KAIA

Kaia · native · gru_s5

token id: #105
symbol: KAIA
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-10-30
predictions: 2,139

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

68.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1643

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0298

actual -0.0578

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04027	0.037988	-5.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.041885	0.039672	-5.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-19	oos	0.040865	0.038579	-5.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.041415	0.039167	-5.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.65
2026-10-17	oos	0.044045	0.041582	-5.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.04206	0.039732	-5.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-15	oos	0.04226	0.039779	-5.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.04303	0.040472	-5.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.046865	0.044037	-6.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.0451	0.042418	-5.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.05169	0.048822	-5.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.05665	0.053194	-6.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.0605	0.056107	-7.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.03702	0.034953	-5.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.0382	0.036115	-5.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.03959	0.037511	-5.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.040385	0.038513	-4.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-04	oos	0.03753	0.035919	-4.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.03741	0.035738	-4.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.03605	0.034458	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-01	oos	0.036805	0.035203	-4.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-09-30	oos	0.034525	0.032982	-4.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-29	oos	0.033875	0.032342	-4.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-28	oos	0.032585	0.031045	-4.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-09-27	oos	0.03336	0.031882	-4.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-26	oos	0.03517	0.033507	-4.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-25	oos	0.034845	0.033272	-4.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-24	oos	0.033055	0.031686	-4.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.031735	0.030452	-4.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-22	oos	0.031995	0.030599	-4.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-09-21	oos	0.032695	0.031481	-3.71%	0.04027	+23.17%	0.3099	✗	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.030345	0.029164	-3.89%	0.041885	+38.03%	0.3320	✗	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.0305	0.029288	-3.97%	0.040865	+33.98%	0.3228	✗	1.39
2026-09-18	oos	0.02997	0.028983	-3.29%	0.041415	+38.19%	0.3377	✗	1.38
2026-09-17	oos	0.0288	0.027691	-3.85%	0.044045	+52.93%	0.3725	✗	1.44
2026-09-16	oos	0.02783	0.02695	-3.16%	0.04206	+51.13%	0.3477	✗	1.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.027105	0.026368	-2.72%	0.04226	+55.91%	0.3536	✗	1.42
2026-09-14	oos	0.02897	0.028222	-2.58%	0.04303	+48.53%	0.3626	✗	1.39
2026-09-13	oos	0.029265	0.0284	-2.96%	0.046865	+60.14%	0.3905	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.0292	0.028405	-2.72%	0.0451	+54.45%	0.3833	✗	1.40
2026-09-11	oos	0.02925	0.028455	-2.72%	0.05169	+76.72%	0.4834	✗	1.41
2026-09-10	oos	0.02735	0.026721	-2.30%	0.05665	+107.13%	0.6397	✗	1.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.03007	0.029556	-1.71%	0.0605	+101.20%	0.6447	✗	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.03181	0.031151	-2.07%	0.03702	+16.38%	0.1172	✗	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.031045	0.030469	-1.85%	0.0382	+23.05%	0.1547	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.03147	0.031161	-0.98%	0.03959	+25.80%	0.1508	✗	1.41
