MOE
MOE · Mantle · gru_s5
- token id
- #827
- symbol
- MOE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Mantle
- address
- 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2024-11-29
- predictions
- 399
Track record at +30d
assessed
92
of 133 predictions shown
direction hit
84.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.8988
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1142
actual -0.8731
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.0003449 | 0.000307844 | -10.74% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0003632 | 0.000323302 | -10.99% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.00035745 | 0.000319575 | -10.60% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0004181 | 0.000367334 | -12.14% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00043585 | 0.000380919 | -12.60% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.0004583 | 0.000397217 | -13.33% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0004529 | 0.000379715 | -16.16% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.0004537 | 0.000286302 | -36.90% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.00055985 | 0.000275669 | -50.76% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.0006665 | 0.000211269 | -68.30% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.000703 | 0.000086767 | -87.66% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-08 | in | 0.00031 | 0.000299213 | -3.48% | – | pending | – | – | 2.03 |
| 2025-04-07 | in | 0.000317 | 0.000303179 | -4.36% | – | pending | – | – | 2.12 |
| 2025-04-06 | in | 0.0003192 | 0.000303639 | -4.87% | – | pending | – | – | 2.11 |
| 2025-04-05 | in | 0.0003977 | 0.000367375 | -7.63% | – | pending | – | – | 2.13 |
| 2025-04-04 | in | 0.0004024 | 0.000375422 | -6.70% | – | pending | – | – | 2.14 |
| 2025-04-03 | in | 0.0003984 | 0.000370913 | -6.90% | – | pending | – | – | 2.14 |
| 2025-04-02 | in | 0.000448 | 0.000413251 | -7.76% | – | pending | – | – | 2.20 |
| 2025-04-01 | in | 0.0004932 | 0.000451591 | -8.44% | – | pending | – | – | 2.30 |
| 2025-03-31 | in | 0.0004862 | 0.000444116 | -8.66% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2025-03-30 | in | 0.0004699 | 0.000427598 | -9.00% | – | pending | – | – | 2.31 |
| 2025-03-29 | in | 0.0004657 | 0.000418905 | -10.05% | – | pending | – | – | 2.28 |
| 2025-03-28 | in | 0.0005013 | 0.000447321 | -10.77% | – | pending | – | – | 2.34 |
| 2025-03-27 | in | 0.0005423 | 0.000483027 | -10.93% | – | pending | – | – | 2.40 |
| 2025-03-26 | in | 0.0005207 | 0.000464737 | -10.75% | – | pending | – | – | 2.28 |
| 2025-03-25 | in | 0.0005439 | 0.000483148 | -11.17% | – | pending | – | – | 2.30 |
| 2025-03-24 | in | 0.0005511 | 0.000496459 | -9.91% | – | pending | – | – | 2.29 |
| 2025-03-23 | in | 0.0005092 | 0.000458246 | -10.01% | – | pending | – | – | 2.23 |
| 2025-03-22 | in | 0.0005002 | 0.000448253 | -10.39% | – | pending | – | – | 2.23 |
| 2025-03-21 | in | 0.0004994 | 0.000443848 | -11.12% | – | pending | – | – | 2.17 |
| 2025-03-20 | in | 0.00055 | 0.000484003 | -12.00% | – | pending | – | – | 2.16 |
| 2025-03-19 | in | 0.000542 | 0.000476499 | -12.09% | – | pending | – | – | 2.20 |
| 2025-03-18 | in | 0.0004988 | 0.000445531 | -10.68% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2025-03-17 | in | 0.00051 | 0.000454774 | -10.83% | – | pending | – | – | 2.36 |
| 2025-03-16 | in | 0.0005015 | 0.0004508 | -10.11% | – | pending | – | – | 2.35 |
| 2025-03-15 | in | 0.0005216 | 0.000465744 | -10.71% | – | pending | – | – | 2.43 |
