KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · gru_s5

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 480

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

159

of 160 predictions shown

direction hit

53.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0682

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0060

actual -0.0086

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.030038	0.029722	-1.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.030186	-1.03%	0.030038	-1.51%	0.0049	✓	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.029058	-1.05%	0.030499	+3.86%	0.0486	✗	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.029302	-1.00%	0.029365	-0.79%	0.0020	✓	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.034439	-1.32%	0.029598	-15.19%	0.1509	✓	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.035515	-2.14%	0.034899	-3.84%	0.0176	✓	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.032921	-2.37%	0.036292	+7.63%	0.0969	✗	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.031287	-1.98%	0.03372	+5.64%	0.0755	✗	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.028432	-1.53%	0.031919	+10.54%	0.1155	✗	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.026966	-1.60%	0.028875	+5.36%	0.0686	✗	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.024741	-1.18%	0.027404	+9.46%	0.1042	✗	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.024576	-1.74%	0.025037	+0.10%	0.0176	✗	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.024702	-1.98%	0.025012	-0.74%	0.0120	✓	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.024314	-2.04%	0.025199	+1.52%	0.0347	✗	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.020492	-1.04%	0.024821	+19.87%	0.1961	✗	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.022397	-1.39%	0.020707	-8.83%	0.0742	✓	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.025987	-3.17%	0.022712	-15.37%	0.1343	✓	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.019966	-1.76%	0.026838	+32.06%	0.2982	✗	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.019079	-1.17%	0.020323	+5.27%	0.0579	✗	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.021603	-1.84%	0.019305	-12.28%	0.1131	✓	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.021149	-1.57%	0.022008	+2.43%	0.0408	✗	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.023625	-2.16%	0.021486	-11.02%	0.0990	✓	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.025848	-2.89%	0.024146	-9.28%	0.0679	✓	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.031538	-5.00%	0.026617	-19.82%	0.1701	✓	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014412	-1.84%	0.033197	+126.09%	0.8422	✗	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.01467	-2.27%	0.014683	-2.18%	0.0006	✓	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013338	-1.06%	0.01501	+11.34%	0.1156	✗	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.013104	-0.96%	0.013481	+1.90%	0.0307	✗	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013508	-0.97%	0.01323	-3.01%	0.0209	✓	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013421	-0.97%	0.01364	+0.65%	0.0295	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013609	-0.95%	0.013553	-1.36%	0.0012	✓	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013424	-0.64%	0.01374	+1.70%	0.0260	✓	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.01374	-0.59%	0.01351	-2.25%	0.0162	✓	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013449	-0.45%	0.013822	+2.30%	0.0240	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.01383	-0.46%	0.01351	-2.76%	0.0738	✓	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013826	-0.89%	0.013894	-0.41%	0.0025	✓	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.013093	-0.02%	0.013951	+6.53%	0.0567	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.013018	+0.02%	0.013095	+0.62%	0.0386	✓	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.013252	+0.06%	0.013015	-1.73%	0.0354	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013991	+0.01%	0.013244	-5.33%	0.0491	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.01398	+0.09%	0.01399	+0.15%	0.0000	✓	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013915	+0.16%	0.013969	+0.54%	0.0044	✗	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.013996	+0.20%	0.013893	-0.54%	0.0143	✓	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014204	+0.18%	0.013968	-1.48%	0.0148	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.014948	+0.15%	0.014179	-5.00%	0.0454	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015763	+0.16%	0.014925	-5.17%	0.0407	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015717	+0.14%	0.015738	+0.27%	0.0044	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016381	+0.08%	0.015695	-4.12%	0.0443	✗	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.016807	+0.09%	0.016369	-2.52%	0.0122	✗	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017374	-0.15%	0.016792	-3.50%	0.0855	✓	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017763	-0.15%	0.0174	-2.20%	0.0194	✓	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018113	-0.17%	0.017791	-1.95%	0.0036	✓	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017699	-0.20%	0.018144	+2.31%	0.0129	✗	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017518	-0.22%	0.017735	+1.02%	0.0208	✗	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.01787	-0.23%	0.017556	-1.98%	0.0236	✓	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.01775	-0.23%	0.017912	+0.68%	0.0488	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017213	-0.23%	0.01779	+3.11%	0.0129	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018131	-0.29%	0.017253	-5.12%	0.0579	✓	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.01865	-0.37%	0.018184	-2.86%	0.0176	✓	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020198	-0.73%	0.018718	-8.00%	0.0989	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.01814	-0.33%	0.020346	+11.79%	0.1026	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017502	-0.29%	0.0182	+3.69%	0.0626	✗	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017235	-0.32%	0.017552	+1.51%	0.0908	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016791	-0.37%	0.017291	+2.60%	0.0511	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015886	-0.44%	0.016853	+5.62%	0.0542	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017562	-0.55%	0.015957	-9.64%	0.1009	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017666	-0.58%	0.01766	-0.62%	0.0426	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017803	-0.57%	0.01777	-0.75%	0.0030	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017755	-0.56%	0.017905	+0.28%	0.0072	✗	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017399	-0.49%	0.017855	+2.12%	0.0382	✗	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.017177	-0.48%	0.017485	+1.30%	0.0174	✗	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.018329	-0.55%	0.01726	-6.35%	0.0572	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017934	-0.50%	0.01843	+2.25%	0.0369	✗	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.017163	-0.44%	0.018025	+4.55%	0.0737	✗	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016917	-0.49%	0.01724	+1.41%	0.0205	✗	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017723	-0.49%	0.017	-4.55%	0.0421	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.01813	-0.60%	0.01781	-2.36%	0.0344	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.018394	-0.71%	