MICRODUCK
microduck · Robinhood · gru_s5
- token id
- #784
- symbol
- MICRODUCK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-29
- predictions
- 138
Track record at +30d
assessed
16
of 46 predictions shown
direction hit
100.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
1.0743
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1461
actual -1.2204
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.003037 | 0.002417 | -20.41% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.002985 | 0.002332 | -21.89% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0018 | 0.001572 | -12.63% | – | pending | – | – | 0.84 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.001942 | 0.001682 | -13.41% | – | pending | – | – | 0.88 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.001786 | 0.001564 | -12.42% | – | pending | – | – | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002094 | 0.001795 | -14.29% | – | pending | – | – | 0.95 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002361 | 0.001974 | -16.39% | – | pending | – | – | 0.94 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.002423 | 0.001999 | -17.49% | – | pending | – | – | 0.95 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002253 | 0.001895 | -15.90% | – | pending | – | – | 0.91 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.002043 | 0.001756 | -14.03% | – | pending | – | – | 1.10 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.002155 | 0.001843 | -14.46% | – | pending | – | – | 1.12 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.001829 | 0.001621 | -11.39% | – | pending | – | – | 1.50 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.001829 | 0.001629 | -10.96% | – | pending | – | – | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.001849 | 0.001646 | -10.96% | – | pending | – | – | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.002105 | 0.001838 | -12.67% | – | pending | – | – | 1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.002412 | 0.00204 | -15.44% | – | pending | – | – | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00238 | 0.002 | -15.95% | – | pending | – | – | 1.66 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.002877 | 0.002324 | -19.22% | – | pending | – | – | 1.62 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.002327 | 0.001983 | -14.74% | – | pending | – | – | 1.84 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.001718 | 0.001537 | -10.54% | – | pending | – | – | 1.42 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.001685 | 0.001506 | -10.59% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.001688 | 0.001501 | -11.06% | – | pending | – | – | 1.45 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00239 | 0.002203 | -7.84% | – | pending | – | – | 1.73 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.003095 | 0.002821 | -8.84% | – | pending | – | – | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.003635 | 0.003249 | -10.64% | – | pending | – | – | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00367 | 0.003266 | -11.00% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.004564 | 0.003884 | -14.90% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.004941 | 0.004138 | -16.25% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.004495 | 0.003868 | -13.94% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.004587 | 0.003945 | -14.00% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.004842 | 0.0041 | -15.32% | 0.003037 | -37.29% | 0.2771 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.005348 | 0.004448 | -16.83% | 0.002985 | -44.18% | 0.3685 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.004465 | 0.003939 | -11.78% | 0.0018 | -59.70% | 0.8051 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.004269 | 0.003804 | -10.89% | 0.001942 | -54.51% | 0.6798 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.005603 | 0.004931 | -11.99% | 0.001786 | -68.12% | 1.0295 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.005509 | 0.004938 | -10.37% | 0.002094 | -61.99% | 0.9216 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.004344 | 0.003885 | -10.57% | 0.002361 | -45.64% | 0.5658 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.005922 | 0.005362 | -9.46% | 0.002423 | -59.08% | 0.8773 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.008547 | 0.007519 | -12.03% | 0.002253 | -73.64% | 1.2476 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006287 | 0.005609 | -10.77% | 0.002043 | -67.50% | 1.0889 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.008404 | 0.007398 | -11.97% | 0.002155 | -74.36% | 1.2900 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006361 | 0.004904 | -22.92% | 0.001829 | -71.24% | 1.0664 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.008453 | 0.006709 | -20.64% | 0.001829 | -78.36% | 1.3796 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.010485 | 0.008059 | -23.14% | 0.001849 | -82.37% | 1.5254 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.017855 | 0.01636 | -8.37% | 0.002105 | -88.21% | 2.0910 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.018005 | 0.016512 | -8.29% | 0.002412 | -86.60% | 1.9752 | ✓ | 1.00 |