MOE

MOE · Mantle · gru_s5

token id: #827
symbol: MOE
variant: –
chain: Mantle
address: 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-29
predictions: 402

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

132

of 134 predictions shown

direction hit

53.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1050

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0064

actual -0.0278

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.000324	0.000322492	-0.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003162	0.00031539	-0.26%	0.000324	+2.47%	0.0246	✗	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003632	0.000361265	-0.53%	0.0003162	-12.94%	0.1463	✓	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.00035745	0.000355909	-0.43%	0.0003632	+1.61%	0.0069	✗	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004181	0.000414687	-0.82%	0.00035745	-14.51%	0.1465	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043585	0.00043188	-0.91%	0.0004181	-4.07%	0.0401	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.0004583	0.000453734	-1.00%	0.00043585	-4.90%	0.0388	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.0004529	0.000447914	-1.10%	0.0004583	+1.19%	0.0305	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.0004537	0.000439484	-3.13%	0.0004529	-0.18%	0.0233	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.00055985	0.000531182	-5.12%	0.0004537	-18.96%	0.1390	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.0006665	0.000608705	-8.67%	0.00055985	-16.00%	0.1002	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.000703	0.00059116	-15.91%	0.0006665	-5.19%	0.1434	✓	1.00
2025-04-08	in	0.00031	0.000310039	+0.01%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2025-04-07	in	0.000317	0.000316645	-0.11%	0.00031	-2.21%	0.0575	✗	2.12
2025-04-06	in	0.0003192	0.000318789	-0.13%	0.000317	-0.69%	0.0262	✓	2.11
2025-04-05	in	0.0003977	0.000395712	-0.50%	0.0003192	-19.74%	0.0798	✓	2.13
2025-04-04	in	0.0004024	0.000400704	-0.42%	0.0003977	-1.17%	0.0017	✓	2.14
2025-04-03	in	0.0003984	0.000396422	-0.50%	0.0004024	+1.00%	0.0026	✓	2.14
2025-04-02	in	0.000448	0.000446023	-0.44%	0.0003984	-11.07%	0.1311	✓	2.20
2025-04-01	in	0.0004932	0.000490481	-0.55%	0.000448	-9.16%	0.0169	✓	2.30
2025-03-31	in	0.0004862	0.000483521	-0.55%	0.0004932	+1.44%	0.0531	✓	2.32
2025-03-30	in	0.0004699	0.000467326	-0.55%	0.0004862	+3.47%	0.0353	✗	2.31
2025-03-29	in	0.0004657	0.000462844	-0.61%	0.0004699	+0.90%	0.0217	✗	2.28
2025-03-28	in	0.0005013	0.000497523	-0.75%	0.0004657	-7.10%	0.0165	✓	2.34
