MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · gru_s5

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

137

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

72.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1781

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0300

actual -0.1607

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.04613	0.043598	-5.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-21	oos	0.04599	0.043723	-4.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.041383	-4.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.04187	-4.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.041625	-5.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.042827	-5.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.044137	-5.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.043011	-5.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.043187	-5.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.042243	-4.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.04131	-5.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.043965	-5.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.040803	-5.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.039313	-5.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.038788	-5.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.04189	-5.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.043832	-5.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.046969	-6.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.046326	-5.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.046665	-6.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.043374	-6.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.045985	-8.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.03951	-5.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.039734	-5.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.039924	-5.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.041563	-5.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.042421	-5.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.043823	-5.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.042641	-5.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.041697	-4.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.044292	-4.84%	0.04613	-0.89%	0.0750	✗	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.043325	-4.31%	0.04599	+1.58%	0.1055	✗	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.040766	-5.17%	0.043355	+0.85%	0.0276	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.040315	-4.88%	0.04405	+3.93%	0.0770	✗	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.039127	-4.29%	0.043835	+7.23%	0.0924	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.034088	-3.41%	0.045285	+28.32%	0.1945	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.033601	-2.66%	0.046835	+35.67%	0.2382	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.033261	-2.40%	0.04549	+33.48%	0.2071	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.035047	-1.86%	0.04571	+28.00%	0.2118	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.034765	-1.99%	0.04441	+25.20%	0.1438	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.036396	-1.83%	0.04366	+17.76%	0.1107	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.036984	-1.70%	0.04673	+24.20%	0.1328	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.036297	-1.54%	0.04303	+16.72%	0.0616	✗	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.03834	-0.79%	0.04147	+7.31%	0.0071	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.04129	-2.03%	0.041015	-2.68%	0.0623	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.039865	-0.76%	0.044345	+10.39%	0.0337	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.039645	+0.16%	0.04624	+16.83%	0.0627	✓	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.040044	-0.26%	0.05004	+24.63%	0.1194	✗	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.038774	+0.48%	0.049155	+27.38%	0.1153	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.040447	+0.94%	0.049975	+24.72%	0.1493	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.036447	-0.66%	0.04632	+26.25%	0.1077	✗	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.037003	-1.17%	0.050135	+33.91%	0.1666	✗	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.037702	-0.63%	0.04177	+10.09%	0.0145	✗	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.036265	-1.17%	0.04198	+14.40%	0.0439	✗	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.038138	-0.71%	0.042205	+9.88%	0.0133	✗	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.037206	-0.55%	0.0439	+17.35%	0.0543	✗	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.039899	+1.97%	0.04483	+14.57%	0.0478	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.040019	+1.29%	0.046525	+17.75%	0.0651	✓	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.03951	+1.57%	0.04491	+15.45%	0.0283	✓	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.041012	+2.05%	0.04363	+8.56%	0.0285	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.042966	+0.25%	0.046545	+8.60%	0.0673	✗	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.040536	+0.74%	0.045275	+12.51%	0.0539	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.042897	+0.98%	0.04299	+1.20%	0.0474	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.036883	-2.45%	0.042385	+12.10%	0.0036	✓	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.033378	-4.33%	0.04088	+17.17%	0.0034	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.030326	-5.38%	0.03529	+10.11%	0.0704	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.030386	-5.63%	0.03452	+7.20%	0.0952	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.029732	-5.76%	0.03408	+8.02%	0.1121	✓	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.029526	-5.46%	0.03571	+14.35%	0.1008	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.029543	-5.16%	0.03547	+13.87%	0.0854	✓	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.031023	-5.00%	0.037075	+13.54%	0.0911	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.031547	-5.04%	0.037625	+13.26%	0.0936	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.031453	-5.09%	0.036865	+11.24%	0.0961	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.034345	-5.65%	0.038645	+6.17%	0.1604	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.033901	-5.78%	0.042145	+17.13%	0.0507	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.034034	-5.89%	0.04017	+11.07%	0.1138	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.033267	-5.71%	0.03958	+12.19%	0.1268	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.033541	-5.65%	0.04015	+12.94%	0.1280	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.033932	-5.93%	0.03859	+6.99%	0.1698	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.033662	-6.08%	0.04007	+11.80%	0.1652	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.034316	-6.47%	0.03669	+0.00%	0.2155	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.034082	-6.65%	0.03744	+2.55%	0.1901	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.034031	-6.76%	0.03794	+3.95%	0.2140	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.034081	-6.73%	0.036695	+0.42%	0.2302	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.034856	-5.80%	0.03841	+3.81%	0.1750	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.03437	-5.56%	0.03741	+2.79%	0.1853	