KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · gru_s5

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 483

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

131

of 161 predictions shown

direction hit

72.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4043

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0447

actual -0.2150

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.029719	0.027272	-8.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-21	oos	0.029335	0.026996	-7.97%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.027984	-8.25%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.02692	-8.33%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.027234	-7.99%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.031886	-8.63%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.032555	-10.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.030044	-10.90%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.028569	-10.50%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.026198	-9.27%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.024843	-9.35%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.023053	-7.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.022794	-8.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.022779	-9.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.022356	-9.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.019145	-7.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.02096	-7.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.023869	-11.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.018734	-7.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.017869	-7.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.020042	-8.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.019685	-8.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.021685	-10.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.023346	-12.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.027315	-17.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.013419	-8.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.013565	-9.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.012386	-8.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.0122	-7.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.0126	-7.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.012691	-6.35%	0.029719	+119.29%	0.8654	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.012937	-5.85%	0.029335	+113.50%	0.8383	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.012334	-8.71%	0.030499	+125.75%	0.8889	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.012659	-8.41%	0.029365	+112.46%	0.8358	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.012377	-8.39%	0.029598	+119.08%	0.8616	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.012567	-9.55%	0.034899	+151.18%	0.9656	✗	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.012538	-10.13%	0.036292	+160.14%	1.0027	✗	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.012001	-8.36%	0.03372	+157.49%	0.9572	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012044	-7.46%	0.031919	+145.24%	0.9335	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.01233	-6.90%	0.028875	+118.02%	0.7741	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013157	-5.95%	0.027404	+95.89%	0.6798	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013318	-4.66%	0.025037	+79.24%	0.5563	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013396	-3.58%	0.025012	+80.03%	0.5492	✗	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.013768	-1.43%	0.025199	+80.41%	0.5537	✗	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.01404	-0.98%	0.024821	+75.06%	0.5327	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.014829	-0.65%	0.020707	+38.74%	0.2872	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015737	-0.01%	0.022712	+44.31%	0.3111	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015711	+0.10%	0.026838	+71.00%	0.4712	✓	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016393	+0.15%	0.020323	+24.16%	0.1508	✓	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.016933	+0.84%	0.019305	+14.97%	0.1008	✓	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.01715	-1.44%	0.022008	+26.48%	0.1578	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017638	-0.86%	0.021486	+20.77%	0.1015	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018123	-0.11%	0.024146	+33.08%	0.2279	✗	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017712	-0.13%	0.026617	+50.08%	0.3300	✗	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.01759	+0.19%	0.033197	+89.09%	0.5606	✓	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.017922	+0.06%	0.014683	-18.02%	0.2955	✗	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.01814	+1.97%	0.01501	-15.63%	0.2542	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017541	+1.67%	0.013481	-21.86%	0.3426	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018466	+1.55%	0.01323	-27.24%	0.4267	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.019063	+1.84%	0.01364	-27.13%	0.4232	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020279	-0.33%	0.013553	-33.39%	0.5507	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018321	+0.66%	0.01374	-24.51%	0.4512	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017866	+1.79%	0.01351	-23.03%	0.3304	✗	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017058	-1.35%	0.013822	-20.07%	0.3759	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016342	-3.03%	0.01351	-19.83%	0.4283	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015253	-4.41%	0.013894	-12.93%	0.3658	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.01674	-5.21%	0.013951	-21.00%	0.4486	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.016771	-5.62%	0.013095	-26.31%	0.5500	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.016927	-5.46%	0.013015	-27.31%	0.6210	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.01691	-5.29%	0.013244	-25.82%	0.5741	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.016688	-4.56%	0.01399	-19.99%	0.5175	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.016525	-4.26%	0.013969	-19.07%	0.4779	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.017527	-4.90%	0.013893	-24.62%	0.5206	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017255	-4.27%	0.013968	-22.51%	0.5374	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.016703	-3.12%	0.014179	-17.76%	0.4879	✓	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016496	-2.96%	0.014925	-12.21%	0.4361	✓	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017192	-3.47%	0.015738	-11.63%	0.4540	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.01748	-4.17%	0.015695	-13.95%	0.4800	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.017656	-4.69%	0.016369	-11.64%	0.4324	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.017383	-5.45%	0.016792	-8.67%	0.4751	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.016457	-4.71%	0.0174	+0.75%	0.3040	✓	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015487	-3.27%	0.017791	+11.12%	0.2207	✓	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014463	