LONGXIA

? · · gru_s5

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

Track record at +30d

assessed

17

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

88.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

1.2362

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0782

actual -1.2964

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.02189	0.02019	-7.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.019677	-7.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.019075	-6.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.019646	-5.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.025589	-6.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.027141	-6.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.02804	-6.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.027822	-6.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.043291	-10.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.036827	-8.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.039597	-10.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.04156	-10.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.041435	-9.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.046322	-10.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.037441	-9.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.057416	-13.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.040814	-10.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.040683	-10.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.044815	-10.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.035588	-9.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.094294	-14.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.033425	-6.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.063118	-8.49%	–	pending	–	–	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.064174	-8.62%	–	pending	–	–	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.079481	-9.42%	–	pending	–	–	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.092233	-11.14%	–	pending	–	–	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.115649	-11.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.076043	-26.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.146144	-13.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.10104	-27.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.203939	-12.95%	0.02189	-90.66%	2.1857	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.209344	-12.15%	0.021195	-91.11%	2.3119	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.199231	-11.98%	0.020355	-91.01%	2.2885	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.195893	-11.86%	0.02088	-90.60%	2.2527	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.203457	-11.80%	0.02746	-88.10%	2.0666	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.188469	-11.55%	0.029085	-86.35%	1.9367	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.174151	-11.15%	0.029995	-84.70%	1.8419	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.146735	-8.91%	0.029625	-81.61%	1.6425	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.133331	-7.87%	0.04862	-66.40%	1.0877	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.140268	-9.26%	0.040295	-73.93%	1.3037	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.067709	-3.99%	0.04401	-37.59%	0.5113	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.036669	-3.73%	0.04627	+21.48%	0.1526	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.04782	-2.72%	0.046	-6.42%	0.0918	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.057604	-2.10%	0.05196	-11.69%	0.1436	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.052456	-3.84%	0.04116	-24.55%	0.2940	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.073502	-0.81%	0.06616	-10.72%	0.1680	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.088312	+0.65%	0.04544	-48.21%	0.7360	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.