MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · gru_s5

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

166

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

61.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0327

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0034

actual -0.0068

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.04613	0.045826	-0.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-21	oos	0.04599	0.045733	-0.56%	0.04613	+0.30%	0.0051	✓	1.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.043173	-0.42%	0.04599	+6.08%	0.0432	✗	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.043858	-0.44%	0.043355	-1.58%	0.0321	✓	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.043635	-0.46%	0.04405	+0.49%	0.0126	✗	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.045061	-0.50%	0.043835	-3.20%	0.0393	✓	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.046565	-0.58%	0.045285	-3.31%	0.0256	✓	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.045232	-0.57%	0.046835	+2.96%	0.0466	✗	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.04547	-0.52%	0.04549	-0.48%	0.0101	✓	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.044213	-0.44%	0.04571	+2.93%	0.0631	✗	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.043459	-0.46%	0.04441	+1.72%	0.0048	✓	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.046397	-0.71%	0.04366	-6.57%	0.0244	✓	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.042837	-0.45%	0.04673	+8.60%	0.0732	✗	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.041304	-0.40%	0.04303	+3.76%	0.0343	✗	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.040857	-0.38%	0.04147	+1.11%	0.0006	✓	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.044125	-0.50%	0.041015	-7.51%	0.0451	✓	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.045999	-0.52%	0.044345	-4.10%	0.0025	✓	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.049684	-0.71%	0.04624	-7.59%	0.0683	✓	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.048834	-0.65%	0.05004	+1.80%	0.0373	✗	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.049577	-0.80%	0.049155	-1.64%	0.0390	✓	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.045954	-0.79%	0.049975	+7.89%	0.0797	✗	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.049404	-1.46%	0.04632	-7.61%	0.0585	✓	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.041556	-0.51%	0.050135	+20.03%	0.1660	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.041767	-0.51%	0.04177	-0.50%	0.0015	✓	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.041975	-0.54%	0.04198	-0.53%	0.0030	✓	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.043648	-0.57%	0.042205	-3.86%	0.0164	✓	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.044568	-0.58%	0.0439	-2.07%	0.0159	✓	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.046191	-0.72%	0.04483	-3.64%	0.0355	✓	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.044631	-0.62%	0.046525	+3.60%	0.0466	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.043376	-0.58%	0.04491	+2.93%	0.0346	✗	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.046184	-0.78%	0.04363	-6.26%	0.0254	✓	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.044919	-0.79%	0.046545	+2.81%	0.0425	✗	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.042697	-0.68%	0.045275	+5.32%	0.0430	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.042085	-0.71%	0.04299	+1.43%	0.0227	✗	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.040604	-0.68%	0.042385	+3.68%	0.0362	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.035232	-0.16%	0.04088	+15.84%	0.0679	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.034506	-0.04%	0.03529	+2.23%	0.0188	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.034101	+0.06%	0.03452	+1.29%	0.0028	✓	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.035689	-0.06%	0.03408	-4.56%	0.0034	✓	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.035481	+0.03%	0.03571	+0.68%	0.0163	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.037066	-0.02%	0.03547	-4.33%	0.0364	✓	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.037615	-0.03%	0.037075	-1.46%	0.0153	✓	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.036873	+0.02%	0.037625	+2.06%	0.0083	✓	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.038624	-0.05%	0.036865	-4.61%	0.0162	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.042016	-0.31%	0.038645	-8.30%	0.0808	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.040112	-0.14%	0.042145	+4.92%	0.0610	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.039551	-0.07%	0.04017	+1.49%	0.0383	✗	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.040098	-0.13%	0.03958	-1.42%	0.0222	✓	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.03856	-0.08%	0.04015	+4.04%	0.0375	✗	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.040014	-0.14%	0.03859	-3.69%	0.0069	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.036645	-0.12%	0.04007	+9.21%	0.0153	✗	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.037368	-0.19%	0.03669	-2.00%	0.0165	✓	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.037866	-0.20%	0.03744	