LONGXIA

? · · gru_s5

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

Track record at +7d

assessed

40

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

77.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.6173

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0364

actual -0.1668

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.02189	0.022103	+0.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.021587	+1.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.020947	+2.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.021566	+3.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.027873	+1.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.029538	+1.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.030546	+1.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.030347	+2.44%	0.02189	-26.11%	0.3463	✗	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.04655	-4.26%	0.021195	-56.41%	0.7849	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.039663	-1.57%	0.020355	-49.49%	0.6680	✓	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.042705	-2.97%	0.02088	-52.56%	0.7022	✓	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.044861	-3.05%	0.02746	-40.65%	0.4779	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.044836	-2.53%	0.029085	-36.77%	0.4240	✓	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.050118	-3.55%	0.029995	-42.27%	0.5174	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.040714	-1.08%	0.029625	-28.02%	0.2959	✓	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.062297	-5.84%	0.04862	-26.51%	0.2408	✓	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.044298	-2.51%	0.040295	-11.32%	0.0784	✓	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.044255	-2.29%	0.04401	-2.83%	0.0058	✓	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.048836	-2.22%	0.04627	-7.36%	0.0434	✓	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.039152	-0.10%	0.046	+17.38%	0.1720	✗	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.101588	-7.79%	0.05196	-52.84%	0.6676	✓	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.036635	+2.05%	0.04116	+14.65%	0.1132	✓	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.067833	-1.66%	0.06616	-4.08%	0.0012	✓	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.068812	-2.01%	0.04544	-35.29%	0.3864	✓	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.084919	-3.23%	0.04529	-48.39%	0.5976	✓	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.099208	-4.42%	0.049945	-51.88%	0.6813	✓	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.123881	-4.84%	0.03919	-69.89%	1.1558	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.090229	-12.77%	0.110175	+6.51%	0.1942	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.158074	-5.98%	0.0359	-78.65%	1.4725	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.120331	-13.72%	0.068975	-50.54%	0.5264	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.21987	-6.15%	0.070225	-70.03%	1.1044	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.224365	-5.85%	0.08775	-63.18%	0.9787	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.213235	-5.79%	0.1038	-54.14%	0.7584	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.20949	-5.74%	0.130175	-41.43%	0.5148	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.216941	-5.96%	0.10344	-55.16%	0.8407	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.200533	-5.89%	0.16812	-21.10%	0.2790	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.184405	-5.91%	0.139465	-28.84%	0.4107	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.153392	-4.77%	0.234285	+45.45%	0.3212	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.138316	-4.42%	0.238305	+64.67%	0.4888	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.14502	-6.19%	0.226335	+46.41%	0.3950	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.069262	-1.78%	0.22224	+215.14%	1.1195	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.038726	+1.67%	0.23069	+505.64%	1.7870	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.049553	+0.81%	0.21309	+333.51%	1.4864	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.058903	+0.11%	0.195995	+233.10%	1.2394	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.054201	-0.64%	0.16108	+195.29%	1.1009	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.074052	-0.06%	0.14472	+95.30%	0.7151	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.0878	+0.07%	0.154585	+76.19%	0.5984	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.