KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · gru_s5

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 483

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

154

of 161 predictions shown

direction hit

55.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1682

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0146

actual -0.0452

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.029719	0.028817	-3.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-21	oos	0.029335	0.028483	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.029569	-3.05%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.028461	-3.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.028748	-2.87%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.033735	-3.34%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.034634	-4.57%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.032025	-5.03%	0.029719	-11.86%	0.0727	✓	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.030435	-4.65%	0.029335	-8.09%	0.0344	✓	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.027746	-3.91%	0.030499	+5.63%	0.0946	✗	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.026329	-3.92%	0.029365	+7.16%	0.1092	✗	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.024264	-3.09%	0.029598	+18.22%	0.2005	✗	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.024067	-3.78%	0.034899	+39.53%	0.3736	✗	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.024135	-4.23%	0.036292	+44.02%	0.4093	✗	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.023739	-4.36%	0.03372	+35.85%	0.3504	✗	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.020123	-2.82%	0.031919	+54.14%	0.4661	✗	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.021994	-3.16%	0.028875	+27.13%	0.2768	✗	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.025343	-5.57%	0.027404	+2.11%	0.0859	✗	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.019634	-3.39%	0.025037	+23.20%	0.2522	✗	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.018755	-2.85%	0.025012	+29.56%	0.2934	✗	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.021162	-3.84%	0.025199	+14.50%	0.1807	✗	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.020744	-3.45%	0.024821	+15.52%	0.1891	✗	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.023053	-4.53%	0.020707	-14.24%	0.1064	✓	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.025057	-5.86%	0.022712	-14.67%	0.1039	✓	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.030188	-9.07%	0.026838	-19.16%	0.1234	✓	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014128	-3.78%	0.020323	+38.41%	0.3480	✗	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014348	-4.41%	0.019305	+28.62%	0.2942	✗	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013077	-3.00%	0.022008	+63.25%	0.5174	✗	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.012865	-2.76%	0.021486	+62.40%	0.5093	✗	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013272	-2.70%	0.024146	+77.02%	0.6049	✗	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013245	-2.27%	0.026617	+96.40%	0.7167	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013447	-2.13%	0.033197	+141.61%	0.9276	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013126	-2.85%	0.014683	+8.68%	0.0818	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013449	-2.69%	0.01501	+8.60%	0.0808	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013174	-2.49%	0.013481	-0.22%	0.0059	✓	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.01355	-2.47%	0.01323	-4.78%	0.1115	✓	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013576	-2.68%	0.01364	-2.23%	0.0861	✓	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.013041	-0.42%	0.013553	+3.49%	0.0816	✓	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012978	-0.29%	0.01374	+5.57%	0.0418	✓	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.013273	+0.22%	0.01351	+2.01%	0.0361	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.014004	+0.10%	0.013822	-1.20%	0.0611	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.014072	+0.74%	0.01351	-3.28%	0.0840	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.014096	+1.46%	0.013894	+0.01%	0.0121	✓	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.014212	+1.75%	0.013951	-0.12%	0.0080	✓	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014419	+1.69%	0.013095	-7.64%	0.0622	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.015113	+1.26%	0.013015	-12.80%	0.1389	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015894	+0.99%	0.013244	-15.85%	0.1423	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015859	+1.05%	0.01399	-10.86%	0.0960	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016505	+0.83%	0.013969	-14.66%	0.1424	✗	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.016933	+0.84%	0.013893	-17.26%	0.1546	✗	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017418	+0.10%	0.013968	-19.72%	0.2337	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017816	+0.14%	0.014179	-20.31%	0.2424	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018179	+0.19%	0.014925	-17.74%	0.2036	✗	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017758	+0.13%	0.015738	-11.26%	0.1561	✗	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017589	+0.19%	0.015695	-10.60%	0.1373	✗	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.017902	-0.05%	0.016369	-8.61%	0.1170	✓	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.017855	+0.36%	0.016792	-5.61%	0.0772	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017291	+0.22%	0.0174	+0.85%	0.0344	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018181	-0.01%	0.017791	-2.16%	0.0030	✓	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.01869	-0.15%	0.018144	-3.07%	0.0225	✓	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020145	-0.99%	0.017735	-12.83%	0.1262	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018133	-0.37%	0.017556	-3.54%	0.0536	✓	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.01753	-0.13%	0.017912	+2.05%	0.0305	✗	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017158	-0.77%	0.01779	+2.89%	0.1109	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016654	-1.18%	0.017253	+2.37%	0.1670	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015716	-1.51%	0.018184	+13.96%	0.1728	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017338	-1.83%	0.018718	+5.99%	0.2484	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017422	-1.96%	0.020346	+14.50%	0.1933	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017557	-1.94%	0.0182	+1.65%	0.2982	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017515	-1.90%	0.017552	-1.70%	0.3602	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017185	-1.72%	0.017291	-1.11%	0.2372	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.016987	-1.58%	0.016853	-2.36%	0.1476	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.018083	-1.88%	0.015957	-13.42%	0.1528	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017721	-1.68%	0.01766	-2.02%	0.0176	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.016997	-1.41%	0.01777	+3.07%	0.0981	✗	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016753	-1.45%	0.017905	+5.32%	0.1168	✗	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.01753	-1.57%	0.017855	+0.25%	0.0697	✗	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.017894	-1.90%	0.017485	-4.14%	0.0005	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.018121	-2.18%	0.01726	-6.83%	