-2.38%	0.018144	+22.47%	0.1720	✓	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.014863	-2.25%	0.017735	+16.64%	0.2000	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016378	-3.66%	0.017556	+3.27%	0.2611	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015019	-2.34%	0.017912	+16.46%	0.1570	✓	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014041	-1.88%	0.01779	+24.32%	0.1469	✓	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013309	-1.56%	0.017253	+27.61%	0.0985	✓	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.016506	-4.59%	0.018184	+5.11%	0.1818	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.012918	-1.01%	0.018718	+43.44%	0.0995	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.013944	-1.21%	0.020346	+44.14%	0.1207	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013499	-0.85%	0.0182	+33.68%	0.0669	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.012989	-0.55%	0.017552	+34.40%	0.0608	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.012924	-0.59%	0.017291	+33.01%	0.1588	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.014908	-1.40%	0.016853	+11.46%	0.0286	✗	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015715	-1.75%	0.015957	-0.24%	0.0153	✓	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.0154	-1.35%	0.01766	+13.13%	0.1446	✗	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.015941	-1.45%	0.01777	+9.86%	0.1350	✗	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018532	-2.57%	0.017905	-5.86%	0.0154	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.018945	-2.80%	0.017855	-8.39%	0.0151	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020233	-3.24%	0.017485	-16.38%	0.1066	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.019557	-3.11%	0.01726	-14.49%	0.1547	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020061	-3.32%	0.01843	-11.18%	0.0793	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.019885	-3.14%	0.018025	-12.20%	0.1018	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020283	-3.18%	0.01724	-17.71%	0.1811	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.01965	-2.94%	0.017	-16.03%	0.1889	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019423	-2.86%	0.01781	-10.93%	0.1541	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020347	-3.22%	0.01824	-13.25%	0.1333	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021279	-3.67%	0.018525	-16.14%	0.1537	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.020593	-3.59%	0.018385	-13.93%	0.1251	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.019633	-3.17%	0.01727	-14.82%	0.1376	✓	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.020571	-3.15%	0.01601	-24.62%	0.2751	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022097	-3.36%	0.014815	-35.21%	0.4336	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022175	-3.21%	0.015205	-33.63%	0.4549	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.022954	-3.67%	0.017	-28.66%	0.4753	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.025506	-4.63%	0.01538	-42.49%	0.6078	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.025029	-4.27%	0.01431	-45.27%	0.6773	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.024302	-3.85%	0.01352	-46.51%	0.6882	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.025328	-4.35%	0.0173	-34.67%	0.5241	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.024334	-3.74%	0.01305	-48.38%	0.7444	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.02333	-3.36%	0.014115	-41.53%	0.5882	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.024508	-4.15%	0.013615	-46.75%	0.6539	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.02795	-5.81%	0.01306	-55.99%	0.8162	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.028479	-6.07%	0.013	-57.12%	0.8698	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.028456	-6.21%	0.01512	-50.16%	0.6587	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.026096	-4.93%	0.015995	-41.73%	0.5199	✓	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.025173	-4.32%	0.01561	-40.67%	0.5247	✓	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.027038	-5.33%	0.016175	-43.36%	0.5004	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.027703	-5.68%	0.01902	-35.24%	0.3310	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.027908	-5.78%	0.01949	-34.20%	0.3211	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.028934	-5.87%	0.02091	-31.98%	0.3072	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.030067	-6.06%	0.020185	-36.93%	0.3419	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.029311	-5.48%	0.02075	-33.09%	0.3505	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.028785	-5.09%	0.02053	-32.31%	0.3431	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.029581	-4.65%	0.02095	-32.47%	0.4167	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.029962	-4.82%	0.020245	-35.69%	0.4318	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.030633	-5.45%	0.019995	-38.29%	0.4040	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.032404	-6.51%	0.021025	-39.34%	0.4331	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.035021	-7.48%	0.02209	-41.64%	0.5740	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.02709	-3.22%	0.02136	-23.69%	0.3210	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.03223	-5.68%	0.020275	-40.66%	0.4522	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.035085	-6.74%	0.02124	-43.54%	0.4779	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.034183	-7.09%	0.022865	-37.85%	0.3213	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.037332	-10.71%	0.02291	-45.20%	0.3149	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.042566	-14.87%	0.02383	-52.34%	0.3512	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.053467	-20.82%	0.026745	-60.40%	0.4888	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.035049	-8.37%	0.026145	-31.65%	0.0832	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.034009	-7.51%	0.025275	-31.26%	0.0926	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.036151	-7.73%	0.02648	-32.41%	0.0974	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.040533	-8.63%	0.02528	-43.01%	0.2331	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.046362	-9.92%	0.02414	-53.09%	0.4162	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.049453	-9.61%	0.02557	-53.26%	0.4536	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.048908	-8.38%	0.029675	-44.41%	0.3185	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.051616	-7.83%	0.03032	-45.86%	0.3555	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.049437	-7.69%	0.03034	-43.35%	0.2997	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.049748	-7.38%	0.02745	-48.89%	0.3953	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.057741	-7.01%	0.02631	-57.63%	0.5864	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.056932	-6.92%	0.02856	-53.31%	0.5126	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.068525	-7.66%	0.02937	-60.42%	0.6820	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.070811	-7.44%	0.02962	-61.28%	0.7073	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.087837	-6.61%	0.03074	-67.32%	0.8649	✓	1.00