2025-03-27	in	0.0005423	0.000536958	-0.99%	0.0005013	-7.56%	0.0107	✗	2.40
2025-03-26	in	0.0005207	0.000513415	-1.40%	0.0005423	+4.15%	0.0471	✗	2.28
2025-03-25	in	0.0005439	0.000539095	-0.88%	0.0005207	-4.27%	0.0215	✓	2.30
2025-03-24	in	0.0005511	0.000546436	-0.85%	0.0005439	-1.31%	0.0022	✓	2.29
2025-03-23	in	0.0005092	0.00050545	-0.74%	0.0005511	+8.23%	0.0497	✗	2.23
2025-03-22	in	0.0005002	0.000496245	-0.79%	0.0005092	+1.80%	0.0329	✓	2.23
2025-03-21	in	0.0004994	0.000495214	-0.84%	0.0005002	+0.16%	0.0154	✗	2.17
2025-03-20	in	0.00055	0.000543659	-1.15%	0.0004994	-9.20%	0.0818	✓	2.16
2025-03-19	in	0.000542	0.000536966	-0.93%	0.00055	+1.48%	0.0934	✗	2.20
2025-03-18	in	0.0004988	0.000496151	-0.53%	0.000542	+8.66%	0.0259	✓	2.32
2025-03-17	in	0.00051	0.000507308	-0.53%	0.0004988	-2.20%	0.0203	✗	2.36
2025-03-16	in	0.0005015	0.00049946	-0.41%	0.00051	+1.69%	0.0200	✓	2.35
2025-03-15	in	0.0005216	0.000518307	-0.63%	0.0005015	-3.85%	0.0192	✗	2.43
2025-03-14	in	0.0005378	0.000532081	-1.06%	0.0005216	-3.01%	0.0308	✓	2.48
2025-03-13	in	0.0004904	0.000492016	+0.33%	0.0005378	+9.67%	0.0021	✓	2.47
2025-03-12	in	0.0005142	0.000514935	+0.14%	0.0004904	-4.63%	0.0285	✓	2.46
2025-03-11	in	0.0005339	0.000535073	+0.22%	0.0005142	-3.69%	0.0619	✗	2.47
2025-03-10	in	0.0004858	0.000490546	+0.98%	0.0005339	+9.90%	0.0557	✗	2.59
2025-03-09	in	0.00057	0.000571749	+0.31%	0.0004858	-14.77%	0.0935	✗	2.56
2025-03-08	in	0.0005902	0.000590756	+0.09%	0.00057	-3.42%	0.1478	✓	2.78
2025-03-07	in	0.0006199	0.000620215	+0.05%	0.0005902	-4.79%	0.0315	✗	2.84
2025-03-06	in	0.0006305	0.000630899	+0.06%	0.0006199	-1.68%	0.0861	✓	2.89
2025-03-05	in	0.0006211	0.000621854	+0.12%	0.0006305	+1.51%	0.0354	✓	2.86
2025-03-04	in	0.0006649	0.000666827	+0.29%	0.0006211	-6.59%	0.1812	✗	2.92
2025-03-03	in	0.0006283	0.000631988	+0.59%	0.0006649	+5.83%	0.0170	✓	2.69
2025-03-02	in	0.0008278	0.000820356	-0.90%	0.0006283	-24.10%	0.0254	✓	2.68
2025-03-01	in	0.00068	0.00068343	+0.50%	0.0008278	+21.74%	0.0521	✗	2.66
2025-02-28	in	0.00071	0.000713872	+0.55%	0.00068	-4.23%	0.1053	✗	2.81
2025-02-27	in	0.0005911	0.000597071	+1.01%	0.00071	+20.12%	0.1842	✓	2.84
2025-02-26	in	0.000648	0.000653827	+0.90%	0.0005911	-8.78%	0.1182	✗	2.86
2025-02-25	in	0.0005906	0.000596321	+0.97%	0.000648	+9.72%	0.2480	✓	3.18
2025-02-24	in	0.0006898	0.000694522	+0.68%	0.0005906	-14.38%	0.0591	✗	3.17
2025-02-23	in	0.0007556	0.000758402	+0.37%	0.0006898	-8.71%	0.0723	✓	3.30
2025-02-22	in	0.00079	0.000792531	+0.32%	0.0007556	-4.35%	0.0369	✗	3.30
2025-02-21	in	0.000801	0.000803799	+0.35%	0.00079	-1.37%	0.0319	✗	3.30