0.0170	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.017925	-2.50%	0.01843	+0.24%	0.0428	✗	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.01688	-2.26%	0.018025	+4.37%	0.0529	✗	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015769	-1.50%	0.01724	+7.68%	0.0510	✗	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014633	-1.23%	0.017	+14.75%	0.0902	✗	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.015003	-1.33%	0.01781	+17.13%	0.1140	✗	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016628	-2.19%	0.01824	+7.29%	0.1048	✗	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015153	-1.47%	0.018525	+20.45%	0.1823	✗	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014123	-1.30%	0.018385	+28.48%	0.2584	✗	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013375	-1.07%	0.01727	+27.74%	0.2615	✗	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.016867	-2.50%	0.01601	-7.46%	0.0088	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.012966	-0.65%	0.014815	+13.52%	0.1651	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.014	-0.82%	0.015205	+7.72%	0.1090	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013522	-0.68%	0.017	+24.86%	0.2358	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.012978	-0.63%	0.01538	+17.76%	0.2175	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.012916	-0.65%	0.01431	+10.08%	0.1607	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.014988	-0.87%	0.01352	-10.58%	0.0667	✓	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015839	-0.97%	0.0173	+8.16%	0.0724	✗	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015466	-0.92%	0.01305	-16.40%	0.1578	✓	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.016021	-0.95%	0.014115	-12.74%	0.1314	✓	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018778	-1.27%	0.013615	-28.42%	0.3534	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.019229	-1.34%	0.01306	-32.99%	0.4208	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020601	-1.48%	0.013	-37.83%	0.4979	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.019913	-1.35%	0.01512	-25.09%	0.3508	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020453	-1.43%	0.015995	-22.92%	0.2702	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.020243	-1.40%	0.01561	-23.96%	0.2863	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020647	-1.45%	0.016175	-22.79%	0.2380	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.019965	-1.38%	0.01902	-6.05%	0.0637	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019731	-1.32%	0.01949	-2.53%	0.0753	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020716	-1.47%	0.02091	-0.55%	0.0327	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021718	-1.68%	0.020185	-8.62%	0.0287	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.021017	-1.61%	0.02075	-2.86%	0.0167	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.020025	-1.24%	0.02053	+1.26%	0.0081	✓	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.020973	-1.26%	0.02095	-1.37%	0.0410	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022559	-1.34%	0.020245	-11.46%	0.1527	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022614	-1.29%	0.019995	-12.72%	0.1850	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.023479	-1.47%	0.021025	-11.77%	0.2474	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.026309	-1.63%	0.02209	-17.41%	0.2795	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.025759	-1.48%	0.02136	-18.30%	0.2985	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.024948	-1.29%	0.020275	-19.78%	0.2931	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.026087	-1.48%	0.02124	-19.79%	0.2745	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.024976	-1.20%	0.022865	-9.55%	0.1364	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.023888	-1.04%	0.02291	-5.10%	0.0126	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.02522	-1.37%	0.02383	-6.80%	0.0626	✗	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.029071	-2.04%	0.026745	-9.87%	0.0194	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.029671	-2.14%	0.026145	-13.77%	0.0227	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.029669	-2.21%	0.025275	-16.69%	0.0410	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.027029	-1.53%	0.02648	-3.53%	0.0703	✗	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.025992	-1.21%	0.02528	-3.91%	0.0529	✗	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.028093	-1.63%	0.02414	-15.48%	0.0661	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.028847	-1.78%	0.02557	-12.94%	0.0475	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.02909	-1.79%	0.029675	+0.19%	0.0767	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.030177	-1.83%	0.03032	-1.37%	0.0661	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.031406	-1.87%	0.03034	-5.20%	0.0292	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.030546	-1.50%	0.02745	-11.48%	0.1053	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.029966	-1.20%	0.02631	-13.25%	0.1131	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.030768	-0.83%	0.02856	-7.95%	0.1544	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.031247	-0.74%	0.02937	-6.70%	0.1650	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.032075	-1.00%	0.02962	-8.58%	0.1651	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.034146	-1.48%	0.03074	-11.31%	0.1694	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.037173	-1.79%	0.032005	-15.44%	0.2778	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.028737	+2.67%	0.03101	+10.79%	0.0058	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.034195	+0.07%	0.03033	-11.24%	0.1161	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.037372	-0.66%	0.031025	-17.53%	0.1448	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.03658	-0.57%	0.03148	-14.43%	0.0726	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.04069	-2.68%	0.0324	-22.51%	0.1049	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.047422	-5.16%	0.03466	-30.68%	0.1631	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.061257	-9.29%	0.03785	-43.95%	0.2889	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.038771	+1.36%	0.02799	-26.82%	0.1417	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.037677	+2.47%	0.03417	-7.07%	0.0439	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.040036	+2.18%	0.03762	-3.98%	0.0866	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.044836	+1.07%	0.03679	-17.06%	0.0689	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.051265	-0.39%	0.04181	-18.76%	0.1239	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.054508	-0.37%	0.05	-8.61%	0.0411	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.053745	+0.68%	0.06753	+26.51%	0.2666	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.056544	+0.97%	0.03825	-31.70%	0.3630	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.054243	+1.29%	0.03677	-31.34%	0.3354	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.054465	+1.41%	0.03918	-27.05%	0.2878	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.062595	+0.81%	0.04436	-28.56%	0.3320	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.061571	+0.66%	0.051465	-15.86%	0.1832	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.073402	-1.09%	0.05471	-26.28%	0.2883	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.07533	-1.53%	0.05338	-30.22%	0.3256	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.092124	-2.05%	0.056	-40.46%	0.4510	✓	1.00