| 2025-03-14 | in | 0.0005378 | 0.000478295 | -11.06% | – | pending | – | – | 2.48 |
| 2025-03-13 | in | 0.0004904 | 0.000455953 | -7.02% | – | pending | – | – | 2.47 |
| 2025-03-12 | in | 0.0005142 | 0.000474052 | -7.81% | – | pending | – | – | 2.46 |
| 2025-03-11 | in | 0.0005339 | 0.000492267 | -7.80% | – | pending | – | – | 2.47 |
| 2025-03-10 | in | 0.0004858 | 0.0004614 | -5.02% | – | pending | – | – | 2.59 |
| 2025-03-09 | in | 0.00057 | 0.000525229 | -7.85% | 0.00031 | -45.61% | 0.3819 | ✓ | 2.56 |
| 2025-03-08 | in | 0.0005902 | 0.000534702 | -9.40% | 0.000317 | -46.29% | 0.2849 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2025-03-07 | in | 0.0006199 | 0.000558029 | -9.98% | 0.0003192 | -48.51% | 0.2700 | ✓ | 2.84 |
| 2025-03-06 | in | 0.0006305 | 0.00056436 | -10.49% | 0.0003977 | -36.92% | 0.1354 | ✓ | 2.89 |
| 2025-03-05 | in | 0.0006211 | 0.000554989 | -10.64% | 0.0004024 | -35.21% | 0.1007 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-03-04 | in | 0.0006649 | 0.000595366 | -10.46% | 0.0003984 | -40.08% | 0.2620 | ✓ | 2.92 |
| 2025-03-03 | in | 0.0006283 | 0.000568887 | -9.46% | 0.000448 | -28.70% | 0.1219 | ✓ | 2.69 |
| 2025-03-02 | in | 0.0008278 | 0.000706696 | -14.63% | 0.0004932 | -40.42% | 0.0873 | ✓ | 2.68 |
| 2025-03-01 | in | 0.00068 | 0.000614041 | -9.70% | 0.0004862 | -28.50% | 0.1233 | ✓ | 2.66 |
| 2025-02-28 | in | 0.00071 | 0.000643353 | -9.39% | 0.0004699 | -33.82% | 0.2496 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2025-02-27 | in | 0.0005911 | 0.000546563 | -7.53% | 0.0004657 | -21.21% | 0.0918 | ✓ | 2.84 |
| 2025-02-26 | in | 0.000648 | 0.000594664 | -8.23% | 0.0005013 | -22.64% | 0.1799 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-02-25 | in | 0.0005906 | 0.000543525 | -7.97% | 0.0005423 | -8.18% | 0.0472 | ✓ | 3.18 |
| 2025-02-24 | in | 0.0006898 | 0.000625899 | -9.26% | 0.0005207 | -24.51% | 0.0213 | ✓ | 3.17 |
| 2025-02-23 | in | 0.0007556 | 0.000673165 | -10.91% | 0.0005439 | -28.02% | 0.1044 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-22 | in | 0.00079 | 0.000701616 | -11.19% | 0.0005511 | -30.24% | 0.0834 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-21 | in | 0.000801 | 0.000712529 | -11.05% | 0.0005092 | -36.43% | 0.0286 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-20 | in | 0.00082 | 0.000726964 | -11.35% | 0.0005002 | -39.00% | 0.1599 | ✗ | 3.35 |
| 2025-02-19 | in | 0.00068 | 0.000619389 | -8.91% | 0.0004994 | -26.56% | 0.2406 | ✗ | 3.27 |
| 2025-02-18 | in | 0.0006437 | 0.000593917 | -7.73% | 0.00055 | -14.56% | 0.3374 | ✗ | 3.26 |
| 2025-02-17 | in | 0.00069 | 0.000635552 | -7.89% | 0.000542 | -21.45% | 0.1583 | ✗ | 3.25 |
| 2025-02-16 | in | 0.00074 | 0.000681036 | -7.97% | 0.0004988 | -32.59% | 0.1777 | ✗ | 3.25 |
| 2025-02-15 | in | 0.00071 | 0.000659732 | -7.08% | 0.00051 | -28.17% | 0.2378 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-14 | in | 0.00081 | 0.000751872 | -7.18% | 0.0005015 | -38.09% | 0.1452 | ✗ | 3.31 |
| 2025-02-13 | in | 0.00089 | 0.000825272 | -7.27% | 0.0005216 | -41.39% | 0.0067 | ✓ | 3.33 |
| 2025-02-12 | in | 0.00109 | 0.000995314 | -8.69% | 0.0005378 | -50.66% | 0.1131 | ✓ | 3.28 |
| 2025-02-11 | in | 0.00141 | 0.001272 | -9.81% | 0.0004904 | -65.22% | 0.3760 | ✓ | 3.46 |
| 2025-02-10 | in | 0.00137 | 0.001237 | -9.70% | 0.0005142 | -62.47% | 0.3413 | ✓ | 3.52 |
| 2025-02-09 | in | 0.00155 | 0.001396 | -9.95% | 0.0005339 | -65.55% | 0.4226 | ✓ | 3.55 |
| 2025-02-08 | in | 0.00157 | 0.001416 | -9.82% | 0.0004858 | -69.06% | 0.3388 | ✓ | 3.55 |