2026-09-05	oos	0.03087	0.030687	-0.59%	0.040385	+30.82%	0.1743	✗	1.40
2026-09-04	oos	0.03047	0.030326	-0.47%	0.03753	+23.17%	0.1025	✗	1.35
2026-09-03	oos	0.030325	0.030688	+1.20%	0.03741	+23.36%	0.1405	✓	1.37
2026-09-02	oos	0.028055	0.028099	+0.16%	0.03605	+28.50%	0.1286	✓	1.35
2026-09-01	oos	0.02888	0.02899	+0.38%	0.036805	+27.44%	0.1134	✓	1.36
2026-08-31	oos	0.029425	0.029683	+0.88%	0.034525	+17.33%	0.0701	✓	1.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.02756	0.027718	+0.57%	0.033875	+22.91%	0.1060	✓	1.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.02883	0.029112	+0.98%	0.032585	+13.02%	0.0348	✓	1.21
2026-08-28	oos	0.028945	0.029241	+1.02%	0.03336	+15.25%	0.0331	✓	1.21
2026-08-27	oos	0.03171	0.032377	+2.10%	0.03517	+10.91%	0.0238	✓	1.17
2026-08-26	oos	0.032735	0.032892	+0.48%	0.034845	+6.45%	0.0161	✗	1.19
2026-08-25	oos	0.03205	0.032263	+0.67%	0.033055	+3.14%	0.0600	✗	1.17
2026-08-24	oos	0.030985	0.031561	+1.86%	0.031735	+2.42%	0.0723	✗	1.18
2026-08-23	oos	0.03155	0.031751	+0.64%	0.031995	+1.41%	0.1155	✗	1.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.031965	0.031988	+0.07%	0.032695	+2.28%	0.1174	✗	1.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.03001	0.03071	+2.33%	0.030345	+1.12%	0.0556	✗	1.23
2026-08-20	oos	0.02631	0.02641	+0.38%	0.0305	+15.93%	0.0247	✓	1.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.023895	0.023626	-1.13%	0.02997	+25.42%	0.0778	✗	1.04
2026-08-18	oos	0.021505	0.020867	-2.97%	0.0288	+33.92%	0.1667	✗	0.94
2026-08-17	oos	0.022885	0.022082	-3.51%	0.02783	+21.61%	0.0716	✗	0.96
2026-08-16	oos	0.022865	0.02176	-4.83%	0.027105	+18.54%	0.0391	✓	0.98
2026-08-15	oos	0.02387	0.022552	-5.52%	0.02897	+21.37%	0.0402	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.02463	0.023235	-5.67%	0.029265	+18.82%	0.0424	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.025825	0.024533	-5.00%	0.0292	+13.07%	0.0115	✓	0.94
2026-08-12	oos	0.02619	0.024796	-5.32%	0.02925	+11.68%	0.0207	✓	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.02685	0.025304	-5.76%	0.02735	+1.86%	0.0971	✓	0.94
2026-08-10	oos	0.02669	0.02504	-6.18%	0.03007	+12.66%	0.0062	✓	0.93
2026-08-09	oos	0.02702	0.025229	-6.63%	0.03181	+17.73%	0.0532	✓	0.94
2026-08-08	oos	0.02723	0.025744	-5.46%	0.031045	+14.01%	0.0016	✓	0.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.02709	0.025935	-4.26%	0.03147	+16.17%	0.0099	✓	0.95
2026-08-06	oos	0.0267	0.025385	-4.93%	0.03087	+15.62%	0.0086	✓	0.94
2026-08-05	oos	0.02689	0.025486	-5.22%	0.03047	+13.31%	0.0202	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.026835	0.02564	-4.45%	0.030325	+13.01%	0.0555	✓	0.94
2026-08-03	oos	0.02633	0.025164	-4.43%	0.028055	+6.55%	0.0749	✓	0.93
2026-08-02	oos	0.0263	0.025141	-4.41%	0.02888	+9.81%	0.0467	✓	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.02558	0.02449	-4.26%	0.029425	+15.03%	0.0249	✓	0.93
2026-07-31	oos	0.025195	0.024143	-4.18%	0.02756	+9.39%	0.0643	✓	0.93
2026-07-30	oos	0.026255	0.025147	-4.22%	0.02883	+9.81%	0.0377	✓	0.92
2026-07-29	oos	0.02592	0.024735	-4.57%	0.028945	+11.67%	0.0207	✓	0.90
2026-07-28	oos	0.02609	0.024847	-4.76%	0.03171	+21.54%	0.0384	✓	0.90
2026-07-27	oos	0.025815	0.024627	-4.60%	0.032735	+26.81%	0.0908	✗	0.90
2026-07-26	oos	0.030265	0.02859	-5.53%	0.03205	+5.90%	0.0313	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.02982	0.028338	-4.97%	0.030985	+3.91%	0.0725	✓	0.79
2026-07-24	oos	0.03133	0.029928	-4.48%	0.03155	+0.70%	0.0994	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.031295	0.0302	-3.50%	0.031965	+2.14%	0.0781	✓	0.80
2026-07-22	oos	0.032075	0.031027	-3.27%	0.03001	-6.44%	0.1676	✓	0.79
2026-07-21	oos	0.03283	0.031715	-3.40%	0.02631	-19.86%	0.2604	✓	0.79
2026-07-20	oos	0.032295	0.031074	-3.78%	0.023895	-26.01%	0.3090	✓	0.76