2025-02-20	in	0.00082	0.000822154	+0.26%	0.000801	-2.32%	0.0493	✓	3.35
2025-02-19	in	0.00068	0.000685277	+0.78%	0.00082	+20.59%	0.1219	✓	3.27
2025-02-18	in	0.0006437	0.000650103	+0.99%	0.00068	+5.64%	0.0103	✓	3.26
2025-02-17	in	0.00069	0.000696747	+0.98%	0.0006437	-6.71%	0.0733	✗	3.25
2025-02-16	in	0.00074	0.000747216	+0.98%	0.00069	-6.76%	0.0682	✗	3.25
2025-02-15	in	0.00071	0.000717964	+1.12%	0.00074	+4.23%	0.0806	✓	3.30
2025-02-14	in	0.00081	0.000819032	+1.12%	0.00071	-12.35%	0.1458	✗	3.31
2025-02-13	in	0.00089	0.000900015	+1.13%	0.00081	-8.99%	0.1357	✗	3.33
2025-02-12	in	0.00109	0.0011	+0.89%	0.00089	-18.35%	0.1697	✗	3.28
2025-02-11	in	0.00141	0.001419	+0.62%	0.00109	-22.70%	0.3383	✗	3.46
2025-02-10	in	0.00137	0.001379	+0.65%	0.00141	+2.92%	0.0831	✓	3.52
2025-02-09	in	0.00155	0.001559	+0.58%	0.00137	-11.61%	0.1648	✗	3.55
2025-02-08	in	0.00157	0.00158	+0.61%	0.00155	-1.27%	0.0189	✗	3.55
2025-02-07	in	0.00147	0.001481	+0.73%	0.00157	+6.80%	0.0608	✓	3.56
2025-02-06	in	0.0016	0.001611	+0.69%	0.00147	-8.13%	0.0906	✗	3.56
2025-02-05	in	0.00144	0.001452	+0.85%	0.0016	+11.11%	0.0996	✓	3.56
2025-02-04	in	0.00134	0.001353	+0.96%	0.00144	+7.46%	0.1053	✓	3.61
2025-02-03	in	0.00176	0.001771	+0.64%	0.00134	-23.86%	0.1506	✗	3.49
2025-02-02	in	0.00141	0.001424	+1.02%	0.00176	+24.82%	0.0842	✓	3.35
2025-02-01	in	0.00172	0.001736	+0.92%	0.00141	-18.02%	0.1100	✗	3.29
2025-01-31	in	0.00205	0.002066	+0.77%	0.00172	-16.10%	0.1261	✗	3.24
2025-01-30	in	0.0024	0.002414	+0.57%	0.00205	-14.58%	0.0913	✗	3.20
2025-01-29	in	0.0025	0.002517	+0.68%	0.0024	-4.00%	0.0783	✗	3.21
2025-01-28	in	0.00234	0.002364	+1.02%	0.0025	+6.84%	0.0206	✗	3.20
2025-01-27	in	0.00272	0.002744	+0.89%	0.00234	-13.97%	0.1352	✗	3.17
2025-01-26	in	0.0031	0.003123	+0.74%	0.00272	-12.26%	0.1228	✗	3.15
2025-01-25	in	0.00411	0.004099	-0.27%	0.0031	-24.57%	0.2161	✓	3.02
2025-01-24	in	0.00459	0.004566	-0.53%	0.00411	-10.46%	0.1018	✓	3.01
2025-01-23	in	0.00502	0.004989	-0.61%	0.00459	-8.57%	0.1103	✓	3.03
2025-01-22	in	0.00639	0.006316	-1.16%	0.00502	-21.44%	0.2372	✓	3.04
2025-01-21	in	0.00663	0.006531	-1.49%	0.00639	-3.62%	0.0515	✗	3.09
2025-01-20	in	0.00488	0.004869	-0.22%	0.00663	+35.86%	0.2003	✗	2.81
2025-01-19	in	0.00512	0.005107	-0.26%	0.00488	-4.69%	0.0714	✓	2.83
2025-01-18	in	0.0073	0.007234	-0.90%	0.00512	-29.86%	0.2664	✓	2.53
2025-01-17	in	0.00945	0.009348	-1.08%	0.0073	-22.75%	0.2553	✓	2.55
2025-01-16	in	0.01091	0.010777	-1.22%	0.00945	-13.38%	0.2495	✓	2.92
2025-01-15	in	0.01372	0.013489	-1.68%	0.01091	-20.48%	0.1971	✓	2.87