| 2025-02-07 | in | 0.00147 | 0.001334 | -9.26% | 0.00057 | -61.22% | 0.2131 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-06 | in | 0.0016 | 0.001452 | -9.28% | 0.0005902 | -63.11% | 0.4965 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-05 | in | 0.00144 | 0.001316 | -8.59% | 0.0006199 | -56.95% | 0.3693 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-04 | in | 0.00134 | 0.001233 | -8.01% | 0.0006305 | -52.95% | 0.3678 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2025-02-03 | in | 0.00176 | 0.001601 | -9.04% | 0.0006211 | -64.71% | 0.5518 | ✓ | 3.49 |
| 2025-02-02 | in | 0.00141 | 0.001304 | -7.55% | 0.0006649 | -52.84% | 0.2948 | ✓ | 3.35 |
| 2025-02-01 | in | 0.00172 | 0.001586 | -7.78% | 0.0006283 | -63.47% | 0.4155 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2025-01-31 | in | 0.00205 | 0.001883 | -8.15% | 0.0008278 | -59.62% | 0.5532 | ✓ | 3.24 |
| 2025-01-30 | in | 0.0024 | 0.002196 | -8.49% | 0.00068 | -71.67% | 0.5421 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2025-01-29 | in | 0.0025 | 0.002301 | -7.96% | 0.00071 | -71.60% | 0.5091 | ✓ | 3.21 |
| 2025-01-28 | in | 0.00234 | 0.002186 | -6.58% | 0.0005911 | -74.74% | 0.7331 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2025-01-27 | in | 0.00272 | 0.002553 | -6.15% | 0.000648 | -76.18% | 0.7575 | ✓ | 3.17 |
| 2025-01-26 | in | 0.0031 | 0.002931 | -5.47% | 0.0005906 | -80.95% | 1.1396 | ✓ | 3.15 |
| 2025-01-25 | in | 0.00411 | 0.003843 | -6.50% | 0.0006898 | -83.22% | 1.3106 | ✓ | 3.02 |
| 2025-01-24 | in | 0.00459 | 0.004232 | -7.81% | 0.0007556 | -83.54% | 1.4658 | ✓ | 3.01 |
| 2025-01-23 | in | 0.00502 | 0.00459 | -8.56% | 0.00079 | -84.26% | 1.5374 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-22 | in | 0.00639 | 0.005679 | -11.13% | 0.000801 | -87.46% | 1.7299 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2025-01-21 | in | 0.00663 | 0.005845 | -11.84% | 0.00082 | -87.63% | 1.7280 | ✓ | 3.09 |
| 2025-01-20 | in | 0.00488 | 0.004482 | -8.16% | 0.00068 | -86.07% | 1.7296 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2025-01-19 | in | 0.00512 | 0.004632 | -9.53% | 0.0006437 | -87.43% | 1.8124 | ✓ | 2.83 |
| 2025-01-18 | in | 0.0073 | 0.006274 | -14.06% | 0.00069 | -90.55% | 1.9888 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2025-01-17 | in | 0.00945 | 0.008202 | -13.21% | 0.00074 | -92.17% | 2.2023 | ✓ | 2.55 |
| 2025-01-16 | in | 0.01091 | 0.009442 | -13.46% | 0.00071 | -93.49% | 2.5171 | ✓ | 2.92 |
| 2025-01-15 | in | 0.01372 | 0.011952 | -12.89% | 0.00081 | -94.10% | 2.6046 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-14 | in | 0.01037 | 0.008718 | -15.93% | 0.00089 | -91.42% | 2.2843 | ✓ | 2.59 |
| 2025-01-13 | in | 0.01316 | 0.011147 | -15.30% | 0.00109 | -91.72% | 2.4249 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-01-12 | in | 0.01678 | 0.01447 | -13.76% | 0.00141 | -91.60% | 2.3667 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-11 | in | 0.01601 | 0.013516 | -15.58% | 0.00137 | -91.44% | 2.3752 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-10 | in | 0.01991 | 0.017083 | -14.20% | 0.00155 | -92.21% | 2.4530 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-01-09 | in | 0.02065 | 0.017573 | -14.90% | 0.00157 | -92.40% | 2.5395 | ✓ | 2.99 |
| 2025-01-08 | in | 0.01796 | 0.014715 | -18.07% | 0.00147 | -91.82% | 2.3541 | ✓ | 3.23 |
