MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · gru_s5

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

159

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

74.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0830

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0135

actual -0.0435

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04289	0.042028	-2.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.042558	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.043221	-1.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.043028	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.044378	-2.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.045824	-2.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.044484	-2.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.044641	-2.34%	0.04289	-6.17%	0.0614	✓	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.043386	-2.30%	0.043355	-2.38%	0.0024	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.042623	-2.37%	0.04405	+0.89%	0.0311	✗	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.045492	-2.65%	0.043835	-6.20%	0.0058	✓	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.041951	-2.51%	0.045285	+5.24%	0.1043	✗	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.040418	-2.54%	0.046835	+12.94%	0.1664	✗	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.039946	-2.61%	0.04549	+10.91%	0.1221	✗	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.043089	-2.83%	0.04571	+3.08%	0.0893	✗	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.044857	-2.99%	0.04441	-3.96%	0.0321	✗	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.048514	-3.05%	0.04366	-12.75%	0.0354	✓	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.047633	-3.10%	0.04673	-4.93%	0.0294	✓	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.048474	-3.00%	0.04303	-13.90%	0.0869	✓	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.044919	-3.02%	0.04147	-10.47%	0.0453	✓	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.048337	-3.59%	0.041015	-18.19%	0.1088	✓	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.040464	-3.13%	0.044345	+6.16%	0.0963	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.04066	-3.14%	0.04624	+10.15%	0.0960	✗	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.040901	-3.09%	0.05004	+18.56%	0.1628	✗	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.042501	-3.19%	0.049155	+11.97%	0.1110	✗	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.043408	-3.17%	0.049975	+11.48%	0.1353	✗	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.045136	-2.99%	0.04632	-0.44%	0.0188	✓	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.043585	-2.95%	0.050135	+11.63%	0.1320	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.042382	-2.86%	0.04177	-4.26%	0.0002	✓	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.045234	-2.82%	0.04198	-9.81%	0.0301	✓	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.043987	-2.85%	0.042205	-6.78%	0.0148	✓	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.041901	-2.53%	0.0439	+2.12%	0.0159	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.041368	-2.40%	0.04483	+5.77%	0.0202	✓	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.039965	-2.24%	0.046525	+13.81%	0.0923	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.035041	-0.71%	0.04491	+27.26%	0.1078	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.034485	-0.10%	0.04363	+26.39%	0.0934	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.034227	+0.43%	0.046545	+36.58%	0.1396	✓	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.035794	+0.23%	0.045275	+26.79%	0.1054	✓	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.035735	+0.75%	0.04299	+21.20%	0.1141	✓	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.037315	+0.65%	0.042385	+14.32%	0.0640	✓	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.037961	+0.89%	0.04088	+8.65%	0.0158	✓	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.03734	+1.29%	0.03529	-4.27%	0.0531	✗	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.03919	+1.41%	0.03452	-10.67%	0.0896	✗	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.042255	+0.26%	0.03408	-19.14%	0.1639	✗	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.040666	+1.23%	0.03571	-11.10%	0.1135	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.04036	+1.97%	0.03547	-10.38%	0.0637	✗	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.040786	+1.58%	0.037075	-7.66%	0.0481	✗	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.039397	+2.09%	0.037625	-2.50%	0.0006	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.040922	+2.13%	0.036865	-8.00%	0.0155	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.036944	+0.69%	0.038645	+5.33%	0.0264	✓	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.037543	+0.28%	0.042145	+12.57%	0.0955	✓	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.038125	+0.49%	0.04017	+5.88%	0.0427	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.036675	-0.05%	0.03958	+7.86%	0.0294	✗	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.038362	-0.12%	0.04015	+4.53%	0.0180	✗	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.037294	-0.31%	0.03859	+3.15%	0.0024	✓	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.039253	+0.31%	0.04007	+2.40%	0.0039	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.039404	-0.27%	0.03669	-7.14%	0.0411	✓	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.038719	-0.46%	0.03744	-3.75%	0.0135	✓	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.039961	-0.57%	0.03794	-5.60%	0.0446	✓	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.042312	-1.28%	0.036695	-14.38%	0.1413	✓	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.039751	-1.21%	0.03841	-4.55%	0.0557	✓	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.041814	-1.57%	0.03741	-11.94%	0.1026	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.037087	-1.91%	0.03913	+3.49%	0.0731	✓	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.034142	-2.14%	0.03951	+13.24%	0.0293	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.031321	-2.27%	0.0389	+21.37%	0.0429	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.031428	-2.40%	0.04019	+24.81%	0.0258	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.030807	-2.36%	0.04286	+35.85%	0.0439	✗	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.030542	-2.20%	0.04024	+28.85%	0.0043	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.030487	-2.13%	0.04248	+36.37%	0.0370	✗	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.031913	-2.27%	0.03781	+15.79%	0.0226	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.032431	-2.37%	0.03489	+5.03%	0.0486	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.032365	-2.34%	0.03205	-3.29%	0.0343	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.035441	-2.63%	0.0322	-11.54%	0.1080	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.035025	-2.65%	0.03155	-12.31%	0.0601	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.035206	-2.65%	0.03123	-13.65%	0.0780	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.03438	-2.55%	0.03115	-11.71%	0.0565	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.034643	-2.55%	0.032655	-8.14%	0.0404	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.035134	-2.59%	0.03322	-7.90%	0.0295	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.034952	-2.48%	0.03314	-7.53%	0.0416	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.035769	-2.51%	0.0364	-0.79%	0.0075	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.035632	-2.40%	0.03598	-1.45%	0.0205	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.035688	-2.23%	0.036165	