2026-07-19	oos	0.03226	0.030974	-3.99%	0.021505	-33.34%	0.3649	✓	0.76
2026-07-18	oos	0.03293	0.031795	-3.45%	0.022885	-30.50%	0.3250	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.033005	0.031725	-3.88%	0.022865	-30.72%	0.3142	✓	0.80
2026-07-16	oos	0.03388	0.032632	-3.68%	0.02387	-29.55%	0.3030	✓	0.81
2026-07-15	oos	0.033825	0.032733	-3.23%	0.02463	-27.18%	0.2609	✓	0.86
2026-07-14	oos	0.0341	0.032971	-3.31%	0.025825	-24.27%	0.2233	✓	0.86
2026-07-13	oos	0.033925	0.032681	-3.67%	0.02619	-22.80%	0.2380	✓	0.91
2026-07-12	oos	0.035005	0.033742	-3.61%	0.02685	-23.30%	0.2255	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.034775	0.033514	-3.63%	0.02669	-23.25%	0.2296	✓	0.88
2026-07-10	oos	0.0349	0.033624	-3.66%	0.02702	-22.58%	0.2284	✓	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.03361	0.032355	-3.73%	0.02723	-18.98%	0.1957	✓	0.86
2026-07-08	oos	0.033225	0.031926	-3.91%	0.02709	-18.47%	0.2000	✓	0.86
2026-07-07	oos	0.03386	0.032509	-3.99%	0.0267	-21.15%	0.2095	✓	0.86
2026-07-06	oos	0.03386	0.032482	-4.07%	0.02689	-20.58%	0.1970	✓	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.03527	0.033765	-4.27%	0.026835	-23.92%	0.2360	✓	0.85
2026-07-04	oos	0.03527	0.033909	-3.86%	0.02633	-25.35%	0.2581	✓	0.86
2026-07-03	oos	0.03542	0.034023	-3.95%	0.0263	-25.75%	0.2704	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.03445	0.033199	-3.63%	0.02558	-25.75%	0.2776	✓	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.03365	0.032494	-3.43%	0.025195	-25.13%	0.2925	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.03491	0.033721	-3.40%	0.026255	-24.79%	0.3345	✓	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.034985	0.033855	-3.23%	0.02592	-25.91%	0.3185	✓	0.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.034205	0.033181	-2.99%	0.02609	-23.72%	0.3019	✓	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.03374	0.032786	-2.83%	0.025815	-23.49%	0.2917	✓	0.87
2026-06-26	oos	0.034035	0.033045	-2.91%	0.030265	-11.08%	0.1615	✓	0.86
2026-06-25	oos	0.03287	0.031941	-2.83%	0.02982	-9.28%	0.1323	✓	0.86
2026-06-24	oos	0.033615	0.032647	-2.88%	0.03133	-6.80%	0.0850	✓	0.88
2026-06-23	oos	0.036615	0.035369	-3.40%	0.031295	-14.53%	0.1540	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.037115	0.035804	-3.53%	0.032075	-13.58%	0.1374	✓	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.035715	0.03457	-3.21%	0.03283	-8.08%	0.0932	✓	0.82
2026-06-20	oos	0.03611	0.034994	-3.09%	0.032295	-10.56%	0.0925	✓	0.80
2026-06-19	oos	0.03627	0.035142	-3.11%	0.03226	-11.06%	0.1007	✓	0.80
2026-06-18	oos	0.036305	0.035222	-2.98%	0.03293	-9.30%	0.0913	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.03752	0.036322	-3.19%	0.033005	-12.03%	0.0889	✓	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.03773	0.036536	-3.16%	0.03388	-10.20%	0.0524	✓	0.81
2026-06-15	oos	0.03768	0.036526	-3.06%	0.033825	-10.23%	0.0574	✓	0.81
2026-06-14	oos	0.037605	0.036527	-2.87%	0.0341	-9.32%	0.0598	✓	0.81
2026-06-13	oos	0.03622	0.035389	-2.29%	0.033925	-6.34%	0.0148	✓	0.80
2026-06-12	oos	0.035945	0.035158	-2.19%	0.035005	-2.62%	0.0069	✓	0.80
2026-06-11	oos	0.0362	0.035411	-2.18%	0.034775	-3.94%	0.0208	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.03395	0.033462	-1.44%	0.0349	+2.80%	0.0097	✓	0.76
2026-06-09	oos	0.0353	0.034668	-1.79%	0.03361	-4.79%	0.0490	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.03753	0.036437	-2.91%	0.033225	-11.47%	0.0827	✓	0.73
2026-06-07	oos	0.03645	0.035457	-2.73%	0.03386	-7.11%	0.0463	✓	0.78
2026-06-06	oos	0.03665	0.035769	-2.41%	0.03386	-7.61%	0.0957	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	0.03783	0.036863	-2.56%	0.03527	-6.77%	0.0784	✓	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.04057	0.039297	-3.14%	0.03527	-13.06%	0.0992	✓	0.79
2026-06-03	oos	0.04371	0.042165	-3.53%	0.03542	-18.97%	0.1558	✓	0.77
2026-06-02	oos	0.04449	0.042796	-3.81%	0.03445	-22.57%	0.1534	✓	0.79
