.78%	0.00051	+4.98%	0.1434	✗	2.59
2025-03-09	in	0.00057	0.000568165	-0.32%	0.0005015	-12.02%	0.1833	✓	2.56
2025-03-08	in	0.0005902	0.000583254	-1.18%	0.0005216	-11.62%	0.0512	✓	2.78
2025-03-07	in	0.0006199	0.00060949	-1.68%	0.0005378	-13.24%	0.0328	✓	2.84
2025-03-06	in	0.0006305	0.000617713	-2.03%	0.0004904	-22.22%	0.0691	✗	2.89
2025-03-05	in	0.0006211	0.000609535	-1.86%	0.0005142	-17.21%	0.0576	✗	2.86
2025-03-04	in	0.0006649	0.000654226	-1.61%	0.0005339	-19.70%	0.0544	✓	2.92
2025-03-03	in	0.0006283	0.000628149	-0.02%	0.0004858	-22.68%	0.0083	✓	2.69
2025-03-02	in	0.0008278	0.000788177	-4.79%	0.00057	-31.14%	0.0931	✗	2.68
2025-03-01	in	0.00068	0.000681056	+0.16%	0.0005902	-13.21%	0.1490	✗	2.66
2025-02-28	in	0.00071	0.000713803	+0.54%	0.0006199	-12.69%	0.2217	✗	2.81
2025-02-27	in	0.0005911	0.000610409	+3.27%	0.0006305	+6.67%	0.1402	✗	2.84
2025-02-26	in	0.000648	0.000665182	+2.65%	0.0006211	-4.15%	0.2809	✗	2.86
2025-02-25	in	0.0005906	0.0006093	+3.17%	0.0006649	+12.58%	0.1356	✓	3.18
2025-02-24	in	0.0006898	0.000701563	+1.71%	0.0006283	-8.92%	0.0804	✓	3.17
2025-02-23	in	0.0007556	0.000757482	+0.25%	0.0008278	+9.56%	0.1580	✓	3.30
2025-02-22	in	0.00079	0.000792744	+0.35%	0.00068	-13.92%	0.2286	✓	3.30
2025-02-21	in	0.000801	0.000807713	+0.84%	0.00071	-11.36%	0.3052	✓	3.30
2025-02-20	in	0.00082	0.000825871	+0.72%	0.0005911	-27.91%	0.1686	✓	3.35
2025-02-19	in	0.00068	0.000702218	+3.27%	0.000648	-4.71%	0.3736	✓	3.27
2025-02-18	in	0.0006437	0.000673033	+4.56%	0.0005906	-8.25%	0.1177	✓	3.26
2025-02-17	in	0.00069	0.000720772	+4.46%	0.0006898	-0.03%	0.1045	✓	3.25
2025-02-16	in	0.00074	0.000772731	+4.42%	0.0007556	+2.11%	0.0274	✓	3.25
2025-02-15	in	0.00071	0.000745747	+5.03%	0.00079	+11.27%	0.0922	✓	3.30
2025-02-14	in	0.00081	0.000853658	+5.39%	0.000801	-1.11%	0.0175	✓	3.31
2025-02-13	in	0.00089	0.000936848	+5.26%	0.00082	-7.87%	0.1920	✗	3.33
2025-02-12	in	0.00109	0.001131	+3.75%	0.00068	-37.61%	0.4671	✗	3.28
2025-02-11	in	0.00141	0.001433	+1.60%	0.0006437	-54.35%	0.7940	✗	3.46
2025-02-10	in	0.00137	0.001391	+1.54%	0.00069	-49.64%	0.6406	✗	3.52
2025-02-09	in	0.00155	0.001564	+0.88%	0.00074	-52.26%	0.7349	✗	3.55
2025-02-08	in	0.00157	0.001587	+1.06%	0.00071	-54.78%	0.8452	✗	3.55
2025-02-07	in	0.00147	0.001499	+1.96%	0.00081	-44.90%	0.6510	✗	3.56
2025-02-06	in	0.0016	0.001624	+1.49%	0.00089	-44.38%	0.6035	✗	3.56
2025-02-05	in	0.00144	0.001473	+2.30%	0.00109	-24.31%	0.3460	✗	3.56
2025-02-04	in	0.00134	0.001374	+2.55%	0.00141	+5.22%	0.1010	✓	3.61
2025-02-03	in	0.00176	0.001753	-0.38%	0.00137	-22.16%	0.1058	✓	3.49
2025-02-02	in	0.00141	0.001426	+1.11%	0.00155	+9.93%	0.1251	✓	3.35
2025-02-01	in	0.00172	0.00172	-0.01%	0.00157	-8.72%	0.0474	✗	3.29
2025-01-31	in	0.00205	0.002027	-1.11%	0.00147	-28.29%	0.1300	✓	3.24
2025-01-30	in	0.0024	0.00234	-2.51%	0.0016	-33.33%	0.1198	✓	3.20
2025-01-29	in	0.0025	0.00244	-2.41%	0.00144	-42.40%	0.2993	✓	3.21
2025-01-28	in	0.00234	0.0023	-1.72%	0.00134	-42.74%	0.4278	✓	3.20
2025-01-27	in	0.00272	0.002664	-2.07%	0.00176	-35.29%	0.3956	✓	3.17
2025-01-26	in	0.0031	0.003039	-1.95%	0.00141	-54.52%	0.6141	✓	3.15
2025-01-25	in	0.00411	0.003994	-2.82%	0.00172	-58.15%	0.7218	✓	3.02
2025-01-24	in	0.00459	0.004415	-3.80%	0.00205	-55.34%	0.6965	✓	3.01