| 2025-01-07 | in | 0.02282 | 0.01905 | -16.52% | 0.0016 | -92.99% | 2.4652 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2025-01-06 | in | 0.02644 | 0.022351 | -15.47% | 0.00144 | -94.55% | 2.5688 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2025-01-05 | in | 0.02288 | 0.019184 | -16.15% | 0.00134 | -94.14% | 2.6444 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2025-01-04 | in | 0.02024 | 0.016898 | -16.51% | 0.00176 | -91.30% | 2.3606 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-03 | in | 0.02086 | 0.017403 | -16.57% | 0.00141 | -93.24% | 2.4988 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-02 | in | 0.0165 | 0.013645 | -17.30% | 0.00172 | -89.58% | 2.1801 | ✓ | 2.90 |
| 2025-01-01 | in | 0.01285 | 0.010586 | -17.62% | 0.00205 | -84.05% | 1.8554 | ✓ | 2.62 |
| 2024-12-31 | in | 0.01281 | 0.010554 | -17.61% | 0.0024 | -81.26% | 1.7850 | ✓ | 2.64 |
| 2024-12-30 | in | 0.01329 | 0.010936 | -17.72% | 0.0025 | -81.19% | 1.7795 | ✓ | 2.68 |
| 2024-12-29 | in | 0.0112 | 0.009189 | -17.96% | 0.00234 | -79.11% | 1.5886 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2024-12-28 | in | 0.01553 | 0.012715 | -18.13% | 0.00272 | -82.49% | 1.6125 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-27 | in | 0.01222 | 0.010277 | -15.90% | 0.0031 | -74.63% | 1.2839 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-26 | in | 0.0079 | 0.007112 | -9.98% | 0.00411 | -47.97% | 0.6388 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-25 | in | 0.00906 | 0.007996 | -11.74% | 0.00459 | -49.34% | 0.6090 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-24 | in | 0.00997 | 0.008734 | -12.39% | 0.00502 | -49.65% | 0.6065 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-23 | in | 0.01 | 0.00882 | -11.80% | 0.00639 | -36.10% | 0.4121 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-22 | in | 0.0084 | 0.007622 | -9.26% | 0.00663 | -21.07% | 0.2496 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-21 | in | 0.00752 | 0.006941 | -7.70% | 0.00488 | -35.11% | 0.4016 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-20 | in | 0.00682 | 0.00639 | -6.31% | 0.00512 | -24.93% | 0.2562 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-19 | in | 0.00766 | 0.007076 | -7.62% | 0.0073 | -4.70% | 0.0389 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-18 | in | 0.01118 | 0.009824 | -12.13% | 0.00945 | -15.47% | 0.0776 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-17 | in | 0.01372 | 0.012279 | -10.50% | 0.01091 | -20.48% | 0.0585 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-16 | in | 0.01609 | 0.014422 | -10.36% | 0.01372 | -14.73% | 0.0042 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-15 | in | 0.01238 | 0.01128 | -8.88% | 0.01037 | -16.24% | 0.0054 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-14 | in | 0.01074 | 0.009801 | -8.74% | 0.01316 | +22.53% | 0.3651 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-13 | in | 0.00983 | 0.009013 | -8.31% | 0.01678 | +70.70% | 0.6921 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-12 | in | 0.01099 | 0.010089 | -8.20% | 0.01601 | +45.68% | 0.5180 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-11 | in | 0.01188 | 0.010903 | -8.22% | 0.01991 | +67.59% | 0.6686 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-10 | in | 0.00939 | 0.008694 | -7.42% | 0.02065 | +119.91% | 0.9086 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-09 | in | 0.00936 | 0.008655 | -7.54% | 0.01796 | +91.88% | 0.7538 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-08 | in | 0.01153 | 0.010678 | -7.39% | 0.02282 | +97.92% | 0.8022 | ✗ | 1.00 |