-1.32%	0.0100	✗	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.036614	-0.22%	0.03794	+3.39%	0.0197	✗	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.038317	-0.24%	0.036695	-4.46%	0.0333	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.037323	-0.23%	0.03841	+2.67%	0.0218	✗	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.039058	-0.18%	0.03741	-4.40%	0.0010	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.039412	-0.25%	0.03913	-0.96%	0.0288	✓	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.038801	-0.26%	0.03951	+1.57%	0.0093	✗	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.040069	-0.30%	0.0389	-3.21%	0.0217	✓	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.042633	-0.53%	0.04019	-6.23%	0.0818	✓	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.040062	-0.44%	0.04286	+6.51%	0.0552	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.042195	-0.67%	0.04024	-5.27%	0.0246	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.037561	-0.66%	0.04248	+12.35%	0.0292	✗	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.034699	-0.55%	0.03781	+8.37%	0.0162	✗	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.0319	-0.47%	0.03489	+8.86%	0.0027	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.032035	-0.51%	0.03205	-0.47%	0.0038	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.031402	-0.47%	0.0322	+2.06%	0.0096	✓	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.031108	-0.39%	0.03155	+1.02%	0.0180	✗	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.031042	-0.35%	0.03123	+0.26%	0.0051	✗	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.032529	-0.38%	0.03115	-4.61%	0.0336	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.033085	-0.40%	0.032655	-1.70%	0.0134	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.033015	-0.38%	0.03322	+0.24%	0.0088	✗	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.036213	-0.51%	0.03314	-8.96%	0.0805	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.035798	-0.51%	0.0364	+1.17%	0.0372	✗	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.035985	-0.50%	0.03598	-0.51%	0.0012	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.035123	-0.45%	0.036165	+2.51%	0.0289	✗	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.035393	-0.44%	0.03528	-0.76%	0.0169	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.035905	-0.46%	0.03555	-1.44%	0.0025	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.035686	-0.43%	0.03607	+0.64%	0.0016	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.036518	-0.47%	0.03584	-2.32%	0.0319	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.036348	-0.44%	0.03669	+0.49%	0.0101	✗	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.036351	-0.41%	0.03651	+0.03%	0.0124	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.036407	-0.36%	0.0365	-0.11%	0.0039	✗	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.036877	-0.33%	0.03654	-1.24%	0.0335	✗	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.036301	-0.26%	0.037	+1.66%	0.0015	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.039425	-0.37%	0.036395	-8.02%	0.0810	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.039592	-0.32%	0.03957	-0.38%	0.0038	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.043098	-0.35%	0.03972	-8.16%	0.0473	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.04239	-0.32%	0.04325	+1.70%	0.0015	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.043346	-0.33%	0.042525	-2.22%	0.0235	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.043044	-0.28%	0.04349	+0.75%	0.0307	✗	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.04358	-0.25%	0.043165	-1.20%	0.0121	✗	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.043264	-0.22%	0.04369	+0.76%	0.0187	✗	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.042689	-0.21%	0.04336	+1.36%	0.0116	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.043946	-0.24%	0.04278	-2.88%	0.0382	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.044382	-0.22%	0.04405	-0.97%	0.0051	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.043218	-0.19%	0.04448	+2.73%	0.0095	✗	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.045982	-0.26%	0.0433	-6.07%	0.0628	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.047887	-0.29%	0.0461	-4.01%	0.0177	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.048873	-0.34%	0.048025	-2.07%	0.0117	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.047091	-0.36%	0.04904	+3.77%	0.0191	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.045962	-0.29%	0.04726	+2.53%	0.0618	✗	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.046547	-0.28%	0.046095	-1.25%	0.0090	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.047302	-0.27%	0.04668	-1.58%	0.0052	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.047834	-0.26%	0.04743	-1.11%	0.0304	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.047212	-0.25%	0.04796	+1.33%	0.0061	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.050164	-0.31%	0.04733	-5.94%	0.0331	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.04927	-0.28%	0.05032	+1.84%	0.0367	✗	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.051149	-0.33%	0.04941	