2025-01-14	in	0.01037	0.010259	-1.07%	0.01372	+32.30%	0.1862	✗	2.59
2025-01-13	in	0.01316	0.013013	-1.11%	0.01037	-21.20%	0.2879	✓	2.86
2025-01-12	in	0.01678	0.016546	-1.40%	0.01316	-21.57%	0.2288	✓	2.87
2025-01-11	in	0.01601	0.015813	-1.23%	0.01678	+4.81%	0.0611	✗	2.87
2025-01-10	in	0.01991	0.019574	-1.69%	0.01601	-19.59%	0.1969	✓	2.86
2025-01-09	in	0.02065	0.020258	-1.90%	0.01991	-3.58%	0.0860	✓	2.99
2025-01-08	in	0.01796	0.017691	-1.50%	0.02065	+14.98%	0.2403	✗	3.23
2025-01-07	in	0.02282	0.022417	-1.77%	0.01796	-21.30%	0.1610	✓	3.06
2025-01-06	in	0.02644	0.0258	-2.42%	0.02282	-13.69%	0.0411	✗	3.06
2025-01-05	in	0.02288	0.022357	-2.28%	0.02644	+15.56%	0.0486	✗	3.04
2025-01-04	in	0.02024	0.01983	-2.03%	0.02288	+13.04%	0.1389	✗	3.03
2025-01-03	in	0.02086	0.020263	-2.86%	0.02024	-2.97%	0.0034	✓	3.03
2025-01-02	in	0.0165	0.016077	-2.56%	0.02086	+26.42%	0.2238	✗	2.90
2025-01-01	in	0.01285	0.012646	-1.58%	0.0165	+28.40%	0.1970	✗	2.62
2024-12-31	in	0.01281	0.012596	-1.67%	0.01285	+0.31%	0.0090	✓	2.64
2024-12-30	in	0.01329	0.013051	-1.80%	0.01281	-3.61%	0.0397	✓	2.68
2024-12-29	in	0.0112	0.011037	-1.45%	0.01329	+18.66%	0.2139	✗	2.78
2024-12-28	in	0.01553	0.015144	-2.48%	0.0112	-27.88%	0.2851	✓	1.00
2024-12-27	in	0.01222	0.011919	-2.46%	0.01553	+27.09%	0.2545	✗	1.00
2024-12-26	in	0.0079	0.007878	-0.28%	0.01222	+54.68%	0.4548	✗	1.00
2024-12-25	in	0.00906	0.008983	-0.85%	0.0079	-12.80%	0.0908	✓	1.00
2024-12-24	in	0.00997	0.009861	-1.09%	0.00906	-9.13%	0.0923	✓	1.00
2024-12-23	in	0.01	0.009893	-1.07%	0.00997	-0.30%	0.0319	✓	1.00
2024-12-22	in	0.0084	0.008368	-0.38%	0.01	+19.05%	0.1816	✗	1.00
2024-12-21	in	0.00752	0.007518	-0.03%	0.0084	+11.70%	0.1332	✗	1.00
2024-12-20	in	0.00682	0.006843	+0.34%	0.00752	+10.26%	0.0998	✓	1.00
2024-12-19	in	0.00766	0.007666	+0.07%	0.00682	-10.97%	0.1209	✗	1.00
2024-12-18	in	0.01118	0.011092	-0.79%	0.00766	-31.48%	0.3421	✓	1.00
2024-12-17	in	0.01372	0.013589	-0.95%	0.01118	-18.51%	0.1371	✓	1.00
2024-12-16	in	0.01609	0.015824	-1.65%	0.01372	-14.73%	0.1430	✓	1.00
2024-12-15	in	0.01238	0.012266	-0.92%	0.01609	+29.97%	0.2556	✗	1.00
2024-12-14	in	0.01074	0.010662	-0.73%	0.01238	+15.27%	0.1198	✗	1.00
2024-12-13	in	0.00983	0.009777	-0.54%	0.01074	+9.26%	0.0942	✗	1.00
2024-12-12	in	0.01099	0.010918	-0.65%	0.00983	-10.56%	0.1189	✓	1.00
2024-12-11	in	0.01188	0.011774	-0.89%	0.01099	-7.49%	0.0573	✓	1.00
2024-12-10	in	0.00939	0.009361	-0.31%	0.01188	+26.52%	0.1924	✗	1.00
2024-12-09	in	0.00936	0.009329	-0.33%	0.00939	+0.32%	0.0133	✗	1.00
2024-12-08	in	0.01153	0.011465	-0.56%	0.00936	-18.82%	0.1641	✓	1.00