2025-01-23	in	0.00502	0.004787	-4.64%	0.0024	-52.19%	0.7142	✓	3.03
2025-01-22	in	0.00639	0.005955	-6.81%	0.0025	-60.88%	0.8703	✓	3.04
2025-01-21	in	0.00663	0.006042	-8.87%	0.00234	-64.71%	0.8036	✓	3.09
2025-01-20	in	0.00488	0.004327	-11.33%	0.00272	-44.26%	0.4620	✓	2.81
2025-01-19	in	0.00512	0.004401	-14.05%	0.0031	-39.45%	0.3879	✓	2.83
2025-01-18	in	0.0073	0.006503	-10.92%	0.00411	-43.70%	0.4660	✓	2.53
2025-01-17	in	0.00945	0.008741	-7.51%	0.00459	-51.43%	0.6622	✓	2.55
2025-01-16	in	0.01091	0.010233	-6.21%	0.00502	-53.99%	0.8251	✓	2.92
2025-01-15	in	0.01372	0.012913	-5.89%	0.00639	-53.43%	0.7922	✓	2.87
2025-01-14	in	0.01037	0.009721	-6.26%	0.00663	-36.07%	0.6288	✓	2.59
2025-01-13	in	0.01316	0.01252	-4.86%	0.00488	-62.92%	1.1648	✓	2.86
2025-01-12	in	0.01678	0.015953	-4.93%	0.00512	-69.49%	1.3332	✓	2.87
2025-01-11	in	0.01601	0.015256	-4.71%	0.0073	-54.40%	1.0221	✓	2.87
2025-01-10	in	0.01991	0.018799	-5.58%	0.00945	-52.54%	0.9589	✓	2.86
2025-01-09	in	0.02065	0.019396	-6.07%	0.01091	-47.17%	0.8062	✓	2.99
2025-01-08	in	0.01796	0.01708	-4.90%	0.01372	-23.61%	0.3997	✓	3.23
2025-01-07	in	0.02282	0.021508	-5.75%	0.01037	-54.56%	0.7166	✓	3.06
2025-01-06	in	0.02644	0.024588	-7.00%	0.01316	-50.23%	0.3834	✓	3.06
2025-01-05	in	0.02288	0.021297	-6.92%	0.01678	-26.66%	0.1175	✓	3.04
2025-01-04	in	0.02024	0.018921	-6.52%	0.01601	-20.90%	0.0524	✓	3.03
2025-01-03	in	0.02086	0.019142	-8.24%	0.01991	-4.55%	0.1474	✗	3.03
2025-01-02	in	0.0165	0.015274	-7.43%	0.02065	+25.15%	0.4347	✗	2.90
2025-01-01	in	0.01285	0.012179	-5.22%	0.01796	+39.77%	0.3704	✗	2.62
2024-12-31	in	0.01281	0.012091	-5.61%	0.02282	+78.14%	0.5355	✗	2.64
2024-12-30	in	0.01329	0.012488	-6.04%	0.02644	+98.95%	0.4845	✗	2.68
2024-12-29	in	0.0112	0.010635	-5.04%	0.02288	+104.29%	0.6274	✗	2.78
2024-12-28	in	0.01553	0.014355	-7.56%	0.02024	+30.33%	0.3117	✗	1.00
2024-12-27	in	0.01222	0.011378	-6.89%	0.02086	+70.70%	0.5649	✗	1.00
2024-12-26	in	0.0079	0.007786	-1.44%	0.0165	+108.86%	0.7382	✗	1.00
2024-12-25	in	0.00906	0.008779	-3.11%	0.01285	+41.83%	0.4323	✗	1.00
2024-12-24	in	0.00997	0.009599	-3.72%	0.01281	+28.49%	0.3431	✗	1.00
2024-12-23	in	0.01	0.009641	-3.59%	0.01329	+32.90%	0.3439	✗	1.00
2024-12-22	in	0.0084	0.008321	-0.94%	0.0112	+33.33%	0.3133	✗	1.00
2024-12-21	in	0.00752	0.007588	+0.91%	0.01553	+106.52%	0.7380	✓	1.00
2024-12-20	in	0.00682	0.006953	+1.95%	0.01222	+79.18%	0.6013	✓	1.00
2024-12-19	in	0.00766	0.007696	+0.47%	0.0079	+3.13%	0.0438	✓	1.00
2024-12-18	in	0.01118	0.010872	-2.75%	0.00906	-18.96%	0.1743	✓	1.00
2024-12-17	in	0.01372	0.013328	-2.86%	0.00997	-27.33%	0.2165	✓	1.00
2024-12-16	in	0.01609	0.015341	-4.66%	0.01	-37.85%	0.3149	✓	1.00
2024-12-15	in	0.01238	0.012045	-2.70%	0.0084	-32.15%	0.2665	✓	1.00
2024-12-14	in	0.01074	0.010485	-2.37%	0.00752	-29.98%	0.2904	✓	1.00
2024-12-13	in	0.00983	0.009654	-1.79%	0.00682	-30.62%	0.3108	✓	1.00
2024-12-12	in	0.01099	0.010755	-2.14%	0.00766	-30.30%	0.3124	✓	1.00
2024-12-11	in	0.01188	0.011593	-2.42%	0.01118	-5.89%	0.0258	✓	1.00
2024-12-10	in	0.00939	0.009305	-0.91%	0.01372	+46.11%	0.2948	✗	1.00
2024-12-09	in	0.00936	0.009259	-1.08%	0.01609	+71.90%	0.4662	✗	1.00
2024-12-08	in	0.01153	0.011348	-1.58%	0.01238	+7.37%	0.0552	✗	1.00