LONGXIA

? · · gru_s5

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

Track record at +1d

assessed

46

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

56.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2350

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0084

actual -0.0313

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.02189	0.022007	+0.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.021343	+0.70%	0.02189	+3.28%	0.0293	✓	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.020543	+0.92%	0.021195	+4.13%	0.0135	✓	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.021089	+1.00%	0.020355	-2.51%	0.0327	✗	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.027633	+0.63%	0.02088	-23.96%	0.2913	✗	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.02927	+0.64%	0.02746	-5.59%	0.0617	✗	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.030203	+0.69%	0.029085	-3.03%	0.0268	✗	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.029873	+0.84%	0.029995	+1.25%	0.0056	✓	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.04812	-1.03%	0.029625	-39.07%	0.4679	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.040259	-0.09%	0.04862	+20.66%	0.1760	✗	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.043808	-0.46%	0.040295	-8.44%	0.0681	✓	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.046039	-0.50%	0.04401	-4.88%	0.0514	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.045825	-0.38%	0.04627	+0.59%	0.0066	✗	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.051535	-0.82%	0.046	-11.47%	0.1217	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.041186	+0.06%	0.05196	+26.24%	0.2528	✓	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.064846	-1.99%	0.04116	-37.79%	0.4479	✓	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.045265	-0.39%	0.06616	+45.60%	0.3804	✗	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.045157	-0.29%	0.04544	+0.33%	0.0093	✗	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.049755	-0.38%	0.04529	-9.32%	0.1040	✓	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.03931	+0.31%	0.049945	+27.44%	0.2381	✓	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.105192	-4.52%	0.03919	-64.43%	0.9871	✓	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.036183	+0.79%	0.110175	+206.89%	1.1282	✓	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.068805	-0.25%	0.0359	-47.95%	0.6516	✓	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.070061	-0.23%	0.068975	-1.78%	0.0133	✓	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.087258	-0.56%	0.070225	-19.97%	0.2327	✓	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.102971	-0.80%	0.08775	-15.46%	0.1592	✓	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.128611	-1.20%	0.1038	-20.26%	0.2182	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.101274	-2.09%	0.130175	+25.85%	0.2545	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.165466	-1.58%	0.10344	-38.47%	0.4699	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.136082	-2.43%	0.16812	+20.55%	0.2328	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.229915	-1.87%	0.139465	-40.47%	0.4953	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.233501	-2.02%	0.234285	-1.69%	0.0615	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.221702	-2.05%	0.238305	+5.29%	0.0731	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.217718	-2.03%	0.226335	+1.84%	0.0344	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.224866	-2.52%	0.22224	-3.66%	0.0693	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.207676	-2.54%	0.23069	+8.26%	0.1024	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.190441	-2.83%	0.21309	+8.72%	0.1050	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.1575	-2.22%	0.195995	+21.68%	0.2524	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.141483	-2.24%	0.16108	+11.30%	0.1120	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.148082	-4.21%	0.14472	-6.38%	0.0170	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.069843	-0.96%	0.154585	+119.21%	0.7938	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.038289	+0.52%	0.07052	+85.14%	0.6020	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.049294	+0.28%	0.03809	-22.51%	0.2353	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.058888	+0.08%	0.049155	-16.46%	0.1786	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.054533	-0.03%	0.05884	+7.86%	0.0842	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.074059	-0.06%	0.05455	-26.38%	0.2901	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.087571	-0.19%	0.0741	-15.55%	0.1734	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.