2026-06-01	oos	0.04831	0.046352	-4.05%	0.03365	-30.35%	0.2014	✓	0.69
2026-05-31	oos	0.046525	0.045085	-3.10%	0.03491	-24.97%	0.0850	✓	0.75
2026-05-30	oos	0.048565	0.047085	-3.05%	0.034985	-27.96%	0.1507	✓	0.72
2026-05-29	oos	0.0488	0.047262	-3.15%	0.034205	-29.91%	0.1724	✓	0.72
2026-05-28	oos	0.048795	0.047268	-3.13%	0.03374	-30.85%	0.1913	✓	0.71
2026-05-27	oos	0.04745	0.046089	-2.87%	0.034035	-28.27%	0.1482	✓	0.72
2026-05-26	oos	0.048745	0.04745	-2.66%	0.03287	-32.57%	0.1952	✓	0.72
2026-05-25	oos	0.05025	0.04948	-1.53%	0.033615	-33.10%	0.2072	✓	0.76
2026-05-24	oos	0.05121	0.050332	-1.71%	0.036615	-28.50%	0.1619	✓	0.76
2026-05-23	oos	0.05229	0.051243	-2.00%	0.037115	-29.02%	0.1846	✓	0.76
2026-05-22	oos	0.05241	0.051014	-2.66%	0.035715	-31.85%	0.2208	✓	0.77
2026-05-21	oos	0.05381	0.05265	-2.15%	0.03611	-32.89%	0.2326	✓	0.77
2026-05-20	oos	0.05157	0.050553	-1.97%	0.03627	-29.67%	0.1791	✓	0.77
2026-05-19	oos	0.0499	0.048866	-2.07%	0.036305	-27.24%	0.1456	✓	0.76
2026-05-18	oos	0.051035	0.04991	-2.20%	0.03752	-26.48%	0.1509	✓	0.76
2026-05-17	oos	0.05121	0.050016	-2.33%	0.03773	-26.32%	0.1569	✓	0.76
2026-05-16	oos	0.04589	0.045438	-0.98%	0.03768	-17.89%	0.0583	✓	0.79
2026-05-15	oos	0.04633	0.045961	-0.80%	0.037605	-18.83%	0.0519	✓	0.80
2026-05-14	oos	0.04779	0.047796	+0.01%	0.03622	-24.21%	0.0902	✗	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	0.047315	0.047219	-0.20%	0.035945	-24.03%	0.0943	✓	0.81
2026-05-12	oos	0.04733	0.04777	+0.93%	0.0362	-23.52%	0.0883	✗	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	0.048525	0.049398	+1.80%	0.03395	-30.04%	0.1562	✗	0.77
2026-05-10	oos	0.049455	0.050518	+2.15%	0.0353	-28.62%	0.1388	✗	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.04786	0.048521	+1.38%	0.03753	-21.58%	0.0707	✗	0.76
2026-05-08	oos	0.04894	0.049329	+0.80%	0.03645	-25.52%	0.1232	✗	0.76
2026-05-07	oos	0.0471	0.047374	+0.58%	0.03665	-22.19%	0.0475	✗	0.76
2026-05-06	oos	0.04704	0.047978	+1.99%	0.03783	-19.58%	0.0129	✓	0.87
2026-05-05	oos	0.04714	0.048014	+1.85%	0.04057	-13.94%	0.0472	✓	0.91
2026-05-04	oos	0.04624	0.04669	+0.97%	0.04371	-5.47%	0.1322	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.04557	0.04567	+0.22%	0.04449	-2.37%	0.1237	✓	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.04565	0.045758	+0.24%	0.04831	+5.83%	0.1478	✓	0.95
2026-05-01	oos	0.04549	0.045561	+0.16%	0.046525	+2.28%	0.0793	✓	0.95
2026-04-30	oos	0.04543	0.044928	-1.11%	0.048565	+6.90%	0.1096	✗	0.94
2026-04-29	oos	0.04595	0.045313	-1.39%	0.0488	+6.20%	0.1042	✗	0.94
2026-04-28	oos	0.047225	0.046583	-1.36%	0.048795	+3.32%	0.0832	✗	0.98
2026-04-27	oos	0.047815	0.047435	-0.79%	0.04745	-0.76%	0.0398	✗	0.98
2026-04-26	oos	0.048465	0.048475	+0.02%	0.048745	+0.58%	0.0419	✓	0.98
2026-04-25	oos	0.048825	0.048538	-0.59%	0.05025	+2.92%	0.0397	✗	0.97
2026-04-24	oos	0.048445	0.048069	-0.78%	0.05121	+5.71%	0.0697	✗	1.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.048575	0.048335	-0.49%	0.05229	+7.65%	0.0999	✗	1.01
2026-04-22	oos	0.047775	0.0478	+0.05%	0.05241	+9.70%	0.1286	✓	1.02
2026-04-21	oos	0.04836	0.047857	-1.04%	0.05381	+11.27%	0.1013	✗	1.03
2026-04-20	oos	0.04868	0.047954	-1.49%	0.05157	+5.94%	0.0510	✗	1.03
2026-04-19	oos	0.04712	0.046107	-2.15%	0.0499	+5.90%	0.0382	✗	1.04
2026-04-18	oos	0.049175	0.048279	-1.82%	0.051035	+3.78%	0.0391	✗	1.04
2026-04-17	oos	0.051505	0.050682	-1.60%	0.05121	-0.57%	0.0062	✓	1.04
2026-04-16	oos	0.04826	0.047383	-1.82%	0.04589	-4.91%	0.0716	✓	1.03
2026-04-15	oos	0.047365	0.046437	-1.96%	0.04633	-2.19%	0.0588	✓	1.03
2026-04-14	oos	0.047	0.046017	-2.09%	0.04779	+1.68%	0.0542	✓	1.03
2026-04-13	oos	0.048025	0.046916	-2.31%	0.047315	-1.48%	0.0563	✓	1.03
2026-04-12	oos	0.046555	0.045214	-2.88%	0.04733	+1.66%	0.0893	✓	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.04747	0.046215	-2.64%	0.048525	+2.22%	0.0686	✓	1.05
2026-04-10	oos	0.04756	0.046196	-2.87%	0.049455	+3.98%	0.0564	✓	1.05