-3.72%	0.0443	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.052216	-0.39%	0.05132	-2.10%	0.0290	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.050845	-0.36%	0.05242	+2.72%	0.0172	✗	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.0494	-0.34%	0.05103	+2.95%	0.0081	✗	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.045038	-0.23%	0.04957	+9.81%	0.0616	✗	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.045121	-0.24%	0.04514	-0.20%	0.0333	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.047949	-0.29%	0.04523	-5.95%	0.0202	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.045586	-0.23%	0.04809	+5.25%	0.0380	✗	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.047133	-0.25%	0.04569	-3.30%	0.0207	✓	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.046606	-0.22%	0.04725	+1.16%	0.0152	✗	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.046421	-0.19%	0.04671	+0.43%	0.0004	✓	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.05055	-0.28%	0.04651	-8.25%	0.0558	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.055287	-0.40%	0.05069	-8.68%	0.0531	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.05559	-0.42%	0.05551	-0.56%	0.0251	✗	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.05623	-0.44%	0.055825	-1.16%	0.0218	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.054482	-0.40%	0.05648	+3.25%	0.0567	✗	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.056752	-0.50%	0.0547	-4.10%	0.0528	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.061698	-0.76%	0.05704	-8.25%	0.0919	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.056807	-0.53%	0.06217	+8.86%	0.1290	✗	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.057128	-0.63%	0.05711	-0.66%	0.0286	✗	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.05975	-0.88%	0.05749	-4.63%	0.0225	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.062042	-1.32%	0.06028	-4.12%	0.0429	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.061835	-1.39%	0.06287	+0.26%	0.0157	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.046551	-0.21%	0.06271	+34.43%	0.2793	✗	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.046012	-0.17%	0.04665	+1.22%	0.0143	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.042532	+0.03%	0.04609	+8.40%	0.0402	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.047175	-0.08%	0.04252	-9.93%	0.0993	✓	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.05001	-0.18%	0.04721	-5.77%	0.0315	✓	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.048474	-0.01%	0.0501	+3.34%	0.0375	✗	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.044742	+0.32%	0.04848	+8.70%	0.0421	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.046274	+0.36%	0.0446	-3.27%	0.0340	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.050667	+0.19%	0.04611	-8.82%	0.0542	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.054359	+0.13%	0.05057	-6.85%	0.0689	✗	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.054632	+0.13%	0.05429	-0.49%	0.0380	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.059074	-0.09%	0.05456	-7.73%	0.0108	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.060899	-0.12%	0.05913	-3.02%	0.0189	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.062988	-0.11%	0.06097	-3.31%	0.0284	✓	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.061663	+0.06%	0.06306	+2.33%	0.0169	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.063456	+0.09%	0.061625	-2.80%	0.0273	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.067552	+0.03%	0.0634	-6.12%	0.0526	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.067782	+0.12%	0.06753	-0.25%	0.0164	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.073874	-0.06%	0.0677	-8.41%	0.0687	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.077321	-0.08%	0.073915	-4.48%	0.0486	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.080085	-0.08%	0.07738	-3.46%	0.0386	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.080352	+0.04%	0.08015	-0.21%	0.0184	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.086706	-0.34%	0.08032	-7.68%	0.0490	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.081672	+0.08%	0.087	+6.61%	0.0623	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.081303	+0.23%	0.081605	+0.60%	0.0055	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.086049	+0.06%	0.08112	-5.67%	0.0567	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.089855	-0.09%	0.086	-4.38%	0.0378	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.092555	-0.19%	0.08994	-3.01%	0.0197	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.09991	-0.35%	0.09273	-7.51%	0.0624	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.104989	-0.37%	0.10026	-4.86%	0.0208	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.10301	-0.35%	0.10538	+1.94%	0.0004	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.109393	-0.34%	0.10337	-5.83%	0.0417	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.118158	-0.35%	0.10977	-7.42%	0.0583	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.126426	-0.39%	0.11857	-6.58%	0.0584	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.124963	-0.44%	0.12692	+1.12%	0.0034	✓	1.00