-0.92%	0.0350	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.03579	-2.05%	0.03528	-3.45%	0.0608	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.036285	-1.93%	0.03555	-3.92%	0.0103	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.035789	-1.67%	0.03607	-0.89%	0.0072	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.038847	-1.83%	0.03584	-9.43%	0.0849	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.039056	-1.67%	0.03669	-7.63%	0.0576	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.042544	-1.63%	0.03651	-15.58%	0.1145	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.041859	-1.57%	0.0365	-14.17%	0.1047	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.042821	-1.54%	0.03654	-15.98%	0.1320	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.04257	-1.38%	0.037	-14.28%	0.1333	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.043129	-1.28%	0.036395	-16.70%	0.1235	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.042826	-1.23%	0.03957	-8.74%	0.0227	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.04226	-1.22%	0.03972	-7.15%	0.0296	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.043491	-1.27%	0.04325	-1.82%	0.0196	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.043914	-1.27%	0.042525	-4.40%	0.0214	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.042757	-1.25%	0.04349	+0.44%	0.0129	✗	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.045468	-1.37%	0.043165	-6.37%	0.0794	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.04732	-1.47%	0.04369	-9.03%	0.1087	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.048317	-1.47%	0.04336	-11.58%	0.1403	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.046612	-1.37%	0.04278	-9.48%	0.1502	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.045432	-1.44%	0.04405	-4.44%	0.0522	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.046009	-1.44%	0.04448	-4.71%	0.0569	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.046768	-1.40%	0.0433	-8.71%	0.0717	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.04733	-1.31%	0.0461	-3.88%	0.0401	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.046722	-1.28%	0.048025	+1.47%	0.0296	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.049604	-1.42%	0.04904	-2.54%	0.0491	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.04871	-1.42%	0.04726	-4.35%	0.0101	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.050558	-1.48%	0.046095	-10.18%	0.0961	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.051626	-1.51%	0.04668	-10.95%	0.1168	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.050286	-1.46%	0.04743	-7.05%	0.0959	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.048886	-1.38%	0.04796	-3.25%	0.0586	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.044588	-1.22%	0.04733	+4.85%	0.0088	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.044684	-1.21%	0.05032	+11.25%	0.0092	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.047424	-1.39%	0.04941	+2.74%	0.0445	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.045089	-1.32%	0.05132	+12.32%	0.0396	✗	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.04666	-1.25%	0.05242	+10.94%	0.0476	✗	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.046178	-1.14%	0.05103	+9.25%	0.0449	✗	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.046027	-1.04%	0.04957	+6.58%	0.0350	✗	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.050072	-1.22%	0.04514	-10.95%	0.0817	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.054695	-1.47%	0.04523	-18.52%	0.1048	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.054934	-1.60%	0.04809	-13.86%	0.0546	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.05558	-1.59%	0.04569	-19.10%	0.1167	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.05379	-1.66%	0.04725	-13.62%	0.0374	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.056034	-1.76%	0.04671	-18.11%	0.1051	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.060885	-2.07%	0.04651	-25.19%	0.1955	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.056004	-1.94%	0.05069	-11.24%	0.0126	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.056229	-2.19%	0.05551	-3.44%	0.0616	✗	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.058743	-2.55%	0.055825	-7.39%	0.0063	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.060975	-3.01%	0.05648	-10.16%	0.0142	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.060785	-3.07%	0.0547	-12.77%	0.1002	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.046086	-1.21%	0.05704	+22.27%	0.2146	✗	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.045607	-1.05%	0.06217	+34.89%	0.3242	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.042619	+0.23%	0.05711	+34.31%	0.2362	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.047071	-0.29%	0.05749	+21.78%	0.1263	✗	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.04972	-0.76%	0.06028	+20.32%	0.1338	✗	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.048494	+0.03%	0.06287	+29.68%	0.2157	✓	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.045728	+2.53%	0.06271	+40.61%	0.2607	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.047391	+2.78%	0.04665	+1.17%	0.0546	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.051295	+1.43%	0.04609	-8.86%	0.1036	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.054839	+1.01%	0.04252	-21.68%	0.2170	✗	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.055024	+0.85%	0.04721	-13.47%	0.0676	✗	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.058672	-0.77%	0.0501	-15.27%	0.0064	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.060282	-1.13%	0.04848	-20.49%	0.0152	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.062359	-1.11%	0.0446	-29.27%	0.0367	✓	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.061409	-0.35%	0.04611	-25.18%	0.1025	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.063188	-0.33%	0.05057	-20.24%	0.0812	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.067001	-0.78%	0.05429	-19.61%	0.0616	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.06719	-0.75%	0.05456	-19.41%	0.0794	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.072794	-1.52%	0.05913	-20.00%	0.1280	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.076237	-1.48%	0.06097	-21.21%	0.1783	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.079093	-1.32%	0.06306	-21.32%	0.1883	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.079655	-0.83%	0.061625	-23.28%	0.2287	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.085494	-1.73%	0.0634	-27.13%	0.2455	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.080824	-0.96%	0.06753	-17.25%	0.1381	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.080638	-0.59%	0.0677	-16.54%	0.1625	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.085224	-0.90%	0.073915	-14.05%	0.1463	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.088938	-1.11%	0.07738	-13.96%	0.1336	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.091613	-1.20%	0.08015	-13.57%	0.1149	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.098778	-1.48%	0.08032	-19.89%	0.1601	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.103768	-1.53%	0.087	-17.44%	0.1317	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.101808	-1.51%	0.081605	-21.06%	0.1981	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.108077	-1.54%	0.08112	-26.10%	0.2396	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.116774	-1.51%	0.086	-27.47%	0.2456	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.125076	-1.45%	0.08994	-29.14%	0.2697	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.123602	-1.52%	0.09273	-26.12%	0.2552	✓	1.00