2026-04-09	oos	0.047155	0.045695	-3.10%	0.04786	+1.50%	0.0759	✓	1.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.046845	0.045486	-2.90%	0.04894	+4.47%	0.0535	✓	1.05
2026-04-07	oos	0.047935	0.046537	-2.92%	0.0471	-1.74%	0.1000	✓	1.05
2026-04-06	oos	0.046955	0.045297	-3.53%	0.04704	+0.18%	0.1414	✓	1.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.047035	0.045336	-3.61%	0.04714	+0.22%	0.1310	✓	1.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.04762	0.045729	-3.97%	0.04624	-2.90%	0.1766	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.049055	0.047046	-4.09%	0.04557	-7.10%	0.2088	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.049145	0.047135	-4.09%	0.04565	-7.11%	0.2117	✓	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.04795	0.046161	-3.73%	0.04549	-5.13%	0.1696	✓	1.12
2026-03-31	oos	0.046625	0.044896	-3.71%	0.04543	-2.56%	0.1135	✓	1.12
2026-03-30	oos	0.04476	0.043165	-3.56%	0.04595	+2.66%	0.0787	✓	1.11
2026-03-29	oos	0.044945	0.043406	-3.42%	0.047225	+5.07%	0.0785	✓	1.12
2026-03-28	oos	0.04481	0.043365	-3.23%	0.047815	+6.71%	0.0743	✓	1.12
2026-03-27	oos	0.04618	0.044736	-3.13%	0.048465	+4.95%	0.1101	✓	1.12
2026-03-26	oos	0.04903	0.047524	-3.07%	0.048825	-0.42%	0.1080	✓	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.05073	0.049193	-3.03%	0.048445	-4.50%	0.1076	✓	1.11
2026-03-24	oos	0.051635	0.049968	-3.23%	0.048575	-5.93%	0.1450	✓	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.051015	0.049574	-2.82%	0.047775	-6.35%	0.1472	✓	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.050285	0.048664	-3.22%	0.04836	-3.83%	0.1410	✓	1.14
2026-03-21	oos	0.050655	0.049009	-3.25%	0.04868	-3.90%	0.1165	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.051575	0.049888	-3.27%	0.04712	-8.64%	0.1098	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.05155	0.049926	-3.15%	0.049175	-4.61%	0.1066	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.053645	0.052011	-3.05%	0.051505	-3.99%	0.1013	✓	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.05554	0.054101	-2.59%	0.04826	-13.11%	0.1336	✓	1.17
2026-03-16	oos	0.056025	0.0548	-2.19%	0.047365	-15.46%	0.1450	✓	1.19
2026-03-15	oos	0.054755	0.053371	-2.53%	0.047	-14.16%	0.1490	✓	1.19
2026-03-14	oos	0.05436	0.052889	-2.71%	0.048025	-11.65%	0.1495	✓	1.20
2026-03-13	oos	0.05408	0.052604	-2.73%	0.046555	-13.91%	0.1190	✓	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.054775	0.053189	-2.89%	0.04747	-13.34%	0.1566	✓	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.0551	0.053482	-2.94%	0.04756	-13.68%	0.1642	✓	1.20
2026-03-10	oos	0.055055	0.053363	-3.07%	0.047155	-14.35%	0.1548	✓	1.20
2026-03-09	oos	0.05061	0.049173	-2.84%	0.046845	-7.44%	0.0936	✓	1.19
2026-03-08	oos	0.049545	0.048182	-2.75%	0.047935	-3.25%	0.1079	✓	1.19
2026-03-07	oos	0.05329	0.051744	-2.90%	0.046955	-11.89%	0.1248	✓	1.18
2026-03-06	oos	0.052835	0.051438	-2.64%	0.047035	-10.98%	0.1050	✓	1.18
2026-03-05	oos	0.0539	0.05265	-2.32%	0.04762	-11.65%	0.0381	✓	1.20
2026-03-04	oos	0.05495	0.053859	-1.99%	0.049055	-10.73%	0.0051	✓	1.20
2026-03-03	oos	0.0539	0.052478	-2.64%	0.049145	-8.82%	0.0390	✓	1.25
2026-03-02	oos	0.055295	0.053779	-2.74%	0.04795	-13.28%	0.1017	✓	1.24
2026-03-01	oos	0.05467	0.052955	-3.14%	0.046625	-14.72%	0.1733	✓	1.26
2026-02-28	oos	0.05555	0.053805	-3.14%	0.04476	-19.42%	0.1797	✓	1.24
2026-02-27	oos	0.055635	0.053994	-2.95%	0.044945	-19.21%	0.1853	✓	1.25
2026-02-26	oos	0.056585	0.054997	-2.81%	0.04481	-20.81%	0.1829	✓	1.25
2026-02-25	oos	0.05706	0.055353	-2.99%	0.04618	-19.07%	0.1506	✓	1.25
2026-02-24	oos	0.053045	0.051684	-2.56%	0.04903	-7.57%	0.1414	✓	1.25
2026-02-23	oos	0.05339	0.051925	-2.74%	0.05073	-4.98%	0.1443	✓	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.055435	0.053696	-3.14%	0.051635	-6.85%	0.0915	✓	1.24
2026-02-21	oos	0.05691	0.055022	-3.32%	0.051015	-10.36%	0.1277	✓	1.24