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.037536	-5.14%	0.03913	-1.11%	0.2732	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.037836	-4.74%	0.03951	-0.53%	0.2530	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.04169	-3.61%	0.0389	-10.06%	0.3164	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.041053	-3.46%	0.04019	-5.49%	0.2967	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.04207	-3.27%	0.04286	-1.45%	0.2404	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.042194	-2.25%	0.04024	-6.78%	0.2777	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.043074	-1.41%	0.04248	-2.77%	0.2469	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.042923	-1.01%	0.03781	-12.80%	0.2551	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.042282	-1.16%	0.03489	-18.44%	0.2758	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.043423	-1.42%	0.03205	-27.24%	0.3037	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.044028	-1.02%	0.0322	-27.61%	0.3060	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.042901	-0.92%	0.03155	-27.14%	0.2844	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.045562	-1.17%	0.03123	-32.26%	0.3613	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.04746	-1.18%	0.03115	-35.14%	0.3835	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.048428	-1.25%	0.032655	-33.41%	0.3605	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.046433	-1.75%	0.03322	-29.71%	0.3603	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.045601	-1.07%	0.03314	-28.11%	0.3144	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.046282	-0.85%	0.0364	-22.02%	0.2433	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.04719	-0.51%	0.03598	-24.14%	0.2874	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.047796	-0.34%	0.036165	-24.59%	0.3185	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.047241	-0.19%	0.03528	-25.46%	0.3530	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.050054	-0.53%	0.03555	-29.35%	0.3636	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.049345	-0.13%	0.03607	-27.00%	0.3271	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.051068	-0.49%	0.03584	-30.16%	0.3649	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.052092	-0.62%	0.03669	-30.01%	0.3594	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.050856	-0.34%	0.03651	-28.45%	0.3543	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.04956	-0.02%	0.0365	-26.37%	0.3359	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.04549	+0.78%	0.03654	-19.05%	0.2828	✗	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.045496	+0.59%	0.037	-18.20%	0.3467	✗	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.048178	+0.18%	0.036395	-24.32%	0.3637	✗	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.045995	+0.67%	0.03957	-13.39%	0.2458	✗	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.047495	+0.52%	0.03972	-15.94%	0.2605	✗	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.047101	+0.84%	0.04325	-7.41%	0.1994	✗	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.047012	+1.08%	0.042525	-8.57%	0.1990	✗	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.050782	+0.18%	0.04349	-14.20%	0.2194	✗	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.054776	-1.32%	0.043165	-22.24%	0.2854	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.054953	-1.56%	0.04369	-21.74%	0.2716	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.055543	-1.66%	0.04336	-23.23%	0.3130	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.054013	-1.26%	0.04278	-21.79%	0.2536	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.055973	-1.87%	0.04405	-22.77%	0.2653	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.059934	-3.60%	0.04448	-28.45%	0.3410	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.055848	-2.21%	0.0433	-24.18%	0.2409	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.055884	-2.79%	0.0461	-19.81%	0.1466	✓	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.057712	-4.26%	0.048025	-20.33%	0.1456	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.059174	-5.88%	0.04904	-22.00%	0.1700	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.058983	-5.94%	0.04726	-24.64%	0.1654	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.047184	+1.15%	0.046095	-1.19%	0.0276	✗	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.046638	+1.19%	0.04668	+1.28%	0.0035	✓	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.043713	+2.81%	0.04743	+11.55%	0.0310	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.047745	+1.13%	0.04796	+1.59%	0.0239	✗	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.049851	-0.50%	0.04733	-5.53%	0.0363	✓	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.048402	-0.16%	0.05032	+3.80%	0.0385	✗	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.045222	+1.39%	0.04941	+10.78%	0.0399	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.046483	+0.81%	0.05132	+11.30%	0.0595	✓	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.049976	-1.18%	0.05242	+3.66%	0.0580	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.052994	-2.39%	0.05103	-6.00%	0.0160	✓	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.052783	-3.26%	0.04957	-9.15%	0.0264	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.055581	-6.00%	0.04514	-23.66%	0.0237	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.056623	-7.13%	0.04523	-25.82%	0.1301	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.058331	-7.50%	0.04809	-23.74%	0.1230	✗	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.05738	-6.89%	0.04569	-25.86%	0.0179	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.058879	-7.13%	0.04725	-25.47%	0.0158	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.062211	-7.88%	0.04671	-30.83%	0.0726	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.062349	-7.90%	0.04651	-31.30%	0.0540	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.06728	-8.98%	0.05069	-31.42%	0.0467	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.07038	-9.05%	0.05551	-28.26%	0.0313	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.072959	-8.97%	0.055825	-30.35%	0.0865	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.073445	-8.56%	0.05648	-29.68%	0.0861	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.078603	-9.65%	0.0547	-37.13%	0.1740	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.074747	-8.40%	0.05704	-30.10%	0.0710	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.07473	-7.88%	0.06217	-23.36%	0.0156	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.079424	-7.65%	0.05711	-33.59%	0.1526	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.083258	-7.43%	0.05749	-36.08%	0.2051	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.086425	-6.80%	0.06028	-34.99%	0.1961	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.094062	-6.18%	0.06287	-37.29%	0.2179	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.100183	-4.93%	0.06271	-40.49%	0.2386	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.097457	-5.72%	0.04665	-54.87%	0.5153	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.104718	-4.60%	0.04609	-58.01%	0.5846	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.114428	-3.49%	0.04252	-64.14%	0.7048	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.123082	-3.02%	0.04721	-62.80%	0.6711	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.120669	-3.86%	0.0501	-60.08%	0.6330	✓	1.00