0.01824	-1.54%	0.0005	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.018237	-0.81%	0.018525	+0.76%	0.0002	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.017132	-0.80%	0.018385	+6.46%	0.0539	✗	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.01593	-0.50%	0.01727	+7.87%	0.0817	✗	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.01475	-0.44%	0.01601	+8.07%	0.0613	✗	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.015125	-0.53%	0.014815	-2.56%	0.0190	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016802	-1.16%	0.015205	-10.56%	0.0480	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015276	-0.67%	0.017	+10.53%	0.0852	✗	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014214	-0.67%	0.01538	+7.48%	0.0776	✗	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013458	-0.46%	0.01431	+5.84%	0.0574	✗	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.017077	-1.29%	0.01352	-21.85%	0.1949	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.013013	-0.28%	0.0173	+32.57%	0.2634	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.01406	-0.39%	0.01305	-7.55%	0.0790	✓	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013575	-0.29%	0.014115	+3.67%	0.0595	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.013028	-0.24%	0.013615	+4.25%	0.0664	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.012976	-0.18%	0.01306	+0.46%	0.0156	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.015077	-0.29%	0.013	-14.02%	0.1788	✓	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015947	-0.30%	0.01512	-5.47%	0.0660	✓	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.01557	-0.26%	0.015995	+2.47%	0.0297	✗	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.016135	-0.25%	0.01561	-3.49%	0.0552	✓	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018953	-0.35%	0.016175	-14.96%	0.1616	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.01942	-0.36%	0.01902	-2.41%	0.0030	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.02082	-0.43%	0.01949	-6.79%	0.0592	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.020109	-0.38%	0.02091	+3.59%	0.0308	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020664	-0.41%	0.020185	-2.72%	0.0155	✗	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.020446	-0.41%	0.02075	+1.07%	0.0156	✗	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020857	-0.44%	0.02053	-2.00%	0.0066	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.020159	-0.43%	0.02095	+3.48%	0.0141	✗	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.01992	-0.38%	0.020245	+1.25%	0.0079	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020931	-0.45%	0.019995	-4.90%	0.0178	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021961	-0.59%	0.021025	-4.82%	0.0263	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.021232	-0.60%	0.02209	+3.42%	0.0292	✗	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.020208	-0.33%	0.02136	+5.35%	0.0432	✗	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.021172	-0.32%	0.020275	-4.54%	0.0575	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022789	-0.33%	0.02124	-7.11%	0.0978	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.02285	-0.26%	0.022865	-0.20%	0.0410	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.02375	-0.34%	0.02291	-3.86%	0.0782	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.026658	-0.32%	0.02383	-10.90%	0.0654	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.026073	-0.28%	0.026745	+2.29%	0.0063	✗	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.025218	-0.23%	0.026145	+3.44%	0.0490	✗	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.026406	-0.28%	0.025275	-4.55%	0.0419	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.025235	-0.18%	0.02648	+4.75%	0.0400	✗	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.024113	-0.11%	0.02528	+4.72%	0.0839	✗	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.025513	-0.22%	0.02414	-5.59%	0.0082	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.029534	-0.47%	0.02557	-13.83%	0.1094	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.030166	-0.51%	0.029675	-2.13%	0.0354	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.030154	-0.61%	0.03032	-0.07%	0.0322	✗	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.02737	-0.29%	0.03034	+10.53%	0.0841	✗	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.026267	-0.16%	0.02745	+4.33%	0.0293	✗	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.028463	-0.34%	0.02631	-7.88%	0.0405	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.029246	-0.42%	0.02856	-2.76%	0.0047	✗	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.029489	-0.44%	0.02937	-0.84%	0.0119	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.030604	-0.44%	0.02962	-3.64%	0.0465	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.031865	-0.44%	0.03074	-3.95%	0.0684	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.030919	-0.29%	0.032005	+3.21%	0.0123	✗	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.030273	-0.19%	0.03101	+2.24%	0.0247	✗	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.031009	-0.05%	0.03033	-2.24%	0.0790	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.031477	-0.01%	0.031025	-1.45%	0.0080	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.032382	-0.06%	0.03148	-2.84%	0.0097	✗	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.034594	-0.19%	0.0324	-6.52%	0.0590	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.037724	-0.33%	0.03466	-8.43%	0.1733	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.028223	+0.83%	0.03785	+35.23%	0.2996	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.034264	+0.28%	0.02799	-18.09%	0.1578	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.037679	+0.16%	0.03417	-9.17%	0.0941	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.036867	+0.21%	0.03762	+2.26%	0.0603	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.041695	-0.27%	0.03679	-12.01%	0.0576	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.049496	-1.01%	0.04181	-16.38%	0.1375	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.065145	-3.53%	0.05	-25.96%	0.2619	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.038307	+0.15%	0.06753	+76.55%	0.5614	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.036893	+0.34%	0.03825	+4.03%	0.0381	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.039285	+0.27%	0.03677	-6.15%	0.0553	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.044367	+0.02%	0.03918	-11.68%	0.1042	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.051302	-0.32%	0.04436	-13.81%	0.1268	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.054513	-0.36%	0.051465	-5.93%	0.0611	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.053259	-0.23%	0.05471	+2.49%	0.0226	✗	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.055851	-0.27%	0.05338	-4.68%	0.0611	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.053433	-0.23%	0.056	+4.57%	0.0744	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.053626	-0.16%	0.053555	-0.29%	0.0023	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.061939	-0.25%	0.05371	-13.50%	0.1517	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.061022	-0.23%	0.062095	+1.52%	0.0197	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.073935	-0.37%	0.061165	-17.58%	0.1836	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.076213	-0.37%	0.07421	-2.99%	0.0177	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.093506	-0.58%	0.0765	-18.66%	0.1886	✓	1.00