2026-02-20	oos	0.05648	0.054587	-3.35%	0.050285	-10.97%	0.0795	✓	1.24
2026-02-19	oos	0.055895	0.054015	-3.36%	0.050655	-9.37%	0.0996	✓	1.24
2026-02-18	oos	0.056555	0.054636	-3.39%	0.051575	-8.81%	0.1321	✓	1.25
2026-02-17	oos	0.05746	0.055373	-3.63%	0.05155	-10.29%	0.1155	✓	1.23
2026-02-16	oos	0.058155	0.056129	-3.48%	0.053645	-7.76%	0.0874	✓	1.24
2026-02-15	oos	0.057145	0.0552	-3.40%	0.05554	-2.81%	0.0829	✓	1.24
2026-02-14	oos	0.06086	0.058552	-3.79%	0.056025	-7.94%	0.1308	✓	1.23
2026-02-13	oos	0.05754	0.055538	-3.48%	0.054755	-4.84%	0.0834	✓	1.22
2026-02-12	oos	0.056635	0.054732	-3.36%	0.05436	-4.02%	0.0973	✓	1.24
2026-02-11	oos	0.05547	0.053581	-3.41%	0.05408	-2.51%	0.0615	✓	1.25
2026-02-10	oos	0.05428	0.052391	-3.48%	0.054775	+0.91%	0.0131	✓	1.27
2026-02-09	oos	0.055225	0.05312	-3.81%	0.0551	-0.23%	0.0347	✓	1.27
2026-02-08	oos	0.055525	0.053357	-3.90%	0.055055	-0.85%	0.0371	✓	1.27
2026-02-07	oos	0.055175	0.053025	-3.90%	0.05061	-8.27%	0.0315	✓	1.28
2026-02-06	oos	0.05691	0.054416	-4.38%	0.049545	-12.94%	0.0091	✓	1.27
2026-02-05	oos	0.049765	0.048456	-2.63%	0.05329	+7.08%	0.0066	✓	1.29
2026-02-04	oos	0.05809	0.055634	-4.23%	0.052835	-9.05%	0.0498	✗	1.46
2026-02-03	oos	0.05907	0.056385	-4.55%	0.0539	-8.75%	0.0513	✗	1.48
2026-02-02	oos	0.06336	0.060161	-5.05%	0.05495	-13.27%	0.0272	✓	1.49
2026-02-01	oos	0.05406	0.051553	-4.64%	0.0539	-0.30%	0.2127	✗	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.05533	0.052555	-5.02%	0.055295	-0.06%	0.2477	✗	1.48
2026-01-30	oos	0.057685	0.054664	-5.24%	0.05467	-5.23%	0.3865	✗	1.57
2026-01-29	oos	0.057685	0.05455	-5.43%	0.05555	-3.70%	0.3841	✗	1.57
2026-01-28	oos	0.06564	0.062075	-5.43%	0.055635	-15.24%	0.3487	✗	1.51
2026-01-27	oos	0.0742	0.069798	-5.93%	0.056585	-23.74%	0.2156	✗	1.53
2026-01-26	oos	0.072245	0.067815	-6.13%	0.05706	-21.02%	0.2206	✗	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.07789	0.072589	-6.81%	0.053045	-31.90%	0.1592	✗	1.57
2026-01-24	oos	0.09534	0.087815	-7.89%	0.05339	-44.00%	0.0293	✓	1.46
2026-01-23	oos	0.07218	0.067299	-6.76%	0.055435	-23.20%	0.2163	✗	1.46
2026-01-22	oos	0.05231	0.049985	-4.45%	0.05691	+8.79%	0.5256	✗	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	0.052375	0.049976	-4.58%	0.05648	+7.84%	0.5157	✗	1.44
2026-01-20	oos	0.0505	0.048125	-4.70%	0.055895	+10.68%	0.5462	✗	1.43
2026-01-19	oos	0.05454	0.051774	-5.07%	0.056555	+3.69%	0.5620	✗	1.43
2026-01-18	oos	0.05534	0.052476	-5.18%	0.05746	+3.83%	0.5561	✗	1.42
2026-01-17	oos	0.05924	0.056159	-5.20%	0.058155	-1.83%	0.4868	✗	1.40
2026-01-16	oos	0.05968	0.05644	-5.43%	0.057145	-4.25%	0.4736	✗	1.41
2026-01-15	oos	0.06045	0.056967	-5.76%	0.06086	+0.68%	0.5086	✗	1.41
2026-01-14	oos	0.06351	0.060029	-5.48%	0.05754	-9.40%	0.4387	✗	1.40
2026-01-13	oos	0.06458	0.061031	-5.50%	0.056635	-12.30%	0.4435	✗	1.42
2026-01-12	oos	0.060695	0.056823	-6.38%	0.05547	-8.61%	0.4116	✗	1.42
2026-01-11	oos	0.063625	0.059635	-6.27%	0.05428	-14.69%	0.3042	✗	1.43
2026-01-10	oos	0.06391	0.059834	-6.38%	0.055225	-13.59%	0.2862	✗	1.44
2026-01-09	oos	0.065735	0.061907	-5.82%	0.055525	-15.53%	0.2568	✗	1.44
2026-01-08	oos	0.066905	0.063277	-5.42%	0.055175	-17.53%	0.2515	✗	1.42
2026-01-07	oos	0.06723	0.063804	-5.10%	0.05691	-15.35%	0.3356	✗	1.74
2026-01-06	oos	0.07016	0.066622	-5.04%	0.049765	-29.07%	0.4086	✗	1.75
2026-01-05	oos	0.06713	0.064163	-4.42%	0.05809	-13.47%	0.3380	✗	1.74
2026-01-04	oos	0.06232	0.059473	-4.57%	0.05907	-5.22%	0.3204	✗	1.72
2026-01-03	oos	0.05887	0.056376	-4.24%	0.06336	+7.63%	0.3578	✗	1.71
2026-01-02	oos	0.05862	0.056144	-4.22%	0.05406	-7.78%	0.2292	✗	1.70
2026-01-01	oos	0.05654	0.054145	-4.24%	0.05533	-2.14%	0.2259	✗	1.69
2025-12-31	oos	0.055285	0.053151	-3.86%	0.057685	+4.34%	0.1482	✗	1.68
2025-12-30	oos	0.05597	0.054045	-3.44%	0.057685	+3.06%	0.1403	✗	1.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.05549	0.053656	-3.30%	0.06564	+18.29%	0.1633	✗	1.65
2025-12-28	oos	0.05652	0.054862	-2.93%	0.0742	+31.28%	0.2789	✗	1.65
2025-12-27	oos	0.05792	0.056231	-2.92%	0.072245	+24.73%	0.2424	✗	1.63
2025-12-26	oos	0.055645	0.054414	-2.21%	0.07789	+39.98%	0.3723	✗	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.05553	0.054422	-2.00%	0.09534	+71.69%	0.5256	✗	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.057815	0.056701	-1.93%	0.07218	+24.85%	0.2073	✗	1.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.058405	0.057343	-1.82%	0.05231	-10.44%	0.1281	✓	1.57
2025-12-22	oos	0.059805	0.058773	-1.73%	0.052375	-12.42%	0.1295	✓	1.57
2025-12-21	oos	0.05937	0.058433	-1.58%	0.0505	-14.94%	0.1401	✓	1.57
2025-12-20	oos	0.060085	0.059136	-1.58%	0.05454	-9.23%	0.1551	✓	1.58
2025-12-19	oos	0.060155	0.059248	-1.51%	0.05534	-8.00%	0.1648	✓	1.58
2025-12-18	oos	0.055325	0.054758	-1.03%	0.05924	+7.08%	0.0874	✓	1.55
2025-12-17	oos	0.06288	0.061831	-1.67%	0.05968	-5.09%	0.1928	✓	1.54
2025-12-16	oos	0.071135	0.069506	-2.29%	0.06045	-15.02%	0.2665	✓	1.50
2025-12-15	oos	0.07128	0.069589	-2.37%	0.06351	-10.90%	0.2657	✓	1.51
2025-12-14	oos	0.07386	0.071757	-2.85%	0.06458	-12.56%	0.2247	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	0.07598	0.073696	-3.01%	0.060695	-20.12%	0.2097	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.07473	0.07273	-2.68%	0.063625	-14.86%	0.1437	✓	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	0.07647	0.074599	-2.45%	0.06391	-16.42%	0.1184	✓	1.53
2025-12-10	oos	0.07613	0.07445	-2.21%	0.065735	-13.65%	0.0990	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	0.07899	0.077117	-2.37%	0.066905	-15.30%	0.1144	✓	1.52
2025-12-08	oos	0.07802	0.076211	-2.32%	0.06723	-13.83%	0.1358	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	0.07829	0.07641	-2.40%	0.07016	-10.38%	0.1401	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	0.078055	0.076177	-2.41%	0.06713	-14.00%	0.2035	✓	1.53
2025-12-05	oos	0.07697	0.075225	-2.27%	0.06232	-19.03%	0.2247	✓	1.54
2025-12-04	oos	0.080285	0.078356	-2.40%	0.05887	-26.67%	0.2607	✓	1.54
2025-12-03	oos	0.080975	0.079098	-2.32%	0.05862	-27.61%	0.2406	✓	1.55
2025-12-02	oos	0.07936	0.077607	-2.21%	0.05654	-28.76%	0.2723	✓	1.56
2025-12-01	oos	0.0755	0.074023	-1.96%	0.055285	-26.77%	0.3144	✓	1.61
2025-11-30	oos	0.07825	0.076739	-1.93%	0.05597	-28.47%	0.2792	✓	1.65
2025-11-29	oos	0.078775	0.077315	-1.85%	0.05549	-29.56%	0.2629	✓	1.65
2025-11-28	oos	0.07946	0.078064	-1.76%	0.05652	-28.87%	0.2672	✓	1.65
2025-11-27	oos	0.08123	0.079793	-1.77%	0.05792	-28.70%	0.2558	✓	1.65
2025-11-26	oos	0.08201	0.080506	-1.83%	0.055645	-32.15%	0.3103	✓	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.081745	0.080176	-1.92%	0.05553	-32.07%	0.3643	✓	1.71
2025-11-24	oos	0.08123	0.079636	-1.96%	0.057815	-28.83%	0.3074	✓	1.71
2025-11-23	oos	0.07965	0.078083	-1.97%	0.058405	-26.67%	0.3026	✓	1.71
2025-11-22	oos	0.07711	0.07564	-1.91%	0.059805	-22.44%	0.3118	✓	1.72
2025-11-21	oos	0.076	0.074488	-1.99%	0.05937	-21.88%	0.2974	✓	1.72
2025-11-20	oos	0.079975	0.078224	-2.19%	0.060085	-24.87%	0.2987	✓	1.71
2025-11-19	oos	0.083305	0.08124	-2.48%	0.060155	-27.79%	0.2336	✓	1.78
2025-11-18	oos	0.085825	0.083658	-2.52%	0.055325	-35.54%	0.2645	✓	1.78
2025-11-17	oos	0.084675	0.082724	-2.30%	0.06288	-25.74%	0.1560	✓	1.79
2025-11-16	oos	0.087205	0.085227	-2.27%	0.071135	-18.43%	0.0554	✓	1.80
2025-11-15	oos	0.087915	0.085969	-2.21%	0.07128	-18.92%	0.0059	✓	1.81
2025-11-14	oos	0.086695	0.084817	-2.17%	0.07386	-14.80%	0.0128	✓	1.81
2025-11-13	oos	0.093305	0.091283	-2.17%	0.07598	-18.57%	0.0013	✓	1.85
2025-11-12	oos	0.097945	0.095824	-2.17%	0.07473	-23.70%	0.0303	✓	1.84
2025-11-11	oos	0.098925	0.09687	-2.08%	0.07647	-22.70%	0.0465	✓	1.77
2025-11-10	oos	0.104335	0.102286	-1.96%	0.07613	-27.03%	0.0459	✓	1.77
2025-11-09	oos	0.10086	0.098914	-1.93%	0.07899	-21.68%	0.0091	✓	1.77
2025-11-08	oos	0.1009	0.098599	-2.28%	0.07802	-22.68%	0.0164	✓	1.80
2025-11-07	oos	0.0989	0.0966	-2.33%	0.07829	-20.84%	0.0253	✗	1.77
2025-11-06	oos	0.090015	0.088147	-2.07%	0.078055	-13.29%	0.0970	✗	1.73
2025-11-05	oos	0.091255	0.089391	-2.04%	0.07697	-15.65%	0.1135	✗	1.75
2025-11-04	oos	0.085255	0.083988	-1.49%	0.080285	-5.83%	0.1223	✗	1.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.092745	0.09125	-1.61%	0.080975	-12.69%	0.1079	✗	1.73
2025-11-02	oos	0.104155	0.102261	-1.82%	0.07936	-23.81%	0.0674	✗	1.68
2025-11-01	oos	0.105	0.10292	-1.98%	0.0755	-28.10%	0.1024	✗	1.69
2025-10-31	oos	0.103525	0.101545	-1.91%	0.07825	-24.41%	0.0630	✗	1.68
2025-10-30	oos	0.101955	0.100017	-1.90%	0.078775	-22.74%	0.0578	✗	1.68
2025-10-29	oos	0.107075	0.104935	-2.00%	0.07946	-25.79%	0.0420	✗	1.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.108125	0.106233	-1.75%	0.08123	-24.87%	0.0960	✗	1.72
2025-10-27	oos	0.110265	0.10821	-1.86%	0.08201	-25.62%	0.1212	✗	1.72
2025-10-26	oos	0.111155	0.1088	-2.12%	0.081745	-26.46%	0.1802	✗	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.108175	0.105862	-2.14%	0.08123	-24.91%	0.1446	✗	1.74
2025-10-24	oos	0.108975	0.106469	-2.30%	0.07965	-26.91%	0.1391	✗	1.74
2025-10-23	oos	0.108495	0.10578	-2.50%	0.07711	-28.93%	0.1426	✗	1.75
2025-10-22	oos	0.104775	0.102057	-2.59%	0.076	-27.46%	0.1149	✗	1.74
2025-10-21	oos	0.105805	0.102869	-2.78%	0.079975	-24.41%	0.1410	✗	1.75
2025-10-20	oos	0.10745	0.104234	-2.99%	0.083305	-22.47%	0.1141	✗	1.78
2025-10-19	oos	0.106295	0.102934	-3.16%	0.085825	-19.26%	0.0979	✗	1.78
2025-10-18	oos	0.103095	0.09974	-3.25%	0.084675	-17.87%	0.1067	✗	1.78
2025-10-17	oos	0.102195	0.098626	-3.49%	0.087205	-14.67%	0.0940	✗	1.77
2025-10-16	oos	0.106325	0.102444	-3.65%	0.087915	-17.31%	0.0669	✗	1.77
2025-10-15	oos	0.110215	0.106121	-3.71%	0.086695	-21.34%	0.0776	✗	1.76
2025-10-14	oos	0.113465	0.10918	-3.78%	0.093305	-17.77%	0.0676	✗	1.77
2025-10-13	oos	0.118965	0.114256	-3.96%	0.097945	-17.67%	0.0683	✗	1.77
2025-10-12	oos	0.11111	0.1066	-4.06%	0.098925	-10.97%	0.1186	✗	1.75
2025-10-11	oos	0.105225	0.101048	-3.97%	0.104335	-0.85%	0.1096	✗	1.76
2025-10-10	oos	0.103165	0.099163	-3.88%	0.10086	-2.23%	0.1531	✗	1.79
2025-10-09	oos	0.139145	0.133874	-3.79%	0.1009	-27.49%	0.0729	✓	1.21
2025-10-08	oos	0.143215	0.138221	-3.49%	0.0989	-30.94%	0.1245	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.142045	0.136791	-3.70%	0.090015	-36.63%	0.2053	✓	1.18
2025-10-06	oos	0.150835	0.145913	-3.26%	0.091255	-39.50%	0.2628	✓	1.13
2025-10-05	oos	0.149505	0.144555	-3.31%	0.085255	-42.98%	0.3066	✓	1.13
2025-10-04	oos	0.150845	0.14517	-3.76%	0.092745	-38.52%	0.2907	✓	1.13
2025-10-03	oos	0.154465	0.148587	-3.81%	0.104155	-32.57%	0.2407	✓	1.13
2025-10-02	oos	0.155515	0.14935	-3.96%	0.105	-32.48%	0.2475	✓	1.14
2025-10-01	oos	0.155355	0.148679	-4.30%	0.103525	-33.36%	0.2670	✓	1.19
2025-09-30	oos	0.151005	0.143601	-4.90%	0.101955	-32.48%	0.2791	✓	1.22
2025-09-29	oos	0.153365	0.145672	-5.02%	0.107075	-30.18%	0.2600	✓	1.24
2025-09-28	oos	0.154735	0.146579	-5.27%	0.108125	-30.12%	0.3123	✓	1.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.151745	0.143572	-5.39%	0.110265	-27.34%	0.3155	✓	1.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.153365	0.144915	-5.51%	0.111155	-27.52%	0.3218	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.14934	0.140861	-5.68%	0.108175	-27.56%	0.2950	✓	1.30
2025-09-24	oos	0.151035	0.143455	-5.02%	0.108975	-27.85%	0.2465	✓	1.38
2025-09-23	oos	0.150805	0.143092	-5.11%	0.108495	-28.06%	0.2528	✓	1.40
2025-09-22	oos	0.151295	0.14365	-5.05%	0.104775	-30.75%	0.2522	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.162385	0.154212	-5.03%	0.105805	-34.84%	0.2958	✓	1.31
2025-09-20	oos	0.156835	0.14905	-4.96%	0.10745	-31.49%	0.2612	✓	1.44
2025-09-19	oos	0.156755	0.148959	-4.97%	0.106295	-32.19%	0.2491	✓	1.41
2025-09-18	oos	0.15924	0.151422	-4.91%	0.103095	-35.26%	0.2576	✓	1.44
2025-09-17	oos	0.160025	0.152182	-4.90%	0.102195	-36.14%	0.2728	✓	1.39

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.